Tuesday Trends and Indexes 03/06

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Tuesday, March 6


Good Luck on day #65 of 2007!


NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Tuesday

I'll be going over all 30 major league teams, giving stats on each of them, as we heads towards the 2007 season......... today, we look at the Atlanta Braves

-- Braves drafted 54 players last June, 37 of them pitchers.

-- Of those 54 players, 26 came from junior colleges, 21 from high school. They prefer to develop their own guys, while other teams likes colleges to do some of it for them.

-- Tim Hudson is 27-21 in two years with Braves, allowing 429 hits in 411.1 IP. With Oakland, he was 92-39, giving up 1,134 hits in 1,242 innings, and he faced the DH there.

-- Andruw Jones' birthday is April 23; Chipper Jones' April 24. Chipper was on the DL three times last season.

-- Jeff Francoeur has 34 walks in 908 at-bats, not very good.

-- John Smoltz has pitched 207 postseason innings in his tremendous career; he has 193 wins, 154 saves. He is surely a Hall of Famer, once he retires.

[pm530]

Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.............

13) Syracuse-UConn is first round game Wednesday with big ramifications; could be play-in game for the Orange. Big East is too big; St John's plays Marquette in first round, but teams didn't meet during the season. How can that be?

12) Just for the record, attendance for Creighton-So. Illinois in St Louis Sunday was 22,612. People in New York like to call Madison Square Garden the mecca of college basketball, but no way its true. Not even close. St John's-Georgetown drew less at MSG this year than the play-in game does in Dayton.

11) ESPN ran a special on NBDL, focusing on former Orange star Gerry McNamara, who now toils in obscurity, trying for a shot at the NBA. He is playing for team in Bakersfield, where he is coached by former UCLA coach Jim Harrick.

10) With Siena losing in MAAC final, and Albany playing at Vermont Saturday, if Great Danes lose, would NIT people pit Albany vs Siena in a first round NIT game? It would draw a big crowd, probably around 10,000, being local rivalry. Yes, Albany-Siena game outdrew Georgetown-St John's this year.

9) You will seldom see one player take over a game way Eric Maynor did for VCU Monday night. George Mason had ball and five-point lead with 2:00 left, but Maynor twice stripped ball in open court and scored layups, adding a FT to tie game then he hit leaner in lane to give Rams lead for good. I am not kidding-- it was one of best 2:00 I've ever seen a kid play.

8) Kei Igawa had an odd debut for Bronx Bombers; he struck out three guys, but also allowed two hits, walked three. Not exactly $26 million worth, but only an exhibition game.

It just dawned on me: the Red Sox paid $100M for one freakin' guy, then his first start was against Boston College!!!!

7) By the way, if you want to sit in one of the 100 or so prime seats behind home plate at Bronx exhibition games, tickets are going for only $190. For one. Face value.

6) Cowboys signed Brad Johnson to three-year deal, giving Tony Romo a mentor and some competition for starting job.

5) Patriots are paying Adalius Thomas $107,000 just to be in the team's offseason workout program. Football is year-round business now, not just July-January. I live on $43,000 a year; this guy gets $107,000 to work out on his vacation. Nice.

4) Whoever ran the NASCAR telecast from Mexico Sunday on ESPN Deportes was in love with Connie Montoya, wife of Juan Pablo Montoya, the race winner; during time I was in a sports bar, near end of race, she got more air time than he did, and he was winning the race. I'm not complaining, though.

3) Harvard fired their basketball coach; now there's a difficult place to win. You have to have supreme confidence in your abilities to coach in Ivy League, because not many coaches move on to better jobs, and only Penn wins consistently.

2) Great job by Mark Few, who righted a sinking ship, after he lost his best big man to drug charges, then had his win streak at home snapped at 50 games. Gonzaga has now won six of its last eight games, and is in NCAAs for ninth year in a row.

1) The people who run Santa Clara should be ashamed of the way they forced Dick Davey out of his job. They guy gave 30 years of his life to Santa Clara, and they tell him he needs to retire. Very classy; good luck finding a better replacement.

[pm530]

College Basketball – write up

NCAAB
Write up


Tuesday, March 6

Penn has already wrapped up Ivy title, Princeton is ending yet another dismal season in worst era of their program's history; Quakers won first meeting, 48-35 Feb 13 (-13); both teams shot under 35% for game. Penn was 15-23 from line, Tigers 3-6, 4-19 beyond arc. If Harvard changed coaches, will Princeton, too?

