Friday Trends and Indexes 03/23

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday, March 23

Good Luck on day #82 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Friday

We're looking at a different major league team each day this month, as baseball season approaches. Today, we look at the Seattle Mariners........

-- Jose Lopez' 79 RBI were most in the last sixty years by a second baseman who was 22 years old or younger .

-- Raul Ibanez knocked in 123 runs last year; who knew?

-- Richie Sexson was 8-15 with bases loaded last season, hitting grand slam five times.

-- Closer JJ Putz pitched 78.1 innings last year, striking out 104 hitters, allowing only 59 hits.

-- Ichiro Suzuki has stolen base streak of 40 in a row since he was last thrown out.

-- 13 Mariners made their major league debut last year.

[pm530]

Friday's list of 13: Thoughts on all things hoop............

13) The coaching carousel will be spinning like Linda Blair's head in The Exorcist pretty soon, with Kentucky, Michigan jobs both open. Were the Wildcats caught napping by the sudden departure of Orlando (Tubby) Smith to Minnesota?

12) Tremendous coup by the Gophers, by the way. No other way to say it; the AD deserves a raise for this hire.

11) What exactly is Michigan thinking about; unless they get Mike Montgomery signed, they've been one-upped by one of their league rivals, and in a big way.

10) College sports can be fascinating; Rich Brooks finishes over .500 once with Kentucky's football team, and he gets a multi-year extension. Tubby basically gets run out of town by negativity, and he gets to second round of NCAA each and every year, and also won a national title (I know, with players Pitino recruited, but he still won a title). Expectations are way different for the two programs, but it is the same school, after all........its just funny.

9) If Billy Gillespie says no to Kentucky, then what? It goes without saying Donovan, Pitino will turn them down, if in fact they are approached. There aren't a lot of great players in the state of Kentucky, and expectations are stupid high, which is enough to make Kentucky a tough job to fill.

8) But then there's the money, which makes it a much easier job to fill. Between recruiting and the coaching nonsense, the month of April is going to be very interesting. Just about all the big names will be speculated on for Kentucky job.

7) Major college coaching is fragile; Jamie Dixon was in Sweet 16 because Aaron Gray came back for his senior year. Out at Arizona State, Rob Evans got fired last season because its star, Ike Diogu, didn't come back for his senior year, just like Ricardo Patton never got Colorado off the ground after guard Chauncey Billups left early for the NBA.

6) Whatever Memphis pays John Calipari, he earns it; despite playing in a league that isn't very challenging, he has Tigers in Elite 8 for second year in row, even after he lost 3 starters from last season. They haven't lost since December 20.

5) Going back to coaching carousel for second, where do the Iowa Hawkeyes go for a new coach? Iowa is tougher job, as there aren't lot of great players in Iowa, but there are a lot of good ones. The Big 11 is going to get shaken up this spring. The Iowa hire is critical one for the Hawkeyes.

4) A guy like Lon Kruger is going to be tough to get out of Vegas, because he's already made his money, having been in NBA for few years. Now its about quality of life for him, and where would you rather be than Las Vegas?

3) Would Michigan throw a boatload of money at Calipari? The facilities in Ann Arbor aren't as good as some other big programs, and the powers that be don't seem that concerned about it. Not like its football, after all.

2) Watching the Pitt-UCLA game was like going to the gym in preseason and watching an intrasquad scrimmage.

1) I may be nitpicking, but there is a rule that says if a player has blood on his jersey, he has to either change the jersey or leave the game. Greg Oden was allowed to play the last 1:17 vs Tennessee with blood on front of his jersey. According to the rules, he at least should have put a different jersey on.

That shouldn't overshadow Buckeyes coming back from dead once again, rallying from a 49-29 first half deficit. Tennessee is young team with only one senior, and tonight it showed.

