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Spears Saturday Sightings
Some will play this today- More info is a good thing! This is "O" - he is a fine capper with solid writeups.
**Top Play #1** (SUPER BEST BET)
Michigan (+5) (-120) over Ohio State*
(Lines changing - time your best line)
*This line is currently available at sportsbook after buying the hook. However, most sportsbooks have installed Michigan as 4-point underdogs. I anticipate this line reaching '4.5' or more before tip-off at 4 p.m. eastern time. Michigan remains a Super Best Bet at +4.5 or more, a Top Play at +3.5 and a Strong Opinion at +2.5 or more. Shortly after I posted Michigan, the line at sportsbook dropped to +4 (-105). Now, you would have to lay -125 to make Michigan a 5-point underdog.
I would continue to wait as the predominant line is '4', and this line will reach '4.5' or more at most books before this afternoon. Be patient and shop for the best line.
Michigan is 17-2 at home this season and have always played well on their home floor when installed as underdogs of 6 points or less, going an impressive 20-8 ATS since 1997. Meanwhile, Ohio State has had difficulty covering the number in the month of March where they have compiled a woeful 0-6 ATS record since 2004. Conversely, the Wolverines are 5-3 ATS in their last eight March games and 22-14 ATS (61%) since 1997.
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Play Against - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Ohio St.) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=42% on the season, in March games.
(62-28 since 1997; 68.9%)
This system is 29-8 ATS since 2002 and 46-16 ATS since 2000.
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Play On - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Michigan) - off an upset win as an underdog, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(54-26 since 1997; 67.5%)
This system is 27-11 ATS since 2002 and 37-16 ATS since 2000.
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Ohio State has already clinched their second consecutive Big Ten title as well as the No. 1 seed in next week's conference tournament. Can you say letdown? Meanwhile, a Michigan win this afternoon all but secures a spot in the NCAA Tournament for the Wolverines. In short, I will always take the motivated squad with something big to play for, at home and getting a handful of points!
Finally, over their last five games, Michigan has limited opponents to 55 points on 37.9% shooting, while yielding a measly 31 rebounds (8 offensive) per contest. In addition, the Wolverines are making 75.6% of their foul shots, while taking excellent care of the ball (only 14 turnovers per game).
Michigan wins this game outright. Invest with confidence.
**Top Play #1** (SUPER BEST BET)
Michigan (+5) (-120) over Ohio State*
(Lines changing - time your best line)
*This line is currently available at sportsbook after buying the hook. However, most sportsbooks have installed Michigan as 4-point underdogs. I anticipate this line reaching '4.5' or more before tip-off at 4 p.m. eastern time. Michigan remains a Super Best Bet at +4.5 or more, a Top Play at +3.5 and a Strong Opinion at +2.5 or more. Shortly after I posted Michigan, the line at sportsbook dropped to +4 (-105). Now, you would have to lay -125 to make Michigan a 5-point underdog.
I would continue to wait as the predominant line is '4', and this line will reach '4.5' or more at most books before this afternoon. Be patient and shop for the best line.
Michigan is 17-2 at home this season and have always played well on their home floor when installed as underdogs of 6 points or less, going an impressive 20-8 ATS since 1997. Meanwhile, Ohio State has had difficulty covering the number in the month of March where they have compiled a woeful 0-6 ATS record since 2004. Conversely, the Wolverines are 5-3 ATS in their last eight March games and 22-14 ATS (61%) since 1997.
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Play Against - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Ohio St.) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=42% on the season, in March games.
(62-28 since 1997; 68.9%)
This system is 29-8 ATS since 2002 and 46-16 ATS since 2000.
-------------------------------------------------------
Play On - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Michigan) - off an upset win as an underdog, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(54-26 since 1997; 67.5%)
This system is 27-11 ATS since 2002 and 37-16 ATS since 2000.
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Ohio State has already clinched their second consecutive Big Ten title as well as the No. 1 seed in next week's conference tournament. Can you say letdown? Meanwhile, a Michigan win this afternoon all but secures a spot in the NCAA Tournament for the Wolverines. In short, I will always take the motivated squad with something big to play for, at home and getting a handful of points!
Finally, over their last five games, Michigan has limited opponents to 55 points on 37.9% shooting, while yielding a measly 31 rebounds (8 offensive) per contest. In addition, the Wolverines are making 75.6% of their foul shots, while taking excellent care of the ball (only 14 turnovers per game).
Michigan wins this game outright. Invest with confidence.
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