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Sunday Trends and Indexes 04/08

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  • #16
    MLB
    Dunkel



    LA Dodgers at San Francisco
    Barry Zito's first outing of the season resembled the Giants' first week -- rough. Zito allowed three runs in five innings of work as he took the opening day loss (7-0) against the Padres. Few things have gone right for San Francisco since then as the Giants have dropped four of their first five, including the first two games of the current series with the Dodgers. Overall L.A. has now won seven straight at AT&T Park and looks like a good underdog pick (+140) in this one accrding to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+140). Here are all of today's games.

    SUNDAY, APRIL 8
    Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST

    Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Florida
    Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Segovia) 17.047; Florida (Olsen) 18.351
    Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: Florida (-129); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Florida (-129); Over

    Game 953-954: NY Mets at Atlanta
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 20.094; Atlanta (Davies) 18.567
    Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-135); Under

    Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
    Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 16.551; Cincinnati (Milton) 18.117
    Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Under

    Game 957-958: Arizona at Washington
    Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hernandez) 17.287; Washington (Hill) 14.782
    Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-145); Over

    Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
    Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Miller) 17.793; Milwaukee (Capuano) 16.193
    Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-127); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+127); Over

    Game 961-962: St. Louis at Houston
    Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wells) 15.632; Houston (Jennings) 16.648
    Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
    Vegas Line: Houston (-132); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Houston (-132); Under

    Game 963-964: Colorado at San Diego
    Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 17.391; San Diego (Peavy) 18.595
    Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
    Vegas Line: San Diego (-185); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-185); Under

    Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 17.607; San Francisco (Zito) 15.673
    Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 7
    Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+140); Under

    Game 967-968: Seattle at Cleveland
    Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Weaver) 17.325; Cleveland (Sabathia) 20.447
    Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 10
    Vegas Line: Cleveland (-175); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-175); Over

    Game 969-970: Baltimore at NY Yankees
    Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bedard) 16.288; NY Yankees (Rasner) 17.763
    Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
    Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-155); Over

    Game 971-972: Toronto at Tampa Bay
    Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 18.301; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 17.219
    Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
    Vegas Line: Toronto (-155); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-155); Over

    Game 973-974: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
    Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Santana) 18.764; Chicago White Sox (Danks) 17.887
    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 1/2
    Vegas Line: Minnesota (-200); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-200); Under

    Game 975-976: Detroit at Kansas City
    Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonderman) 17.544; Kansas City (Duckworth) 16.952
    Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Under

    Game 977-978: Oakland at LA Angels
    Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 17.899; LA Angels (Escobar) 20.366
    Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
    Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-150); Under

    Game 979-980: Boston at Texas
    Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Schilling) 17.212; Texas (Padilla) 17.728
    Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 10
    Dunkel Pick: Texas (+145); Under

    Game 981-982: Seattle at Cleveland
    Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 18.938; Cleveland (Carmona) 20.163
    Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
    Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Over

    Comment


    • #17
      MLB
      Write-up



      Sunday, April 8


      Hot Pitchers
      -- Olsen beat Washington in first start, but he was 1-2, 6.75 in his four starts vs Philly last year.
      -- OHernandez is 4-2, 2.03 in his last seven starts; he is 2-0, 2.40 in last two starts vs Atlanta.
      -- Duke is 2-2, 2.30 in his last six starts.
      -- LHernandez is 3-1, 2.41 in his last six starts; he was 1-1, 3.45 in two starts vs his former team last season.
      -- Peavy is 4-1, 2.97 in his last six starts. .

