Friday Trends and Indexes 03/16

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday, March 16

Good Luck on day #75 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Friday

We're looking at all thirty big league teams during spring training; today, we look at the Cincinnati Reds.

-- Reds used 140 different lineups last season.

-- 24 guys played for the Reds last year who weren't with Cincinnati before GM Krivsky was hired February 8.

-- Trading for Kirk Saarloos isn't going to help. Trust me.

-- Backup IF Juan Castro has lowest OB% of active players with 2,000+ plate appearances, with a .272 mark.

-- Reds grabbed Josh Hamilton away from Devil Rays as a Rule 5 pick; Hamilton was once top pick in draft, but he has struggled with substance issues, and has played only few games as high as AA, but he's hitting .500 this spring.

-- Odd thing is Reds took Hamilton without knowing Jerry Narron's brother coached Hamilton in youth ball. They then signed the other Narron as a video coordinator.

[pm530]

NCAAB
Write up


Friday, March 16


NIT

Marist won 67-64 at Oklahoma State, holding onto 37-26 lead at the half, now they visit red-hot NC State club that won four of last five games, but is playing its sixth game in nine days. State isn't very deep, but they won in tough Drexel gym Tuesday, so they keep playing. Marist won eight of their last nine games. Red Foxes are 2-2 vs spread as an underdog this season.


NCAA First Round
Friday

Virginia's excellent backcourt gets tested by Jamar Wilson, who was America East Player of Year last two years; Cavaliers lost last four games away from home, are 3-4 in its last seven games SU, and are no lock here vs an Albany squad that led UConn by 11 with 11:30 left in first round in '06. #4 seed in South is 2-5 vs spread in last seven first round tilts. Virginia is 0-4 vs spread as non-conference favorite this season.

UNLV won last seven games and has #10 RPI, but they trailed in MWC final 16-3, before rallying on home court for win; they are more veteran team than Georgia Tech squad- Jackets' best two players are freshmen. Rebels like to shoot 3's; Tech is not great defending the trey, ranking 232nd in country in percent of points allowed behind arc. Jackets are 3-3 in their last six games Wake Forest shot 16-23 from arc against them in ACC tourney.

North Texas coach Jones was interim coach at Memphis before Tigers hired Calipari; he is former Louisiana high school legend and LSU star-- this game is in New Orleans. Memphis is loaded with young talent; they've won 23 games in row- they beat Sun Belt's Middle Tennessee by 40 in December. North Texas won seven of last eight games; they had to win four times in the Sun Belt tourney to get here. Both sides rank in top 70 in pace.

I've been saying since Thanksgiving that Winthrop would win an NCAA game, so time to put my money where my mouth is. . Eagles lost in OT to Wisconsin, lost 73-66 to North Carolina, they went thru their conference undefeated. Notre Dame is 4-6 in last ten road games- they've lost at St John's, South Florida, DePaul. This is Super Bowl for Winthrop program. Notre Dame can score, but they're 4-8 vs spread in last dozen as a favorite.

Long Beach State plays eight seniors; its coach doesn't have a contract for next year, but they play without fear, outscoring its foes by eight points a game in second half. Tennessee lost first game in SEC tourney; they barely beat a 15 seed in first round last year. Vols have only one senior on squad. They posted a total of 170, as both teams rank in top 25 in pace. Nixon is back home; 49ers' best player is from Cleveland. Tennessee thrives on outrunning foes; they won't outrun Long Beach State.

Higher seed is 12-0 SU in Wisconsin's NCAA games under Bo Ryan; Badgers haven't been as good since Butch dislocated an elbow, but he is back practicing and could play next weekend. Corpus Christi didn't have a team nine years ago; they gave up 22 offensive rebounds in Southland final last week, so Badgers figure to dominate glass with physical play. Wisconsin is 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight games as a favorite.

