March Madness Team Percentages to Each Round!

[Spearit]

Tourament % on teams to win...

Team... R64... R32..... R16....... R8....... Final 4. Champ .WIN

1 Ohio St 100% 96.85% 67.96% 45.59% 27.7% 16.35% 8.76%
16 Miss Valley St 36% 0.68% 0.05% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 Central Conn 64% 2.46% 0.31% 0.03% 0% 0% 0%
8 Arizona 100% 68.97% 24.7% 12.84% 5.8% 2.54% 0.98%
9 Texas Tech 100% 31.03% 6.98% 2.35% 0.66% 0.18% 0.04%
5 USC 100% 51% 20.9% 6.8% 2.46% 0.87% 0.27%
12 West Virginia 100% 49% 19.7% 6.28% 2.22% 0.77% 0.23%
4 Duke 100% 84.05% 55.47% 25.54% 12.99% 6.4% 2.81%
13 Vermont 100% 15.95% 3.93% 0.57% 0.1% 0.02% 0%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

3 Pittsburgh 100% 81.35% 51.08% 23.44% 10.92% 5.15% 2.15%
14 Holy Cross 100% 18.65% 4.82% 0.83% 0.15% 0.03% 0%
6 Boston College 100% 49% 21.42% 7.35% 2.57% 0.92% 0.29%
11 Missouri St 100% 51% 22.69% 7.96% 2.85% 1.04% 0.33%
7 Kentucky 100% 54.5% 21.45% 11.38% 4.86% 2.1% 0.8%
10 Villanova 100% 45.5% 16.44% 8% 3.11% 1.23% 0.43%
2 Kansas 100% 89.6% 60.15% 40.64% 23.55% 13.69% 7.22%
15 Marist 100% 10.4% 1.96% 0.4% 0.06% 0.01% 0%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

1 UCLA 100% 93.3% 62.49% 48.34% 29.77% 17.27% 9.26%
16 Weber St 100% 6.7% 0.97% 0.22% 0.03% 0% 0%
8 Michigan St 100% 51.5% 19.11% 12.54% 5.78% 2.41% 0.92%
9 Notre Dame 100% 48.5% 17.43% 11.24% 5.03% 2.03% 0.75%
5 UNLV 100% 57% 33.51% 10.27% 3.65% 1.16% 0.34%
12 VA Commonwealth 100% 43% 22.57% 5.9% 1.8% 0.49% 0.12%
4 Vanderbilt 100% 70.92% 35.47% 10.18% 3.39% 1.01% 0.27%
13 Long Beach St 100% 29.08% 8.46% 1.31% 0.24% 0.04% 0.01%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

3 Southern Ill 100% 79.72% 44.91% 18.78% 8.49% 3.42% 1.27%
14 Toledo 100% 20.28% 4.82% 0.81% 0.15% 0.02% 0%
6 Tennessee 100% 46% 22.22% 7.85% 3.01% 1.01% 0.31%
11 Georgia Tech 100% 54% 28.05% 10.76% 4.47% 1.64% 0.55%
7 Louisville 100% 60.4% 20.66% 10.37% 4.31% 1.58% 0.53%
10 Old Dominion 100% 39.6% 11.02% 4.45% 1.49% 0.43% 0.11%
2 Texas AM 100% 92% 66.71% 46.69% 28.35% 16.2% 8.54%
15 South Alabama 100% 8% 1.61% 0.3% 0.04% 0% 0%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

1 Wisconsin 100% 96% 67.9% 47.18% 28.52% 14.28% 7.7%
16 Delaware St 100% 4% 0.52% 0.06% 0.01% 0% 0%
8 Texas 100% 59% 20.03% 10.48% 4.5% 1.51% 0.54%
9 Creighton 100% 41% 11.55% 5.08% 1.81% 0.49% 0.15%
5 Virginia 100% 56% 26% 9.2% 3.61% 1.09% 0.36%
12 Davidson 100% 44% 18.25% 5.64% 1.94% 0.51% 0.15%
4 Washington St 100% 70.6% 44.13% 19.33% 9.3% 3.53% 1.44%
13 Santa Clara 100% 29.4% 11.62% 3.02% 0.88% 0.19% 0.05%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

