Announcement

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 03:50 AM

Six-Pack for Monday

Random thoughts to start the week with........

-- So, the Mets' magic number to clinch NL East is now 162.

-- For first time, Arena Football coaches aren't allowed on the field while play is going on. Previously, coaches stood slightly behind the play so they could call plays quicker.

-- 138 former Arena League players played at least once in the NFL.

-- The woman's basketball coach at Texas makes $800,000 a season? Does money grow on trees down there?

-- There have been eight lefthanded golfers who have won a PGA tournament, four who won more than one: Charles, Mickelson, Weir, Flesch.

-- The four prime college hoop coaching jobs that are still open: Kentucky, Arkansas, Michigan, Iowa. I'll be stunned if the Florida job replaces Kentucky on that list.

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 03:51 AM

Monday's list of 13: Facts to impress your friends with......

Thanks to the World Almanac, where we found these facts

13) 2004's Presidential electional had the highest percentage of participation since Johnson beat Goldwater in 1964.

12) Harvard University has an endowment of $25,473,721,000, which is an awful lot of money.

11) The original costume worn by the USC Trojan mascot was the same outfit Charlton Heston wore in Ben Hur.

10) New York City (8,143,197) has more people than the entire country of Paraguay (6,506,464) but not as many as Sweden (9,016,596).

9) There are 31 different colleges in Boston alone.

8) There are 21 TV stations, 44 radio stations, 11 hospitals in Las Vegas, America's favorite city, which is in a territory that was originally settled by Mormons in 1855.

7) ABC hasn't won an Emmy for Best Comedy since 1988, and it has been 13 years since CBS won for Best Drama Series.

6) I live in the Tri-City area, but since 1990, all three cities in our area have gotten smaller: Albany, by 6,508 people, Troy, by 5,939 people and Schenectady, by 4,286 citizens. All the cold weather and high taxes are driving people south.

5) Montana is 4th-largest state in country, but ranks 44th in population. Massachusetts is 13th in population, 44th in area.

4) In 2005-06, students in Connecticut (23.1), Massachusetts (23.0) scored highest in average ACT test scores.

3) The Library of Congress has 29,550,914 books in it.

2) Median price for a single-family house in each area:
Albany, NY $193,000
Pittsburgh $120,300
Phoenix $272,200
Orlando $271,700
Long Island, NY $478,000
Las Vegas $319,100

1) Top three companies, in terms of money spent advertising in 2005:
Proctor & Gamble $4,109,000,000
General Motors $4,353,000,000
Time Warner $3,494,000,000
Nike was 56th, Adidas 93rd.

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 03:54 AM

Dunkel Index – College Basketball

NCAAB
Dunkel Index

NCAA Championship

MONDAY, APRIL 2

Ohio State vs. Florida
It would be understandable if the Buckeyes were getting a little bit of an inferiority complex when it comes to the Gators. Already this year Florida dominated the heavily-favored Buckeyes on the football field to earn the BCS championship and pounded OSU on the hardwood in a 26-point defeat on December 23 in Gainesville. The fact that Ohio State will have to compete with those ghosts as well as Joakim Noah and Al Horford makes this contest a daunting challenge. But if nothing else, the Buckeyes have shown a resilience in the tournament that should serve them well. OSU came back from deep holes to win early round games against Xavier and Tennessee, and then cruised to a 16-point win over Memphis in what was supposed to be a close game. Even with Greg Oden on the bench in foul trouble against a favored Georgetown team, the Buckeyes kept it together on Saturday and survived with a 67-60 win. Ohis State comes into the game with a better record straight up (35-3 to Florida's 34-5) and a comparable record against the spread (24-14 for both). And while Florida looks primed to repeat as national champs, OSU should give the Gators a struggle and keep it within the Vegas line (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Florida favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+4 1/2).

