Saturday Trends and Indexes 04/14

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, April 14

Good Luck on day #104 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Saturday, April 14

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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (1:05 PM ET)
Reds starter Bronson Arroyo picked up a 4-1 loss in his first start of the season against the Cubs, allowing four runs and eight hits over seven innings of work. EDGE: CUBS
Arroyo is 4-4 with a 3.12 ERA in 11 career appearances against the Cubs in his career. EDGE: REDS & UNDER
Chicago starter Rich Hill was 6-3 with a 2.93 ERA after the All-Star break last season in 13 appearances. EDGE: CUBS




Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox (3:55 PM ET)
Los Angeles starter Kelvim Escobar has put together two quality starts to start off the season, going 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA. EDGE: ANGELS
Escobar has held Boston's dynamic duo of David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez in check over his career. Ortiz is just 4-for-24 (.167) against him and Ramirez is 7-for-32 (.219). EDGE: ANGELS & UNDER
Boston starter Curt Schilling bounced back nicely from an Opening Day loss to pick up a 3-2 victory at Texas in his second start. Schilling is 4-1 with a 3.44 ERA in nine appearances against the Angels. EDGE: RED SOX
Schilling was a tremendous 9-1 with a 3.06 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway Park last season and will be pumped for his first start at home this year. EDGE: BOSTON




Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies (FOX | 3:55 PM ET)
Houston starter Jason Jennings has had all kinds of trouble against Philadelphia in his career, going 1-3 with a 7.96 ERA in six starts against them in his career. BIG EDGE: PHILLIES
Philadelphia left-hander Cole Hamels has been electric this season, allowing just two earned runs over 13 inning, but hasn't picked up a victory. He will have a great chance against an Astros team that he's allowed just six hits over 15 2/3 innings and struck out 19. EDGE: PHILLIES




San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 PM ET)
San Francisco signed Barry Zito to the largest free-agent pitching contract in MLB history, but the left-hander has struggled to a 0-2 record with an 8.18 ERA. EDGE: PIRATES
Zito has is known to be a slow starter, with a 5.20 ERA in April during his career - his highest ERA of any month by more than a run. EDGE: PIRATES
Pittsburgh starter Tony Armas Jr. certainly didn't bounce back from a miserable 2006 in his first start, picking up a 7-5 loss to the Cincinnati Reds. Armas is also just 1-4 with a 5.28 ERA in five lifetime starts against San Francisco. EDGE: GIANTS




New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics (9:05 PM ET)
New York starter Carl Pavano has posted a dismal 29-36 record and 4.58 ERA on the road in his career. EDGE: A'S
Oakland right-hander Joe Blanton probably isn't too happy about facing the Bronx Bombers, posting an 0-2 record and 13.50 ERA in two career starts against them. BIG EDGE: YANKEES




San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET)
San Diego starter Jake Peavy has owned the Dodgers in his career, tallying a 6-1 record with a 2.40 ERA in 13 career starts. The right-hander is off to a hot start this season, allowing just one run in 13 innings. BIG EDGE: PADRES
Los Angels starter Jason Schmidt struggled in his first start at Dodger Stadium as a member of the home team, going just four innings and allowing four runs on seven hits. He's 11-9 with a 4.78 ERA in 27 career starts against the Padres. EDGE: PADRES
Schmidt has always pitched well at Dodger Stadium despite a 4-5 record, as his 3.10 ERA is one of the best among active pitchers at Chavez Ravine. EDGE: DODGERS

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips & Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Saturday, April 14

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators (3 PM ET)
The Senators have never held a 2-0 lead in a playoff series, going 0-6 in Game 2 after winning the opener. BIG EDGE: PENGUINS
Pittsburgh goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury is 2-5-0 with an ugly 5.07 goals-against-average in eight career games against Ottawa. EDGE: SENATORS & OVER
Ottawa went 31-7-8 from December 23rd to the end of the season, narrowly edging the Penguins for fourth place in the East. BIG EDGE: SENATORS




New York Rangers at Atlanta Thrashers (NBC | 3 PM ET)
The Rangers earned their first postseason victory since May 18, 1997, with a 4-3 win Thursday at Philips Arena in Game 1. SLIGHT EDGE: RANGERS
Atlanta backup goaltender Johan Hedberg may get the start today, as he's 5-3-0 with a 1.68 GAA in eight starts against them. EDGE: THRASHERS & UNDER
The UNDER is 9-1 in the Rangers' last 10 games playing on one days rest.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 in the Thrashers' last 10 games as a favorite.

