Monday Trends and Indexes 03/26

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Monday, March 26

Good Luck on day #85 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Monday

We're looking at major league teams all month, before the season starts. Tonight, its the Oakland A's.

-- A's are 21-7 in Harden's starts last two years, but they'll need 30+ starts from him this season, not 14.

-- Only four teams in baseball history grounded into double plays more than Oakland did last year (170).

-- A's have 103 interleague wins, tied with Bronx for most in the big leagues.

-- Jason Kendall has hit one homer in 1,153 ABs since he joined the A's.

-- Mark Kotsay has 105 outfield assists since '98, more than any outfielder in big leagues.

-- Over last eight seasons, A's have 11 more second half wins than any other team in major leagues.

[pm530]

Monday's List of 13: Random facts for a Monday......

13) New York Times is reporting that Joe Theismann has been dropped from Monday Night Football telecasts. No official word yet, but Emmitt Smith or Bill Parcells could replace him. Hopefully, they'll fire Tony Kornheiser, too.

12) This will be an interesting week for the coaching carousel, as Billy Donovan gets asked 1,000 times about Kentucky job.

11) Rumors are stirring that Ron Artest will retire at end of the season; this is why Knicks passed on him in draft, they knew he was an odd duck, but they should have drafted and traded him, to at least get something for that first round pick.

10) Eldrick Woods has won World Golf-American Express six times now; only player to win the same tournament more than that is Sam Snead's eight wins at Greensboro.

9) One of the odd parts of watching Fast Break for 50th time or so is seeing Jim Harrick as an assistant coach for Nevada State; Harrick was the head coach at Pepperdine back then.

8) I wonder if there are any NFL front offices that do a lot less preparation for the draft than the other teams. It is possible to paralyze your brain (paralysis by analysis) by thinking about things too much. Just curious.........less could be more.

7) When George Allen coached Redskins, he was so fanatical about details that he actually labeled the type of trees around the practice fields at Redskins Park.

6) The first woman to cover an NFL game in press box had to sue for the right to do it, and it didn't happen until the 70's. Now, any hot-looking lady is eligible to be a sideline reporter.

5) That said, male reporters are not allowed in locker rooms at WNBA games. Will a guy sue for the right?

4) Reports out of Arizona say the Colorado Rockies are best team in the Cactus League. We'll see how the humidor works for the Rockie pitching staff this season.

3) Billy Packer can blather about all he wants, but the Green kid travelled Friday night. It doesn't matter now, but he did.

2) Florida-UCLA rematch in semifinals Saturday is exact same scenario as when UNLV beat Duke in '90, then was favored to beat Blue Devils in semifinals the next season. They didn't.

1) Early spreads for Final Four games Saturday:

Florida -3.5 over UCLA
Georgetown -1 over Ohio State

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Monday, March 26

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won six of their last eight games.
-- Nuggets covered seven of their last eight games. Detroit has covered nine of their last ten games.
-- Portland won three of last four games (4-0 vs spread). Bulls are 9-3 in their last dozen games.
-- Rockets won five of their last six games.
-- Spurs won three in row, sixteen of last eighteen games.
-- Warriors won seven of last ten games (10-1 vs spread in last eleven games).

Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost last three games, by 18,8,14 points.
-- Atlanta lost five of its last six games. Miami lost three of its last four games.
-- Knicks lost three in row, five of last six games. Orlando is 0-7 vs spread in game after their last seven wins.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last nine games.
-- Utah is 0-8 vs spread in last eight games (3-5 SU). Wizards are 3-6 in their last nine games.
-- Memphis lost nineteen of its last twenty-four games. Phoenix lost three of its last five games.

Series Records
-- Toronto is 3-0 vs Boston this season:96-90/95-86/106-102.
-- Pistons won 95-82 in Denver March 9 (even).
-- Miami is 2-0 vs Atlanta this season: 93-88ot/91-83.
-- Knicks are 2-0 vs Orlandothis season: 94-86/100-94.
-- Bulls won 88-86 in Portland Feb 3 (-3).
-- Rockets won 97-93 in Milwaukee Nov 8 (+2).
-- Jazz lost 114-111 in Washington Jan 15 (+3).
-- Suns are 2-0 vs Memphis this season: 137-122/96-87.
-- Home side won both Warrior-Spur games this season.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Denver is 1-4-1 vs spread last six times they had played the night before.
-- Hawks are 1-3 vs spread last four times they played the night before.
-- Portland is 7-4 vs spread last 11 times they had a game night before.
-- Houston failed to cover last three times they had game the day before.
-- Suns are 0-6 vs spread last six times they played day before.
-- Spurs covered seven of last nine if they played nite before.