      -- St Louis was 7-3 in Weaver's last ten '06 starts. FHernandez is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts. Sabathia is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts; he shut Seattle out 2-0 last May 7.
      -- Halladay is 0-0, 2.77 in his last five starts, 4-1, 1.94 in his last five starts against the Devil Rays.
      -- JSantana was 3-1, 2.65 in five starts vs White Sox last season; Twins are 23-4 in his last 27 starts.
      -- Escobar is 3-3, 3.07 in his last seven starts

      Cold Pitchers
      -- Segovia makes first big league start; he was 11-5, 3.11 in AA last year, allowing 90 hits in 107 IP.
      -- Davies was 2-2, 6.04 in five starts against Mets LY; five of his 14 starts (1-5, 12.15 in last nine) came vs New York.
      -- Milton was 0-2, 6.61 in last four '06 starts; Pirates were 0-2 vs Milton LY (1-0, 6.55).
      -- Hill is 0-3, 9.56 in his last three starts.
      -- Capuano is 0-4, 6.24 in his last eight starts, but was 3-0 vs the Cubs last season, throwing 26 consecutive scoreless innings. Miller was 0-2, 4.98 in five starts last season.
      -- Jennings was on losing side last eight times he got less than nine runs of support; he lost 1-0 in only 2006 start vs St Louis. KWells is 1-6, 6.59 in his last eight starts.
      -- Cook is 0-3, 6.27 in his last six starts.
      -- Wolf is 1-1,5.56 in his last seven starts. Zito lost 7-0 in his first start for the Giants.

      -- Carmona was 0-4, 7.20 in last six starts last season.
      -- Bedard is 0-3, 10.80 in his last three starts, but had 2.25 RA in pair of starts vs Bronx last season. Rasner was 2-1, 5.65 in three starts last year, losing 7-1 to Orioles Sept 28 (2.1 IP, five runs).
      -- Kazmir is 0-2, 4.46 in his last seven starts; he was 1-0, 1.32 in a pair of '06 starts vs Toronto.
      -- Danks was 4-5, 4.33 in 13 AAA starts LY, allowing 67 hits in 71 IP; this is his first big league start.
      -- Duckworth was 0-3, 6.15 in his last five '06 starts. Detroit is 5-8 in Bonderman's last thirteen starts.
      -- Blanton is 1-2, 6.85 in his last four starts; he was 0-3, 6.63 in his three starts against Angels last year.
      -- Schilling is 1-4, 5.18 in his last eight starts, but was 2-0 against Rangers last year. Padilla is 2-4, 6.69 in his last seven starts.

      Totals
      -- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Olsen starts.
      -- Under is 6-1 in last seven OHernandez starts.
      -- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Duke starts.
      -- Under is 8-1 in last nine LHernandez starts.
      -- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Capuano starts.
      -- Last five KWells starts stayed under the total.
      -- Five of Cook's last six starts went over the total.
      -- Last five Zito starts stayed under the total.

      -- Last five Weaver starts stayed under total. Four of last five Carmona starts went over the total.
      -- Under is 6-3-2 in Bedard's last eleven road starts.
      -- Under is 9-3 in last dozen Kazmir starts.
      -- Under is 3-1 in Santana's last four starts.
      -- Under is 4-1 in Royal games this season.
      -- Under is 5-1 in Angel games so far this week, 11-1 in last dozen Escobar starts.
      -- Under is 6-3 in Schilling's last nine starts.

      Hot Teams
      -- Reds won four of first five games.
      -- Mets outscored foes 34-8 in winning four of first five games. Braves are also 4-1 in their first five games.

      -- Mariners, Indians both won two of first three games.
      -- Twins won three of first four games.
      -- Angels won five of first six games.

      Cold Teams
      -- Phillies lost four of first five games.
      -- Giants lost four of first five games.
      -- Washington lost five of first six games, allowing 42 runs.
      -- Cardinals, Astros both lost four of first five games.


      -- Orioles lost four of first five games. Bronx has yet to have starting pitcher go more than five innings.
      -- Oakland is 2-4 in its first six games.

