Tuesday Trends and Indexes 03/13

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Portland at Denver
Denver has dominated the Blazers at home, winning seven straight and 13 of the last 14. But the Blazers are coming off a 2-2 homestand in which they registered blowout wins over Golden State (106-87) and Charlotte (127-90), while playing San Antonio tough before losing (99-94). In the most recent win over the Warriors, Zach Randolph recorded his 34th double-double of the season (25 points, 13 rebounds), while Brandon Roy continued to make a strong push for Rookie of the Year honors (26 points and 17.8 ppg average since All-Star break). The Nuggets remain inconsistent, beating Sacramento on Sunday but dropping three of their previous four, including home losses to Detroit and Houston. The Blazers look like a good underdog pick (+7 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Portland favored straight up by 2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 13
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST

Game 751-752: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.848; Atlanta 118.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1); Over

Game 753-754: Sacramento at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 117.707; Cleveland 128.772
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Over

Game 755-756: Utah at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 125.526; Miami 128.706
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 175 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2); Under

Game 757-758: LA Clippers at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 114.773; San Antonio 130.487
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 15 1/2; 169
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12 1/2; 177
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-12 1/2); Under

Game 759-760: Indiana at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.075; Minnesota 113.121
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5 1/2); Over

Game 761-762: New Jersey at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 115.184; New Orleans 116.018
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 184 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+5 1/2); Under

Game 763-764: Boston at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.849; Chicago 127.848
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10 1/2); Over

Game 765-766: Portland at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.035; Denver 116.059
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+7 1/2); Under

Game 767-768: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.809; Seattle 121.417
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 1 1/2; 196 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Florida at Carolina
The Panthers looked like they would be home for the playoffs, but a 9-2-2 run over the last month has Florida only five points of the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. The Panthers snapped a seven-game losing streak to Atlanta in their last game and have a good shot at ending a four-game skid against the Hurricanes, who are just 4-6-3 in their last 13 home games. Florida looks like a good underdog pick according to Dunkel, which is favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 13
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Ottawa at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.850; NY Rangers 12.906
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+1 1/2); Under

Game 3-4: Florida at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 13.276; Carolina 12.077
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+1 1/2); Under

Game 5-6: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.707; Toronto 12.036
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: Buffalo at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 12.832; Pittsburgh 12.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Under

Game 9-10: NY Islanders at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.964; Montreal 11.481
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+1 1/2); Over

Game 11-12: Detroit at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.223; Nashville 13.888
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1 1/2); Over

Game 13-14: Philadelphia at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.485; Dallas 12.831
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 15-16: Minnesota at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 13.824; Vancouver 13.308
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Over

Game 17-18: Chicago at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.566; San Jose 13.202
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, March 13th


NIT Tournament
First Round
Bottom Team is Home

Toledo at Florida State, 6:00 EST ESPNU
Toledo: 1-9 ATS away after scoring 55 points or less
Florida State: 6-0 Under at home off a loss by 10+ points

Utah State at Michigan, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Utah State: 24-11 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Michigan: 6-19 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Delaware State at West Virginia, 7:00 EST
Delaware State: 1-4 ATS off a combined score of 115 points or less
West Virginia: 7-0 ATS in postseason tournament games

NC State at Drexel, 8:00 EST ESPNU
NC State: 17-6 ATS off ATS wins in 4 of their last 5 games
Drexel: 0-7 ATS at home after winning 3 of their last 4 games

Mississippi Valley State at Mississippi State, 8:00 EST
Miss Valley State: 1-3 ATS as a road underdog
Mississippi State: 11-1 ATS in home games

Alabama at Massachusetts, 9:30 EST ESPN
Alabama: 2-8 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Massachusetts: 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points

Marist at Oklahoma State, 10:00 EST ESPNU
Marist: 17-6 ATS away off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Oklahoma State: 4-13 ATS off a conference game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Tuesday, March 13th

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Philadelphia: 9-21 ATS off a SU win as a 'dog
Atlanta: 13-2 Over off BB home games

Sacramento at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Sacramento: 18-8 Over after a combined score of 205+ points
Cleveland: 15-3 ATS 2nd half of the season

Utah at Miami, 7:35 EST NBATV
Utah: 0-9 ATS after playing 3+ games as a home favorite
Miami: 23-12 ATS as an underdog

LA Clippers at San Antonio, 8:05 EST
LA Clippers: 4-20 ATS as an underdog
San Antonio: 27-13 ATS playing with 2 days rest