Conference Tournaments

Horizon finals
Butler waxed Wright State 73-42 at home Jan 6 (-15) but lost on this floor 77-65 Feb 10 (-3.5), as Raiders made 24-33 FTs, hit on 54.5% of FGs. Wright won 10 of last 11 games, fourteen in row on this floor. Butler is 4-3 in last seven games; they are 22-0 if they allow less than 68 points, 3-5 if they don't.

Sun Belt finals
-- North Texas won six of last seven games; they're #5 seed in Sun Belt, facing Arkansas State team that won last six games, is led by stellar JC transfer guard Banks. ASU swept North Texas this season, 84-60 at home Jan 6 (+1.5). 74-71 in Denton Feb 22 (+8.5), after trailing 40-29 at half- they're a #2 seed, playing on a neutral court.

WAC first round
San Jose beat Idaho twice this season, 68-65 in Moscow Feb 1 (even), 62-57 at home three days ago (-9); Vandals were 11-52 in two games from arc. Both teams shot under 36% in Saturday's game. Idaho lost last 12 games, with underdog 5-1-2 vs spread in last eight. Spartans lost four of their last five games.


Mountain West first round
New Mexico coach McKay is lame duck, always tough to back them; Lobos lost four in row, six of last seven games, but win was 74-58 vs TCU, when they forced 20 turnovers, hit 11-25 on arc. Frogs won other meeting, 64-52 after trailing 33-28 at half. Lobos made 22-55 3's, only 14-22 FTs in the two series games. TCU split its last four games after losing previous 10 games.

Big Sky semifinals
Northern Arizona won last four games, six of last seven; a year ago, Montana upset them in Flagstaff in this tournament, 73-60. This year, road team won both series games, with Griz winning 74-71 at NAU (+5); Lumberjacks won 88-81 in Missoula Feb 22, even though Griz hit 14-25 from arc. Griz is 4-5 last nine games.

Weber State has played once in last 20 days, and that was loss in Sacramento (103-88); host Wildcats beat Portland State twice 75-65 at home (-4.5), then 64-62 in Portland Feb 8 (+4.5); they've held Vikings to 40.7%/38.1% in the two games, but made only 5-22 from arc in the two games. Portland State won three games in row, is 3-3 as Big Sky road underdog.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Tuesday, March 6

Hot Teams
-- Seattle, Knicks both won three of their last four games.
-- Mavericks won 15 games in row (3-4-1 vs spread last eight).
-- Spurs won their last nine games (8-1 vs spread).
-- Just when Kings win four of last five games, Artest is out for while after his arrest for domestic violence.

Cold Teams
-- Raptors lost three of their last four games. Wizards are 1-6 vs spread in their last seven games.
-- Lakers lost eight of last eleven games. Minnesota lost six of its last seven games.
-- New Jersey is 3-5 in its last eight games.
-- Hornets lost three of their last four games. Denver lost five of its last seven games.
-- Portland lost three of its last four games.
-- Pacers lost last five games, by 22,17,11,25,23 pts.

Series Records
-- Raptors are 2-0 vs Wizards this season, 116-111/119-109.
-- Knicks won 111-93 at Seattle Jan 5 (+4).
-- Lakers are 2-0 vs Minnesota this season, 95-88/111-94.
-- Dallas won 92-75 in New Jersey back onj December 5.
-- Hornets are 2-0 vs Denver this season, 99-89/114-112.
-- Spurs are 2-0 vs Portland this season, 98-84/107-98.
-- Kings just won 110-93 at Indiana Feb 25 (+7).

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Raptors covered front end in one of last five back/backs.
-- Seattle covered front end on two of last seven back/backs.
-- Lakers are 7-4 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Denver is 10-4 vs spread on front end of bac/back.
-- Spurs covered six of last eight if they played night before.
-- Pacers are 10-3 on front end of back/back.

Totals
-- Five of last six Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Dallas games.
-- Over is 12-1 in Hornets' last thirteen games.
-- Under is 15-3 in Spurs' last eighteen games.
-- Over is 10-2 in last dozen Sacramento games.