Totals
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Boston home games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Detroit's last seven games.
-- Over is 7-2 in Atlanta's last nine games, but 3-11 in Miami's last fourteen games.
-- Last seven Knick games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in Houston's last ten games.
-- Under is 11-4 in Utah's last fifteen games, but 1-6 in Wizards' last seven games.
-- Last eight Memphis games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Spurs' last dozen games.

[pm530]

Hockey – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Monday, March 26

Hot Teams
-- Anaheim won nine of its last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Red Wings lost last four games, scoring five goals.

Series Records
-- Home side is 3-0 in Anaheim-Detroit games this season.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- None tonight.

Totals
-- Last four Detroit games stayed under the total.

[pm530]

NBA
Tips and trends


Monday, March 26

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Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics (7 PM ET)
The Raptors are 9-3 against divisional foes this year and will be going for their first-ever sweep of the Celtics. BIG EDGE: RAPTORS
Insiders believe Toronto's main strength is depth, proven by nine players scoring at least seven points in Friday's rout of Denver. EDGE: RAPTORS
Boston has the worst record in the Eastern Conference, dropping three straight. Experts are wondering if the Celtics will continue to "tank" the rest of the season in order to ensure the second-most chances in the NBA draft lottery. EDGE: WIZARDS


Denver Nuggets at Detroit Pistons (7:30 PM ET)
The Pistons expect to have both leading scorer Richard Hamilton and leading rebounder Rasheed Wallace back for this game. Hamilton missed Sunday's win due to illness while Wallace served a one-game suspension. EDGE: PISTONS
Detroit has won the last 10 home meetings with Denver and 10 of the last 12 meetings overall. BIG EDGE: PISTONS


Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat (7:30 PM ET)
The Heat have dropped three of their last four games, failing to gain ground on Washington for the lead in the Southeast Division. However, the one win over that stretch was against the lowly Hawks. EDGE: HEAT
The Hawks are riding a season-high seven-game road losing streak and are just 12-23 away from home this season. EDGE: HEAT


Orlando Magic at New York Knicks (7:30 PM ET)
The Knicks have dropped three straight and will be trying to avoid their longest losing streak of the season and stay in contention for the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference with a win against the Magic, who are also battling for the final spot. EDGE: KNICKS
The Magic are 1 1/2 games ahead of New York in the standings and need to keep winning key matchups like this against the Knicks, who have won the first two meetings in the season series. EDGE: MAGIC
New York is averaging just 77 points during its three-game skid, 21.2 points below the team's season average. The Knicks have also dropped four of five at home after winning seven straight there. EDGE: MAGIC


Portland Trail Blazers at Chicago Bulls (8:30 PM ET)
The Bulls are just 1 1/2 games behind Cleveland for second place in the Central Division, which means a difference between second and fifth in the playoff seedings. Insiders believe that's all the motivation Chicago needs right now. EDGE: BULLS
Chicago is just 11-17 against Western Conference opponents this season. EDGE: TRAIL BLAZERS
The Trail Blazers are 2-1 on their four-game road trip and welcomed back leading scorer Zach Randolph on Sunday in a 1-point loss at Minnesota. Randolph came back from bereavement leave and totaled 19 points, nine rebounds and six assists off the bench. EDGE: TRAIL BLAZERS


Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz (7:30 PM ET)
The Jazz just clinched their first playoff berth since the 2002-03 season and may suffer a letdown here against a hungry Washington team still trying to stay ahead of Miami for the lead in the Southeast Division. SLIGHT EDGE: WIZARDS
The Wizards are just 1-3 on their five-game road trip and have dropped eight of 10 away from home en route to a 12-22 road record. EDGE: JAZZ


Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns (10 PM ET)
The Suns have dropped three of five and will be looking to avoid consecutive losses for the second time this month. They will be facing a Memphis team that has lost eight of 11 in Phoenix. EDGE: SUNS
The Grizzlies used five players with less than two full years of experience in a 118-108 loss at Utah on Saturday. They are a league-worst 5-29 on the road. BIG EDGE: SUNS

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[Kaptain]

thanks pm and others---your hard work is appreciated----kapt

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Monday, March 26


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ANAHEIM (44-19-0-12, 100 pts.) at DETROIT (45-19-0-11, 101 pts.) - 3/26/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 16-18 ATS (-17.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 10-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
ANAHEIM is 3-8 ATS (-8.7 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
DETROIT is 46-12 ATS (+16.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 42-23 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 23-12 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, March 26


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ORLANDO (32 - 38) at NEW YORK (30 - 39) - 3/26/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 184-235 ATS (-74.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 49-79 ATS (-37.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 79-109 ATS (-40.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DENVER (35 - 33) at DETROIT (44 - 25) - 3/26/2007, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ATLANTA (27 - 44) at MIAMI (37 - 32) - 3/26/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TORONTO (38 - 31) at BOSTON (20 - 49) - 3/26/2007, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND (29 - 41) at CHICAGO (41 - 30) - 3/26/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 64-84 ATS (-28.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
PORTLAND is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PORTLAND is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MILWAUKEE (25 - 43) at HOUSTON (44 - 26) - 3/26/2007, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WASHINGTON (37 - 31) at UTAH (45 - 24) - 3/26/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 101-135 ATS (-47.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
UTAH is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MEMPHIS (17 - 53) at PHOENIX (52 - 17) - 3/26/2007, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 7-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 9-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN ANTONIO (49 - 20) at GOLDEN STATE (33 - 38) - 3/26/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 99-67 ATS (+25.3 Units) in March games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Portland at Chicago
The Blazers have done a good job of keeping the games close as road underdogs lately as they've been within the spread in each of the last four road games, including yesterday's 94-93 loss at Minnesota on a last-minute shot by Kevin Garnett. Even playing back-to-back games has not been a problem as the Blazers pulled off road upsets over New York and Atlanta on March 22-23. While Chicago is a step up in talent, the Bulls have struggled to cover the lines as they are zero for their last six against the spread, including their last three home contests against Boston, the Clippers and Denver. Portland looks poised to take advantage of of tonight's spread (+9) according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+9). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MARCH 26
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Orlando at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 117.823; New York 115.934
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 170 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1; 183
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+1); Under

Game 503-504: Denver at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 122.335; Detroit 125.289
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.668; Miami 126.173
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 10; 180
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-10); Over

Game 507-508: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.667; Boston 117.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 192 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Portland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 116.471; Chicago 120.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 186
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+9); Over

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.870; Houston 124.904
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Washington at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 118.201; Utah 121.640
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 7 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Memphis at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 113.153; Phoenix 120.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8; 221
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: San Antonio at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.072; Golden State 124.710
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Anaheim at Detroit
After taking a home-and-home series against Nashville to take over the top spot in the West, the Red Wings proceeded to lose four straight, including the last two at home in shootouts to lower-rated Columbus and St. Louis. Anaheim has had recent troubles of its own, including back-to-back defeats to lower-rated L.A. and Phoenix, but snapped back with a 3-2 win in overtime against Dallas on Friday. With Detroit struggling to get wins right now, Anaheim looks like a decent underdog pick according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MARCH 26
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Anaheim at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.879; Detroit 12.395
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+1 1/2); Under

[pm530]

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, March 26th

Orlando at New York, 7:35 EST
Orlando: 12-22 ATS off a home game
New York: 18-7 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Denver at Detroit, 7:35 EST
Denver: 8-1 ATS vs. Central Division opponents
Detroit: 9-19 ATS at home off a win by 10+ points

Atlanta at Miami, 7:35 EST
Atlanta: 7-15 ATS off BB Overs
Miami: 11-3 Under at home off an ATS loss

Toronto at Boston, 7:35 EST NBATV
Toronto: 15-5 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Boston: 5-15 ATS as a home underdog

Portland at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Portland: 13-1 ATS playing their fourth road game in five days
Chicago: 10-19 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Milwaukee at Houston, 8:35 EST
Milwaukee: 18-5 ATS off a loss by 15+ points
Houston: 1-12 ATS at home playing without rest

Washington at Utah, 9:05 EST
Washington: 3-15 ATS playing their third game in four days
Utah: 12-4 ATS at home off a combined score of 205+ points

Memphis at Phoenix, 10:05 EST
Memphis: 12-1 Over off 4+ Overs
Phoenix: 8-1 ATS off a road loss

San Antonio at Golden State, 10:35 EST
San Antonio: 13-6 Over at Golden State
Golden State: 7-0 ATS at home playing their third game in four days

.

[pm530]

NHL
Short Sheet


Monday, March 26th

Anaheim at Detroit, 7:05 EST VER
Anaheim: 3-8 SU away off a division game
Detroit: 10-0 SU at home playing their fourth game in seven days

.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, gl tonight!!

[pm530]

NHL
Tips and trends


Monday, March 26

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Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings (7 PM ET)
Detroit swept Nashville in a home-and-home series two weeks ago to take over first place in the West, but the Red Wings have since dropped four in a row, their longest losing streak of the season. EDGE: DUCKS
The Red Wings have won seven straight at home against the Ducks and have dominated at Joe Louis Arena, losing just twice in 25 all-time home matchups with Anaheim. BIG EDGE: RED WINGS
The UNDER is 21-6-4 in the last 31 meetings.

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