      Comment


      • #18
        NBA
        Dunkel



        Chicago at Toronto
        Since losing to Houston on March 16, the Raptors have won four straight at home and covered in each game to push their record to 23-13-1 ATS. The Bulls are playing better on the road, winning three straight at Indiana, Atlanta and Detroit, but are just 15-22-1 ATS away from home on the season. Toronto looks like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2). Here are all of today's games.

        SUNDAY, APRIL 8
        Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST

        Game 701-702: Cleveland at Detroit
        Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.993; Detroit 129.041
        Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 9; 188
        Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 180 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5 1/2); Over

        Game 703-704: Phoenix at LA Lakers
        Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 124.065; LA Lakers 116.410
        Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 217
        Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 219
        Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5); Under

        Game 705-706: Charlotte at Miami
        Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 119.115; Miami 121.283
        Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 191 1/2
        Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 188 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Over

        Game 707-708: Chicago at Toronto
        Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.008; Toronto 125.118
        Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 198
        Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 193
        Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2); Over

        Game 709-710: Atlanta at Philadelphia
        Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.599; Philadelphia 121.626
        Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 10; 183 1/2
        Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 9; 186 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-9); Under

        Game 711-712: Houston at Sacramento
        Dunkel Ratings: Houston 123.515; Sacramento 114.808
        Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 200
        Vegas Line & Total: No Line
        Dunkel Pick: N/A
        Last edited by Udog; 04-08-2007, 12:41 PM.

        Comment


        • #19
          MLB
          Short Sheet




          Sunday, April 8th

          National League

          Philadelphia at Florida, 1:05 EST
          Zack Segovia (R) vs. Scott Olsen (L)
          Segovia: Phi 5-1 vs. Olsen
          Olsen: Fla 18-5 Over off 5+ Overs

          NY Mets at Atlanta, 1:05 EST
          Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Kyle Davies (R)
          Hernandez: NYM 22-9 Away when the total is 9 to 9.5
          Davies: 20-8 Over in all starts

          Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:15 EST
          Zach Duke (L) vs. Eric Milton (L)
          Duke: 1-14 TSR as a road underdog
          Milton: 27-12 TSR in April

          Arizona at Washington, 1:35 EST
          Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Shawn Hill (R)
          Hernandez: Ari 13-4 Under after a win by 6+ runs
          Hill: Wash 2-12 at home in April

          Chicago at Milwaukee, 2:05 EST
          Wade Miller (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)
          Miller: CHC 21-5 Over Away when the total is 8 to 8.5
          Capuano: 16-3 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -150

          St. Louis at Houston, 2:05 EST
          Kip Wells (R) vs. Jason Jennings (R)
          Wells: StL 37-14 after scoring 1 run or less
          Jennings: 29-11 Over as a home favorite of -110 or higher

          Colorado at San Diego, 4:05 EST
          Aaron Cook (R) vs. Jake Peavy (R)
          Cook: 2-15 TSR vs. division opponents
          Peavy: 16-9 Over as a home favorite of -150 to -200

          LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 4:05 EST
          Randy Wolf (L) vs. Barry Zito (L)
          Wolf: LAD 26-8 off 3+ wins
          Zito: 1-10 TSR in April


          American League

          Seattle at Cleveland, 1:05 EST GAME 1
          Jeff Weaver (R) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
          Weaver: Sea 1-16 Away off 3+ division games
          Sabathia: 24-11 Under as a home favorite of -150 to -200

          Baltimore at NY Yankees, 1:05 EST
          Eric Bedard (L) vs. Darrell Rasner (R)
          Bedard: 3-18 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175
          Rasner: NYY 17-2 off 4+ Overs

          Toronto at Tampa Bay, 1:40 EST
          Roy Halladay (R) vs. Scott Kazmir (L)
          Halladay: 18-3 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
          Kazmir: 15-4 Under in day games

          Minnesota at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 EST FOX
          Johan Santana (L) vs. John Danks (L)
          Santana: 29-5 TSR vs. division opponents
          Danks: 14-4 Under as an underdog of +150 or more