Indiana at Minnesota, 8:05 EST
Indiana: 3-14 ATS revenging a SU loss as a home favorite
Minnesota: 8-0 Over at home off a SU loss as a favorite

New Jersey at New Orleans, 8:05 EST
New Jersey: 7-0 Under Away revenging a loss where opponent scored 100+ points
New Orleans: 11-2 ATS off 3+ ATS losses

Boston at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Boston: 9-0 ATS Away after playing a game as a home underdog
Chicago: 17-5 Over after allowing 85 points or less

Portland at Denver, 9:05 EST
Portland: 15-4 Over at Denver
Denver: 7-0 ATS at home off a road win

Detroit at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Detroit: 0-9 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games
Seattle: 10-1 ATS after scoring 110+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Tuesday, March 13th

Ottawa at NY Rangers, 7:05 EST VER
Ottawa: 12-2 Under off BB division games
NY Rangers: 16-6 Under off BB Unders

Florida at Carolina, 7:05 EST
Florida: 0-11 SU Away playing with double revenge
Carolina: 6-0 SU at home vs. Florida

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:35 EST
Tampa Bay: 7-0 SU after 3+ road games
Toronto: 20-10 Under off a home game

Buffalo at Pittsburgh, 7:35 EST VER
Buffalo: 12-1 SU playing with 2 days rest
Pittsburgh: 10-3 Under at home off an Under

NY Islanders at Montreal, 7:35 EST VER
NY Islanders: 22-9 Under off a win
Montreal: 3-10 SU off a 1-goal win

Detroit at Nashville, 8:05 EST
Detroit: 10-2 Under Away after allowing 5+ goals
Nashville: 36-8 SU at home off a home game

Philadelphia at Dallas, 8:35 EST
Philadelphia: 3-27 SU after a loss by 2+ goals
Dallas: 16-5 Under off a home win

Minnesota at Vancouver, 10:05 EST
Minnesota: 13-3 Under after scoring 3+ goals BB games
Vancouver: 12-4 Under off a road loss

Chicago at San Jose, 10:35 EST VER
Chicago: 7-31 SU revenging a home loss
San Jose: 3-0 SU at home vs. Chicago

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

70% Situational Report


NBA (Tuesday): Play On NBA home teams after 5+ consecutive straight up wins with a winning percentage of 60% to 75% facing a team with a winning percentage of 40% to 49% on the season.
(45-12 ATS since 1996.) (78.9%) PLAY: Cleveland -6.5


CBB / NIT-RD1 (Tuesday): Play On CBB home teams as a favorite or pick when you have a team from a major division 1-A conference facing a team from a lower tier conference after 2 back to back conference games.
(49-15 ATS since 1997.) (76.6%) PLAY: Florida State -12

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Remaining Games: First Round for Both Tourneys


Wednesday, March 14


E TENN ST (24 - 9) at CLEMSON (21 - 10) - 3/14/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
E TENN ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons




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S ALABAMA (20 - 11) at SYRACUSE (22 - 10) - 3/14/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
S ALABAMA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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FRESNO ST (22 - 9) at GEORGIA (18 - 13) - 3/14/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 78-105 ATS (-37.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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PROVIDENCE (18 - 12) at BRADLEY (21 - 12) - 3/14/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
BRADLEY is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRADLEY is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1997.
BRADLEY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BRADLEY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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HOFSTRA (22 - 9) at DEPAUL (18 - 13) - 3/14/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DEPAUL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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VERMONT (25 - 7) at KANSAS ST (22 - 11) - 3/14/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
KANSAS ST is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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APPALACHIAN ST (25 - 7) at MISSISSIPPI (20 - 12) - 3/14/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MISSISSIPPI is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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SAN DIEGO ST (21 - 10) at MISSOURI ST (22 - 10) - 3/14/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI ST is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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AUSTIN PEAY (21 - 11) at AIR FORCE (23 - 8) - 3/14/2007, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUSTIN PEAY is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
AUSTIN PEAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
AIR FORCE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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Thursday, March 15