Game 701-702: Ohio State vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 76.920; Florida 78.109
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1
Vegas Line: Florida by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+4 1/2)

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 03:57 AM

Long Sheet - College Basketball

NCAAB
NCAA Championship - Long Sheet

Monday, April 2

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OHIO ST (35 - 3) vs. FLORIDA (34 - 5) - 4/2/2007, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
FLORIDA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all tournament games this season.
OHIO ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OHIO ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 03:59 AM

Short Sheet - College Basketball

NCAAB
NCAA Championship - Short Sheet

Monday, April 2nd

NCAA Tournament
National Championship
Atlanta, Georgia
Ohio State vs. Florida, 9:15 EST

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Ohio State:
9-2 ATS in tournament games
8-2 ATS away off 10+ wins

Florida:
10-3 Over vs. non-conference opponents
15-6 Over away off BB games scoring 75+ points

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**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:01 AM

Write up - College Basketball

NCAAB
Write-up

Monday, April 2

Championship Game

Florida beat Ohio State 86-60 on Dec 23 (-4), in game they that was tied 40-all early in the second half, after Buckeyes opened second half with 11-2 run, erasing 38-29 halftime deficit. Gators hit another gear, and young Ohio State crumbled in what was just their second true road game of season. Florida shot 60.3% from floor in game, making 9-18 treys (Green 4-7). Rebounding was 37-23, Florida. Ohio State shot just 36.5% from floor.

Ohio State hasn't lost since 72-69 loss at Wisconsin on Jan 9; they were down 20 to Tennessee, and were on ropes in last :10 vs Xavier, but pulled both games out. Oden dominates games with his defensive presence; it is up to Horford/Richard/Noah to gethim in foul trouble, which creates a faster-paced contest that will benefit more veteran Florida squad.

Favorites covered five of last six national championship games

In a championship game where the teams met during season, the loser of first meeting won five of last six rematches.

In last 20 years, it is only fourth time two #1 seeds have met in title game; favorites were 2-1 in previous three.

Florida has been awesome in March; they're also a defending champ, the more veteran team, and they're playing fifth game in this arena this month, having won SEC title here also. This run for Gators ends with a second consecutive title. Florida, 75-64.

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:07 AM

Tips and Trends - College Basketball

NCAAB
Tips and Trends

Monday, April 2

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NCAA Championship: #1 Florida vs. #1 Ohio State
(9:21 PM ET)
These teams met back on December 23rd, 2006, with Florida routing Ohio State in an 86-60 home victory. Both had key players dealing with injuries, as Florida's Al Horford returned from a sprained ankle to total 11 points and 11 rebounds and Ohio State's Greg Oden was playing just his fifth game of the season after coming back from a hand injury. Horford dominated the matchup despite playing for the first time in more than two weeks, getting Oden into foul trouble. Oden has battled foul trouble throughout the NCAA Tournament, playing just three minutes in the first half on Saturday. Insiders believe the Buckeyes have to win this matchup this time around in order to have any chance at beating the defending champs. EDGE: FLORIDA
This is about as big of a revenge spot as you can possibly get for the Buckeyes, who not only lost the earlier meeting between the teams but also the 2007 BCS Championship game in football a little more than a week later. Ohio State entered the football game as a heavy favorite, unbeaten and the #1 team in the country. The Gators destroyed the Buckeyes 41-14, and you bet the underdogs would like nothing more than to return the favor here. EDGE: OHIO STATE
Florida is on a nine-game winning streak and 21-1 in postseason play the last three years, going 23-1 in March over that time. BIG EDGE: FLORIDA
Florida has won seven straight games at the Georgia Dome and is 9-1 in its last four appearances in the building. EDGE: FLORIDA
The Gators' five starters each average in double figures, yet do so by sharing the ball, as all average within 2.4 shots of one another and none average as many as 10 shots. EDGE: FLORIDA
Ohio State brings the nation's longest winning streak of 22 games into the national championship and will be playing for the title for the fifth time in school history. The Buckeyes are 1-3 in their last four appearances in the NCAA Championship game. SLIGHT EDGE: OHIO STATE
The Gators are 9-2 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
The Buckeyes are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
The OVER is 5-1 in the Gators' last six NCAA Tournament games and 7-1 in their last nine against non-conference opponents..

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**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:08 AM

NCAAB
Gameday info

Monday, April 2

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Gators, Buckeyes in title game

Can the Florida Gators claim their second straight tournament title on Monday night? The oddsmakers like their chances, but in order to pick up back-to-back championships they'll have to get past Greg Oden and the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Oddsmakers opened the Gators as 4-point favorites in this contest (tip-off is set for 9:21pm ET at the Georgia Dome on Monday night) shortly after the tourney's semi-final round was completed, and that line had moved to Florida -4.5 by the next morning. Bettors and oddsmakers have also raised the total to 140.5 points.

The Gators reached the title game by getting past the second-seeded UCLA Bruins by a final score of 76-66 on Saturday night. Florida took a six-point lead into the break in that contest, and cruised from there to the win at Georgia Dome.

Corey Brewer scored a game-high 19 points for Florida in the victory. Chris Richard chipped in with 16 points, Lee Humphrey had 14, and Taurean Green had 10. Al Horford dominated the glass with 17 rebounds to go along with his nine points, while Joakim Noah picked up eight points and 11 boards. Josh Shipp had 18 points for the Bruins, and Arron Afflalo poured in 17 points in the defeat.

The Buckeyes also knocked out a No. 2 seed on Saturday night to advance to the national title game. Ohio State led the Georgetown Hoyas 27-23 after a low-scoring first half (with Oden forced to the bench early due to foul trouble), and then scored 40 more points after the break to earn themselves a big 67-60 win.

Oden eventually came through with 13 points and a team-high nine rebounds for Ohio State. Mike Conley Jr. led the Buckeyes' attack with 15 points and six assists in the win, while Jamar Butler was good for 10 points, and Ivan Harris picked up nine points and seven rebounds. For the Hoyas, Roy Hibbert and Jonathan Wallace each scored 19 points, and Jeff Green picked up 12 rebounds.

And now Oden and company will be looking to knock off the defending champs and take the title for themselves. Here's how each team fared in past rounds . . .

Ohio State's path to the championship . . .

Round 1: Won 78-57 versus Central Connecticut State (Line -20, Total 130)
Round 2: Won 78-71 versus Xavier (Line -7.5, Total 136.5)
Round 3: Won 85-84 versus Tennessee (Line -5, Total 144.5)
Round 4: Won 92-76 versus Memphis (Line -2, Total 136)
Round 5: Won 67-60 versus Georgetown (Line +1, Total 131)

Florida's path to the championship . . .

Round 1: Won 112-69 versus Jackson State (Line -27.5, Total 144.5)
Round 2: Won 74-67 versus Purdue (Line -12, Total 135)
Round 3: Won 65-57 versus Butler (Line -10.5, Total 126.5)
Round 4: Won 85-77 versus Oregon (Line -7, Total 145)
Round 5: Won 78-66 versus UCLA (Line -3, Total 131)

Both Ohio State and Florida picked up against-the-spread victories in rounds one, four, and five, while they both failed to cover the posted spread in rounds two and three. As well, the Buckeyes and Gators have combined for eight OVER plays in their 10 tourney games, with just Georgetown and Butler going UNDER.

The Buckeyes last played for the NCAA's basketball championship in 1962, and they last won the tournament title in 1960. However, Ohio State will still be looking for some championship revenge on Monday - the Gators' football team trounced the Buckeyes 41-14 in the BCS Championship Game back in January.

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**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:09 AM

NCAAB
More Game info

Monday, April 2

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NCAA Finals: Buckeyes vs. Gators

The Florida Gators will be gunning for their second straight NCAA Tournament title on Monday night when they take on Greg Oden and the Ohio State Buckeyes at the Georgia Dome.

The Gators listed as 4½ to 5-point favorites versus the Buckeyes, while the game's total is sitting at 141.

The money lines are split almost evenly at 49% for OSU and 51% for Florida.

Mike Conley Jr.'s 15 points and six assists sparked Ohio State to Saturday's 67-60 win over Georgetown in the Final Four, coming in as 1.5-point underdogs. The 127 combined points were UNDER the posted total of 130.

Oden was next with 13 points and nine rebounds in the victory, and Jamar Butler added ten points for the Buckeyes.

The Gators advanced to the NCAA championship game with a 76-66 win over the UCLA Bruins Saturday night at the Georgia Dome. Florida covered the 3-point spread, and the combined 142 points were well OVER the posted total of 131.

Corey Brewer led the Gators with 19 points and two rebounds, while Chris Richard added 16 points in the win.

Team records:
Ohio State: 35-3 SU, 22-14 ATS
Florida: 34-5 SU, 17-15 ATS

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**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:11 AM

Dunkel Index – Baseball

MLB
Dunkel Index

MONDAY, APRIL 2

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
The White Sox are hoping to erase the memory of their 2006 finish that saw the team lose 10 of their last 16 games. A big part of the second-half collapse Jose Contreras' sore back, which caused the ace to go 4-9 post All-Star break after a 9-0 start. Conteras gets the start in the opener against Cleveland's C.C. Sabathia, who dominated the Chisox with a 4-0 record and 2.23 ERA in six starts last year. Cleveland won last year's season series (11-8) and looks like a good underdog pick in the opener according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130).