[pm530]

Hockey – write up

NHL
Write up


Tuesday, March 6

Hot Teams
-- Bruins are 10-5 in their last fifteen games. Colorado won last three games, allowing six goals.
-- Atlanta won last three games, allowing five goals. Panthers won last four games, scoring 21 goals.
-- Penguins are 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Senators won seven of their last ten games, lost last two.
-- Anaheim won four of its last five games.
-- Predators won four of their last five games.
-- Calgary won laat four games, allowing nine goals. Blues won six of their last eight games.
-- Minnesota is 10-5 in its last fifteen games.
-- Lightning is 9-0 in game after its last nine losses. Vancouver is 8-2 in its last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Devils are 2-3 in last five games, scoring nine goals. Flyers are 1-6 in their last seven games.
-- Toronto lost five of its last seven games. Washington lost its last four games, nine of last ten.
-- Red Wings are 2-3 in their last five games.
-- Sharks lost four of their last five games.
-- Kings lost 16 of their last 22 games. Chicago lost 8 of last 10.

Series Records
-- Bruins lost 4-1 in Denver in last year's meeting.
-- Devils are 5-0 vs Flyers this season: 4-3/2-0/3-2/6-5/4-3.
-- Thrashers are 5-0 vs Florida this season: 3-1/6-3/1-0/4-3/6-0.
-- Road team won both Toronto-Washington games this year.
-- Senators won 6-3 at Pittsburgh Nov 10 (+105).
-- Home side won all four Nashville-Detroit games this year.
-- Flames are 2-0 vs St Louis this season, 3-0/3-2.
-- Sharks are 2-1 vs Minnesota this season: 3-1/2-1/1-4.
-- Kings are 3-2 against Chicago this season.
-- Toronto lost 4-3 at Vancouver in last year's meeting.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Colorado is 3-4 on front end of back/back.
-- Kings are 2-8 on front end of back/back.
-- Lightning is 3-4 on front end of back/back.

Totals
-- Over is 12-2 in Colorado's last fourteen games.
-- Under is 7-1 in Devils' last eight games.
-- Over is 9-5 in Florida's last fourteen games.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Ottawa games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Calgary games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten San Jose games.
-- Four of last five LA games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games went over the total.

[pm530]

College Basketball – Tips and Trends

NCAAB
Tips and trends


Tuesday, March 6

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#19 Butler at Wright State (ESPN | 9 PM ET)
The No. 19 Bulldogs have lost twice in the Horizon Conference title game in the last six seasons, falling to Wisconsin-Milwaukee in 2003 and '06. SLIGHT EDGE: WRIGHT STATE
Butler has matched the school record for victories with 27 and coach Todd Lickliter was named the league's coach of the year for a second straight season. He led the Bulldogs to a 27-6 mark and into the regional semifinals of the NCAA Tournament in 2002-03. EDGE: BUTLER

The Bulldogs are 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings.
The Raiders are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends / Additional

NBA
Tips and trends / Added trends


Tuesday, March 6

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Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards (7 PM ET)
Toronto has won three in a row over the Wizards, including both meetings this season. Washington, however, is trying for a sixth consecutive home victory over the Raptors. SLIGHT EDGE: WIZARDS
The Raptors have lost three of four games, including back-to-back games for the first time since dropping three straight from December 29-January 3. EDGE: WIZARDS
Toronto All-Star forward Chris Bosh is averaging 29 points and 11.5 rebounds in two games against Washington this season. EDGE: RAPTORS

The favorite is 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.




Seattle SuperSonics at New York Knicks (7:30 PM ET)
New York Knicks guard Stephon Marbury is averaging 27.3 points and shooting 49 percent in his last six games. EDGE: KNICKS
Seattle opens a four-game road trip tonight and is 6-22 on the road this season, losing their last three away from home. EDGE: KNICKS
The Knicks have played the last five games without leading rebounder David Lee (sprained right ankle) and three straight without reserve guard Nate Robinson (stomach virus). Swingman Quentin Richardson, who averages 13.1 points and scored 30 on Friday, left Saturday's game after 10 minutes with a sore lower back. EDGE: SONICS - CHECK STATUS

New York is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games.