Creighton is just 7-5 outside of Missouri Valley; they're 10-2 in last dozen games, beating nemesis Southern Illinois in finals of MVC tourney. Nevada lost twice to Utah State in its last four games; they need Shiloh (hamstring) healthy to move on here. Wolf Pack is 12-1 outside of WAC, losing to UNLV; they beat Akron, Gonzaga, Santa Clara and also swept WAC road trip in star Fazekas' absence, beating Hawai'i in OT without Fazekas.

Oregon won last six games, last four all by 18+ points; their set of guards will force fast tempo vs Miami club that ranks 331st out of 336 teams in pace of game. MAC teams are 0-3 in NCAA last three years, losing by 13,5,15 points. Miami is just 5-8 out of MAC this year; they were 3-3 in last six games before their run to MAC tourney title. Pacific Northwest site favors Ducks. Oregon covered last three as favorite, after 0-8 skid as favorite.

Illinois is 8-3 in last eleven games; they're 12-3 outside of Big 11 losing 72-66 to Maryland of ACC, team Hokies beat in OT back on Jan 21. Hokies are tough to figure; they beat North Carolina twice, but went 0-3 vs NC State, and were 1-3 in last four games overall. Both teams rank low in pace (Illini 301, Tech 258); so it would figure to be low-scoring affair. Illinois scored 61 or less points in 11 of last 13 games. Tech won last 11 times they gave up less than 69 points.

Niagara lost by 17 to Oklahoma of Big 12 in this round couple years ago; here they face Kansas squad that lost in first round last two years, so they won't take this lightly. Both teams play at fast tempo (Niagara 70, Kansas 63) but Jayhawks rank #1 in defense, Eagles 240th, so Kansas should light scoreboard up. Niagara won last 12 games, but would be concerned about their conditioning, vs very deep Kansas squad that runs all day.

Arizona ranks 332nd in country in forcing turnovers; they're 2-6 in first round under Olson when a 4 seed or lower; they scored 50 points in losing their first round game to Oregon last week in Pac-10 tourney. Purdue is 11-3 outside of Big 11, 4-5-2 against spread as underdog; they won four of last five games, covered eight of last 10. Boilers got a 9 seed, so committee thought lot of them. Arizona sub Dillon got DUI Sunday, won't play here.

New Mexico State is here because they won WAC tourney on their home court, when top seed got beat by someone else in semis; in other words, they don't belong here. Aggies are 5-3 vs spread as dog this year; they Texas starts four freshmen, so you always wonder about such a young team; they do have Superman on their side; they're 3-6-1 vs spread in last ten tries as fave. Aggies rank 42nd in pace, so they'll run with Texas.

Patriot League teams covered their last five first round games; Bucknell won first round games the last two years-- Willard is 3-0 vs spread with Holy Cross, losing by 11,4,4 pts. Southern Illinois won 11 of last 12 games, with wins at Butler, Missouri State, Wichita, but they covered only one of last five as a fave. Total is 108.5; the Crusaders rank 294th in pace, Salukis 315th. Southern Illinois is 6-2 in last eight tries as a favorite.

Kentucky won last 16 first round games, last losing to Ohio St in '87; they've usually been higher than an 8 seed, but they did beat UAB last year as 8 seed. This is first year since '74 that UK hasn't beaten a ranked team; they're 3-6 in last nine games, and facing constant questions about Smith's job ststus. Nardi's foot is problem for Villanova, which lost in regional final last season Villanova lost 62-57 to Georgetown in Big East tourney, in game they trailed 22-2 at one point.

Jackson State has one of nation's best scorers in Trey Johnson, but Florida has whole team back from squad that won national title last year; they allow only 61.7 ppg, holding teams to 29.4% beyond arc. JSU plays fast, ranking 39th in pace. Gators aren't real deep; not sure status of Horford's knee after he got rolled up on during Arkansas game Sunday. Florida is 4-0 vs spread in March, winning by 13,17,21,21 pts. If you look at the power rankings, Jackson State should have been in play-in game.

