Sunday Trends and Indexes 04/01

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Sunday, April 1

Good Luck on day #91 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Sunday

Random thoughts on the Final Four..

-- If you're Florida AD Jeremy Foley, you have a contract in your hand Monday night at 11pm, with an extension and a very large raise for Billy Donovan. He's worth it.

-- Gators shot over 60% from floor in 86-60 win over Ohio St back on Dec 23 in Gainesville, game that was much closer than final score indicates.

-- You watch Greg Oden play, and you see how much work he'll have to do to become a quality NBA center, then you see him block a shot like he did at end of Saturday's game, and you know he could really be great someday.

-- If Oden and Mike Conley come back to Columbus next year, the Buckeyes might not lose a game.

-- Where do you think Kentucky will turn if Billy Donovan stays in Gainesville?

-- OK, so Florida and Ohio State have the two best athletic programs in America, this much we know, since they'll play in national title, in both football and hoops this season.

[pm530]

Sunday's list of 13: Baseball facts as season opens.........

13) Hank Aaron, the most underrated player of all-time, has 722 more total bases than any other player who ever played.

12) Harold Baines once went 14 years between seasons with 100+ RBI ('85-'99).

11) Cal Ripken grounded into 350 double plays, most ever.

10) Herb Washington appeared in 105 major league games, and never pitched or grabbed a bat; all he did was pinch run.

9) Ty Cobb is only player to get his 2,000th hit before he got to his 30th birthday.

8) Pete Rose has 1,898 more plate appearances than anyone.

7) Reggie Jackson has 403 more strikeouts than anyone, but Sammy Sosa will shrink that lead this season.

6) Cliff Johnson holds all-time record with 20 pinch-hit HRs.

5) Willie Mays holds record with 22 extra-inning home runs.

4) Ted Williams holds record with five homers in 1-0 games.

3) Babe Ruth had 72 multi-homer games, three more than any other player ever (Barry Bonds, 69).

2) Wes Ferrell hit 37 home runs, most by any pitcher whose name isn't Babe Ruth.

1) In this history of major league baseball, there have been 20 games where the leadoff hitter hit a home run, and the game ended 1-0.

[pm530]

NBA
Tips and trends


Sunday, April 1

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Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons (ABC | 1 PM ET)
Miami beat Detroit 85-82 at home on March 2nd and will need another strong defensive effort against the Pistons, who have won three of their past four games, averaging 114.7 points in the victories. EDGE: OVER
The Pistons have won 14 of the past 18 regular-season meetings, including seven of the last eight at home. BIG EDGE: PISTONS
Miami has lost six of their last 10 road games while winning 16 of their last 18 home games. EDGE: PISTONS
The Heat are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Detroit.


Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)
The Mavericks won the first two meetings of the season with the Suns but blew a 15-point lead after three quarters and lost 129-127 in double overtime at home March 14th. EDGE: MAVS
Dallas' magic number to clinch the NBA's best record is four. With little chance of catching the Mavs now, the Suns are focused on maintaining their two-game lead over San Antonio for the second-best mark. SLIGHT EDGE: SUNS
The Suns won its fourth-straight home game with an average margin of 17.8 points. BIG EDGE: SUNS
Dallas can become the first team to post four winning streaks of at least 10 games in the same season. EDGE: MAVS
The Suns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games versus the Southwest Division.
The OVER is 5-0-1 in Mavericks' last six overall.


Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic (6 PM ET)
Orlando was a dismal 9-24 from January 12-March 21 but has since won three of four including a 95-87 victory over the Pacers on Friday. SLIGHT EDGE: MAGIC
Center Dwight Howard led the Magic to a 109-98 win over the Timberwolves in their only meeting this season on November 11th, tallying 21 points and 22 rebounds. EDGE: MAGIC
Minnesota has struggled on the road, losing 13 of its last 14 while going 10-27 overall. BIG EDGE: MAGIC
The Magic are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a SU win.
The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings.


Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets (6 PM ET)
Houston's defense gives up only 91.1 points per game on 42.6 percent shooting, ranking second and first in those respective categories. EDGE: ROCKETS & UNDER
The Jazz have lost six straight on the road, the team's longest road losing streak since losing eight in a row in 2005. Meanwhile, the Rockets are riding a season-high tying six-game home win streak. BIG EDGE: ROCKETS
After a season-high-tying four-game losing streak, the fourth-place Jazz have won four of six to clinch the Northwest Division title. EDGE: JAZZ The Jazz are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Houston.


San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers (7 PM ET)
The Spurs have won 19 of their last 21 games to pull within two games of Phoenix for the second seed in the Western Conference. BIG EDGE: SPURS
San Antonio is the NBA's best defensive team at 89.4 points allowed per game. Since February 13th, they have given up 84.4 points a game and defeated opponents by an average of 14 points. EDGE: SPURS & UNDER
The Spurs have won 10 of the past 13 against the Pacers, who continue to fall further behind in the Eastern Conference playoff race. BIG EDGE: SPURS
The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

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[pm530]

MLB
Tips and Trends


Sunday, April 1st

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New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals (ESPN2 | 8:05 PM)
Chris Carpenter will make his third straight opening-day start. The 2005 NL Cy Young Award winner faced the Mets in Games 2 and 6 of the NLCS, but went 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA. SLIGHT EDGE: METS
New York starter Tom Glavine is 10-2 with a 3.94 ERA over 18 career starts in St. Louis. BIG EDGE: METS
Despite playing a career-low 143 games due to a strained oblique muscle, Albert Pujols set career highs with 49 homers and 137 RBIs. EDGE: CARDINALS
Mets centerfielder Carlos Beltran and shorstop Jose Reyes both had career years last season. Beltran set career-highs with 41 homers and 116 RBIs in 2006. Reyes had 19 homers, 122 runs and 194 hits. EDGE: METS
The Mets won four of six games in the regular-season series a year ago, but lost two of three at St. Louis. SLIGHT EDGE: CARDINALS
The Cardinals are 28-6 in Carpenter's last 34 starts during Game 1 of a series.
The Mets are 36-17 in Glavine's last 53 starts.

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[pm530]

NHL
Tips and trends


Sunday, April 1

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Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks (3 PM ET)
Chicago has dropped six straight entering Friday's contest, scoring only nine goals in the span, before beating Columbus 3-1. EDGE: UNDER
Blackhawks goaltender Nikolai Khabibulin is 0-5 with a 3.97 goals-against-average in his last five starts, but is 3-1-1 with a 2.12 GAA in his last six meetings against the Oilers. SLIGHT EDGE: BLACKHAWKS
The Oilers have scored only eight goals while losing a season-high six straight on the road. EDGE: BLACKHAWKS & UNDER
The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.


Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks (6 PM ET)
San Jose has gone 10-1-2 in its last 13 games to pull into contention for the division championship. BIG EDGE: SHARKS
The Kings are second-worst in the West with 3.36 goals allowed per game and have given up at least three goals in seven of their last eight contests. EDGE: OVER
Los Angeles has won a conference-low 11 road games. The Sharks, meanwhile, are 23-12-3 at HP Pavilion. BIG EDGE: SHARKS
The Kings are 2-11 in the last 13 meetings in San Jose.

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[pm530]

MLB
Long Sheet


Sunday, April 1

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NY METS (103 - 69) at ST LOUIS (94 - 83) - 8:05 PM
TOM GLAVINE (L) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 103-69 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 101-68 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 78-48 (+19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GLAVINE is 26-9 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 25-9 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 54-63 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-36 (-21.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TOM GLAVINE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GLAVINE is 10-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 13-5 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-2.9 units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. NY METS since 1997
CARPENTER is 1-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.357.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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[pm530]

NHL
Long Sheet


Sunday, April 1

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DETROIT (47-19-0-12, 106 pts.) at COLUMBUS (32-39-0-7, 71 pts.) - 4/1/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 67-92 ATS (-176.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 67-92 ATS (+206.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 67-92 ATS (+67.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 125-113 ATS (+125.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 40-41 ATS (+88.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 20-15 ATS (+35.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 19-13 ATS (+34.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 70-69 ATS (+182.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 16-19 ATS (+44.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLUMBUS is 21-20 ATS (+58.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-10 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 10-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)




