Saturday Trends and Indexes 03/17

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, March 17


Good Luck on day #76 of 2007!


NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

By the way, Happy St. Patrick’s Day!

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Saturday

We're looking at all thirty big league teams during spring training; today, we look at the Pittsburgh Pirates.

-- Pirates were 15-4 in one-run games after All Star break.

-- Paul Maholm allowed 15.1 runners per nine innings last season, not very good.

-- Pirates were 43-38 at home last year, their first winning record at PNC Park.

-- Normally-steady Jack Wilson had career-high 18 errors in 2006.

-- Mike Gonzalez was 24-24 in saves, so of course, Pirates traded him for Adam Laroche.

-- Pirates have won 25 batting titles, more than any team.

[pm530]

Friday night's list of 13: Tournament observations.......

13) This is first time since '85 that there will be four games in second round matching 2-7 seeds; there has always been at least one upset involving those teams, but not this year.

12) Watching Arizona all season, it seems like Lute Olson, at times, actually has to plead with his team to play hard. This is never a good thing, especially with fairly veteran team. They are getting totally outhustled by Purdue tonight.

11) I wonder how many fish Bob Knight caught today.

10) Top ten players for New Mexico State all transferred from a junior college or another D-I school; they have only a pair of freshmen, and one of them is Reggie Theus' cousin.

9) If you're the AD at New Mexico State, start drawing up a list of coaching candidates, because Theus is going to be scooped up by one of the big boys very, very soon.

8) Three of four early games tonight are excellent; Kansas is just killing Niagara, whose best player was tired 2:00 after the game started. Sometimes I'd just like to kick myself, and not having the over in this game is one of those times.

7) Virginia Tech's team went through hell last year, with lot of off-court, family/illness issues; tonight, they got some joy, as they outscore Illinois 12-0 in last 4:25 to hand Illinois as bitter a defeat as you can imagine. Illini missed front end of 1-and-1 with :04.9 left. Very difficult loss to stomach.

6) Big 11 teams aren't as talented as some teams in the other leagues, but by golly, they're tougher than most teams, and the way NCAA games are officiated (not many touch fouls), this gives them an advantage, at least I think it does. Except for Illinois; they topped 61 points twice in their last 14 games.

5) Do you think Ian Eagle was rooting for Winthrop's Eagles?

4) Good lord, Kentucky had to start a seldom-used freshman, because an assistant coach checked the wrong starter in the scorebook. UK gave a foul in first :02, got right kid in game. Confusion was because two kids have same last name. It is good for Tubby that Kentucky won another 1st round game.

3) Does Arkansas making tournament, but getting waxed by USC, take heat off Stan Heath? Hogs didn't play very well at all, and now Texas-USC meet Sunday.

2) Southern Illinois really grinds out wins; they defend very well, but they struggle on offense; health of Shaw (ankle) is important for their game vs Hokies Sunday.

1) Final tally for the first round: favorites were 23-9 vs spread; only two seeds 10 or lower are still alive (Winthrop and VCU, a pair of 11 seeds). Over/unders split at 16-16.

[pm530]

NCAAB
Write up

Saturday, March 17


NIT

Mississippi State had extra day to prepare after easy win over Mississippi Valley; they've won last five home games, by 7,24, 13,24,19 points. Bradley had OT win vs Providence, a lot better foe, thanks to 10 missed Friar FTs. Braves won five of their last seven games; they depend lot on shooting 3's, and are 4-3 last seven road games. State is 10-5 as a favorite this season.


NCAA First Round
Saturday

#1 seeds are 8-0 SU in second round last two years (5-3 against spread); Matta came to Columbus from Xavier, so Musketeers know him well, as does former assistant Miller. Xavier is 10-1 in last 11 games; they beat Illinois 65-59 and lost only one game in whole season by more than eight pts; they're 0-1 as underdog this year, losing 63-56 vs Alabama on neutral court (+2). OSU is on 17-game win streak; they covered four of last five games. X will try to speed up game; tough to score in halfcourt vs OSU.

Butler has beaten Indiana, Purdue, Notre Dame, Gonzaga so far this season; they're not awed by names, but Maryland has won eight of last nine games, covering eight of last ten as favorites. Bulldogs held Old Dominion to 32.7% from floor, going on late 17-0 run to break open close game. Young Davidson squad was 10-37 from arc Thursday, but Curry did score 30. since '99, dogs are 10-4 vs spread in second round games between 4-5 seeds. Maryland is 10th in country in pace, Butler 329th; Bulldogs led country in taking care of ball, so they control tempo.

