American Idol

[dave T]

Odds to Win - 2007 American Idol
05:00 PM 105 Blake Lewis +920
106 Brandon Rogers +5000
107 Chris Richardson +1685
108 Chris Sligh +793
109 Gina Glocksen +3054
110 Haley Scarnato +15000
112 Jordin Sparks +997
113 Lakisha Jones +291
115 Melinda Doolittle +133
119 Phil Stacey +5000
122 Sanjaya Malakar +5000
123 Stephanie Edwards +1433
Props


Blake Lewis +920 >>> Good Value

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[SundevilSam]

LOL. Are you serious?

[dave T]

I picked last two season correctly. I only wish I had bet on them.



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[dave T]

Who will be eliminated on March 14th?
05:00 PM 401 Haley Scarnato +141
402 Brandon Rogers +218
403 Phil Stacey +480
404 Sanjaya Malakar +454
405 Gina Glocksen +1512
406 Jordin Sparks +3000
407 Stephanie Edwards +3000
408 Chris Richardson +3000
409 Chris Sligh +4000
410 Blake Lewis +5000
411 Lakisha Jones +20000
412 Melinda Doolittle +20000

Malakar flat sucks and shoulda' been gone last week. At +454 it looks like good value. Only problem is he gets the teenie bopper vote which is why he pulled off the biggest shocker EVER in Idol History last Tuesday night when Sundance was elimated over and against Malakar.

I don't see Haley going just yet because the Guys are still outmatched on the whole. Probably will be Rogers or Stacey, but Rogers can still pull the Black Male vote.

Stacey + 480 >>> Good Value



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[SundevilSam]

Good to go. Maybe I will follow you.

I picked Joey Lawrence last year for dancing with the stars from the begining, and just came short.

We must be some degenerate gamblers, but as long as I am winning I am happy.

On a run lately, thinking about posting my plays again, but usually when I play them I loose. Kind of superstitious here.

[SundevilSam]

Who will be eliminated on March 14th?
05:00 PM 401 Haley Scarnato +141
402 Brandon Rogers +218
403 Phil Stacey +480
404 Sanjaya Malakar +454
405 Gina Glocksen +1512
406 Jordin Sparks +3000
407 Stephanie Edwards +3000
408 Chris Richardson +3000
409 Chris Sligh +4000
410 Blake Lewis +5000
411 Lakisha Jones +20000
412 Melinda Doolittle +20000

Malakar flat sucks and shoulda' been gone last week. At +454 it looks like good value. Only problem is he gets the teenie bopper vote which is why he pulled off the biggest shocker EVER in Idol History last Tuesday night when Sundance was elimated over and against Malakar.

I don't see Haley going just yet because the Guys are still outmatched on the whole. Probably will be Rogers or Stacey, but Rogers can still pull the Black Male vote.

Stacey + 480 >>> Good Value



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Do you really think alot of black guys vote on this thing?

[BettorsChat]

Winner:

113 Lakisha Jones +291
115 Melinda Doolittle +133

Eliminated:

401 Haley Scarnato +141

[dave T]

Richardson +1685 is big value and he could be the darkhorse. But he still has to win it, and I think if, "IF", a guy wins, it will be Sligh or Lewis. But the girls have the edge. Hoping to pull some value on one of the girls later.

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[SundevilSam]

you think you will get better value later?

[BettorsChat]

http://dialidol.com/asp/predictions/Predictions.asp

[SundevilSam]

hey, there is dancing with the stars props for the first week.

Who do you think will be eliminated the first week? Cliff from cheers is +300, I think he is a good bet, what do you think?

[dave T]

Do you really think alot of black guys vote on this thing?

I meant that he would get votes from those that vote black male, which would be women (presumably).

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[dave T]

Winner:

113 Lakisha Jones +291
115 Melinda Doolittle +133

Eliminated:

401 Haley Scarnato +141

Hard to argue against Melinda winning it all. I'm not sure any of the guys can beat the top 3 girls, but the value is there with Lewis who could get to the final two or three. A strong finish could make the difference. Lewis has nearly double the hits at the site over second place* Doolittle. The last two seasons the person with the most hits won.

*Second place is actually Malakar, but he won't win. His hits are based on teenies talking about how cute he is.

Last year front runner Chris Daugherty fizzled a bit and went out fourth, opening the door for my original choice Taylor Hicks. Hicks was a sizeable underdog in the original final twelve but gained momentum.

Haley's looks could keep her in a couple more weeks unless she totally blows it Tuesday night.

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[dave T]

you think you will get better value later?

It's possible. There are ebbs and flows from week to week based on performance. A strong night for a couple girls and a weak night for Doolittle could move it to +200 to +250.

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[dave T]

hey, there is dancing with the stars props for the first week.

Who do you think will be eliminated the first week? Cliff from cheers is +300, I think he is a good bet, what do you think?

I don't watch it.

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