Arkansas was 11-3 outside of SEC, with only near-quality wins over NIT teams, West Virginia and Marist; they lost to Texas, Texas Tech and Missouri. Hogs won five of last six games, lost in SEC finals; their two wins vs Vandy got them in here. USC was down 38 in Pac-10 final vs Oregon; Trojans are 2-4 in last six games away from home, but were 10-3 outside of the Pac-10; they lost in OT to South Carolina at home. Mixed signals on the Pac-10 after Washington State/Stanford split Thursday.

[pm530]

NCAAB
Tips and trends


Friday, March 16

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Chicago, Illinois

Midwest - #7 UNLV vs. #10 Georgia Tech (12:25 PM ET)
The Rebels have an assortment of scoring options - so early foul trouble doesn't hinder this team as much as others. Senior point-guard Kevin Kruger led the Mountain West Conference in assists and is the teams most dangerous shooter. EDGE: UNLV
Being away from home is certainly a concern for Georgia Tech, as the Yellow Jackets were a dismal 1-8 in true road games this year, which will still be a factor even on a neutral court. EDGE: UNLV
UNLV advanced to four Final Fours and won the 1990 national title under Jerry Tarkanian but hasn’t wont a single NCAA tournament game since they ran him out after the 1991-92 season. SLIGHT EDGE: GEORGIA TECH
The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games as favorites.
The Rebels are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games underdogs.
The UNDER is 9-1-1 in the Runnin' Rebels' last 11 games as underdogs.


Midwest - #2 Wisconsin vs. #15 Texas A&M-CC (2:55 PM ET)
With two-year starter Brian Butch out for at least the first two weekends with a dislocated right elbow, Wisconsin is still adjusting. The Badgers are far from automatic on the free-throw line and behind the arc. EDGE: TEXAS A&M-CC
Texas A&M-CC center Chris Daniels averaged 15.3 points and 6.7 rebounds to become the Southland Conference Player of the Year award. He's a 7-footer with an outside touch and opposing teams must design a defense to stop him. EDGE: TEXAS A&M-CC
The Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the Badgers' last six games as favorites of 13 points or greater.


West - #1 Kansas vs. #16 Niagara (7:10 PM ET)
The Kansas Jayhawks certainly look formidable as a No. 1 seed in the West region, but any team can claim as many wins as the Jayhawks in the past two NCAA tournaments. The Jayhawks were bounced by Bucknell and Bradley the last two years. EDGE: NIAGARA
Niagara got a surprise performance from Clif Brown in Tuesday's play-in game, as he connected on a career-high six 3-pointers en route to 32 points in a 77-69 win over Florida A&M. Brown stepped up with 24 points in the second half alone after scoring 18 or less in his previous 11 games while leading scorer Charron Fisher battled foul trouble and totaled just 13 points. EDGE: NIAGARA


West - #8 Kentucky vs. #9 Villanova (9:40 PM ET)
If Villanova leads late in games, it's hard to beat them. The Wildcats shot a Big East-best 78.4 percent from the free-throw line during the regular season. BIG EDGE: VILLANOVA
Kentucky has lost only one first round game with Tubby Smith as head coach – versus Georgia in 1998. EDGE: KENTUCKY
Villanova is 0-4 ATS in its last four NCAA Tournament games.
Kentucky is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine games versus the Big East.



Columbus, Ohio

West - #5 Virginia Tech vs. #12 Illinois (7:10 PM ET)
The Hokies have great depth with nine players averaging at least 10 minutes per game, led by senior guards Zabian Dowdell and Jamon Gordon. EDGE: VIRGINIA TECH
Illinois has just nine scholarship players at their disposal and only eight that actually play. The Fighting Illini lack depth and the ability to mix-and-match with versatile opponents
The Fighting Illini are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
The UNDER is 11-0 in the Fighting Illini's last 11 Friday games.