Louisville is 78 miles from Rupp Arena, so home game for UofL squad whose coach won national title for Kentucky. Aggies are in odd spot; they win here, they go home to Texas, and they'll be home side in San Antonio next week. Cardinal playing very well, winning eight of last nine games; they crushed Stanford in first round, forcing 21 turnovers in game they led by 26 at half. A&M is much tougher team with best PG in country; they were 6-2 on road in Big 12 this season, losing in double OT at Texas, by hoop in Lubbock. Last three years, dogs are 7-1 vs spread in second round games involving 3-6 seeds.

Vanderbilt held George Washington to 27% in first round game they led by 25 at half; Commodores are just 3-3 in last six games are 7-3 vs spread in last 10 tries as underdog. Washington St is 4-3 in last seven games. Both teams take great care of ball, are intelligent squads. Again, over last three years, dogs are 7-1 vs spread in second round games involving 3-6 seeds. Vanderbilt wants faster game (Wazzu ranks 322nd in pace); does having easier game in first round make it harder to bear down in 2nd?

Over last three years, 2-seeds are just 4-8 vs spread in second round games. Georgetown is on roll, winning 16 of last 17 and last five in row. Neither team forces turnovers or likes fast pace; BC is just 3-5 in last eight games after beating Texas Tech in its first round game. These teams are former Big East rivals; BC is 0-1 vs Big East this year, losing 73-64 to Providence. Hoyas are 0-1 vs ACC, losing 61-52 at Duke- that was before current roll. BC is 30th in country in % of points scored on foul shots; we'll see if that hurts them here, as refs call less fouls in NCAAs.

VCU won seven games in row, 20 of last 22 games; the former Rutgers coach Wenzel called Rams best pressing team he has seen this season. VCU hit 9-16 treys in come-from-behind win vs Duke, now they need to beat better team, Pitt, who crushed Wright State Thursday, making 10-21 treys when Raiders tried to sag down and double Gray in post. VCU has better figures on forcing turnovers and protecting ball; that has been a good indicator for second round upsets last three years. Problem is, #11 seeds are 4-15 vs spread in second round last twenty yrs.

UCLA crushed Weber State in first round, making 10-19 treys but only 6-9 from foul line; underdg is 6-4 vs spread in second round 2-7 matchups over last four years. Both these teams lost first round conference tourney game. Indiana held Gonzaga to 33.9% from floor Thursday. Sampson was 3-2 in second round games at Oklahoma; he covered last three tries as tourney dog (all in '99). Bruins are 2-5 vs spread in last seven tries as a fave. Hoosiers are 3-3-1 vs spread as an underdog this season.

Izzo won his last six second round games, winning last four by double digit margins, but he is without Ibok (elbow) here. State beat Marquette so easily primarily because McNeal didn't play for Eagles. Carolina shot 64% from floor vs outmanned EKU in first round; Carolina is 2-4 in last six tries in this round. MSU is 0-2 vs ACC this season, scoring 59 ppg in losses to Boston College, Maryland. UNC beat Big 11's Ohio State back in fall. UNC beat Spartans 87-71 in '05 national semifinals (-5).

[pm530]

NCAAB
Tips and trends


Saturday, March 17

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Midwest - #5 Butler vs. #4 Maryland (3:20 PM ET)
Maryland is 0-5 in its last five games when scoring less than 65 points this season. Butler allows just 56.8 points per game - ranking seventh in the nation and held Old Dominion to 46 points on Thursday. EDGE: BUTLER
The Terrapins are 11-5 all-time against opponents from the Horizon League, and a victory would send Maryland to the Sweet 16 for the seventh time in the last 13 years. EDGE: MARYLAND
The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
The Terrapins are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.




#11 VCU vs. #3 Pittsburgh (5:50 PM ET)
Pitt is one of only 12 schools nationally to advance to the NCAA Tournament in each of the last six seasons. EDGE: PITT
VCU picked up a 79-77 upset victory over Duke on Thursday, handing the Blue Devils their first first-round loss since 1996. EDGE: VCU
Pitt has a big-advantage over VCU in tournament experience, considering Thursday's VCU victory was the team's first in over 20 years, when the Rams beat Marshall in 1985. EDGE: PITT
The Rams are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.
The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games as favorites.




