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  • Money Management Question Please help

    What would you rather do on the halftime lines?

    I have 1 book that give me lower lines but higher juice and the other 1 higher line but less vig.

    Example

    Wisconson -9.5 (-150)

    or Wisconson -11.5 (-115)

    some are not quite that high like Oregon

    -4.5 (-120)

    or -5.5 Even money

    Please respond

  • #2
    I would take the -4.5 and -150

    don't know about the wisky though, I would never lay 150 but 11.5 was high, depends on the 1/2 time score. what was wisky down at the half?
    Good Luck to everyone
    Adam

    Richie: [after Gus hits a homerun] Wow and he did it without steroids.
    Clark: What's steroids?
    Richie: Something that makes your pee-pee smaller.
    Clark: There must be steroids in macaroni!

    Comment


    • #3
      Do you have a bet on the game?

      If yes, then I wouldn't bet the 1/2 line.

      If no, in you like Oregon, take the 4.5 and you get what the line was (Oregon -8.5)
      Good Luck to everyone
      Adam

      Richie: [after Gus hits a homerun] Wow and he did it without steroids.
      Clark: What's steroids?
      Richie: Something that makes your pee-pee smaller.
      Clark: There must be steroids in macaroni!

      Comment


      • #4
        It all depends on how the team played in the 1st half

        Comment


        • #5
          Something For You Both To Remember. Teams Favoriite By 8 Or More And That Are Losing At The Half, Have Come Back To Cover 78% Of The Time This Year.

          Mia Closed The Half With A Nice Run. Both Teams Will Score In The 2nd Half Because Neither Play Good Defense.
          Also Oreg Shot 8-22 From The Field, While Mia Shot Over 40%.
          I Like The Over More Than Either Team.
          Wiscy Was Easier Because They Are A Great Defensive Team, That Showed Up The 2nd Half.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by BettorsChat
            It all depends on how the team played in the 1st half
            EXACTLY, SO IF YOU DIDN'T SEE THE 1ST HALF, YOU CAN'T EVEN FIGURE OUT WHAT MIGHT BE GOING TO HAPPEN

            Comment


            • #7
              ChuckEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

              Originally posted by ChuckLazar
              Something For You Both To Remember. Teams Favoriite By 8 Or More And That Are Losing At The Half, Have Come Back To Cover 78% Of The Time This Year.

              Mia Closed The Half With A Nice Run. Both Teams Will Score In The 2nd Half(((((((( Because Neither Play Good Defense.)))))))
              Also Oreg Shot 8-22 From The Field, While Mia Shot Over 40%.
              I Like The Over More Than Either Team.
              Wiscy Was Easier Because They Are A Great Defensive Team, That Showed Up The 2nd Half.
              How could you have made that statement, when it's the Defense of Miami of Ohio keeping this game close, and they are not known for their offensive skills........

              DEFENSE is what this whole game is about right now???????????Kapt


              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

              Comment


              • #8
                i cant play hlfs anymore,

                but i used to go by fouls & rebounds ! team w/advantage i took !

                but if its a blowout, i went ats the spread

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Kaptain
                  How could you have made that statement, when it's the Defense of Miami of Ohio keeping this game close, and they are not known for their offensive skills........

                  DEFENSE is what this whole game is about right now???????????Kapt
                  WHEN I WROTE THIS KARL, MIA WASN'T PLAYING TOO GOOD OF DEFENSE WITH OREG SHOOTING 8-22 FROM THE FIELD AND YET WERE LOSING 25-22.
                  THE TEAMS COMBINED TO SCORE 68 POINTS, 5 OVER THE 2ND HALF TOTAL. OREGON WAS 15-17 FROM THE FOUL LINE. GIVING A TEAM 17 FOUL SHOTS IS NOT PLAYING GOOD DEFENSE.
                  OREGON PLAYED JUST ENOUGH DEFENSE TO WIN, BUT THE TOTAL STILL WENT OVER, WITH BOTH TEAMS SHOOTING A LITTLE ABOVE 40%. IF YOU CALL IT A DEFENSIVE BATTLE, THAN I GUESS THAT'S THE WAY YOU SAW IT.

                  I THINK I WAS CORRECT IN FIGURING OUT THE SECOND HALF AND SAID THAT I WOULN'T PLAY EITHER TEAM AS HE WAS ASKING ABOUT LAYING -4.5, WHICH WOULD HAVE BEEN A LOSER.

                  THE BOTTOM LINE IS, I JUST TRYED TO HELP OUT THE DUDE WHO THREW 20* AWAY BETTING AGAINST WISCY, WHICH TO ME PLAYED "GREAT DEFENSE" ON THEIR SECOND HALF COMEBACK.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    More help

                    My question is just on 1 particular game, my question is do you consider the points more important or the juice.

                    I know you have to hit, like 52.6% of your picks at -110 to break even. So giving the choice would you like to lay or get a better point spread or have more juice.

                    It is like in baseball, I hate bases because of the lines. Of course the good picks are big favorites. So in baseball and you have 2 picks ---

                    example

                    LA Dodgers -200
                    Atlanta -110

                    Do you risk losing twice as much on LA and put the same on both teams or do you in effect risk the same and put 1/2 as much on LA so your lose is even?

                    Another question I have are on unit ratings per game. If you play 5 unit and 10 unit. Do you put twice as much money on the 10 unit? If that is the case why play the 5 unit at all because your money will be made with the 10 unit.

                    Guess I am just trying to find a way to make a living at this. HA HA

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      My take

                      I always take the points with the higher juice. Example is if Wisconsin for the game is -13 at one book and -12 -120 at another book, I would take -12 -120. This also applies to halftime lines for me. Most of my bets are for 1 unit and if I really like a game I would go 2 units. Once in a great while I might go 3. Different cappers have different styles. I am trying to bet less games as I find myself not doing as well when I bet a bunch of games. Good luck with you're betting, just remember never to chase and have discipline as there is always tomorrow and a whole new set of games to bet.
                      Posted record as of 03/12/08:

                      NBA 35-33 -.22 units
                      NCAA Basketball 12-14-1 -3.08 units

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        dont ask me i got none. i fell off my rocker tonight
                        2013 NCAA POD Record

                        8-3ATS +3.80 units

                        2013 NFL POD Record

                        1-2 ATS -4.50 units

                        Comment

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