[pm530]

College Basketball – Write up

NCAAB
Write-up


NCAA Regional Semifinals

Friday, March 23

Georgetown beat Vanderbilt in Nashville 86-70 Nov 15 (-1); was Vandy's season opener, Hoyas' second game. Vandy's Foster was held to 2 points in 26 minutes that night. Last year, Vandy won at Georgetown, 68-61. Hoyas won six in row, are 17-1 in its last 18 games; they've allowed 50.7 ppg in last three games, but Commodores play similar style offense as Hoyas- they've put up 77.5 ppg in winning first two NCAA games, but needed pair of OTs to upset Washington State in second round.

Dome setting doesn't favor teams that shoot lot of 3's; 48.8% of Butler's shots come from behind the arc, compared to 32.9% for Florida. These teams met in first round in '00, with Mike Miller scoring late hoop as Florida escaped by point, on way to Final Four that year (lost to Michigan State in final). Underdogs now 13-7 vs spread in this round last 2.5 years. Gators are 6-0 so far in March, winning by 13,17,21,21,43,7 points. Butler won SU all five times they've been an underdog this season.

#1 seeds are 19-3 SU in this round last 6+ years, 13-9 vs spread; North Carolina won last six games, by 14,15,15,9,21,14 pts- they beat Arizona 92-64 in only game vs Pac-10 foe this year. USC is 4-1 in last five games, but they got crushed by Oregon in finals of Pac-10 tourney, trailing by 38 at one point. UNC won sixteen of seventeen outside of ACC. Trojans are 10-2 vs spread as an underdog this season, 5-1 when getting five or more pts. Floyd didn't fare well vs Williams when both coached in Big 12.

42.1% of Oregon's shots come from behind the arc, compared to 36.1% for UNLV; Rebels' Kruger played vs these guards in his three years as an ASU Sun Devil, which should help here. 7 seeds are 4-3 in this round the last decade; 3 seeds are 10-10 in this round SU the last decade, but only 3-6 vs spread as a fave. UNLV won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread); Kruger has been coach in both Final Four and NBA; he should rate a slight edge over Kent. Oregon and Clemson are only two teams in country that haven't lost a non-league game this season (14-0).

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Friday, March 23

Hot Teams
-- Miami won ten of its last eleven games.
-- Charlotte covered five of its last six games.
-- Denver won five of last six games (6-0 vs spread).
-- Raptors won five of their last seven games.
-- Portland won last two games, allowing 92 ppg.
-- Mavericks won 21 of their last 23 games.
-- Cleveland won eight of its last ten games.
-- Lakers won last three games, by 5,7,2 points. Hornets are 3-1 in last four games, covering five of last seven.
-- Pistons won six of their last eight games. Spurs are 14-2 in their last sixteen games.
-- Washington won three of last four games. Golden State won six of its last eight games.
-- Clippers won three of last four games, covered five of last six.

Cold Teams
-- Indiana is 1-13 in its last fourteen games.
-- Nets lost seven of their last ten games. Orlando lost twelve of its last sixteen games.
-- Philadelphia lost four of its last five games.
-- Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
-- Celtics lost five of last seven games; they're playing strange combinations of players down stretch, raising suspicion that they're tanking games for draft position.
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games.
-- Jazz lost four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota is 1-6 vs spread in game after its last seven wins. Seattle lost five of its last six games.

Series Records
-- Home side won both Miami-Indiana games, which were won by combined total of five points.
-- Home side won all three Net-Magic games this season.
-- 76ers are 2-1 vs Charlotte this season: 92-83/87-102/89-83.
-- Raptors lost 117-109 in Denver Nov 18 (+9.5).
-- Hawks won 107-96 in Portland Dec 3 (+1.5).
-- Celtics lost 106-101 in Dallas last Friday (+13.5).
-- Visitor won both Knick-Cavalier games this season.
-- Lakers are 2-0 vs Hornets this season: 105-89/113-103.
-- Spurs won 90-81 in Detroit Feb 14th.
-- Warriors lost 107-106 in Washington March 4 (+8).
-- Jazz are 3-0 vs Clippers this season: 102-97/105-86/112-90.
-- Home side won both Minnesota-Seattle games this year.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Miami covered front end of last three back/backs.
-- Nets covered front end on only two of last six back/backs.
-- Bobcats are 7-4 vs spread in front end of last 11 back/backs.
-- Denver is 1-3-1 vs spread on front end of last 5 back/backs.
-- Portland is 5-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Knicks are 6-9 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Lakers are 8-6 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Pistons covered three of last four if they played nite before.
-- Wizards covered front end on one of last five back/backs.
-- Clippers covered front end of last three back/backs; they had failed to cover first 13 such chances this season.

Totals
-- Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 13-5-2 in Charlotte's last twenty games.
-- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Boston home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Cleveland games went over the total, but last six New York games stayed under.
-- Last three Laker games went over the total.
-- Last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Wizard games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Clippers' last five games.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.

[pm530]

Hockey – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Friday, March 23

Hot Teams
-- Sabres won three of their last four games.
-- Colorado won four in row, nine of last ten games.
-- Dallas won six of its last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Maple Leafs lost four of last five road games.
-- Chicago lost last three games, scoring five goals. Kings lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Calgary lost five of their last seven games. Nashville is 1-3 in last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Edmonton lost last twelve games, scoring 11 goals.
-- Anaheim lost three of last four games, scoring four goals in last two contests.

Series Records
-- Road team is 5-1 in Buffalo-Toronto games this season.
-- Chicago is 3-0 vs Los Angeles this season, 3-0/3-2/4-3.
-- Nashville is 3-0 against Flames this season, 5-3/6-3/3-2.
-- Road team is 6-1 in Colorado-Edmonton games this season.
-- Home side is 4-2 in Dallas-Anaheim games this season.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Buffalo is 10-4 on front end of back/back.
-- Kings are 3-10 on front end of back/back.
-- Predators are 10-6 on front end of back/back.
-- Oilers are 3-9 on front end of back/back.
-- Dallas is 2-10 on front end of last 12 back/backs.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Toronto games, but 1-4 in last five Buffalo games.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-5 in Calgary's last sixteen games.
-- Over is 14-6-1 in last 21 Colorado games.
-- Under is 10-3-2 in last fifteen Dallas games.

[pm530]

College Basketball – Tips and Trends

NCAAB
Tips and trends


Sweet 16

Friday, March 23

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St. Louis, MO

Midwest - #5 Butler vs. #1 Florida (7:10 PM ET)
Butler leads the NCAA Division I in fewest turnovers per game (9.4 per game). The Bulldogs have committed less than 10 turnovers in 13 of the past 19 contests. EDGE: BUTLER
The Bulldogs became the first team in Horizon League history to lead the conference in both scoring offense (69.4) and scoring defense (54.9) in league games. EDGE: BUTLER
Florida is on a six-game winning streak and 18-1 in postseason play the last three years and 20-1 in March over that time. BIG EDGE: FLORIDA
Florida's nine consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances represents not only the best stretch in school history, but the Gators are also tied for the third longest streak in SEC history. EDGE: FLORIDA
The teams have met only once before in Florida's thrilling 69-68 overtime win in the first round of the 2000 NCAA Tournament. EDGE: BUTLER
The Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games as underdogs.
The Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last eight NCAA Tournament games.





Midwest - #7 UNLV vs. #3 Oregon (9:40 PM ET)
UNLV has an all-time record of 32-13 (.711) in the Big Dance, which ranks third all-time for the highest NCAA Tournament winning percentage for all schools. EDGE: UNLV
The Runnin' Rebels are 7-2 this season versus teams that made up the 65-team NCAA Tournament field. EDGE: UNLV
UNLV head coach Lon Kruger has an all-time Sweet 16 record of 2-0 (Kansas State 1988 and Florida 1994). EDGE: UNLV
Oregon has five players averaging in double figures and is led by senior guard Aaron Brooks with 17.8 points per game. EDGE: OREGON
UNLV is 25-20 all-time against teams from the Pac-10 Conference. SLIGHT EDGE: UNLV
The Runnin' Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the Pac-10.
The Ducks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games.
The UNDER is 10-2-1 in the Runnin' Rebels last 13 games as underdogs.




East Rutherford, NJ

East - #6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown (7:27 PM ET)
Georgetown handed Vanderbilt one of its three home losses this year in the Commodores' season opener on November 15th, 86-70. EDGE: GEORGETOWN
Vanderbilt's 77-44 victory over George Washington in the first round marked the largest margin of victory by a No. 6 seed in the tournament since it expanded to as many as 64 teams in 1985. EDGE: VANDERBILT
Vanderbilt is 1-3 all-time in regional semifinal contests, losing three consecutive since an 83-78 overtime win against DePaul in 1985. EDGE: GEORGETOWN
Georgetown has won six straight games and 17 of their last 18 overall. The Hoyas rank No. 4 in the country in scoring defense, allowing only 56.9 points per game and are No. 4 nationally in field goal percentage offensively - connecting on 50.5 percent of its shots. BIG EDGE: GEORGETOWN
The Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus the Big East.
The Hoyas are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games.




East - #5 USC vs. #1 North Carolina (9:57 PM ET)
Last season, USC handed Carolina the largest margin of defeat in its four seasons under head coach Roy Williams, 74-59 in Los Angeles. BIG EDGE: USC
USC's defeat of No. 11 Texas on Sunday gives the Trojans an 8-4 record versus Top 25 teams this season. EDGE: USC
The Trojans have held 20 of 36 opponents this season to under 40 percent shooting, and USC has held the opposition to a 39 percent shooting percentage in 2007. EDGE: UNDER
North Carolina has reached the Sweet 16 for the 15th time in its last 23 NCAA Tournament appearances. EDGE: UNC
The Tar Heels are 7-1 all-time in the series, winning the first seven meetings before losing at USC last season. Williams went 8-3 against Trojans head coach Tim Floyd when Floyd was at Iowa State. EDGE: UNC
The Trojans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
The Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus the Pac-10.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends


Friday, March 23

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Charlotte Bobcats at Philadelphia 76ers (7 PM ET)
Charlotte is 1-4 all-time at Philadelphia, which has won eight of its last 10 games at the Wachovia Center. BIG EDGE: 76ERS
The 76ers fell 96-75 to Detroit on Tuesday, two days after suffering the worst home loss in franchise history, 124-74 to Houston. EDGE: BOBCATS
The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings.




New Jersey Nets at Orlando Magic (7 PM ET)
New Jersey has shot under 45 percent from the floor in seven of their last nine games. EDGE: UNDER
The Nets have won two games in a row on the road, while the Magic have lost four of six at Amway Arena since the All-Star break. EDGE: NETS
New Jersey has dominated the series over the past five seasons, going 15-6 against Orlando since January 2002, including 5-1 over the last two seasons. BIG EDGE: NETS
The Nets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
The Magic are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of .5-4.5 points.




Minnesota Timberwolves at Seattle SuperSonics (10:30 PM ET)
Minnesota is looking to win back-to-back games for the first time in a month, after snapping a season-high 11-game road losing streak with a 95-89 win at Sacramento on Wednesday. Seattle has won the last four meetings between the two teams. EDGE: SONICS
Seattle fell for the sixth time in seven games, losing to Washington 108-106 on Wednesday night. The Sonics played without All-Star Ray Allen, who is considering season-ending surgery due to nagging bone spurs in his left ankle. EDGE: T-WOLVES
The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
The UNDER is 10-1 in the Sonics last 11 games versus the Western Conference.




Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers (10:30 PM ET)
Los Angeles is 21-12 at Staples Center, but the team has lost its last two games there to San Antonio and Detroit. SLIGHT EDGE: CLIPPERS
Utah scored more than 100 points on Tuesday for the first time since a 120-95 win over Charlotte on March 5th. EDGE: UNDER
Utah has won the first three meetings against Los Angeles this season, all by at least 10 points. The Jazz have won 11 of the last 16 in the series, though all five Clippers' wins in that span have come at home. BIG EDGE: JAZZ
The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles.

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips and Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Friday, March 23

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres (8 PM ET)
Buffalo has 101 points, the first time the team has recorded 100 in consecutive seasons since doing it four straight seasons from 1974-79. EDGE: SABRES
The Sabres have won four of the six meetings this season with the Maple Leafs, but Toronto's two victories have come in Buffalo. EDGE: MAPLE LEAFS
Toronto has bee outscored 14-3 during their current three-game road losing streak. EDGE: SABRES
The UNDER is 13-3 in the Maple Leafs' last 16 games playing on two days rest.




Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers (9 PM ET)
Colorado defeated Edmonton 5-1 on Wednesday to win its fourth straight and hand the Oilers a franchise-record 12th consecutive loss. EDGE: AVALANCHE
The Avalanche are 9-0-1 since February 27th, outscoring opponents 38-20 in those 10 games. BIG EDGE: AVALANCHE
Edmonton has managed just 11 goals during its 12-game losing streak, outscoring Colorado 23-11 in five meetings this year. EDGE: AVALANCHE

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Sweet 16

Friday, March 23

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VANDERBILT (22 - 11) vs. GEORGETOWN (28 - 6) - 3/23/2007, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GEORGETOWN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
VANDERBILT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
VANDERBILT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGETOWN is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGETOWN is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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USC (25 - 11) vs. N CAROLINA (30 - 6) - 3/23/2007, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
N CAROLINA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
USC is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
USC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
USC is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
USC is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
USC is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
USC is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UNLV (30 - 6) vs. OREGON (28 - 7) - 3/23/2007, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
UNLV is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UNLV is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UNLV is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
UNLV is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
UNLV is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
UNLV is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
UNLV is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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BUTLER (29 - 6) vs. FLORIDA (31 - 5) - 3/23/2007, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-2 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BUTLER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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[pm530]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, March 23rd

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NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen Round
East Rutherford, New Jersey

Vanderbilt vs. Georgetown, 7:25 EST

Vanderbilt:
16-34 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
14-28 ATS away off BB wins

Georgetown:
15-2 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
10-2 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest

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USC vs. North Carolina, 9:55 EST

USC:
10-1 Over after playing as an underdog
8-0 Over away off an Over

North Carolina:
9-2 ATS off BB non-conference games
15-4 ATS off an ATS win

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NCAA Tournament
Sweet Sixteen Round
St. Louis, Missouri

UNLV vs. Oregon, 9:40 EST

UNLV:
13-2 ATS on Friday nights
8-2 ATS as an underdog

Oregon:
14-7 Under playing their second game in seven days
29-15 Under off an Under

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Butler vs. Florida, 7:10 EST

Butler:
8-2 Over after winning 4 of their last 5 games
9-1 Over away after allowing 25 or less first-half points

Florida:
17-7 ATS away off 3+ wins
15-4 ATS playing on a neutral court

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Dunkel Index


FRIDAY, MARCH 23

Game 825-826: Vanderbilt vs. Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 67.664; Georgetown 76.313
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 7
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-7)

Game 827-828: USC vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: USC 72.517; North Carolina 77.108
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (+8 1/2)

Game 829-830: UNLV vs. Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 71.919; Oregon 69.501
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 3
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+3)

Game 831-832: Butler vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.986; Florida 77.386
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-10 1/2)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Miami at Indiana
Just a month ago, Indiana was four games over .500 and in sixth place in the East, while the Heat were two games below .500 and in eighth place. Since then the Heat have won 11 of 13 to move into sixth place, while the Pacers have dropped 13 of 14 and face missing the postseason for the first time since 1997. Tonight the two teams meet with Miami coming off a 91-83 road win at Atlanta that snapped the Hawks five-game home winning streak. Meanwhile the Pacers fell to San Antonio (90-72) increasing the average margin of their last three losses to 14 1/2 points. The Heat look like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-1 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Miami favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 23
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: New Jersey at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 116.534; Orlando 116.502
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+4); Over

Game 803-804: Miami at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.677; Indiana 111.886
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2); Under

Game 805-806: Denver at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 122.464; Toronto 119.637
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 199 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 807-808: Charlotte at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 112.571; Philadelphia 116.238
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+6); Over

Game 809-810: Portland at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.113; Atlanta 113.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 185
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 811-812: Dallas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 127.870; Boston 117.898
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: New York at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.050; Cleveland 129.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 14 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 187
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-10); Under

Game 815-816: Detroit at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: 123.260; San Antonio 125.399
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 169 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 177
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: LA Lakers at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 111.804; New Orleans 117.380
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Over

Game 819-820: Minnesota at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 110.591; Seattle 118.552
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 8; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 3; 194
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Over

Game 821-822: Utah at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 122.300; LA Clippers 119.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 823-824: Washington at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 118.864; Golden State 120.901
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 2; 211 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 219 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Los Angeles at Chicago
The Blackhawks come into the contest with a three-game losing streak in which they've been outscored 14-5. Goalie Patrick Lalime has allowed 11 goals in this last two starts and Chicago has given up seven goals in 19 chances against the power play during the skid. The Kings are coming off a 4-2 loss to Dallas, but had won their previous two and are 3-1-1 in their last five games. Los Angeles looks like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 23
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Toronto at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.709; Buffalo 13.090
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 3-4: Los Angeles at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.021; Chicago 11.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Colorado at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 14.262; Edmonton 10.264
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 4; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: Dallas at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.901; Anaheim 12.754
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NCAAB
Additional


MORE SWEET 16 SECRETS


Vanderbilt:
1-5 SU and ATS away form home versus Big East opponents.
0-3 ATS as NCAA tournament underdogs 4 or more points.
Sweet 16 teams off a dog win are 2-29 SU and 11-20 ATS vs. #1 or #2 teams.
8-1 ATS playing with revenge this season.

Georgetown:
11-1 SU and 10-1 ATS when playing with 4 or more days rest.
8-2 ATS versus opponents off a SU and ATS win.
1-4 SU and ATS from the Sweet 16 round out.
Returning Sweet 16 favorites of 6.5+ points are 23-2 SU and 16-9 ATS.

USC:
7-0 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 or more points.
0-7 SU and 1-5-1 ATS away from home versus ACC opponents.
Sweet 16 teams off a dog win are 2-29 SU and 11-20 ATS vs. #1 or #2 teams.

North Carolina:
10-3 SU and ATS versus Pac 10 opponents.
7-1 SU and ATS off a win vs. Pac 10 opponents.
16-4 SU and 12-8 ATS from the Sweet 16 round on out.
17-2 SU and 14-4 ATS off SU and ATS win this season.
5-0 SU in the Sweet Sixteen round.

UNLV:
7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS as underdogs this season.
5-0 ATS as an underdog vs. a non-conference opponents.
6-2 ATS games versus Pac 10 opponents.
Sweet 16 underdogs off BB wins of 10 points or less are 17-9 ATS.
Sweet 16 teams off BB underdog wins are 2-17 SU.
Rebels are 8-2 SU off BB underdog wins.

Oregon:
8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
5-1-1 ATS versus opponents off an underdog win.
10-5-1 ATS with a line of +7 to -7.
2-7 ATS versus fellow NCAA tourney teams this season.
0-3 ATS vs. MWC opponents.
Third-lowest scoring team in this tourney (133 points).

Butler:
6-0 SU and ATS as an underdog this season.
3-0 ATS versus SEC opponents.
Underdogs of 11 or more points in this round are 6-1 ATS.
Sweet 16 teams off a dog win are 2-29 SU and 11-20 ATS vs. #1 or #2 teams.
0-2 ATS versus teams seeded 1 or 2.

Florida:
SU winner in the last 60 Gators’ postseason games is 54-5-1 ATS.
3-0 SU and ATS versus .800 or better opponents this season.
3-1 SU and ATS last four Sweet 16 round games.
12-21-1 ATS as favorites in this tourney vs. opponents off a win.