South - #9 Xavier vs. #1 Ohio State (1:10 PM ET)
Xavier has been to 17 of the last 25 NCAA Tournaments, including four of the last five. Ohio State has been to 12 of the last 25 NCAA Tournaments, including two of the last five. SLIGHT EDGE: XAVIER
Ohio State head coach Thad Matta hired Sean Miller as Xavier's first-ever associate head coach for his three seasons as the Xavier head coach (2002-2004). SLIGHT EDGE: OHIO STATE
Xavier is 0-2 in previous NCAA Tournament meetings against a No. 1 seed. EDGE: OHIO STATE
Ohio State is 33-18 in NCAA Tournament games. As a No. 1 seed the Buckeyes are now 6-2. EDGE: OHIO STATE
The Musketeers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as an underdog.
The Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games as a favorite.




South - #6 Louisville vs. #3 Texas A&M (3:40 PM ET)
Louisville is just 8-13 when playing as a lower seed in the NCAA Tournament. EDGE: LOUISVILLE
Texas A&M finished 13-3 in Big 12 play, its most wins in the league's 11-year history. The last time A&M had a better conference mark was in 1980, when the Aggies won the Southwest Conference with a 14-2 mark. That team went on to the NCAA Sweet 16. EDGE: TEXAS A&M
The Aggies rank second nationally in defensive field-goal percentage (.372), sixth in three-point percentage defense (.297) and 16th in scoring defense (59.2). EDGE: UNDER
The Cardinals are 0-7 ATS in their last seven neutral site games as underdogs.
The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.




East - #7 Boston College vs. #2 Georgetown (5:50 PM ET)
Boston College has a 3-0 all-time record in Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum. EDGE: BOSTON COLLEGE
Boston College has a 2-5 record against nationally ranked teams this season. EDGE: GEORGETOWN
Georgetown leads the head-to-head series against Boston College, 43-27, but the Eagles have won the last two meetings. EDGE: GEORGETOWN
The Hoyas have won five straight and 16 of their last 17 games. Georgetown ranks No. 5 in the country in scoring defense, giving up 56.8 points per game. BIG EDGE: GEORGETOWN & UNDER
The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
The Hoyas are 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus the ACC.




East - #9 Michigan State vs. #1 North Carolina (8:20 PM ET)
North Carolina has appeared in 126 NCAA Tournament games. Only Kentucky (139) has played in more. EDGE: UNC
UNC has reached the Sweet 16 18 times in its last 24 NCAA Tournament appearances. EDGE: UNC
Michigan State has made 10 straight NCAA Tournament appearances, which is the fifth-longest active streak in the nation. EDGE: MICHIGAN STATE
Spartans' head coach Tom Izzo ranks third among active coaches for the best NCAA Tournament winning percentage at .742 (23-8). EDGE: MICHIGAN STATE
The Spartans are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games.
The Tar Heels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
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West- #6 Vanderbilt vs. #3 Washington State (5:55 PM ET)
Vanderbilt's 33-point win over the No. 11 seed Colonials on Thursday marked the most lopsided victory by a No. 6 seed in the first round of the NCAA Tournament since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1985. EDGE: VANDERBILT
The Commodores are 3-0 in the second round of the NCAA Tournament since the field expanded to 64 teams. EDGE: VANDERBILT
The Cougars are 3-6 all-time against current members of the Southeastern Conference. EDGE: VANDERBILT
Washington State has won 26 games this season, tied for most in school history. The Cougars have won 15 more games than last season. EDGE: WASHINGTON STATE
The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.




West - #7 Indiana vs. #2 UCLA (8:25 PM ET)
Indiana is 6-5 all-time against the second-seeded Bruins. The Hoosiers also own a 2-1 record over the Bruins in the NCAA Tournament. SLIGHT EDGE: INDIANA
The Bruins returned to the top of the polls for the first time in 12 years on November 27th, 2006. Prior to this season, the last time the Bruins were ranked No. 1 was in 1995. EDGE: UCLA
UCLA has an all-time winning percentage of .732 in the NCAA Tournament with a record of 90-33. BIG EDGE: UCLA
The Hoosiers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus the Big 10.