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OLD DOMINION (24 - 8) vs. BUTLER (27 - 6) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
OLD DOMINION is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BUTLER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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DAVIDSON (29 - 4) vs. MARYLAND (24 - 8) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games this season.
MARYLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MARYLAND is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MARYLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
MARYLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARYLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
DAVIDSON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
DAVIDSON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
DAVIDSON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DAVIDSON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-0 straight up against DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VA COMMONWEALTH (27 - 6) vs. DUKE (22 - 10) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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WRIGHT ST (23 - 9) vs. PITTSBURGH (27 - 7) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WRIGHT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WRIGHT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
WRIGHT ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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E KENTUCKY (21 - 11) vs. N CAROLINA (28 - 6) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
E KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
E KENTUCKY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
E KENTUCKY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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MICHIGAN ST (22 - 11) vs. MARQUETTE (24 - 9) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARQUETTE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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TEXAS TECH (21 - 12) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (20 - 11) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 36-59 ATS (-28.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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BELMONT (23 - 9) vs. GEORGETOWN (26 - 6) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
GEORGETOWN is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
GEORGETOWN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GEORGETOWN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
GEORGETOWN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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C CONN ST (21 - 11) vs. OHIO ST (30 - 3) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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XAVIER (24 - 8) vs. BYU (25 - 8) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BYU is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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STANFORD (18 - 12) vs. LOUISVILLE (23 - 9) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
LOUISVILLE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
STANFORD is 165-130 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
STANFORD is 165-130 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
STANFORD is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PENNSYLVANIA (22 - 8) vs. TEXAS A&M (25 - 6) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
TEXAS A&M is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS A&M is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GONZAGA (23 - 10) vs. INDIANA (20 - 10) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
GONZAGA is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WEBER ST (20 - 11) vs. UCLA (26 - 5) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
WEBER ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
WEBER ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WEBER ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGE WASHINGTON (23 - 8) vs. VANDERBILT (20 - 11) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ORAL ROBERTS (23 - 10) vs. WASHINGTON ST (25 - 7) - 3/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, March 16

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ILLINOIS (23 - 11) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (21 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
ILLINOIS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
ILLINOIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ILLINOIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOLY CROSS (25 - 8) vs. S ILLINOIS (27 - 6) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONG BEACH ST (24 - 7) vs. TENNESSEE (22 - 10) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALBANY (23 - 9) vs. VIRGINIA (20 - 10) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALBANY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 28-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA TECH (20 - 11) vs. UNLV (28 - 6) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
UNLV is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
UNLV is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
UNLV is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UNLV is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
UNLV is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS A&M CC (26 - 6) vs. WISCONSIN (29 - 5) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VILLANOVA (22 - 10) vs. KENTUCKY (21 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


JACKSON ST (22 - 13) vs. FLORIDA (29 - 5) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PURDUE (21 - 11) vs. ARIZONA (20 - 10) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 89-122 ATS (-45.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PURDUE is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PURDUE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PURDUE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CREIGHTON (22 - 10) vs. NEVADA (28 - 4) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 115-79 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
NEVADA is 115-79 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
NEVADA is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
NEVADA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
NEVADA is 78-46 ATS (+27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEVADA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
CREIGHTON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
CREIGHTON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CREIGHTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
CREIGHTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CREIGHTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N TEXAS (23 - 10) vs. MEMPHIS (30 - 3) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 73-44 ATS (+24.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 123-83 ATS (+31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 75-42 ATS (+28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WINTHROP (28 - 4) vs. NOTRE DAME (24 - 7) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
NOTRE DAME is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WINTHROP is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WINTHROP is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI OHIO (18 - 14) vs. OREGON (26 - 7) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARKANSAS (21 - 13) vs. USC (23 - 11) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
USC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
USC is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
USC is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW MEXICO ST (25 - 8) vs. TEXAS (24 - 9) - 3/16/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys!

[GrandPa]

Phenomenal report today, fellas. Thanks a million times

[Udog]

You guys are more than welcome,Dennis and GrandPa!

PM and I didn't see anything we really liked today, so, we're tailing info from today's thread. The trends crew is taking:

#754 Cavaliers-6.5
#772 Florida State-12
#778 Drexel-5.5
Money Line Parlay: Cavaliers/Nashville +120

Good luck tonight, guys!

[Spearit]

this is from msnfoxsports.com. Some info to consider:

Pick at least one No. 3 or No. 4 seed to lose: Only three times in the last 22 seasons has a No. 3 or 4 seed not gone down in the first round. It happened twice in 2006 with both Kansas and Iowa losing (as Boston College needed two overtimes to survive as well). If a top seed is going to lose, it might be from the Big 12, which has seen four top four teams go down since 2001 — Kansas in 2005 (as a No. 3) and 2006 (as a No. 4), and No. 4 Oklahoma and No. 2 Iowa State in 2001. So maybe Texas A&M and Texas aren't the locks that everybody thought.