West - #4 Southern Illinois vs. #13 Holy Cross (9:40 PM ET)
Holy Cross head coach Ralph Willard's coaching style gives the Crusaders a chance to win any game. The Crusaders force 16.9 turnovers per game and knock down free throws, which has led them to 18 of 20 games to capture a fourth Patriot League title in seven years. EDGE: HOLY CROSS
The Patriot League champion (Bucknell) has won first-round games over Kansas and Arkansas each of the last two years. EDGE: HOLY CROSS
The best way to beat Southern Illinois’ man-to-man halfcourt defense is to run against them. However, Holy Cross puts a lot of emphasis on slowing the game down, ranking seventh in the country in team defense with 57.4 points allowed per game. EDGE: UNDER
The Patriot League champion has won first-round games each of the last two years. EDGE: HOLY CROSS
The Crusaders are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs.
The Salukis are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as favorites.


South - #4 Virginia vs. #13 Albany (12:15 PM ET)
Virginia has a great backcourt with guards Sean Singletary and J.R. Reynolds but could have big problems matching up with an opponent with any kind of size. Fortunately for the Cavs in this round, Albany doesn't have much size. EDGE: VIRGINIA
The Great Danes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as a favorite.


South - #5 Tennessee vs. #12 Long Beach State (2:45 PM ET)
Long Beach State coach Larry Reynolds is in a unique situation, as he doesn’t have a contract beyond this season and could be out as head coach. His team won the Big West though and could be a dangerous No. 12 seed. SLIGHT EDGE: LONG BEACH STATE
The 49ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The Volunteers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as a favorite.



New Orleans, Louisiana

Midwest - #8 Arizona vs. #9 Purdue (7:20 PM ET)
Arizona thrives in a fast-paced game with three go-to guys in Ivan Radenovic, Marcus Williams and Chase Budinger. The Wildcats also have a very capable point guard in senior Mustafa Shakur. EDGE: ARIZONA
More than most Big Ten teams, the Boilermakers had a huge split between their home and away performances. Purdue went almost three years without a victory on an opponent's court before beating Penn State 69-59 on February 3rd. EDGE: ARIZONA
Arizona seemed to lack interest in the Pac-10 Tournament, but this team has what experts believe to be four future NBA players on its roster. EDGE: ARIZONA
The Boilermakers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus the Pac-10.
The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games.
The OVER is 4-0 in the Wildcats' last four NCAA Tournament games.


Midwest - #1 Florida vs. #16 Jackson State (9:50 PM ET)
With all five starters plus two key reserves back from last year's NCAA championship team, the Gators have plenty of tournament experience. They shoot better than 50 percent from the field overall and 40 percent on threes. EDGE: FLORIDA
The biggest obstacle for Florida is falling behind early or coming out flat, which is definitely a possibility during six possible games in the tournament. The Gators averaged two more turnovers a game more than their 16 SEC opponents. EDGE: JACKSON STATE
Jackson State will go only as far as Trey Johnson wants to take them, as he averages 27.1 points per game - making him the second-leading scorer in the country. EDGE: JACKSON STATE
The Gators are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as favorites.
The UNDER is 9-2 in the Gators' last 11 NCAA Tournament games as favorites.


South - #2 Memphis vs. #15 North Texas (12:30 PM ET)
Memphis is riding a 22-game winning streak - the longest in the nation - but lacks respect as a member of Conference USA. The Tigers have just three victories against the tourney field (Kentucky, Gonzaga and Jackson State). SLIGHT EDGE: MEMPHIS
The Mean Green Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as favorites of 13 points or greater.


South - #7 Nevada vs. #10 Creighton (3 PM ET)
The Blue Jays are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as underdogs.
The OVER is 18-4 in the Wolf Pack's last 22 games as favorites of 0.5-6.5 points.



Spokane, Washington

Midwest - #6 Notre Dame vs. #11 Winthrop (2:35 PM ET)
The Eagles rely on three seniors - including big man Craig Bradshaw - and two juniors among its top six players. Bradshaw was Winthrop's most dominant plyer down the stretch, averaging 15.1 points and 7.3 rebounds during the conference season. All six have played in at least two NCAA Tournament games. EDGE: WINTHROP
Winthrop has four losses this season: North Carolina, Maryland, Wisconsin and Texas A&M. The only thing holding the Eagles back is head coach Greg Marshall’s 0-6 record in the dance. SLIGHT EDGE: WINTHROP
The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.
The Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games.
The OVER is 13-3-1 in the Fighting Irish's last 17 non-conference games.