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[pm530]

NBA
Tips and trends


Saturday, March 17

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New Orleans Hornets at Washington Wizards (7 PM ET)
The Hornets are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on zero days rest.
The Hornets are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Washington.




Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers (7:30 PM ET)
The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Cleveland.
The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.




Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies (8 PM ET)
Chicago pounded Memphis 111-66 at home on January 13th, the Grizzlies' worst loss of the season and one of the most lopsided in franchise history. The Bulls beat Memphis 111-82 in the previous meeting and have won four of the last five meetings between the teams. BIG EDGE: BULLS
Memphis enters this matchup losing eight of nine and sitting 10 games worse than any other team in the Western Conference. EDGE: BULLS
The Bulls are only 14-20 away from home, but they have won four of their past five road games. SLIGHT EDGE: BULLS

The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Memphis.
The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.




Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets (10 PM ET)
The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on zero days rest.
The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog.




Golden State Warriors at Seattle SuperSonics (10 PM ET)
The Warriors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on zero days rest.
The Warriors are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

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[pm530]

NHL
Tips and trends


Saturday, March 17

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B]Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils[/B] (1 PM ET)
New Jersey has won five straight and 10 of the last 14 regular-season meetings with Carolina. BIG EDGE: DEVILS
The Devils are 22-9-5 at home, but they've lost four straight at Continental Airlines Arena - their longest home losing streak since a five-game slide in Nov. 2000. EDGE: HURRICANES

The Hurricanes are 0-5 in their last five in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
The Devils are 5-0 in their last five in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings.




Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks (10 PM ET)
The Red Wings are 25-12-4 in the last 41 meetings.
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Vancouver.

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Saturday, March 17

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BUTLER (28 - 6) vs. MARYLAND (25 - 8) - 3/17/2007, 3:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
MARYLAND is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MARYLAND is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MARYLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MARYLAND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MARYLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARYLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BUTLER is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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VA COMMONWEALTH (28 - 6) vs. PITTSBURGH (28 - 7) - 3/17/2007, 5:50 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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BOSTON COLLEGE (21 - 11) vs. GEORGETOWN (27 - 6) - 3/17/2007, 5:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GEORGETOWN is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
GEORGETOWN is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
GEORGETOWN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MICHIGAN ST (23 - 11) vs. N CAROLINA (29 - 6) - 3/17/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LOUISVILLE (24 - 9) vs. TEXAS A&M (26 - 6) - 3/17/2007, 3:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS A&M is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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XAVIER (25 - 8) vs. OHIO ST (31 - 3) - 3/17/2007, 1:10 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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VANDERBILT (21 - 11) vs. WASHINGTON ST (26 - 7) - 3/17/2007, 12:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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INDIANA (21 - 10) vs. UCLA (27 - 5) - 3/17/2007, 12:00 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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BRADLEY (22 - 12) at MISSISSIPPI ST (19 - 13) - 3/17/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all home games this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BRADLEY is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
BRADLEY is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRADLEY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
BRADLEY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.






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[pm530]

NCAAB
Short Sheet - NIT

Saturday, March 17th

NIT Tournament
Second Round
Bottom Team is Home

Bradley at Mississippi State, 12:00 EST ESPN
Bradley: 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Mississippi State: 10-2 ATS as a home favorite

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[pm530]

NBA
Short Sheet


Saturday, March 17

Sacramento at Orlando, 7:05 EST
Sacramento: 30-17 ATS revenging a same-season loss
Orlando: 5-21 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Atlanta at Indiana, 7:05 EST
Atlanta: 1-9 ATS off 3+ Overs
Indiana: 10-3 ATS playing with two days rest

New Orleans at Washington, 7:05 EST
New Orleans: 28-11 ATS on Saturdays
Washington: 1-8 ATS on Saturdays

Utah at Cleveland, 7:35 EST NBATV
Utah: 2-8 ATS away with a total of 190 to 194.5 points
Cleveland: 11-1 ATS at home off 4+ wins

Chicago at Memphis, 8:05 EST WGN
Chicago: 1-9 ATS away playing with two days rest
Memphis: 15-7 ATS after losing 8+ of their last 10 games

Boston at San Antonio, 8:05 EST
Boston: 8-1 ATS on Saturdays
San Antonio: 13-24 ATS after making 12+ three-point shots

Charlotte at Milwuakee, 8:35 EST
Charlotte: 16-8 ATS revenging a same-season loss
Milwaukee: 27-48 ATS at home off a win by 10+ points

Golden State at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Golden State: 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
Seattle: 23-10 Over off a home loss

Phoenix at Denver, 10:05 EST
Phoenix: 9-1 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
Denver: 24-11 Under at home vs. Pacific Division opponents

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Louisville vs. Texas A&M
Louisville shook off its loss to Pitt in the Big East tournament with a convincing win over Stanford (78-58) in the first round of the NCAAs. Rick Pitino's team used its trademark trapping and pressing defense to force the Cardinal into 21 turnovers as Louisville dominated from the opening tip. Playing just 80 miles from campus at Rupp Arena certainly didn't hurt, either. A&M finished with a 16-point win over Penn (68-52), but the win was not as easy. The Quakers opened the second half with a 21-6 run and took the lead with 11 minutes remaining before A&M used its size and Acie Law to put them away. That won't be so easy for the Aggies against a Louisville team that has won eight of its last nine by an average margin of 14 points. Louisville looks like a good underdog pick (+3) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+3). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 17
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 719-720: Butler vs. Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.517; Maryland 73.811
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-5 1/2)

Game 721-722: VA Commonwealth vs. Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: VA Commonwealth 61.910; Pittsburgh 71.898
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-7)

Game 723-724: Boston College vs. Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 65.745; Georgetown 76.664
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 11
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 8
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-8)

Game 725-726: Michigan State vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 70.575; North Carolina 77.433
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 7
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 10
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+10)

Game 727-728: Louisville vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 75.093; Texas A&M 73.855
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 1
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 3
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+3)

Game 729-730: Xavier vs. Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 67.093; Ohio State 76.351
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 9
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7)

Game 731-732: Vanderbilt vs. Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 68.522; Washington State 67.027
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+2)

Game 733-734: Indiana vs. UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 68.338; UCLA 70.680
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 7
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7)

Game 735-736: Bradley at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 64.198; Mississippi State 68.589
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+8)

[Kaptain]

Thanks for all your hard work and efforts fellows----It's appreciated....kapt

[Udog]

You are more than welcome, Kapt.!!! Good luck today!
A little more is coming up.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Golden State at Seattle
With Baron Davis back in the lineup after missing 13 games with a knee injury, Golden State has won five of its last six to move into the eighth playoff spot in the West just ahead of the Clippers. While the team still ranks last in the NBA in points allowed (106.6 ppg), the defense has been better of late as the Warriors have held their opponents to an average of 95.4 points over the last five games, including just 86 against Minnesota in a 20-point win on Friday. Seattle has dropped four straight overall and six of its last eight against the Warriors. Golden State looks like a good underdog pick (+4 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored straight up by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 17
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Sacramento at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.799; Orlando 116.565
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 198
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+5); Over

Game 703-704: Atlanta at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.951; Indiana 112.182
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 191 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: New Orleans at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.228; Washington 117.607
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Utah at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 122.553; Cleveland 131.097
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Chicago at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.893; Memphis 113.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Boston at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 118.574; San Antonio 126.792
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 179
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 14 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+14 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Charlotte at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 111.745; Milwaukee 123.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 12; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 9 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-9 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Golden State at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.687; Seattle 117.399
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 3 1/2; 207 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Phoenix at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.449; Denver 121.124
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 223
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Additional


CBB Technical Game of the Day Selection:
Game 1: (NIT / RD-2) Bradley @ Mississippi State (12:00 est) ESPN
Technical Set: Mississippi State is 7-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season, 16-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season, 10-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games this season, 13-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots this season, 14-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season, 9-2 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season, 18-9 ATS in all games this season, 11-4 ATS as a favorite this season, 10-2 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season, 11-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season, 8-2 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season, 9-2 ATS off a home win this season, 8-2 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more this season, 12-5 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season, 10-2 ATS in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons, 11-2 ATS in all home games this season, 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. Bradley is 66-74 ATS as an underdog, 43-56 ATS as a road underdog, 48-67 ATS on the road overall, 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons, 0-5 ATS after 8 or more ATS wins in their last 10 games, 0-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons
Selection: Mississippi State -8


CBB / NCAA RD-2 (Saturday) Play Against CBB underdog that commits <=14turnovers per game after two straight games forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers. (56-18 ATS since 1997.) (75.7%) PLAY: Georgetown -8