gl Spear...seems to make sense
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Lets also push the system tonight with the game between the Kings and 76's.
I wanted to hold back because the 76ers
1-5 record against the West but hey if it fits send out Cinderella and let her dance.
702 Philly -2 1/2
In the NBA, the Eastern Conference pales in comparison to the Western. Those teams in the West have the best four records in the NBA and five of the top six, with only Detroit sliding into the 5th slot. In terms of below .500 teams, each conference is on equal footing with nine a piece, suggesting if any team is not very good, it doesn’t matter what league or conference they are from.
When teams go on lengthy road trips across country, the coaching staff will always say the goal is to win every game, which of course it should be. The reality is, most will set goals of say 3-2 on a five game sojourn and picking their spots that appear most likely they can win.
The home team also oft times has a different attitude facing road teams from a different conference, especially if they are not among the big brand names that help fill the seats. San Antonio, the Lakers and even Phoenix these days all bring people to the arena; however the lesser lights normally do not. In a game between two mediocre to poor NBA teams, what would be a good reason to play a home team from the weaker Eastern Conference against one from the superior one, even if they are below .500? Today’s Super Situation tackles that question.
PLAY ON - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in non-conference games.
(50-19 72.5% L5 seasons)
First we start with a team that in all likelihood is somewhat deficient offensively, which Philadelphia has proven to be ranked 26th at 94.8 points a game. That figure has been lowered in the last seven outings with the Sixers scoring a mere 90.8 PPG.
In comes a Sacramento club wrapping up a four game road trip that has seen them post a 1-2 record.
Even if you include the 93 points the Kings allowed in upset at Indiana yesterday, they have surrendered rather easily 105.6 PPG in the last nine road games.
Part of the point of this system is the “due factor”.
Based on the fact these two teams are going nowhere, the action figures to be loose and more free flowing. With a laboring offensive team apparently ready to break loose against a non-conference opponent who in this case may be satisfied after upset win the pervious game.
In this case we have Kings club that is 1-8 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season, losing by almost ten points each time out.
Yes, Philly stinks and needs a major overhaul, but tonight they are nicely positioned to win and cover and have incidentally covered the spread the last three times they have allowed 50+ percent shooting in back to back contests by the opposition.
This system is right on track with 35-14 record the last three years and even better 9-3 this season. The home team is winning by an average of seven points a game. Trust the force Luke!"The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
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