Los Angeles Lakers at Minnesota Timberwolves (8 PM ET)
Lakers guard Kobe Bryant has led the Lakers in scoring in each of his last 15 games. He is averaging 29.9 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists over his last 11 contests, but the Lakers are just 3-8 during that stretch. EDGE: T-WOLVES
Minnesota has lost six of seven - including three straight - going 6-13 since firing coach Dwayne Casey and replacing him with Randy Wittman. EDGE: LAKERS

The Timberwolves are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games playing on one day of rest.
The Lakers are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings.




New Jersey Nets at Dallas Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
The Dallas Mavericks haven't suffered a loss in more than five weeks, as they became the sixth-fastest team in NBA history to reach 50 wins with a 103-98 victory over Orlando on Saturday. BIG EDGE: MAVS
The Mavericks have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Nets. Dallas defeated New Jersey 92-75 on Dec. 5 as it held the Nets to 35.1 percent shooting, including just 2-for-12 from 3-point range. BIG EDGE: MAVS
The Nets are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.




New Orleans Hornets at Denver Nuggets (9 PM ET)
New Orleans has displayed great scoring balance against Denver, placing six players in double figures in both victories this season. EDGE: HORNETS
The Denver frontcourt should have its hands full with Tyson Chandler, who is second in the NBA in rebounding with 12.5 per game. Chandler has posted 12 straight double-doubles, averaging 13.8 points and 16.5 rebounds during that span. EDGE: HORNETS
New Orleans has only four road victories against the Western Conference this year. EDGE: NUGGETS

The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Denver.


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NBA (Tuesday): Play On NBA home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 110+ points off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(54-23 ATS since 1996.) (70.1%) PLAY: Washington -3.5


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at Washington Wizards by 3.0 Toronto Raptors O/U 209.5
Washington Wizards are 27-47-1 ATS After 2 Wins (All Lines)
Washington Wizards are 20-7-1 O/U After 3 Unders (All Lines)
Washington Wizards are 12-2-0 O/U After 3 Unders (2 -> 3.5)



at New York Knicks by 3.0 Seattle SuperSonics O/U 201.5



Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers by 1.0 at Minnesota Timberwolves O/U 198.0
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 41-23-0 O/U After 2 Losses (All Lines)
Los Angeles (Lk) Lakers are 64-93-6 ATS After 1 Away (All Lines)



at Dallas Mavericks by 11.0 New Jersey Nets O/U 191.0
Dallas Mavericks are 20-8-0 ATS As Home (10 -> 11.5)
Dallas Mavericks are 20-8-0 ATS As Home Favorite (10 -> 11.5)
Dallas Mavericks are 63-91-3 O/U After 1 Overs (All Lines)



at Denver Nuggets by 5.5 OKC/New Orleans Hornets O/U 208.5
Denver Nuggets are 55-33-1 ATS All Games (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 55-32-2 O/U All Games (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 92-66-3 O/U As Favorite (All Lines)
Denver Nuggets are 31-14-1 O/U As Favorite (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 76-49-2 O/U As Home Favorite (All Lines)
Denver Nuggets are 28-13-1 O/U As Home Favorite (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 27-14-0 ATS After 1 Losses (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 29-12-0 O/U After 1 Losses (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 27-12-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (4 -> 5.5)
Denver Nuggets are 55-32-1 ATS After 2 Overs (All Lines)
Denver Nuggets are 19-8-0 ATS After 2 Overs (4 -> 5.5)



at Portland Trailblazers by NL San Antonio Spurs O/U NL
San Antonio Spurs are 152-189-6 O/U All Games (All Lines)



at Sacramento Kings by 5.5 Indiana Pacers O/U 200.5
Sacramento Kings are 35-19-2 O/U After 3 Wins (All Lines)
Sacramento Kings are 20-8-1 O/U After 3 ATS Wins (All Lines)
Indiana Pacers are 34-53-2 O/U All Games (4 -> 5.5)

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips and Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Tuesday, March 6

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators (7:30 PM ET)
The Senators were 8-0-1 before dropping back-to-back games and haven't lost three in a row since December. 6-10. SLIGHT EDGE: SENATORS
Ottawa goaltender Martin Gerber is 2-0-0 with a 3.01 GAA against Pittsburgh, and teammate Ray Emery is 4-1-0 with a 2.97 GAA in his last six starts and 3-0-0 with a 2.34 GAA in his career against the Penguins. EDGE: SENATORS

The Penguins are 1-10-1 in the last 12 meetings.