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BOSTON (35-36-0-6, 76 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (46-24-0-8, 100 pts.) - 4/1/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 5-10 ATS (-9.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)




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EDMONTON (31-40-0-7, 69 pts.) at CHICAGO (28-40-0-9, 65 pts.) - 4/1/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 31-47 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 31-47 ATS (-16.1 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
EDMONTON is 31-47 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
EDMONTON is 31-38 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 133-184 ATS (+133.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
CHICAGO is 22-63 ATS (+117.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 150-198 ATS (+417.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 38-52 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)




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CAROLINA (38-32-0-8, 84 pts.) at FLORIDA (34-30-0-14, 82 pts.) - 4/1/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 38-40 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 38-40 ATS (-15.7 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
CAROLINA is 38-40 ATS (-15.7 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
CAROLINA is 17-20 ATS (-11.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 213-299 ATS (+213.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 184-213 ATS (+184.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 177-199 ATS (-79.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 83-109 ATS (-54.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 11-3 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 11-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)




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LOS ANGELES (26-38-0-14, 66 pts.) at SAN JOSE (48-26-0-4, 100 pts.) - 4/1/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 60-36 ATS (+4.4 Units) in April games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 11-14 ATS (+11.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 14-17 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 11-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 11-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)




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TORONTO (37-29-0-11, 85 pts.) at NY RANGERS (39-29-0-9, 87 pts.) - 4/1/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 58-37 ATS (+18.8 Units) in April games since 1996.
TORONTO is 19-17 ATS (+40.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY RANGERS are 19-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
NY RANGERS are 19-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
NY RANGERS are 19-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games against the puck line this season.
NY RANGERS are 92-122 ATS (-79.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 17-23 ATS (-9.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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[pm530]

AFL
Long Sheet


Sunday, April 1

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 0) at NEW YORK (1 - 2) - 4/1/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LOS ANGELES (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 4/1/2007, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NASHVILLE (2 - 2) at COLORADO (2 - 2) - 4/1/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-1 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UTAH (3 - 1) at LAS VEGAS (1 - 3) - 4/1/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

AFL
Write-up

Sunday, April 1

Philadelphia won, covered its first three games, by 33,29,24 pts, after Week 1 bye; they score 67.7 ppg, are +26 in IPs, +5 in TOs, in only three games. Dragons have new QB in Davey, the former LSU QB; they've allowed 57.7 ppg this season, throwing seven INTs already (-7 turnover ratio). Big edge for Philly at QB, with former Falcon Graziani over Davey.

Los Angeles is on road for fourth time in first five weeks; they've lost games by 21,28,27 pts, scoring average of 36 ppg in losses, 79 in lone win. Chicago won, covered last three games, winning by 3,21,8 points; Rush won its two home games by 48-45/61-40 scores, are +6 in turnovers last three games, with 8 takeaways. Three of four Avenger games stayed under the total.

Nashville scored 69,70 points in winning last two games, to even record at 2-2; three of their four games went over total; Kats are giving up 59.8 ppg. Colorado won its last two home games, by 2,4 points; all three of their home games were decided by four points or less. Former Michigan State/Ram backup Smoker is now Kats' QB. Nashville picked off six passes in last two games.

Utah is off to 3-1 start, scoring 69.3 ppg; all four of games went over total. Las Vegas struggling at 1-3, with losses by 21,28 and 27 points; they lost only home game 59-31 to New Orleans. Utah has wins by 2,4,41 pts. Vegas threw five picks in last two games, hasallowed 10 sacks in four games, a lot for AFL; they changed QBs from King to Jones last week.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Charlotte at Toronto
A battle between a team with one of the best records in the East (Toronto) against one of the worst (Charlotte) would seem to favor the Raptors in a mismatch at home. But the Bobcats have actually been a tough draw lately as they've gone 6-4 straight up in their last 10 games and an even better 8-2 against the spread. Charlotte has also won its last three of four road games ATS, including a solid performance out West in Phoenix in which they took the Suns to overtime before losing. The Bobcats look like a decent pick getting the spread (+7 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Toronto favored by just 2. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, APRIL 1
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Miami at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.834; Detroit 130.591
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 13 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Chicago at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.170; Atlanta 117.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: San Antonio at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 129.780; Indiana 113.477
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16 1/2; 183 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 182
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8); Over