Midwest - #3 Oregon vs. #14 Miami-Ohio (5:05 PM ET)
The Ducks are an explosive offensive team with Pac-10 leading scorer Aaron Brooks leading the way. They can score points in bunches, which makes opposing coaches try to slow down the pace. EDGE: OREGON
The RedHawks play a Princeton-style offense, which is something that has been successful in March before. They like to slow down the tempo and use the shot clock. Miami will try to grind out victories due to lack of depth on the bench. EDGE: OREGON
Oregon guard Bryce Taylor is coming into this tournament with some serious steam, scoring 32 points after a perfect game in the Ducks’ Pac-10 tourney final over USC – going 11-for-11, 7-of-7 on 3s, 3-of-3 at the line. EDGE: OREGON
The Redhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
The Ducks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.


East - #4 Texas vs. #13 New Mexico State (7:25 PM ET)
The Aggies are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
The Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.


East - #5 USC vs. #12 Arkansas (9:55 PM ET)
USC head coach Tim Floyd hasn’t been to the tournament in more than a decade. Only one Floyd-coached team has lost to a lower-seeded team. On the other end, only one of his teams’ has ever beaten a higher seed. EDGE: USC
The Razorbacks are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as underdogs.
The Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss.

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[pm530]

NBA
Tips and trends


Friday, March 16

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Los Angeles Clippers at Charlotte Bobcats (7 PM ET)
The Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite of .5-4.5 points.
The OVER is 11-1 in the Bobcats last 12 games versus the Western Conference.


Houston Rockets at Toronto Raptors (7 PM ET)
Houston star Tracy McGrady played his first three seasons with the Raptors from 1997-2000 and is routinely booed when he returns. He's averaging 31.6 points in his last five visits to Toronto. EDGE: ROCKETS
Toronto has won its last three games against Houston by an average of more than 16 points. The Raptors have shown tremendous balance in those victories, placing at least five players in double figures in each of them. BIG EDGE: RAPTORS
The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings
The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.


Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers (7 PM ET)
After winning six in a row, Utah has dropped back-to-back games, including a 101-90 defeat to Orlando on Wednesday night. EDGE: 76ERS
Utah forward Carlos Boozer is averaging 26.3 points on 65.9 percent shooting and 11.3 rebounds in his last three meetings against Philadelphia. EDGE: JAZZ
The Jazz have taken three straight matchups with Philadelphia and holds a 26-6 advantage in the last 32 meetings. BIG EDGE: JAZZ
The Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.


New Orleans Hornets at New York Knicks (7:30 PM ET)
The Hornets have lost five straight away from home and their star point-guard is hurting. Chris Paul, averaging 17.2 points and 8.8 assists, has a stress reaction in his left foot, but shouldn't miss any time. EDGE: KNICKS
New Orleans has won three straight over New York, including two at Madison Square Garden. EDGE: HORNETS
The Knicks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The OVER is 13-3 in the Hornets last 16 games playing on two days rest.


Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks (8:30 PM ET)
Dallas has lost consecutive games for the first time since starting the season 0-4 and their lead over the Suns in the West has shrunk to 2 1/2 games. EDGE: CELTICS
The Mavericks have won five straight meetings with Boston and 11 of 12 in the series. They also have beaten the Celtics six straight times at home. BIG EDGE: MAVS
Dallas forward Dirk Nowitzki has been superb in 12 career games against the Celtics, averaging 27.2 points - his most against any opponent. EDGE: MAVS
The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 11 points or greater.
The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.


Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns (10 PM ET)
The Pistons are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings in Phoenix.
The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.


Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers (10:30 PM ET)
The Lakers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
The underdog is 17-4 ATS in the last 21 meetings.


Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors (10:30 PM ET)
Despite its sub-.500 record, Golden State is among the league's best home teams with a 23-10 mark at Oracle Arena. The Warriors have won eight of their last 10 home contests. BIG EDGE: WARRIORS
The Timberwolves have dropped eight of their last 11 and are suffering through their longest road skid since losing 14 straight last season. Minnesota hasn't won away from home since January 27th. BIG EDGE: WARRIORS
Minnesota has won seven of their last 10 against Golden State, including the only matchup this season - a 121-93 blowout on Feb. 7. EDGE: T-WOLVES
The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
The home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

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[pm530]

NHL
Tips and trends


Friday, March 16

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Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins (7:30 PM ET)
The Penguins are 5-0-1 in their last six games and have won three straight, including a 3-0 victory over Atlantic Division-leading New Jersey on Wednesday night. EDGE: PENGUINS
Pittsburgh goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury is 19-3-4 with a 2.70 goals-against-average over his last 28 appearances. He is expected to be in net tonight despite a 4.45 GAA in six career starts versus the Canadiens - his third-worst mark against any opponent. EDGE: PENGUINS
The Penguins are 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings.


Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning (8 PM ET)
The Lightning are 9-1 in their last 10 home games following a road trip of seven or more days.
The OVER is 9-1 in the Lightning's last 10 home games following a road trip of seven or more days.

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Friday, March 16

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ILLINOIS (23 - 11) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (21 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
ILLINOIS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
ILLINOIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ILLINOIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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HOLY CROSS (25 - 8) vs. S ILLINOIS (27 - 6) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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LONG BEACH ST (24 - 7) vs. TENNESSEE (22 - 10) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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ALBANY (23 - 9) vs. VIRGINIA (20 - 10) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALBANY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 28-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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GEORGIA TECH (20 - 11) vs. UNLV (28 - 6) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
UNLV is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
UNLV is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
UNLV is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UNLV is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
UNLV is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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TEXAS A&M CC (26 - 6) vs. WISCONSIN (29 - 5) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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NIAGARA (23 - 11) vs. KANSAS (30 - 4) - 3/16/2007, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NIAGARA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
NIAGARA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
NIAGARA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NIAGARA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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VILLANOVA (22 - 10) vs. KENTUCKY (21 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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JACKSON ST (22 - 13) vs. FLORIDA (29 - 5) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PURDUE (21 - 11) vs. ARIZONA (20 - 10) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 89-122 ATS (-45.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PURDUE is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PURDUE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PURDUE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CREIGHTON (22 - 10) vs. NEVADA (28 - 4) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 115-79 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
NEVADA is 115-79 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
NEVADA is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
NEVADA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
NEVADA is 78-46 ATS (+27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEVADA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
CREIGHTON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
CREIGHTON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CREIGHTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
CREIGHTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CREIGHTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N TEXAS (23 - 10) vs. MEMPHIS (30 - 3) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 73-44 ATS (+24.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 123-83 ATS (+31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 75-42 ATS (+28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WINTHROP (28 - 4) vs. NOTRE DAME (24 - 7) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
NOTRE DAME is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WINTHROP is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WINTHROP is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI OHIO (18 - 14) vs. OREGON (26 - 7) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARKANSAS (21 - 13) vs. USC (23 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
USC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
USC is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
USC is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW MEXICO ST (25 - 8) vs. TEXAS (24 - 9) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARIST (25 - 8) at NC STATE (19 - 15) - 3/16/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

NCAAB
Short Sheet - NIT

Friday, March 16th

NIT Tournament
Second Round
Bottom Team is Home

Marist at NC State, 9:30 EST
Marist: 7-0 ATS off a SU win as an underdog
NC State: 10-0 Over after having won 4 of their last 5 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

NCAAB
Dunkel Index


FRIDAY, MARCH 16

Game 619-620: Illinois vs. Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 67.756; Virginia Tech 66.990
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 1
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+3)

Game 621-622: Holy Cross vs. Southern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 58.994; Southern Illinois 68.608
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 7
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-7)

Game 623-624: Long Beach State vs. Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 59.143; Tennessee 69.450
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-7)

Game 625-626: Albany vs. Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 54.725; Virginia 66.592
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 12
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-7 1/2)