San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild (8 PM ET)
Minnesota goaltender Niklas Backstrom is 9-2-2 in his last 14 starts in place of the injured Manny Fernandez. EDGE: WILD
The Sharks scored first for only the third time in their last ten games Sunday and have been outscored 12-5 in the first period in that stretch. EDGE: WILD
Minnesota has lost three of its last four against San Jose, including two of three meetings this season. The Wild are just 1-4-0 in their last five home games against the Sharks. EDGE: SHARKS

The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.




Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks (10 PM ET)
Vancouver has stayed atop its division by going 8-1-1 since Feb. 10. Roberto Luongo has backstopped the run, going 7-1-1 with a 2.37 goals-against-average during that span. EDGE: CANUCKS
The Canucks are 21-9-2 at GM place with Vancouver winning its last four home games, with Luongo posting a 2.94 GAA in those contests. EDGE: CANUCKS
Tampa Bay goaltender Marc Denis is 5-8-0 with a tie and a 4.35 GAA against the Canucks, while Holmqvist has never faced them. EDGE: OVER

The OVER is 6-1-2 in the last nine meetings.

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Tuesday, March 6

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PENNSYLVANIA (21 - 8) at PRINCETON (11 - 16) - 3/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
PRINCETON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
PRINCETON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
PRINCETON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less this season.
PRINCETON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PRINCETON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
PRINCETON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
PRINCETON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
PRINCETON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-1 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-1 straight up against PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUTLER (27 - 5) at WRIGHT ST (22 - 9) - 3/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WRIGHT ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WRIGHT ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 6-1 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 5-2 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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IDAHO (3 - 26) vs. SAN JOSE ST (5 - 24) - 3/6/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
IDAHO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
IDAHO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
IDAHO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
IDAHO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
IDAHO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 3-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 4-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW MEXICO (15 - 16) vs. TCU (12 - 16) - 3/6/2007, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
TCU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 3-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MONTANA (17 - 14) vs. N ARIZONA (16 - 11) - 3/6/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 4-3 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 5-2 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND ST (19 - 12) at WEBER ST (18 - 11) - 3/6/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
WEBER ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WEBER ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
WEBER ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all home games this season.
WEBER ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
WEBER ST is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[pm530]

NOTE:

We may receive additional trend information after the initial posting of a particular category (especially during tournament play).
We will do our best to do a supplemental post when we obtain additional data from our computers!!

[pm530]

NCAAB
Tournament Tips

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11 Bracket Picking Rules You Shouldnt Break!

Note: Unless otherwise noted, all stats span from 1985 (the year the tournament expanded to 64 teams) to present.

1st Round:

* Be very selective picking any team below a #12 seed.
#16 seeds are 0 for 88. #15 seeds are 4 for 88. #13 and #14 seeds are less than 19% combined.

* Dont be shy about picking upsets when #12 through #9 seeds are involved
Look especially hard at picking #12 seeds; they have won 11 of 24 matchups vs. #5 seeds the last six years. #9 seeds have a winning record vs. #8 seeds.

2nd Round:
* Advance #1 seeds almost automatically they win their first two games 86% of the time.

* Keep advancing the #12 and #10 seeds you picked to win in Round One.
They win almost half the time in Round Two (14 of 29 for #12 seeds; 17 of 35 for #10 seeds).

* Rarely pick a #13 seed or lower to win in Round Two.
Only 9% of teams advancing past Round Two are seeded that low.

Sweet 16:
* Advance exactly three #1 seeds into the Elite 8
No reason to buck the math: 70% of #1 seeds advance into the 4th round (thats a higher percentage than #5 seeds who win a single game)!

* Advance no team lower than a #12 seed into the Elite 8
NOT ONE has ever advanced!

Elite Eight:
* Advance ONE or TWO #1 seeds to the Final Four.
Amazingly, exactly one or two #1 seeds have made the Final Four 18 of the last 22 years.

* Advance no team lower than a #8 seed to the Final Four.
Only 2 of 88 Final Four teams have been seeded lower than #8.

Final Four:
* Advance NO team below a 6th seed to the Championship game.
Not a single one has made it in the last 21 years.