Game 507-508: Dallas at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 126.761; Phoenix 125.469
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 214
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 509-510: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.467; Milwaukee 116.596
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 222 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Memphis at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 110.056; Golden State 122.717
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12 1/2; 222 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 11; 222
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-11); Over

Game 513-514: Utah at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.599; Houston 128.724
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 9; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6); Over

Game 515-516: Minnesota at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 110.817; Orlando 121.605
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 11; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 186
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-7); Under

Game 517-518: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 121.382; Boston 121.499
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 186 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 519-520: Charlotte at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 118.187; Toronto 120.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 7 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: Denver at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.508; Seattle 119.207
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 523-524: Sacramento at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.648; LA Lakers 117.034
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 214
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 210
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Carolina at Florida
With just four regular season games left, the Hurricanes desperately need a win to stay in serious playoff contention. But the defending Stanley Cup champions come in with a three-game losing streak, while Florida, which is playing its home finale, has won three straight. The Panthers look like a good pick to continue Carolina's misery according to Dunkel, which has Florida favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Florida (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, APRIL 1
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Detroit at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.624; Columbus 11.747
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Under

Game 53-54: Boston at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.423; New Jersey 12.304
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Under

Game 55-56: Edmonton at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.218; Chicago 11.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+1 1/2); Under

Game 57-58: Carolina at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.373; Florida 13.107
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-1 1/2); Under

Game 59-60: Los Angeles at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.784; San Jose 14.158
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-1 1/2); Under

Game 61-62: Toronto at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.252; NY Rangers 13.460
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


MIAMI (39 - 33) at DETROIT (46 - 26) - 4/1/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 13-9 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 12-10 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
17 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CHICAGO (43 - 31) at ATLANTA (27 - 46) - 4/1/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games this season.
CHICAGO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN ANTONIO (52 - 20) at INDIANA (31 - 41) - 4/1/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 161-125 ATS (+23.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 211-163 ATS (+31.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
INDIANA is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DALLAS (61 - 11) at PHOENIX (54 - 18) - 4/1/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 75-61 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 76-55 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
DALLAS is 99-71 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DALLAS is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 12-10 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 11-11 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
13 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UTAH (47 - 25) at HOUSTON (47 - 26) - 4/1/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 104-128 ATS (-36.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MINNESOTA (30 - 42) at ORLANDO (34 - 39) - 4/1/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CLEVELAND (44 - 29) at BOSTON (22 - 50) - 4/1/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CHARLOTTE (28 - 45) at TORONTO (40 - 32) - 4/1/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
TORONTO is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DENVER (35 - 36) at SEATTLE (30 - 42) - 4/1/2007, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-5 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-5 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SACRAMENTO (30 - 41) at LA LAKERS (38 - 34) - 4/1/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
LA LAKERS are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

MLB
Dunkel Index


SUNDAY, APRIL 1

NY Mets at St. Louis
The Cardinals open up defense of their championship with Chris Carpenter on the mound. Carpenter was virtually unhittable at home last year, posting a 1.82 ERA in 17 starts. He'll face the seemingly ageless Tom Glavine, who at 41 is coming off a 15-7 season. But after an 11-2 start to last season, age appeared to catch up with Glavine as he went 4-5 after the All-Star break with an ERA (4.33) that was almost a run higher than before the break (3.48). The Cardinals should ride Carpenter's arm to a win tonight according to Dunkel, which has St. Louis favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145).

Game 901-902: NY Mets at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Glavine) 16.608; St. Louis (Carpenter) 18.231
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145); Under

[pm530]

MLB
Short Sheet


Sunday, April 1st

National League

NY Mets at St. Louis, 8:05 EST ESPN
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)
Glavine: 14-3 TSR in the first half of the season
Carpenter: St. Louis 20-7 Over on Sundays


American League

** No American League Games Scheduled **


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