          Detroit at Kansas City, 2:10 EST
          Jeremy Bonderman (R) vs. Brandon Duckworth (R)
          Bonderman: Det 23-6 as a road favorite of -125 or more
          Duckworth: KC 4-19 at home off 5+ home games

          Oakland at LA Angels, 3:35 EST
          Joe Blanton (R) vs. Kelvim Escobar (R)
          Blanton: Oak 18-5 revenging a one run loss
          Escobar: 1-9 TSR off BB Angels wins

          Boston at Texas, 8:05 EST ESPN
          Curt Schilling (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
          Schilling: 100-45 TSR 1st half of the season
          Padilla: Tex 3-17 as a home underdog


          Added Game

          Seattle at Cleveland, 4:05 EST GAME 2
          Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Fausto Carmona (R)
          Hernandez: Sea 6-0 as a road favorite of -125 to -150
          Carmona: Cle 30-13 Under at home in day games

          ** (TC) Denotes Time Change
          Last edited by Udog; 04-08-2007, 01:07 PM.

          Comment


          • #20
            NBA
            Short Sheet



            Sunday, April 8th

            Cleveland at Detroit, 1:05 EST ABC
            Cleveland: 15-3 Under vs. Detroit
            Detroit: 4-13 ATS at home vs. teams with a winning record

            Phoenix at LA Lakers, 3:35 EST ABC
            Phoenix: 13-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less
            LA Lakers: 21-9 Over playing with revenge

            Charlotte at Miami, 6:05 EST
            Charlotte: 9-1 ATS Away off a DD home loss
            Miami: 12-1 Over off BB road wins

            Chicago at Toronto, 6:05 EST
            Chicago: 5-0 ATS at Toronto
            Toronto: 12-3 Under vs. Central Division

            Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:35 EST
            Atlanta: 18-9 Over off a SU win
            Philadelphia: 22-11 ATS off an ATS loss

            Houston at Sacramento, 9:05 EST NBATV
            Houston: 5-1 ATS off BB SU losses as a favorite
            Sacramento: 26-10 Over off a home game

            ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

            Comment


            • #21
              NHL
              Short Sheet



              Sunday, April 8th

              Chicago at Dallas, 1:05 EST NBC
              Chicago: 9-26 SU vs. Dallas
              Dallas: 38-16 SU off a home win

              (TC) NY Islanders at New Jersey, 3:35 EST
              NY Islanders: 1-12 SU playing with quadruple revenge
              New Jersey: 16-0 SU in April L3 seasons

              Buffalo at Philadelphia, 1:05 EST
              Buffalo: 23-9 Under after allowing 2 goals or less BB Games
              Philadelphia: 2-23 SU revenging a road loss

              Vancouver at Phoenix, 5:05 EST
              Vancouver: 6-1 SU vs. Phoenix
              Phoenix: 28-13 Over off a road game

              ** End of the Regular Season **

              ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

              Comment


              • #22
                NBA (Sunday) Play On NBA teams when the line is +3 to -3 with a team that allows 92 to 98 points per game facing a team that allows 98 to 102 points per game after 42+ games and after allowing 85 points or less in their last game.
                (27-5 ATS last 5 seasons.) (84.4%)

                PLAY: Chicago +2.5
                HAPPY EASTER TO YA ALL
                GLLLLLLLLLL
                GET-R-DON PEACE
                U GOT A HUNCH BET A BUNCH
                THINK LONG THINK WRONG

                ROLLLLLLLLLL TIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
                BAMA BAMA BAMA

                Comment


                • #23
                  Thanks, rocko! Happy Easter!