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet


Saturday, April 14

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AUSTIN (2 - 4) at COLUMBUS (2 - 3) - 4/14/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 1-0 against the spread versus AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 1-1 straight up against AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TAMPA BAY (1 - 5) at ORLANDO (2 - 3) - 4/14/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GRAND RAPIDS (2 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 2) - 4/14/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GRAND RAPIDS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GRAND RAPIDS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GRAND RAPIDS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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NASHVILLE (2 - 4) at ARIZONA (1 - 5) - 4/14/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in April games since 1996.
ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss versus a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, April 14

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Austin @ Columbus-- Wranglers snapped four-game skid with comeback win vs Utah last week; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 9,15,4 points- four of last five Austin games went over the total. Destroyers lost three of last four games, with both contests at home going over total. Wranglers scored 64 ppg in its last three games, but lost two of the three.


Tampa Bay @ Orlando-- AFL's best rivalry renews after Tampa won first game in six tries last week; they're 0-2 on road, losing by 59-40 at Dallas, 69-49 at San Jose. Preds had last week off; they're 1-3 in last four games, but won first meeting vs Storm 52-27 (-1.5), with three takeaways. Last five Tampa games stayed over total. Orlando lost two of its three home games.


Grand Rapids @ Kansas City-- KC is 2-0 since its bye, scoring an average of 64.5 ppg; they covered four of five games this season, are 1-0 as favorite. Rampage is 2-3, allowing 42,53 points in wins, an average of 77 ppg in losses- their last four games went over. Grand Rapids is 2-0 when Salisbury starts, 0-3 when he doesn't; he started last week's game.


Nashville @ Arizona-- Both sides lost last two games. Kats split apir of road games; their last four games all went over total, with Nashville allowing 55+ pts in every game, an average of 61.7 ppg. Rattlers lost two of three home games; their only win is against a hapless Vegas team; four of their five losses are by four points or less. Arizona lost eight fumbles in its last two games, not good.

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[pm530]

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


Saturday, April 14

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B]PITTSBURGH (47-26-0-10, 104 pts.) at OTTAWA (49-25-0-9, 107 pts.)[/B] - 4/14/2007, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 47-36 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 47-36 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 47-36 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 31-15 ATS (+12.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 106-69 ATS (+243.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 106-69 ATS (-40.1 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 106-69 ATS (+106.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 75-55 ATS (+75.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 58-41 ATS (-34.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)




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NY RANGERS (43-30-0-10, 96 pts.) at ATLANTA (43-29-0-11, 97 pts.) - 4/14/2007, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 6-14 ATS (-8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 20-23 ATS (-20.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 9-20 ATS (-19.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)




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TAMPA BAY (44-34-0-5, 93 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (50-24-0-9, 109 pts.) - 4/14/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 17-1 ATS (+15.2 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 31-16 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 44-31 ATS (+3.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 29-14 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 9-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-4 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)




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NY ISLANDERS (40-31-0-12, 92 pts.) at BUFFALO (54-22-0-7, 115 pts.) - 4/14/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 117-66 ATS (+213.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 117-66 ATS (+20.5 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 117-66 ATS (+117.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 30-11 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 30-16 ATS (+13.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 35-32 ATS (+73.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 51-46 ATS (+109.5 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 9-3 ATS (+12.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
BUFFALO is 10-15 ATS (-18.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 8-1 (+6.8 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 8-1-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)




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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips & Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Saturday, April 14

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators (3 PM ET)
The Senators have never held a 2-0 lead in a playoff series, going 0-6 in Game 2 after winning the opener. BIG EDGE: PENGUINS
Pittsburgh goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury is 2-5-0 with an ugly 5.07 goals-against-average in eight career games against Ottawa. EDGE: SENATORS & OVER
Ottawa went 31-7-8 from December 23rd to the end of the season, narrowly edging the Penguins for fourth place in the East. BIG EDGE: SENATORS




New York Rangers at Atlanta Thrashers (NBC | 3 PM ET)
The Rangers earned their first postseason victory since May 18, 1997, with a 4-3 win Thursday at Philips Arena in Game 1. SLIGHT EDGE: RANGERS
Atlanta backup goaltender Johan Hedberg may get the start today, as he's 5-3-0 with a 1.68 GAA in eight starts against them. EDGE: THRASHERS & UNDER
The UNDER is 9-1 in the Rangers' last 10 games playing on one days rest.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 in the Thrashers' last 10 games as a favorite.

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Saturday, April 14th


Eastern Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Two
Ottawa Leads, 1-0
TV: NBC
Pittsburgh at Ottawa, 3:05 EST

Pittsburgh:
31-15 SU in the second half of the season
12-3 SU playing their fifth or less game in two weeks

Ottawa:
3-11 SU in Game Two of a playoff series
5-10 SU at home after scoring 2+ third-period goals

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Two
New York Leads, 1-0
TV: NBC
NY Rangers at Atlanta, 3:05 EST

NY Rangers:
13-7 SU away off a win by 1 goal
29-19 SU away off a win

Atlanta:
9-20 SU after allowing 4+ goals
14-21 SU off an Over

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Two
New Jersey Leads, 1-0
TV: None
Tampa Bay at New Jersey, 7:05 EST

Tampa Bay:
6-12 SU in April
16-26 SU vs. New Jersey

New Jersey:
17-1 SU in April
30-11 SU off a home game

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Two
Buffalo Leads, 1-0
TV: VER
NY Islanders at Buffalo, 7:35 EST

NY Islanders:
1-8 SU vs. Buffalo
12-26 SU after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Buffalo:
11-1 SU off a home win by 3+ goals
30-11 SU after scoring 4+ goals

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Tampa Bay at Minnesota
The Devil Rays picked up a big road win last night as Scott Kazmir outpitched Johan Santana in a 4-2 win at the Metrodome, which snapped Santana's 17-game home winning streak. The D-Rays also kept their streak of hitting a homer in 10 straight games alive and now lead the majors in long balls with 16. They'll have a good chance to add to that total today as they face Sidney Ponson, who was awful in his Twins debut as he gave up eight runs and 10 hits -- including two HRs -- in 5 2/3 innings against the Yankees on Monday. Tampa Bay looks like a decent underdog pick (+150) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the D-Rays favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, APRIL 14

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.070; Chicago Cubs 15.642
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-128); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+128); N/A

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.987; St. Louis (Wells) 16.776
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 955-956: Washington at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hill) 14.592; NY Mets (Hernandez) 17.688
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 3; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-275); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-275); Under

Game 957-958: Houston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Williams) 16.710; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.491
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Olsen) 18.206; Atlanta (Davies) 17.590
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+130); Over

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.706; Pittsburgh (Armas) 14.422
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Under

Game 963-964: Colorado at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 16.556; Arizona (Hernandez) 17.681
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-135); Under

Game 965-966: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 17.044; LA Dodgers (Schmidt) 18.153
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-119); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+119); Over

Game 967-968: Detroit at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Durbin) 16.241; Toronto (Burnett) 17.051
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-185); Under

Game 969-970: LA Angels at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Carrasco) 15.320; Boston (Schilling) 17.185
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 16.018; Seattle (Batista) 15.594
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Under

Game 973-974: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 17.182; Cleveland (Byrd) 16.204
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+140); Under

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Perez) 14.481; Baltimore (Cabrera) 16.834
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-185); Under

Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Jackson) 15.642; Minnesota (Ponson) 16.621
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+150); Under

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Rasner) 17.483; Oakland (Blanton) 17.074
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines

Saturday, April 14


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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs: Pick Reds +116

Bronson Arroyo clearly enjoys visiting Wrigley Field.

The Reds starting pitcher was dominant in two visits to the historic ballpark last season, twice beating the Cubs on their home turf. In 15 innings of work Arroyo didn’t allow a single earned run and allowed Chicago only 10 hits.

He also fanned 11 Cubs batters while walking only three, winning 2.15 units for Reds backers along the way.




Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals: Pick Cardinals -119

Cardinals starter Kip Wells is finally healthy and showing bettors what he’s capable of on the mound.

Wells battled arm and foot problems last season and made only nine starts, most of them money-losing affairs. But he’s looked great in two starts this year, giving up just six hits in 13 innings pitched while allowing two earned runs and striking out 14.

“(I’ve been getting) the quick outs and the quick innings and those are what give you a chance to pitch deep into games,” Wells told MLB.com of his early-season success. “For the most part (I’m) staying in the strike zone and staying in a rhythm.”




San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates: Pick Pirates +114

Somebody should tell Barry Zito that the regular season has started because the southpaw is still pitching like it’s spring training.

After two starts, Zito has a nasty 8.18 ERA and a 0-2 record, having lost 2.35 units for Giants backers. He was lit up by the Los Angeles Dodgers in his last start, allowing nine hits and eight earned runs in six innings of work.

“I don't need to come out and start from scratch. I just need to make a couple small adjustments,” Zito told reporters after losing to the Dodgers as a -132 favorite on April 8.

It should be no surprise that Zito is struggling at this stage of the season because over his career he is 11-17 with a 5.20 ERA in the month of April.




Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox: Pick Red Sox -149

The Angels have two things going against them today.

The first is they have to start career reliever Hector Carrasco because of an injury to Kelvim Escobar. The second is they have to face Curt Schilling in Boston, a tough task for any major league team.

Schilling was 9-1 with a 3.06 ERA at Fenway Park last season and over his career is 25-8 in Beantown. He also looked awfully good in his most recent appearance, holding the Texas Rangers to four hits and one earned run over seven innings to lead Boston to a 3-2 win as -131 favorites on April 8.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


NY Rangers at Atlanta
Atlanta let the home ice advantage slip away in Game One as the Thrashers' leading scorers (Marian Hossa, Ilya Kovalchuk and Slava Kozlov) were held without a point. Not so for the Rangers top three scorers -- Jaromir Jagr, Michael Nylander and Martin Straka -- who combined for two goals and four assists in the 4-3 win that marked New York's first postseason victory since 1997. With the Rangers continuing to get solid goaltending from Henrik Lundqvist to go along with the offensive surge, they look like a good underdog pick in Game Two according to Dunkel, which has New York favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, APRIL 14

Game 7-8: Pittsburgh at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.258; Ottawa 13.680
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 9-10: NY Rangers at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 13.573; Atlanta 12.374
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+1 1/2); Under

Game 11-12: Tampa Bay at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.223; New Jersey 12.860
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 13-14: NY Islanders at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.211; Buffalo 13.583
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Denver at Memphis
The Nuggets may have a letdown after last night's comeback win at New Orleans (107-105). But the Grizzlies don't seem capable of taking advantage, even at home. Memphis has lost six straight overall and hasn't been much better at home, where the Grizzlies have dropped five in a row and 10 of their last 11. The Nuggets have now won five straight road games and eight straight overall. Denver looks like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-5) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, APRIL 14

Game 701-702: Orlando at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 119.347; Philadelphia 122.509
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 199 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Atlanta at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 112.784; Cleveland 126.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 14; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 13 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-13 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Denver at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 122.336; Memphis 109.918
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 220 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 224
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Under

Game 707-708: New Orleans at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 119.576; Houston 118.676
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Charlotte at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 119.244; Milwaukee 113.007
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 213 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Phoenix at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 125.228; Utah 118.375
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 214
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4); Under

Game 713-714: Seattle at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 116.812; Portland 113.767
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 3; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Saturday, April 14


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ORLANDO (36 - 42) at PHILADELPHIA (33 - 45) - 4/14/2007, 3:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ATLANTA (29 - 50) at CLEVELAND (47 - 32) - 4/14/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 99-133 ATS (-47.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 93-77 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DENVER (43 - 36) at MEMPHIS (19 - 60) - 4/14/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 87-122 ATS (-47.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 8-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW ORLEANS (37 - 42) at HOUSTON (50 - 29) - 4/14/2007, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 8-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CHARLOTTE (32 - 48) at MILWAUKEE (27 - 52) - 4/14/2007, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PHOENIX (60 - 19) at UTAH (49 - 30) - 4/14/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 97-81 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 78-64 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
PHOENIX is 79-56 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UTAH is 106-133 ATS (-40.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 49-69 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SEATTLE (31 - 48) at PORTLAND (31 - 48) - 4/14/2007, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 8-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Saturday, April 14th

Orlando at Philadelphia, 3:05 EST
Orlando: 9-1 Under off BB Overs
Philadelphia: 24-10 ATS on Saturdays

Atlanta at Cleveland, 7:35 EST
Atlanta: 3-13 ATS away playing with same-season revenge
Cleveland: 21-9 ATS off 3+ Unders

Denver at Memphis, 8:05 EST
Denver: 15-5 ATS off a road win
Memphis: 4-15 ATS at home after playing as a home underdog

New Orleans at Houston, 8:35 EST
New Orleans: 12-2 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Houston: 4-13 ATS playing with two days rest

Charlotte at Milwaukee, 8:35 EST
Charlotte: 31-13 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
Milwaukee: 10-22 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Phoenix at Utah, 9:05 EST NBATV
Phoenix: 10-2 ATS playing with same-season revenge
Utah: 7-16 ATS playing their third game in four days

Seattle at Portland, 10:05 EST
Seattle: 7-14 ATS off BB Unders
Portland: 6-1 ATS off 4+ losses

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Saturday, April 14

Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs won six of RHill's last seven starts.
-- Sheets is 3-2, 2.54 in his last seven starts.
-- OHernandez is 1-0, 1.38 in his first two '07 starts.
-- Hamels is 2-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
-- Florida scored fifteen runs in winning Olsen's first two starts.
-- LHernandez is 1-0, 1.29 in his first two '07 starts.
-- Peavy is 1-0, 0.69 in his first two '07 starts.