Big East teams are almost immune — Villanova in 1995 and Syracuse in 2005 were the only 3 or 4 from the conference to be upset since 1992 and both went to overtime before succumbing (three in Villanova's case). This means Wright State will have a tough time knocking out Pittsburgh.

Pick the No. 10 seeds: No. 10 seeds aren't supposed to beat the No. 7, but since seeding began in 1979, at least one No. 10 has beaten a No. 7 every season except for 1993 and 1985. Wait, it gets better. At least two No. 10 seeds have beaten No. 7's in 10 of the last 13 seasons. In 1999, the No. 10's had a clean sweep.

Pick Kentucky, Georgetown, Boston College and North Carolina: It hasn't been a stellar year for the Kentucky, but do at least pick the Wildcats to win one round. They've won 16 straight first-rounders. The best team in this regard until recently was Kansas. Before Bucknell got them, the Jayhawks hadn't lost in the first round since 1975. Boston College has only lost once in the first round since 1968 (12-1). Georgetown is almost as good, going 16-1 since 1981.

Roy Williams is perfect in debut games so the Tar Heels are a lock to win round one.


Don't pick the Mountain West schools: BYU and UNLV are two of the better Mountain West teams the last few seasons, but neither has won an NCAA game since 1993.

Don't pick Winthrop, Central Connecticut State or Eastern Kentucky : None of these conferences these teams represent has won a first-round game since 1989. Both Winthrop and Eastern Kentucky are 0-6 all time in the NCAAs.

Now on to the important stuff: To win the whole thing:

Don't take anyone seeded No. 9 or below: No. 8 Villanova in 1985 is the lowest-seeded team to win the national championship since seeds were introduced in 1979. That's half the field eliminated right there.

Don't pick first-time coaches: Steve Fisher of Michigan is the only coach since 1963 to win the title in his first NCAA appearance as a head coach. This spells doom for Washington State and Tony Bennett and BYU and Dave Rose. Also, Tubby Smith was the only other coach besides Fisher since 1961 to lead a team to the title in his first season at a school. That's double-trouble for Bennett who is in his debut season with the Cougars as well.

Come from a power conference: Since the NCAA allowed more than two teams from each conference to compete, the champion has come from a conference that has sent at least three teams to the field — even the Big West had three when UNLV won in 1990. Goodbye, Memphis, Southern Illinois, Butler, UNLV and Nevada.

Eliminate the No. 5 seeds: Goodbye to USC, Tennessee and Virginia Tech. Only four No. 5s have even reached the Final Four. Florida in 2000 and Indiana in 2002 were the only ones to reach the title game.

Don't lose early the previous season: Only three title-winning schools since 1988 failed to advance at least two rounds in the previous year's tournament (provided the team was in the field). This eliminates North Carolina, Ohio State, Kansas, Wisconsin, Texas A&M, Pittsburgh, Indiana, Arizona, Kentucky and Marquette.

Don't get blown out:: Of the last 12 teams to win the tournament, only Maryland lost a regular-season game by more than 17 points. So go ahead and eliminate Oregon, Texas, Virginia, Notre Dame, Vanderbilt and Boston College. All lost at least once by 18 or more this season.

Don't reach the final, then lose: Kentucky in 1998 is the only team in the last 16 years to make the championship game, lose, then return to win it all the next season. This makes UCLA an extremely unlikely choice.

Don't win the previous year: Duke in 1992 is the only team to repeat as champion since UCLA in 1975 — the pressure will eventually get to Florida.

In case you're keeping track, we're left with four teams, conveniently one from each region — Maryland, Georgetown, Louisville and Duke. Note, this is not our Final Four — we're just trying to determine a champion here.

Be ranked high to start the season: Every winner since 1986 except for Syracuse and Florida has been ranked No. 19 or higher in the Associated Press preseason poll. Louisville was unranked at the beginning of the season, so the Cardinals won't win. Maryland didn't even get a vote so the Terps fall by the wayside as well.

That leaves only two schools that have passed all nine of our criteria — Duke and Georgetown. At this point we'll throw the numbers out the window and use common sense, and common sense says pick Georgetown as your 2007 tournament champion.

[Udog]

Great reading. Thanks, as always, Spearit. Good luck!