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Smoltz) 17.388; Philadelphia (Myers) 17.764
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over

Game 953-954: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Willis) 16.347; Washington (Patterson) 16.066
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-120); Under

Game 955-956: LA Dodges at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 17.667; Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.326
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+115); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 16.759; Cincinnati (Harang) 16.273
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); Under

Game 959-960: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Webb) 16.775; Colorado (Cook) 16.484
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Over

Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 16.163; Houston (Oswalt) 17.398
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-210); Under

Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.509; NY Yankees (Pavano) 17.177
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-170); Under

Game 965-966: Toronto at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 18.381; Detroit (Bonderman) 17.417
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Over

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 18.222; Chicago White Sox (Contreras) 17.543
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Under

Game 969-970: Boston at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Schilling) 17.595; Kansas City (Meche) 16.623
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Over

Game 971-972: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Haren) 17.367; Seattle (Hernandez) 17.136
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Under

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bedard) 16.507; Minnesota (Santana) 19.173
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-230); Over

Game 975-976: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 17.111; LA Angels (Lackey) 18.141
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:13 AM

Long Sheet – Baseball

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 2

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ATLANTA (79 - 83) at PHILADELPHIA (85 - 77) - 1:05 PM
JOHN SMOLTZ (R) vs. BRETT MYERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 79-83 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 35-45 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-29 (-16.7 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 77-82 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-17 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN SMOLTZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SMOLTZ is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.203.
His team's record is 5-7 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.7 units)

BRETT MYERS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MYERS is 4-5 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 9-7 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-2.6 units)

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FLORIDA (78 - 84) at WASHINGTON (71 - 91) - 1:05 PM
DONTRELLE WILLIS (L) vs. JOHN PATTERSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WILLIS is 9-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 9-5 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-4. (+5.6 units)

JOHN PATTERSON vs. FLORIDA since 1997
PATTERSON is 2-4 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 5-4 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (88 - 77) at MILWAUKEE (75 - 87) - 2:05 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. BEN SHEETS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LOWE is 29-35 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DEREK LOWE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOWE is 2-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.27 and a WHIP of 0.844.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

BEN SHEETS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SHEETS is 2-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.035.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (66 - 96) at CINCINNATI (80 - 82) - 2:10 PM
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 775-862 (-181.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 214-266 (-82.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 112-166 (-53.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-52 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 720-782 (-160.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 572-637 (-127.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 17-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-40 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HARANG is 0-7 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 8-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 10-7 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.4 units)

AARON HARANG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HARANG is 5-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 6-3 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.8 units)

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ARIZONA (76 - 86) at COLORADO (76 - 86) - 4:05 PM
BRANDON WEBB (R) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COOK is 10-22 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 2-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 10-22 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON WEBB vs. COLORADO since 1997
WEBB is 7-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.294.
His team's record is 8-7 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-2.9 units)

AARON COOK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COOK is 3-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.401.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)

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PITTSBURGH (67 - 95) at HOUSTON (82 - 80) - 7:05 PM
ZACH DUKE (L) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 24-57 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-12 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-57 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 1-16 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 1-16 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 0-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACH DUKE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DUKE is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.764.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
OSWALT is 10-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 12-6 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.3 units)

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TAMPA BAY (61 - 101) at NY YANKEES (98 - 68) - 1:05 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. CARL PAVANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 20-62 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-52 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 12-44 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 23-24 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KAZMIR is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.603.
His team's record is 1-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

CARL PAVANO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PAVANO is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.081.
His team's record is 3-2 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

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TORONTO (87 - 75) at DETROIT (103 - 72) - 1:05 PM
ROY HALLADAY (R) vs. JEREMY BONDERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 96-63 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-11 (+14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 58-107 (-45.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROY HALLADAY vs. DETROIT since 1997
HALLADAY is 9-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP of 0.891.
His team's record is 9-2 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.6 units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
BONDERMAN is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.053.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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CLEVELAND (78 - 84) at CHI WHITE SOX (90 - 72) - 2:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 78-84 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 201-135 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 74-43 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 65-45 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 30-34 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SABATHIA is 12-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 14-6 (+8.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-13. (-8.3 units)

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CONTRERAS is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

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BOSTON (86 - 76) at KANSAS CITY (62 - 100) - 4:10 PM
CURT SCHILLING (R) vs. GIL MECHE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 35-48 (-18.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 49-64 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CURT SCHILLING vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SCHILLING is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 2-2 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

GIL MECHE vs. BOSTON since 1997
MECHE is 3-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.246.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

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OAKLAND (96 - 73) at SEATTLE (78 - 84) - 6:35 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 96-73 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-39 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 35-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-23 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 88-64 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 72-53 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-38 (-20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DAN HAREN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAREN is 5-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.391.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (70 - 92) at MINNESOTA (96 - 69) - 8:10 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 17-33 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 69-45 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 103-39 (+47.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 17-1 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 18-1 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 36-9 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 18-2 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ERIK BEDARD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BEDARD is 0-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.621.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SANTANA is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.041.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

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TEXAS (80 - 82) at LA ANGELS (89 - 73) - 10:05 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MILLWOOD is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.952.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
LACKEY is 6-8 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.63 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 10-9 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-10. (-1.6 units)

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**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:16 AM

Short Sheet – Baseball

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, April 2nd

National League

Atlanta at Philadelphia, 1:05 EST TBS
John Smoltz (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)
Smoltz: 2-9 TSR away with a line of +125 to -125
Myers: 13-7 TSR in day games

Florida at Washington, 1:05 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. John Patterson (R)
Willis: 36-14 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less
Patterson: Washington 13-5 Over at home vs. Florida

LA Dodgers at Milwaukee, 2:05 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. Ben Sheets (R)
Lowe: Dodgers 8-3 Over vs. Milwaukee
Sheets: Milwaukee 15-4 SU at home vs. NL West opponents

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati, 2:10 EST ESPN2
Carlos Zambrano (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Zambrano: 20-7 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Harang: 0-7 TSR at home on Mondays

Arizona at Colorado, 4:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Aaron Cook (R)
Webb: Arizona 13-6 SU at Colorado
Cook: 2-14 TSR vs. division opponents

Pittsburgh at Houston, 7:05 EST
Zach Duke (L) vs. Ray Oswalt (R)
Duke: 0-14 TSR as a road underdog
Oswalt: 12-6 TSR, 2.78 ERA vs. Pittsburgh

American League

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 1:05 EST ESPN
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Carl Pavano (R)
Kazmir: Tampa Bay 8-29 SU as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Pavano: 11-1 Under with a total of 10+ runs

Toronto at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)
Halladay: 11-2 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Bonderman: Detroit 2-9 SU vs. Roy Halladay

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 EST
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Jose Contreras (R)
Sabathia: Cleveland 12-27 SU away with a line of +125 to -125
Contreras: White Sox 34-14 SU in April

Boston at Kansas City, 4:10 EST ESPN
Curt Schilling (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Schilling: 42-16 TSR as a road favorite of -125 to -175
Meche: 1-8 TSR as a home underdog of +125 to +175

Oakland at Seattle, 6:35 EST
Dan Haren (R) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Haren: Oakland 29-8 SU vs. Seattle
Hernandez: Seattle 19-38 SU vs. division opponents

Baltimore at Minnesota, 7:05 EST ESPN2
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Bedard: 6-17 TSR as an underdog
Santana: 18-1 TSR in dome stadiums

Texas at LA Angels, 10:05 EST ESPN2
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. John Lackey (R)
Millwood: 2-9 TSR in April
Lackey: Angels 14-5 SU at home vs. Texas

.

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:17 AM

Write up – Baseball

MLB
Write-up

Monday, April 2

Once season gets underway a bit, we'll have lists of hot teams, cold teams, totals, umpires, hot and cold pitchers. The first week we're gathering info and using last year's pitching stats as point of reference. Enjoy the season, and good luck.

Smoltz was 4-0, 1.24 in his last four '06 starts; he was 0-0, 3.86 in two '06 starts vs Philly, but had 6.00 RA in his last four starts on road. Myers was 4-1, 2.84 in his last eight starts last season, 1-1, 4.09 in five starts against Braves. His last six starts stayed under the total.

Willis was 3-1, 3.45 in his last five starts last season, 1-1, 6.11 in three '06 starts vs Washington; nine of his last 12 starts stayed under the total. Patterson was hampered by injury last year; he was 1-2, 4.65 in eight starts, but his two best starts both came vs Florida (1-0, 2.07)- four of his last five starts went over the total.

Lowe was 2-0, 3.20 in his last four starts last season, 1-0, 1.72 in two '06 starts vs Milwaukee. Dodgers won five of his last seven road starts. Sheets was 2-1, 2.34 in his last five starts last year; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight outings. He made only 17 starts because of injury last season.

Zambrano was 2-0, 3.68 in his last three '06 starts on the road; he was 3-0, 2.08 in his last three starts against the Reds, after going 0-2, 5.40 in his first three vs Reds last year. Six of his last seven starts went over total. Harang was 3-0, 2.81 in last three starts; nine of his last thirteen starts stayed under the total.

Arizona lost Webb's last five road starts in '06; he was 1-1, 3.46 in four starts against Rockies last year. Five of his last six starts stayed under the total. Cook was 0-3, 6.03 in his last five starts in '06, 1-3, 6.39 in five starts against Arizona. Colorado was 4-9 in his last thirteen home starts.

Oswalt was 8-0, 2.22 in his last eight '06 starts, 3-0, 0.90 in three starts vs Pirates last season; five of his last six starts went under the total; under was 5-0-1 in Duke's last six starts. Duke was 2-2, 2.25 in his last five starts in '06, but 0-2, 7.11 vs Astros in '06.

Kazmir was 0-2, 5.56 vs Bronx last season; D-Rays lost five of his last six starts in '06. For some reason, Bronx is starting Pavano on Opening Day, no idea why; he is always hurt, didn't pitch in game last year, and his model girlfriend dumped him recently, so he's been depressed. Tampa Bay yet to name a closer.

Halladay was 0-0, 2.25 in his last four '06 starts; Jays were 21-4 when they gave him 4+ runs to work with. Bonderman was 4-1, 3.37 in his last eight starts, with six of his last seven going over total; he was 1-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Toronto last season.

Sabathia left last spring start after being hit by liner on left arm; he was 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts vs Pale Hose last season. White Sox were 4-10 in last fourteen Contreras starts last year; he had 6.55 RA in pair of no-decisions vs Indians in '06. Six of his last eight home starts went over total.

Meche was 0-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Boston last year; now he is highly paid Royal ace, but he had brutal spring, so we'll see how he does. Schilling was 2-2, 5.64 in his last seven road starts in '06; he lost his only start vs Royals, allowing five runs in 7.1 IP. Last three Meche starts all went over the total.

Haren was 3-0, 1.35 vs Mariners last season; A's were 5-3 in his last eight road starts. Six of his last eight starts overall went over the total. Hernandez was 1-3, 4.45 in his last five starts; he's lost some weight, big things are expected. Felix was 0-2, 11.00 vs A's last year. Oakland has dominated M's in recent seasons.

Minnesota was 26-5 in Santana's last 31 starts last year, 17-1 in his last 18 at Metrodome. Five of his last seven starts stayed under total, as did three of his last four Bedard starts. Bedard was 0-2, 7.45 in two starts vs Minnesota last year; Orioles lost four of his last five road starts.

Angels were 6-2 in last eight Lackey starts (he was 2-0, 1.20 in his last two, but 1-2, 8.02 in four starts vs Rangers last season). Five of his last six starts stayed under total. Millwood was 2-3, 4.70 in his last five '06 starts; Texas was 10-7 in his road starts last season. Millwood allowed four runs in 7.2 IP in only start vs Halos last season.

**pm530** · 04-02-2007, 04:20 AM

Tips and Trends - Baseball

MLB
Tips and Trends

Monday, April 2

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Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers (1:05 PM ET)
The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Roy Halladay's last four road starts versus the Tigers.
The Tigers are 7-1 in Jeremy Bonderman's last eight starts during game 1 of a series.

Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals (1:05 PM ET)
The Marlins are 4-0 in the last four meetings.
The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at New York Yankees (ESPN | 1:05 PM ET)
The Devil Rays are 11-46 in their last 57 road games.
The Yankees are 81-31 in their last 112 home games versus a left-handed starter.

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)
The Braves are 1-6 in John Smoltz's last seven starts versus the Phillies.
The Phillies are 1-5 in Brett Myers' last six home starts.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox (2:05 PM ET)
The Indians are 4-1 in C.C. Sabathia's last five starts versus the White Sox.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Sabathia's last five starts versus the White Sox.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers (2:05 PM ET)
The Brewers are 5-0 in their last five home games.
The OVER is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins (ESPN2 | 7:05 PM ET)
The Twins are 41-10 in Johan Santana's last 51 home starts.
The Orioles are 1-4 in Bedard's last five starts versus the Twins.

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (ESPN2 | 10:05 PM ETius)
The Rangers are 11-25 in the last 36 meetings.
The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles.

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Announcement

Monday Trends and Indexes 04/02

Monday Trends and Indexes 04/02

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