Will A 12 Seed Win This Year

[thesandman]

Just one more game left. 12 seed Arkansas vs 5 seed USC.
Arkansas is +2.5 and +120 on the Money Line at sportsbook.com.

Here are the numbers. The last six years there were 24 matchups of a 12 seed vs. a 5 seed. The 12 seed won 11 games SU and the 5 seed won 13. This means 12 seeds beat 5 seeds straight up almost half the time. So what does this mean for us now.

So far this year, three of the four 12vs5 seed games have been played and the 5 seed won all three. History tells us a 12 seed will beat a 5 seed this year. If you agree, which I do, here is your big play.

PLAY 12 SEED ARKANSAS PLUS 2.5. I don't think +120 on the Money Line is worth the risk of having to win outright when a one or two point loss will cash at -110.

Good Luck whatever you do. I just played Ark with the 2.5.

[KINGNEIL]

smart play. i was gonna jump on it also but i didn't get it in in time

[KINGNEIL]

honestly, i was steering clear of that game thinking it could go either way initially, but was gonna jump after the other 12 seeds all lost

[The Lovedoc]

Illinois fucked my bracket up!!!

[thesandman]

Neil. Your smart play was being too late to jump on Ark.

[KINGNEIL]

way too early to tell now

[RDOG55]

not now neil unless Arkansas pulls a rabbit out of their hat...no 12 seed this year...when was the last time this happened

[mrbenny]

no

[kbsooner21]

I can't believe it didn't happen

[shoeman530]

not now neil unless Arkansas pulls a rabbit out of their hat...no 12 seed this year...when was the last time this happened

The 2000 tourney was the last year one of the 12 seeds failed to win.

[shoeman530]

Prior to 2000 - you'd need to go back to 1988 to see all 5 seeds win.