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Missed on Phil Stacey last week being eliminated, although he was in the bottom three. In retrospect, I probably should've went with Brandon Rogers also (my other choice) since both of them were getting back more than +400 each.
This week Sanjaya Malakar is the favorite to be eliminated at -103. Stacey is +369. Both of them were in the bottom three last week along with Rogers (eliminated), and I dont' figure that to change this week. I'm reluctant to go with Stacey this week because, unlike last week, the opportunity for a hedge on Malakar (at -103) is virtually absent.
Who's gonna win it all?
Jordin Sparks looked strong last week and is good value at +944. Only problem is that she's not geting the this at the site; secondly, she's highly unlikely, as a black female, to beat out the either of the other two black females, both of whom are front runners (Melinday Doolittle and Lekisha Jones), much less both of them. Sparks is a pass.
I'm sticking with my posted pick last week of Blake Lewis (white male) at +920 last week and up to +935 this week for some odd reason.
Blake is getting double the hits at the site over second place Melinda Doolittle who is favored to win @ +139. It's all about the votes. And if the site is any indication, Blake is running away with the votes despite the fact that Doolittle can run circles around him verbally (see Studdard-Aiken results).
Doolittle also runs the risk of losing votes because she's "so good" (see Chris Daughtery), but she would make a good hedge against Lewis.
BLAKE LEWIS +935 TO WIN
ELIMINATION: PASS
gl,
dave
This week Sanjaya Malakar is the favorite to be eliminated at -103. Stacey is +369. Both of them were in the bottom three last week along with Rogers (eliminated), and I dont' figure that to change this week. I'm reluctant to go with Stacey this week because, unlike last week, the opportunity for a hedge on Malakar (at -103) is virtually absent.
Who's gonna win it all?
Jordin Sparks looked strong last week and is good value at +944. Only problem is that she's not geting the this at the site; secondly, she's highly unlikely, as a black female, to beat out the either of the other two black females, both of whom are front runners (Melinday Doolittle and Lekisha Jones), much less both of them. Sparks is a pass.
I'm sticking with my posted pick last week of Blake Lewis (white male) at +920 last week and up to +935 this week for some odd reason.
Blake is getting double the hits at the site over second place Melinda Doolittle who is favored to win @ +139. It's all about the votes. And if the site is any indication, Blake is running away with the votes despite the fact that Doolittle can run circles around him verbally (see Studdard-Aiken results).
Doolittle also runs the risk of losing votes because she's "so good" (see Chris Daughtery), but she would make a good hedge against Lewis.
BLAKE LEWIS +935 TO WIN
ELIMINATION: PASS
gl,
dave
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