Thursday Trends and Indexes 04/05

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Trends and Indexes
Thursday, April 5

Good Luck on day #95 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

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Six-Pack for Thursday

-- If NBA playoffs started today, Lakers would lose to the Spurs in first round. Kobe Bryant won't win another NBA title, but he'll probably win couple more scoring titles.

-- Milwaukee sat out Redd, Williams with "injuries" when Celtics came to town, but they still beat Boston, ending a losing streak, and hurting their lottery chances.

-- I hope Isiah Thomas signed his extension, because New York has been hideous since they announced it. You have to be an idiot to think he deserves more time to screw up this once-proud franchise.

-- Indians lit up White Sox pitching for 20 runs in first two games of their series.

-- Cardinal outfielders dropped four easy fly balls in getting swept by Mets; they only scored two runs.

-- Pirates swept Astros for first time ever in Juice Box, are now 3-0; their pitching isn't bad. This season could end a 14-year streak without a winning year.

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Thursday's list of 13: Cleaning up old business......

13) When Billy Donovan played at St Agnes High School on Long Island, he played for the late Frank Morris, an excellent coach who made his team run for every quarter they scored less than 20 points. This was before shot clock, 3-pointers, so you can see what an influence Morris was on Donovan..

12) Speaking of Long Island, KL Wheat reports that in a high school baseball league on the island, they use wooden bats, which helps my godson Tom mow down opposing hitters.

11) Minnesota Twins have now won Johan Santana's last 24 regular season home starts.

10) Former used car dealer Bud Selig earned $14.6M last year as commissioner of North America's worst-run sport. If he is making that much, what do NBA owners pay David Stern?

9) By the way, the new hats major league baseball is hyping aren't much different than the old ones, except that they cost $32 in the local m-all, which is absolutely ridiculous. I collect baseball hats; it was disappointing to finally see this new hat up close.

8) Adrian Gonzalez is an impressive hitter for the Padres, who absolutely cleaned Red Sox' clock when they traded Mirabelli back to Beantown for Bard/Meredith.

7) Tony Pena Jr hit two triples on Opening Day, first player to do that since freakin' 1950. Pretty impressive.

6) When Craig Biggio gets his 3,000th hit later this season, he will be first player with 3,000+ hits to play for Astros.

5) Colorado paid Air Force a $270,000 buyout to grab Bzdelik away from the Flyboys, a team that beat Colorado by 30+ pts in December. Buffs' basketball operation isn't first class, and thats why Ricardo Patton quit to go to Northern Illinois.

4) Dana Altman went back to Creighton; could it be because two Razorbacks recently flunked drug tests, and another was tossed for academic reasons?

3) Stoney Case, who played for Dennis Franchione four jobs ago, when he was at New Mexico, is now the starting QB for Tampa Bay Storm of Arenaball. Case was an NFL backup for six years, sat on AFL benches for few more, but now is back under center for the 0-5 Storm, replacing John Kaleo.

2) Case, who I follow because he won us a bunch of plays in Albuquerque, was first NCAA player to pass for 8,000+ yards and also run for 1,000+ in his career.

1) Florida is defending champ in both football and basketball, which makes AD Jeremy Foley the man in Gainesville, yet he is invisible, which is the way it should be. Any time an AD is trying to grab attention and credit for a team's success, its a bad situation for the coach and players.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Thursday, April 5

Hot Teams
-- Suns won three in row, six of last eight games. Spurs won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost three of last four road games. Cavaliers are 0-5 vs spread in game following their last five wins.

Series Records
-- Home side is 3-0 in Miami-Cleveland games this season.
-- Home side won both Phoenix-San Antonio games this year.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Heat covered front end on three of last four back/backs.
-- Suns failed to cover front end on last three back/backs.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Miami games stayed under the total, but last five Cleveland games went over.
-- Last four Phoenix games all went over the total.

[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Thursday, April 5

Starting Friday, we'll have lists of hot teams, cold teams, totals, umpires, hot and cold pitchers. The first week we're gathering info and using last year's pitching stats as point of reference. Enjoy the season, and good luck.

Marquis was 0-5, 6.94 in last five '06 starts, but somehow got big free agent contract from Cubs; he lost 10-3 here last year Aug 8, allowing four runs in 2.2 IP. Lohse was 2-5, 7.07 in his last seven starts in '06; he lost 11-4 to Cubs Sept 23, giving up six runs in his three innings pitched.

Braves handed Philly bad beats in first two games of season, as they won in extra frames last night; James was 7-1, 3.25 in his last eleven '06 starts, 1-0, 0.69 in two starts vs Phillies. Eaton was on DL until late July last year; he was 5-0, 5.45 in last six starts for Texas, as Rangers gave him 45 runs int he six games.

Bergmann was 0-2, 6.46 in six starts last year, but his best start was 7-inning, 3-run no-decision vs Arizona Sept 2, in game Nats later won, 8-3. Ed Gonzalez was 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts in '06. Three of his four road starts last year stayed under the total.

Padres won first two games vs Giants. Morris was 0-4, 7.42 last five '06 starts, 2-2, 4.50 in five starts vs San Diego last season. Hensley was 3-1, 2.01 in his last five '06 starts, 0-1, 2.13 in pair of excellent starts vs Giants- the loss was 1-0 last Aug 14. Last 11 Hensley starts stayed under the total.

Verlander had 7.90 RA in his last seven '06 starts; he didn't pitch against Jays last season. Over is 4-1-1 in his last six home starts. Chacin had DUI during spring training, had 6.06 RA in his last three '06 starts, Six of his last seven starts stayed under the total.

Buehrle was 0-2, 7.66 in his last four '06 starts, 0-3, 10.32 in five starts against Indians last year; White Sox were 6-10 in his last 16 starts overall. Tribe won five of Sowers' last six starts, four of his last five starts stayed under total. Indians scored 20 runs in winning first two games of this series.

Matsuzaka makes American debut; this is uncharted territory, so we'll sit back and watch. Greinke almost quit baseball to pursue pro golf last year, then came back late in year-- he was Royals' top prospect at one point. Since neither starter made start in big leagues last year, not much info to go on.

Pettitte returns to Bronx after three-year absence; Astros won six of his last seven '06 starts, with over 3-0-1 in his last four. With an atrocious bullpen, almost impossible to ever play under in a Tampa game, since they can also hit a little. Seo was 1-2, 8.79 vs Bronx last year, losing 1-0, winning 19-6, losing 16-1.

Gaudin is reliever pressed into duty because Loaiza is hurt; A's got first win in Seattle last night, while Angels swept Texas in afternoon game. Angels were 10-3 in Saunders' starts last year, but A's knocked him out in first inning of his last start last year.

[pm530]

Hockey – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Thursday, April 5

Hot Teams
-- Canadiens won seven of their last eight games. Rangers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Buffalo won seven of its last ten games.
-- Devils won three in row, five of last six games.
-- Dallas won six of its last eight games.
-- Ottawa won eight of last eleven games.
-- St Louis won three of its last four games.
-- Chicago won last three games, allowing four goals. Detroit won four of last five games, allowing six goals.
-- Canucks won seven of last nine games. Colorado won three in row, ten of last thirteen games.
-- Calgary won six of its last seven games. Sharks won 10 of last 12 games, winning last four while allowing seven goals.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost four in row, nine of last ten games.
-- Flyers lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Jackets lost last four games, outscored 15-4.
-- Penguins lost last two games, allowing nine goals.
-- Maple Leafs lost their last six road games. Islanders lost four of last five games.
-- Edmonton lost five in row, 21 of last 24 games. Minnesota is 1-3 in last four games, after winning previous nine.
-- Nashville lost last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Phoenix lost last five games, outscored 23-10. Kings lost last five games, scoring total of eight goals.

Series Records
-- Rangers are 2-1 vs Montreal this year: 4-0/4-3/4-6.
-- Sabres are 5-2 vs Boston this season, 2-1 at home.
-- Devils won six of seven against Philly this season.
-- Visiting team is 3-0 in Dallas-Columbus games this season.
-- Penguins are 2-1 vs Ottawa this season: 3-6/5-4/4-3.
-- Islanders are 2-1 vs Toronto this season: 2-4/3-2/3-2.
-- Minnesota is 5-2 against the Oilers this season.
-- Nashville won six of seven against Blues this season.
-- Detroit won all six games against Chicago this season.
-- Home side is 4-2 in Phoenix-LA games this season.
-- Colorado is 5-2 against the Canucks this season.
-- Sharks are 2-1 vs Calgary this season: 4-1/3-2/4-7.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Dallas is 3-11 on front end of last 14 back/backs.
-- San Jose is 10-2 if it played the night before.

Totals
-- Over is 8-4 in Montreal's last dozen games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston games.
-- Under is 8-4 in New Jersey's last dozen games.
-- Six of last seven Columbus games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Pittsburgh games.
-- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Islander games.
-- Under is 11-3-4 in last eighteen Edmonton games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Nashville games.
-- Last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-0-2 in last five Phoenix games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Colorado games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Calgary games.

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up

Thursday, April 5

Columbus @ Dallas- Desperadoes off to 5-0 start (4-1 vs. spread) winning by average score of 64-43; their last four games all went over total. Dallas has already thrown 40 less incomplete passes than they've forced, are +7 in turnovers, +8 in sacks. Columbus is 2-2, scoring 58,62 pts in wins, 45,47 in losses, with three of their four games going over.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends


Thursday, April 5

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Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers (TNT | 7 PM ET)
The Miami Heat are 14-7 since star guard Dwyane Wade went down with a separated shoulder injury on February 21st. EDGE: HEAT
Despite not being at full strength, Cleveland star LeBron James returned to action on Tuesday to score 31 points and grab 12 rebounds in a 101-88 victory over Minnesota. SLIGHT EDGE: CAVS
The Cavaliers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games playing on one day of rest.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings.


Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs (TNT | 9:30 PM ET)
San Antonio has won 10 of the last 13 matchups with Phoenix along with six straight regular-season meetings at home. The Spurs are 11-1 at the AT&T Center against Phoenix since the start of the 2000-01 season. BIG EDGE: SPURS
The Suns lead the Spurs by three games in the race for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. This game is critical due to this being a possible conference semifinal matchup, and homecourt would be crucial. EDGE: SUNS
The Spurs began a five-game homestand with a 110-91 win over Seattle on Tuesday night and have won five straight and 12 of 13 at home. BIG EDGE: SPURS
The Suns are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games versus the NBA Southwest Division.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips and Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Thursday, April 5

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Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers (1:05 PM ET)
Justin Verlander, coming off an award-winning season, will take the mound for the first time since losing Game 6 of the World Series. The reigning AL Rookie of the Year was 17-9 with a 3.63 ERA last year. EDGE: TIGERS
Seven Toronto players had two hits despite suffering a 10-9 defeat on Wednesday afternoon, led by Vernon Wells, who had a two-run double. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
The Blue Jays are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series.
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Detroit.


Tampa Bay Devil Rays at New York Yankees (1:05 PM ET)
Andy Pettitte makes his first start for New York since Game 6 of the 2003 World Series. He was 149-78 with a 3.94 ERA during his first nine seasons with the Yankees. The left-hander is 11-1 with a 3.14 ERA in 17 appearances against Tampa Bay. BIG EDGE: YANKEES
Jae Seo gets the start for the Rays on Wednesday. The right-hander went 1-8 with a 5.00 ERA in 17 games with Tampa Bay last season after being acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 27. EDGE: YANKEES
The Yankees are 22-5 in Pettitte's last 27 home starts versus a team with a losing record.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Pettitte's last five home starts versus the Devil Rays.


Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox (2:05 PM ET)
Cleveland, which had the second-best offense in the AL during the 2006 season, has outscored the White sox 20-12 in their first two meetings in 2007. EDGE: INDIANS & OVER
The Indians have not swept a three-game series at U.S. Cellular field since May 1999. SLIGHT EDGE: WHITE SOX
Chicago starter Mark Buehrle was 0-3 with a 6.51 ERA in five starts versus the Indians in 2006. EDGE: INDIANS
The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Chicago.


Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (3:05 PM ET)
Atlanta seeks its first 3-0 start in 13 years Thursday when it completes a season-opening series against the Philadelphia Phillies. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
Braves catcher Brian McCann is 5-for-9 with two home runs and four RBIs n two games. EDGE: BRAVES
Atlanta starter Chuck James has been excellent in two career starts against Philadelphia, going 1-0 with an 0.69 ERA while striking out 13 in 13 innings. EDGE: BRAVES & UNDER
Chase Utley and reigning NL MVP Ryan Howard are 4-for-16 with no homers or RBIs this season. EDGE: BRAVES
The UNDER is 33-16-2 in the last 51 meetings in Philadelphia.

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips and Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Thursday, April 5

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators (7:30 PM ET)
Ottawa is 1-0-2 against Pittsburgh this season, and these teams will most likely meet in the first round of the playoffs. SLIGHT EDGE: SENATORS
The Senators have gained at least one point in 14 of their last 15 games. They are 8-1-2 since March 13th and have won 10 of their last 12 home games. EDGE: SENATORS
Pittsburgh goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury was 7-1-0 with a 2.46 GAA in his previous eight starts before losing his second straight game to Buffalo on Tuesday. SLIGHT EDGE: PENGUINS
The OVER is 6-0-3 in the last nine meetings.


Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks (10 PM EST)
This is Colorado's final road game this season, as the Avalanche are 13-1-2 since February 27th. EDGE: AVALANCHE
Vancouver leads the Northwest Division with 103 points, three more than Minnesota. The Canucks need either one win or a Wild loss to clinch the fifth division title in franchise history. EDGE: CANUCKS
The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings in Vancouver.

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[pm530]

NHL
Long Sheet


Thursday, April 5

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DALLAS (48-25-0-6, 102 pts.) at COLUMBUS (32-41-0-7, 71 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 49-52 ATS (-29.9 Units) in April games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 125-114 ATS (+125.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 40-43 ATS (+99.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 48-35 ATS (+88.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 36-40 ATS (+109.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 55-43 ATS (+103.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 70-71 ATS (+186.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 21-22 ATS (+62.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 48-35 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 48-35 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 48-35 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 107-55 ATS (+32.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-4 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)




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NEW JERSEY (48-24-0-8, 104 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (21-46-0-12, 54 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 15-0 ATS (+15.0 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 22-8 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-58 ATS (-86.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-58 ATS (+113.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-58 ATS (+21.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-29 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-29 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-29 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games against the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-26 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-25 ATS (+49.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-40 ATS (+73.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 11-4 (+6.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 11-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)




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BOSTON (35-39-0-6, 76 pts.) at BUFFALO (51-21-0-7, 109 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 114-65 ATS (+230.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 114-65 ATS (+20.7 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 114-65 ATS (+114.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 163-101 ATS (+38.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 24-7 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 55-24 ATS (+20.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 12-3 (+6.8 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 12-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)




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MONTREAL (42-32-0-6, 90 pts.) at NY RANGERS (41-29-0-10, 92 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 60-54 ATS (+124.9 Units) in road games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 20-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
NY RANGERS are 20-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
NY RANGERS are 20-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games against the puck line this season.
NY RANGERS are 93-122 ATS (-79.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 29-37 ATS (- 21.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 18-23 ATS (-13.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 151-236 ATS (-134.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 4-13 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)




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TORONTO (39-30-0-11, 89 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (37-30-0-12, 86 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 13-18 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 59-38 ATS (+18.0 Units) in April games since 1996.
TORONTO is 10-7 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)




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PITTSBURGH (45-25-0-10, 100 pts.) at OTTAWA (47-24-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 45-35 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-35 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-35 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-14 ATS (+11.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 104-68 ATS (+243.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 104-68 ATS (-39.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 104-68 ATS (+104.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 74-54 ATS (+74.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 7-9 ATS (-16.6 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 56-40 ATS (-35.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 28-26 ATS (-31.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-2 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)




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ST LOUIS (34-33-0-13, 81 pts.) at NASHVILLE (49-23-0-8, 106 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 22-20 ATS (+50.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 17-21 ATS (+56.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 13-10 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 14-1 (+12.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 14-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.7 Units)




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EDMONTON (31-42-0-7, 69 pts.) at MINNESOTA (46-26-0-8, 100 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 31-49 ATS (+81.2 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 31-49 ATS (+81.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
EDMONTON is 31-49 ATS (+81.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
EDMONTON is 11-29 ATS (+52.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-3 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 13-8 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 55-48 ATS (+115.1 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-4 (+8.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 11-4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)




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DETROIT (49-19-0-12, 110 pts.) at CHICAGO (30-40-0-9, 69 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-7 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 48-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-2 ATS (+10.4 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 134-184 ATS (+134.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
CHICAGO is 13-31 ATS (+49.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 13-1 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 13-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)




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COLORADO (42-30-0-7, 91 pts.) at VANCOUVER (48-24-0-7, 103 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 48-31 ATS (+87.1 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 48-31 ATS (+11.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 48-31 ATS (+48.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 28-12 ATS (-14.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 16-7 ATS (+6.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
VANCOUVER is 12-7 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 24-17 ATS (+5.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 23-18 ATS (+44.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 55-75 ATS (-59.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-7 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 8-7-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)




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LOS ANGELES (26-40-0-14, 66 pts.) at PHOENIX (29-45-0-5, 63 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 13-27 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-6 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-6-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)




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CALGARY (43-26-0-10, 96 pts.) at SAN JOSE (49-26-0-4, 102 pts.) - 4/5/2007, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 13-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 13-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 13-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 16-29 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 3-13 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN JOSE is 61-36 ATS (+5.2 Units) in April games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 12-14 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 4-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)




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[pm530]

AFL
Long Sheet


Thursday, April 5

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COLUMBUS (2 - 2) at DALLAS (5 - 0) - 4/5/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Toronto at Detroit
The Blue Jays have given the defending AL champs all they can handle in the first two games of the series. Toronto took the opener (5-3) in 10 innings and then almost erased a 9-0 lead yesterday before losing 10-9. Detroit's starter, Justin Verlander, is coming off a Rookie of the Year season, but struggled down the stretch with just three wins in his last nine regular season starts. He continued to struggle in the postseason with a 1-2 record and 5.82 ERA. Toronto's Gustavo Chacin made just 17 starts last season because of elbow problems, but finished with a respectable 9-4 record. The Blue Jays look like a good underdog pick (+148) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Toronto favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+148). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, APRIL 5
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Marquis) 16.903; Cincinnati (Lohse) 16.518
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-110); Under

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (James) 18.285; Philadelphia (Eaton) 17.878
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 905-906: Arizona at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Gonzalez) 16.395; Washington (Bergman) 15.461
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Over

Game 907-908: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hensley) 17.871; San Francisco (Morris) 15.536
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Under

Game 909-910: Toronto at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Chacin) 18.644; Detroit (Verlander) 17.716
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-148); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+148); Over

Game 911-912: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 19.357; Chicago White Sox (Buehrle) 17.484
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Over

Game 913-914: Boston at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 17.416; Kansas City (Greinke) 16.813
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Seo) 16.499; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 18.078
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-270); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-270); Over

Game 917-918: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gaudin) 17.831; LA Angels (Saunders) 19.281
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-145); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, April 6


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CHICAGO CUBS (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (1 - 1) - 12:35 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 776-863 (-181.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-53 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 721-783 (-160.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 573-638 (-127.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 361-413 (-116.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
MARQUIS is 65-75 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 62-70 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 18-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (-0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MARQUIS is 4-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 5-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.2 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LOHSE is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




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ATLANTA (2 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) - 3:05 PM
CHUCK JAMES (L) vs. ADAM EATON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 16-29 (-16.7 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 79-82 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 82-87 (-21.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
EATON is 15-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
EATON is 27-13 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
EATON is 23-10 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 48-26 (+22.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-42 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-22 (-14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-12 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-42 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-23 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CHUCK JAMES vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JAMES is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

ADAM EATON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
EATON is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.253.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)




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ARIZONA (1 - 2) at WASHINGTON (1 - 2) - 7:05 PM
EDGAR GONZALEZ (R) vs. JASON BERGMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 356-326 (-59.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

EDGAR GONZALEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JASON BERGMANN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BERGMANN is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)




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SAN DIEGO (2 - 0) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 2) - 10:15 PM
CLAY HENSLEY (R) vs. MATT MORRIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 560-438 (+89.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 48-37 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 48-37 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 41-26 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-87 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-87 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CLAY HENSLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HENSLEY is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

MATT MORRIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MORRIS is 7-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 10-6 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.2 units)




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TORONTO (1 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 1) - 1:05 PM
GUSTAVO CHACIN (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 97-64 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 66-37 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 76-77 (+26.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
TORONTO is 48-27 (+18.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHACIN is 31-20 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 17-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GUSTAVO CHACIN vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHACIN is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.




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CLEVELAND (2 - 0) at CHI WHITE SOX (0 - 2) - 2:05 PM
JEREMY SOWERS (L) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 11-22 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-35 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JEREMY SOWERS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

MARK BUEHRLE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BUEHRLE is 6-10 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.341.
His team's record is 11-13 (-6.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-12. (-2.9 units)




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BOSTON (1 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 1) - 2:10 PM
DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 50-65 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK GREINKE vs. BOSTON since 1997
GREINKE is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




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TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) at NY YANKEES (1 - 0) - 7:05 PM
JAE SEO (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 20-63 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-53 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-42 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-87 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 110-84 (-31.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAE SEO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SEO is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.81 and a WHIP of 1.736.
His team's record is 2-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PETTITTE is 11-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 13-3 (+7.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-12. (-9.3 units)




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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at LA ANGELS (3 - 0) - 10:05 PM
CHAD GAUDIN (R) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAUNDERS is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 97-75 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 55-37 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-81 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-25 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 89-66 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-40 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-38 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHAD GAUDIN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE SAUNDERS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SAUNDERS is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.21 and a WHIP of 1.565.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)




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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Phoenix at San Antonio
Phoenix has not been all the sharp on the road lately as the Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last four contests. But they did put together a solid effort at Dallas on March 14, coming away with a 129-127 win in overtime. Phoenix replicated that effort last Sunday at home against the Mavs with a 126-104 domination, showing that Steve Nash & Company can turn it on against the best in the league. They'll get that chance again tonight at San Antonio, which has been a little sloppy at home (3-3 ATS in last six games) of late. This is a close call, but the Vegas line favoring San Antonio (-4) looks a little high according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, APRIL 5
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Miami at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.211; Cleveland 121.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Phoenix at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 123.643; San Antonio 127.363
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 224
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4); Over