Game 627-628: Georgia Tech vs. UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 68.930; UNLV 69.319
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+1 1/2)

Game 629-630: Texas A&M Corpus Christi vs. Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M Corpus Christi 57.127; Wisconsin 73.575
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 13
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-13)

Game 631-632: Niagara vs. Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 54.483; Kansas 82.201
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-18 1/2)

Game 633-634: Villanova vs. Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.278; Kentucky 68.145
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Villanova

Game 635-636: Jackson State vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 42.447; Florida 77.400
Dunkel Line: Florida by 35
Vegas Line: Florida by 28
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-28)

Game 637-638: Purdue vs. Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 70.108; Arizona 66.546
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+2)

Game 639-640: Creighton vs. Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 69.294; Nevada 64.794
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 1
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (+1)

Game 641-642: North Texas vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 51.576; Memphis 74.420
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 23
Vegas Line: Memphis by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-17 1/2)

Game 643-644: Winthrop vs. Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 63.333; Notre Dame 71.875
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 4
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-4)

Game 645-646: Miami (OH) vs. Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 58.090; Oregon 73.044
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 15
Vegas Line: Oregon by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-8 1/2)

Game 647-648: Arkansas vs. USC
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 70.983; USC 66.993
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 4
Vegas Line: USC by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+1 1/2)

Game 649-650: New Mexico State vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.660; Texas 73.899
Dunkel Line: Texas by 13
Vegas Line: Texas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-9)

[SundevilSam]

Thanks for all your hard work.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Additional


Technical Set: Long Beach State is 6-0 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season, 12-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997, 6-0 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, 8-1 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons, 15-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons, 32-20 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons, 12-4 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons, 8-2 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games this season, 7-0 ATS in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season, 12-3 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons, 13-5 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 11-4 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games this season, 12-3 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons, 14-4 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons, 7-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season, 8-1 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons, 15-4 ATS in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 4-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season, 3-10 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season, 1-7 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season, 1-9 ATS in a post-season tournament game since 1997, 3-11 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons, 8-20 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick since 1997, 3-11 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons, 2-10 ATS in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
Selection: (#623) Long Beach State +7



CBB / NCAA RD-1 (Friday) Play Under CBB neutral court teams when the total is 129.5 or less after allowing 65 points or less in 5 straight games facing an opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half of their last game.
(30-7 Under since 1997.) (81.1%) PLAY: Illinois / Virginia Tech UNDER 117.5



CBB / NCAA RD-1 (Friday): Play Against CBB underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving teams that average scoring >=76 points per game after a close win by 3 points or less.
(28-5 ATS last 5 seasons.) (84.8%) PLAY: Texas -8

[Udog]

NBA
Additional


Los Angeles (Cl) Clippers by 1.5 at Charlotte Bobcats O/U 194.5
Los Angeles (Cl) Clippers are 0-6-1 ATS As Away Favorite (PK -> 1.5)



Utah Jazz by 4.5 at Philadelphia 76ers O/U 192.0
Philadelphia 76ers are 34-53-1 ATS All Games (4 -> 5.5)
Philadelphia 76ers are 11-29-1 ATS As Home (4 -> 5.5)
Philadelphia 76ers are 52-87-5 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Philadelphia 76ers are 11-32-1 ATS After 1 ATS Wins (4 -> 5.5)
Philadelphia 76ers are 13-26-0 ATS After 1 Unders (4 -> 5.5)



at Toronto Raptors by PK Houston Rockets O/U 195.5
Toronto Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS After 4 Wins (All Lines)
Houston Rockets are 2-11-0 ATS After 1 Home (PK -> 1.5)



at Miami Heat by 5.5 Sacramento Kings O/U 195.0
Miami Heat are 7-0-0 ATS vs. Sacramento (All Lines)
Sacramento Kings are 0-7-0 ATS vs. Miami (All Lines)



at Dallas Mavericks by 14.0 Boston Celtics O/U 193.0
Boston Celtics are 50-80-3 ATS After 1 Wins (All Lines)
Boston Celtics are 60-92-3 ATS After 1 Overs (All Lines)