-- Toronto is 9-4 in Burnett's last thirteen starts.
-- Schilling is 2-1, 2.74 in his last four starts.
-- Byrd had 4.2 IP of no-hit ball washed out in only '07 start, one strike short of a win.
-- Cabrera is 3-1, 2.67 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Arroyo is 0-3, 5.40 in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals lost five of last six Reyes starts.
-- S. Hill is 0-2, 5.40 in his first two '07 starts.
-- Rodriguez is 0-4, 6.00 in his last five starts.
-- Davies is 1-4, 10.87 in his last seven starts.
-- Armas is 1-7, 7.71 in his last nine starts. Zito is 0-2, 9.00 in his first two starts for the Giants.
-- Colorado lost Cook's last five starts (0-2, 5.12).
-- Schmidt is 1-2, 5.08 in his last six starts.

-- Durbin allowed six runs in 4.2 IP in his first '07 start, a 6-2 loss in Baltimore.
-- Carrasco was 0-2, 5.79 in three starts last season.
-- Batista allowed eight runs in 4.2 IP in his first start, a 9-0 loss to Oakland. Padilla is 0-2, 6.94 in his first two '07 starts.
-- Danks lost first big league start 3-1 to Twins, allowing three runs in fourth inning; he went six.
-- Royals were outscored 16-2 in Odalis Perez' first two starts.
-- Ponson allowed eight runs in five IP in losing his first '07 start, an 8-2 loss to Bronx. Jackson allowed four runs in 5.2 IP in his first '07 start, an 8-4 loss at Texas.
-- Ranser allowed five runs in 4.1 IP in his first '07 start, 6-4 loss to Baltimore. Blanton is 3-2, 6.37 in his last six starts.

Totals
Under is 38-20 this week, 83-54 so far this season.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Cincinnati games this season.
-- Under is 7-2 in Cardinal games this season.
-- Under is 7-3 in Met games this season.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Houston games this season.
-- Over is 7-3 in Florida games this season.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in Pittsburgh games this season.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Arizona games.
-- Under is 5-2 in San Diego's last seven games.

-- Under is 7-1 in Detroit's road games.
-- Six of nine Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Texas games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven White Sox games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Baltimore games.
-- Over is 8-2 in Tampa Bay games this season.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Oakland games.

Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati is 5-3 in its last eight games.
-- Milwaukee won three of its last four games. Cardinals won last four games, allowing total of five runs.
-- Mets are 7-3 so far this season.
-- Astros are 3-0 on road, 1-5 at home.
-- Braves, Marlins both won four of their last six games.
-- Arizona won five of its last sevenx games.
-- Dodgers won seven of last eight games. Padres won four of their last six games.


-- White Sox are 5-2 in their last seven games.
-- Tigers won five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota is 6-4 to start the season.
-- Rangers are 5-2 in last seven games, scoring 30 runs in last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost last four games, outscored 24-14.
-- Phillies lost eight of their first ten games.
-- Pirates lost four in row, six of last seven games, scoring total of nine runs in last four games. Giants lost seven of ten games.
-- Nationals have been outscored 64-25 in losing nine of 11.
-- Colorado lost four of last six games, scoring four runs in the four losses.

-- Angels lost four of their last five games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Indians lost three of their last four games.
-- Devil Rays lost five of their last seven games.
-- Oakland is 1-3 this year in game following a win.
-- Seattle scored eight runs in its last four games.

Umpires
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Danley's last 10 games (Cin-Cubs)
-- No idea who plate umpire is for Brewer-Cardinal game.
-- Under is 5-2 in Winters' last seven games (Wash-NYM)
-- Last six Reliford games went over the total (Hst-Phil)
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Nauert games (Fla-Atl)
-- Four of last five O'Nora games stayed under total (SF-Pitt)
-- Hickox' first two '07 games both stayed under (Col-Ariz)
-- Underdog is 6-3 in last nine Young games (SD-LA)

-- Underdog is 5-2 in Hoye's last seven games; under is 3-0-1 in his last four (Det-Tor).
-- Six of last seven Timmons games stayed under (LAA-Bos)
-- Underdog is 6-5 in last eleven Emmel games (Tor-Sea)
-- Visitor is 5-2 in last seven Poncino games (CWS-Clev)
-- Underdog is 11-5 in last 16 Wendelstedt games (KC-Balt)
-- Over is 6-2 in Randazzo's last eight games (TB-Min)
-- Under is 9-3 in Drake's last dozen games (NYY-A's)


Q Starts
Q Starts are when pitcher goes up against same team twice in a short period of time. We believe this helps the over.
Saturday: Colorado-Arizona.......Reds-Cubs
Season record: 3-1, plus 190