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Udog
                    Thanks, rocko! Happy Easter!
                    yw THE LEAST I CAN DO FOR U GUYS,FOR ALL U GUYS DO EVERYDAY THIS BUDS FOR YOU LOL WHAT EVER BUD U LIKE BEER OR WEED WINK WINK LOL
                    GLLLLLLLL
                    GET-R-DON PEACE
                    U GOT A HUNCH BET A BUNCH
                    THINK LONG THINK WRONG

                    ROLLLLLLLLLL TIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
                    BAMA BAMA BAMA

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NHL
                      Dunkel



                      Chicago at Dallas
                      Dallas will look to head into the playoffs on a roll and should have little problem with Chicago at home where the Stars have beaten the Blackhawks in eight straight meetings while outscoring them 37-17. Dallas looks like a good pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored by 2 goals. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

                      SUNDAY, APRIL 8
                      Time Posted: 12:30 p.m. EST

                      Game 1-2: Chicago at Dallas
                      Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.391; Dallas 13.152
                      Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 6
                      Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
                      Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1 1/2); Over

                      Game 3-4: NY Islanders at New Jersey
                      Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.592; New Jersey 12.252
                      Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
                      Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                      Dunkel Pick: N/A

                      Game 5-6: Buffalo at Philadelphia
                      Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 13.552; Philadelphia 10.827
                      Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 2 1/2; 5
                      Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                      Dunkel Pick: N/A

                      Game 7-8: Vancouver at Phoenix
                      Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 13.788; Phoenix 11.080
                      Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2 1/2; 4 1/2
                      Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                      Dunkel Pick: N/A

                      Game 8-9: Calgary at Colorado
                      Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.533; Colorado 13.639
                      Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4 1/2
                      Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                      Dunkel Pick: N/A

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NBA
                        Additional


                        Sunday, April 8


                        at Detroit Pistons by 5.0 Cleveland Cavaliers O/U 181.0
                        Detroit Pistons are 3-15-0 O/U vs. Cleveland (All Lines)
                        Cleveland Cavaliers are 20-8-0 ATS After 1 Unders (4 -> 5.5)
                        Cleveland Cavaliers are 3-15-0 O/U vs. Detroit (All Lines)



                        Phoenix Suns by 4.5 at Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers O/U 220.5
                        Phoenix Suns are 49-19-0 O/U All Games (4 -> 5.5)
                        Phoenix Suns are 33-14-0 O/U As Favorite (4 -> 5.5)
                        Phoenix Suns are 33-13-0 O/U As Away (4 -> 5.5)
                        Phoenix Suns are 18-7-1 ATS As Away Favorite (4 -> 5.5)
                        Phoenix Suns are 113-76-2 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
                        Phoenix Suns are 35-13-0 O/U After 1 Wins (4 -> 5.5)
                        Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 73-50-0 O/U As Home (All Lines)
                        Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 22-9-0 O/U After 1 Overs (4 -> 5.5)



                        at Miami Heat by 7.5 Charlotte Bobcats O/U 188.5
                        Charlotte Bobcats are 92-66-5 ATS After 1 Losses (All Lines)
                        Charlotte Bobcats are 64-35-3 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)



                        at Toronto Raptors by 3.0 Chicago Bulls O/U 194.0
                        Toronto Raptors are 5-0-0 O/U After 6 ATS Wins (All Lines)
                        Toronto Raptors are 70-46-4 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)



                        at Philadelphia 76ers by 8.5 Atlanta Hawks O/U 186.5
                        Philadelphia 76ers are 5-0-0 O/U After 4 Unders (All Lines)
                        Atlanta Hawks are 135-103-2 O/U All Games (All Lines)
                        Atlanta Hawks are 41-62-2 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
                        Atlanta Hawks are 71-46-2 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)



                        at Sacramento Kings by NL Houston Rockets O/U NL
                        Sacramento Kings are 76-45-0 O/U After 1 Home (All Lines)
                        Houston Rockets are 73-45-3 ATS As Away (All Lines)
                        Houston Rockets are 51-31-3 ATS As Away Dog (All Lines)

                        Comment

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