3 Virginia Tech 100% 75.33% 42.19% 16.82% 7.16% 2.42% 0.88%
14 Oral Roberts 100% 24.67% 7.01% 1.37% 0.29% 0.04% 0.01%
6 Marquette 100% 57% 30.52% 11.48% 4.6% 1.46% 0.5%
11 Purdue 100% 43% 20.27% 6.57% 2.27% 0.61% 0.18%
7 Butler 100% 55% 17.11% 8.45% 3.22% 0.96% 0.31%
10 BYU 100% 45% 12.6% 5.61% 1.92% 0.51% 0.15%
2 Florida 100% 94.65% 69.4% 49.56% 29.97% 15.14% 8.23%
15 Austin Peay 100% 5.35% 0.9% 0.14% 0.01% 0% 0%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

1 North Carolina 100% 96.6% 75.27% 57.16% 39.53% 27.36% 18.08%
16 East Tenn St 100% 3.4% 0.56% 0.09% 0.01% 0% 0%
8 Stanford 100% 38.8% 7.96% 3.22% 1.05% 0.35% 0.1%
9 Indiana 100% 61.2% 16.2% 8.24% 3.44% 1.45% 0.55%
5 Maryland 100% 67.6% 42.51% 15.45% 7.3% 3.48% 1.51%
12 Syracuse 100% 32.4% 14.77% 3.51% 1.11% 0.35% 0.1%
4 Nevada 100% 76.97% 37.48% 11.68% 4.78% 1.97% 0.73%
13 Wright St 100% 23.03% 5.24% 0.65% 0.12% 0.02% 0%

Team R64 R32 R16 R8 Final 4 Champ WIN

3 Memphis 100% 82.93% 55.23% 31.35% 14.76% 8.16% 4.17%
14 Texas A&M-CC 100% 17.08% 4.55% 1.01% 0.17% 0.03% 0.01%
6 Oregon 100% 49.5% 19.82% 8.17% 2.69% 1.05% 0.37%
11 Winthrop 100% 50.5% 20.41% 8.49% 2.83% 1.12% 0.4%
7 Air Force 100% 50.5% 17.34% 6.52% 1.92% 0.68% 0.21%
10 Xavier 100% 49.5% 16.84% 6.26% 1.82% 0.64% 0.2%
2 Georgetown 100% 86.08% 62.03% 37.45% 18.38% 10.57% 5.65%
15 Pennsylvania 100% 13.92% 3.8% 0.76% 0.11% 0.02% 0%

[Kaptain]

Thanks Spearit----Interesting reading----kapt

[GrandPa]

Is this a mock bracket?

Interesting stuff. Since no #16 has beaten a #1 to date, I would list all of the #1s at 99% +, at least until it happens.

It will be fun to see how many of these 64 actually are in the tourney.

Thanks for the post

[KJ1000]

I am trying to understand this, could you please explain what you have posted Spearit?

[weazel079]

if you go to teamrankings.com it will explain it. Some very intelligent people over their use formulas and power ratings to determine the odds of each team advancing through each round of the tournament. For example Duke has a 100% chance of making the tournament, 84% to make the round of 32, and 55% to make the sweet 16.

[KJ1000]

Ok, makes more sense now...but still not that viable imo since they are assuming the spot of some teams in the bracket...the winning %ages would change with movement up/down in terms of bracket ranking...still interesting...guess this litmus test would be when they compare these rankings with rankings right after the brackets come out...i will check out the article shortly...thanks for the posts and insights!

[GOLDENGREEK]

are these % 's against the spread or stright up?

[weazel079]

are these % 's against the spread or stright up?

straight up