Championship Game:
* Pick a #4 seed or higher to win it all.
For 18 straight years the champion has been a 4 seed or higher!


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5 Team Factors That Matter the Most



#1) Margin of Victory
Statistically speaking, this factor matters twice as much as the second most important factor so ignore at your own risk. Margin of victory is simply the average number of points that a team wins or loses by. Why is this important? Because with only 30 or so games a year, getting lucky in even a handful of close games can make a team look much better record-wise than it truly is. But if a team consistently wins by large margins, you can be more certain youve got a real winner. The key number is 15; teams whose margin of victory is greater than 15 points do exceedingly well in the NCAA Tournament.



#2) Coaching Experience
The Big Dance is an entirely different experience than the regular season, requiring a different approach from the coach. It makes sense that a coach who is new to the Tournament wouldnt know as well how to handle it. The numbers strongly back up this rationale: The average number of tourney appearances for coaches in the tournament is 5.6; the average for teams reaching the Final Four is 9.3 coaching appearances; the average for the team who wins it all is 11.5 coaching appearances (more than double the tournament average). Avoid rookie tourney coaches, and stick with the old lions who have seen it all before.



#3) Team Experience
The Big Dance is not just different for the coaches, its different for the entire organization and having tourney experience is key. This concept extends even beyond the players. Consider all the details that need to be handled, from travel plans, to the type of hotels to stay at, to what equipment the trainer needs to bring. And dont underestimate the intangible of confidence a player walking onto the court knowing that he belongs on the biggest stage. That only comes with experience. The average number of consecutive tourney appearances for teams in the tournament is 3; the average for teams reaching the Final Four is more than double that!



#4) Having a superstar to count on
Since 1979, every NCAA champion except one has had at least one All-American; thats an amazing 27 out of 28 years! The logic makes perfect sense: the tourney is a rollercoaster that requires an on-the-floor leader. On the way to winning six straight games a team will likely face a number of make or break situations, and having the alpha dog on the floor in those spots makes all the difference.


#5) Reliable front court scoring
Centers and Forwards who play near the basket account for front court scoring, and their play is usually a difference maker especially for teams looking to advance deep into the tournament. Relying upon outside shooting is a losing proposition during the Big Dance: first, because the games are played in unfamiliar, spacious arenas, typically with difficult shooting backgrounds. Second, even if great shooters are able to overcome these disadvantages, doing so game after game after game is typically too much to ask. A cold night is bound to happen and it only takes one to be eliminated. Front court scoring, on the other hand, involves lay-ups and slam dunks, shots that are not as affected by surroundings or nerves. Teams who receive at least 60% of their scoring from the front court have historically over-achieved in the NCAA tournament. Stick with such teams, and you will too!

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 6

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TORONTO (32 - 28) at WASHINGTON (33 - 25) - 3/6/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
TORONTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SEATTLE (24 - 35) at NEW YORK (28 - 33) - 3/6/2007, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LA LAKERS (33 - 27) at MINNESOTA (26 - 33) - 3/6/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
MINNESOTA is 98-123 ATS (-37.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-76 ATS (-35.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW JERSEY (28 - 32) at DALLAS (50 - 9) - 3/6/2007, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 86-72 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
DALLAS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 170-120 ATS (+38.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 163-126 ATS (+24.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW ORLEANS (28 - 32) at DENVER (28 - 29) - 3/6/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN ANTONIO (42 - 18) at PORTLAND (25 - 35) - 3/6/2007, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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INDIANA (29 - 29) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 32) - 3/6/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
INDIANA is 159-123 ATS (+23.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 210-158 ATS (+36.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 6

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NEW JERSEY (40-19-0-7, 87 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (17-37-0-11, 45 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 19-6 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NEW JERSEY is 9-2 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-48 ATS (-49.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-48 ATS (+91.5 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 ATS (+2.0 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-34 ATS (+70.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-27 ATS (+51.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-48 ATS (+112.8 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-25 ATS (+5.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-25 ATS (+5.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-25 ATS (+5.0 Units) in home games against the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-22 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-21 ATS (+40.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 10-3 (+7.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 10-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)




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FLORIDA (27-26-0-13, 67 pts.) at ATLANTA (34-23-0-10, 78 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 1-13 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-12 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
FLORIDA is 64-102 ATS (-44.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
FLORIDA is 75-117 ATS (-43.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 206-294 ATS (+504.1 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 20-54 ATS (+108.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 20-54 ATS (+108.7 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 20-54 ATS (+108.7 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 48-89 ATS (-42.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
FLORIDA is 17-13 ATS (+35.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 12-5 ATS (+17.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-23 ATS (+40.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
ATLANTA is 14-16 ATS (+14.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 10-3 (+7.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)




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COLORADO (32-29-0-5, 69 pts.) at BOSTON (32-28-0-5, 69 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 32-33 ATS (-8.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 32-33 ATS (+72.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
BOSTON is 32-33 ATS (+68.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
BOSTON is 89-92 ATS (-46.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)




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NASHVILLE (44-18-0-5, 93 pts.) at DETROIT (41-16-0-9, 91 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 6-6 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-6-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)




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WASHINGTON (24-30-0-12, 60 pts.) at TORONTO (31-26-0-9, 71 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-5 ATS (+9.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
TORONTO is 5-13 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
TORONTO is 3-10 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 12-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
TORONTO is 12-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
TORONTO is 12-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games against the puck line this season.
TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
TORONTO is 2-8 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights this season.
TORONTO is 2-7 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)




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PITTSBURGH (35-22-0-8, 78 pts.) at OTTAWA (38-23-0-5, 81 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 20-8 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 19-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 95-63 ATS (+186.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 95-63 ATS (-39.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 2-6 ATS (+2.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
OTTAWA is 95-63 ATS (-26.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 70-52 ATS (+70.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 47-35 ATS (-44.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-0-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)




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CALGARY (35-21-0-9, 79 pts.) at ST LOUIS (28-27-0-10, 66 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 2-9 ATS (-7.0 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 1-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CALGARY is 8-23 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 8-23 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 8-23 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.
CALGARY is 2-15 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
CALGARY is 11-26 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 14-15 ATS (+37.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 10-4 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 16-11 ATS (+28.8 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)




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SAN JOSE (39-25-0-2, 80 pts.) at MINNESOTA (36-23-0-7, 79 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 2-10 ATS (-9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-44 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 18-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)




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LOS ANGELES (22-33-0-10, 54 pts.) at CHICAGO (24-33-0-9, 57 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 146-196 ATS (+377.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 36-51 ATS (-46.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 131-180 ATS (+131.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)




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TAMPA BAY (37-26-0-4, 78 pts.) at VANCOUVER (38-22-0-5, 81 pts.) - 3/6/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 45-92 ATS (+163.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 11-18 ATS (-12.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 38-27 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 38-27 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 38-27 ATS (+72.3 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 18-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 16-3 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 7-2 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-15 ATS (+36.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-15 ATS (+36.7 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-15 ATS (+36.7 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-9 ATS (+8.3 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

TCU vs. New Mexico
The Horned Frogs finished last in the Mountain West, but didn't play like it over the last two weeks of the regular season with wins over Air Force (71-66) and Wyoming (77-58), and a respectable loss at San Diego State (56-51) in which they held the Aztecs to just 32.8 percent shooting. New Mexico struggled down the stretch with four straight losses and six losses in its last seven games. The only win for the Lobos came at home against TCU (74-58) on Feb. 17, but the Horned Frogs had already held serve with a win at home over the Lobos back in January (64-52). TCU looks to be the hotter team right now and should take advantage of the Vegas line (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: TCU (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 6
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 715-716: Pennsylvania at Princeton
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 58.243; Princeton 48.380
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 10
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-7 1/2)

Game 717-718: Butler vs. Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 66.066; Wright State 61.983
Dunkel Line: Butler by 4
Vegas Line: Butler by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1 1/2)

Game 719-720: North Texas vs. Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 51.310; Arkansas Tate 51.343
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 721-722: Idaho vs. San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 44.582; San Jose State 49.439
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 5
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+5 1/2)

Game 723-724: New Mexico vs. TCU
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 56.764; TCU 56.613
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+4 1/2)

Game 725-726: Montana vs. Northern Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 53.108; Northern Arizona 54.851
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona

Game 727-728: Portland State at Weber State
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 52.793; Weber State 51.709
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 1
Vegas Line: Weber State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+2 1/2)

Game 729-730: Oakland vs. Oral Roberts
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.939; Oral Roberts 59.102
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A