at Phoenix Suns by 6.0 Detroit Pistons O/U 202.0
Phoenix Suns are 187-150-7 O/U All Games (All Lines)
Phoenix Suns are 10-24-0 O/U As Home (6 -> 7.5)
Phoenix Suns are 9-20-0 O/U As Home Favorite (6 -> 7.5)
Phoenix Suns are 108-74-4 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)
Detroit Pistons are 25-49-1 O/U As Dog (All Lines)
Detroit Pistons are 74-107-2 O/U As Away (All Lines)
Detroit Pistons are 21-44-1 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
Detroit Pistons are 83-111-1 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)



at Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers by 7.5 Portland Trailblazers O/U 199.5
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 64-97-6 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)



at Golden State Warriors by 7.0 Minnesota Timberwolves O/U 207.0
Golden State Warriors are 88-63-4 ATS As Home (All Lines)
Golden State Warriors are 10-22-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (6 -> 7.5)
Golden State Warriors are 11-23-0 O/U After 1 Overs (6 -> 7.5)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


LA Clippers at Charlotte
Despite an injury that has kept Emeka Okafor out of the lineup, the Bobcats have been able to beat a pair of struggling teams in Orlando (119-108) and Sacramento (111-108) at home in their last two games. The Bobcats averaged 115.0 points in those games, while shooting 50.9 percent from the field overall and 61.9 percent from 3-point range. Charlotte will try to continue that trend tonight against a Clipper team that has lost five straight overall and nine of its last 10 road games. LA's last win away from home came against Philadelphia back on Feb. 9 and only three teams have fewer road victories than the Clippers (8). The Bobcats look like a good home underdog (+2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Charlotte favored straight up by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 16
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: LA Clippers at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 114.996; Charlotte 117.294
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 202 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2); Over

Game 603-604: Utah at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 125.705; Philadelphia 117.483
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 8; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-4 1/2); Under

Game 605-606: Houston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.070; Toronto 125.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 210 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1); Over

Game 607-608: New Orleans at New York
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.591; New York 114.912
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2); Over

Game 609-610: Sacramento at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.534; Miami 125.056
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3 1/2); Over

Game 611-612: Boston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.939; Dallas 129.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 15 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 13 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-13 1/2); Over

Game 613-614: Detroit at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 121.458; Phoenix 125.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 203
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+6); Under

Game 615-616: Portland at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 116.834; LA Lakers 117.754
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+7 1/2); Under

Game 617-618: Minnesota at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.123; Golden State 123.676
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 10 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 7; 207
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-7); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Update


Creighton vs. Nevada
Despite cruising through the WAC and winning the regular season title for the third straight season, Nevada stumbled in the conference tourney with a 79-77 loss to Utah State. Creighton, meanwhile, played some of its best basketball in beating Indiana State, Missouri State and Southern Illinois to win the Missouri Valley tournament. As goes senior guard Nate Funk (team-high 17.5 ppg) so go the Blue Jays, and Funk is at the top of his game right now. Creighton looks like a good underdog pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored straight up by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Creighton (+1).

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Friday, March 16


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA CLIPPERS (29 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (24 - 41) - 3/16/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 109-145 ATS (-50.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH (43 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (25 - 40) - 3/16/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (40 - 25) at TORONTO (36 - 29) - 3/16/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 55-20 ATS (+33.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW ORLEANS (28 - 36) at NEW YORK (29 - 35) - 3/16/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
NEW YORK is 48-66 ATS (-24.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SACRAMENTO (28 - 36) at MIAMI (35 - 29) - 3/16/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 63-45 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON (19 - 45) at DALLAS (52 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 88-74 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 164-126 ATS (+25.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (41 - 22) at PHOENIX (50 - 14) - 3/16/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 90-73 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 71-57 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND (26 - 38) at LA LAKERS (33 - 32) - 3/16/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 65-81 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



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MINNESOTA (28 - 35) at GOLDEN STATE (30 - 36) - 3/16/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 99-126 ATS (-39.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons