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  • #16
    Originally posted by celtics72
    thanks for the input Wayne. I don't bet NASCAR much, I am lioterally thinking a $5 bet to win 1500. The other reason I am ytolling for long shots is that I go to a Daytona party that runs a Calcutta. The real money is won by finding the guy who might sneak into the top 5 and won't have a lot of bets, instead of putting money on Stewart of Jr
    2 longer shots at my books that i would take a chance on are Clint Bowyer @ +4900 & Martin Truex Jr. @ +3900

    Try those celtics!

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    • #17
      Originally posted by celtics72
      thanks for the input Wayne. I don't bet NASCAR much, I am lioterally thinking a $5 bet to win 1500. The other reason I am ytolling for long shots is that I go to a Daytona party that runs a Calcutta. The real money is won by finding the guy who might sneak into the top 5 and won't have a lot of bets, instead of putting money on Stewart of Jr
      Jamie McMurray

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      • #18
        here are the future lines at 5dimes

        Daytona 500
        Sun 2/18 3:20PM (EST)

        Tony Stewart +365
        Dale Earnhardt Jr +650
        Jimmie Johnson +675
        Jeff Gordon +850
        Kevin Harvick +1600
        Matt Kenseth +1800
        Kurt Busch +2000
        Kyle Busch +2000
        Ricky Rudd +2000
        David Gilliland +2200
        Denny Hamlin +2600
        Carl Edwards +2600
        Jeff Burton +2700
        Kasey Kahne +3000
        Casey Mears +3300
        Ryan Newman +4000
        Elliott Sadler +4000
        Martin Truex Jr +4500
        Greg Biffle +4500
        Jamie McMurray +5500
        Clint Bowyer +5500
        Juan Pablo Montoya +5500
        Ken Schrader +8000
        David Stremme +8000
        Mark Martin +8500
        Scott Riggs +10000
        Bobby Labonte +11000
        Reed Sorenson +12500
        Dave Blaney +12500
        David Ragan +15000
        Boris Said +15000
        Dale Jarrett +20000
        JJ Yeley +25000
        Joe Nemechek +25000
        Sterling Marlin +25000
        Michael Waltrip +30000
        Robby Gordon +30000
        David Reutimann +30000
        Tony Raines +40000
        Jeff Green +40000
        Kyle Petty +45000
        Johnny Sauter +45000
        Mike Wallace +50000

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        • #19
          Biffle @ 45-1

          I like him for some reason

          PEACE

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          • #20
            Originally posted by kbsooner21
            Jamie McMurray
            I have him @ +5500

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            • #21
              Mark Martin probably has his best chance to win a 500 driving a Chevy with Hendrick power under the hood. Kind of enticing at +8500

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              • #22
                celtics, going WAAAAY down the list, these would be 4 Longshots for you (IMO). It all depends on how much of a chance you want to take!


                Clint Bowyer +5500
                Mark Martin +8500
                Joe Nemechek +25000
                Sterling Marlin +25000

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                • #23
                  I don't know if they never changed their odds after the suspension scandal or what. Despite the switch from DEI to Tpypta, I think 300-1 to win and 70-1 for a top 3 are ridiculous odds for someone with his Daytona resume, who has 2 other teammates on the track that race for his ownership team, and managed to finish 13th in the qualifying race after no practice with a new car (all with the pressure that for the 1st 5 races, he has to qualify by speed, not past ownership points

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                  • #24
                    Originally posted by celtics72
                    I don't know if they never changed their odds after the suspension scandal or what. Despite the switch from DEI to Tpypta, I think 300-1 to win and 70-1 for a top 3 are ridiculous odds for someone with his Daytona resume, who has 2 other teammates on the track that race for his ownership team, and managed to finish 13th in the qualifying race after no practice with a new car (all with the pressure that for the 1st 5 races, he has to qualify by speed, not past ownership points
                    You can't overlook the problems Toyota has had this week. If he were in a Ford, Chevy or Dodge i would say sure. Toyota ... NO!

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                    • #25
                      I actually looked into Marlin (and have him on my ESPN team this week. He is consistently strong at this track and he will be cheap in the calcutta (the price of the Calcutta is based solely on the starting spot, so Marlin and Gordon will be the same price there, despite the huge odds difference

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by celtics72
                        I actually looked into Marlin (and have him on my ESPN team this week. He is consistently strong at this track and he will be cheap in the calcutta (the price of the Calcutta is based solely on the starting spot, so Marlin and Gordon will be the same price there, despite the huge odds difference
                        If that's the case, you have to take Gordon.

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                        • #27
                          No question, hopefully everyones hatred for him will keep them from seeing the value. Not much money involved--few hundred bucks. Just an excuse for the boys to cook up something they've killed, sit around getting drunk and playing cards, get away from the wife for a few hours and then watch the last 10 laps tp see if anyone yo bet on or got in the blind draw is still in contention. Good luck to you and thanks

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                          • #28
                            Originally posted by wayne1218
                            It's not a stupid question Greek. Alot of people like ldawg love the Top 3 wagers. I don't. I just go 3 or 4 Units each week to win. The odds on Top 3 are not worth it (imo) in a field of 43 cars. I tell anyone who has never bet Nascar to Stick With it. You can go 3 or 4 weeks w/out a winner or you can pick one right in 3 or 4 straight. In the end, you need to pick a winner about every 3/4 races to break even. Shop lines too. Nascar lines are VERY different at every book.

                            GL
                            gotch - thanx !

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Originally posted by GOLDENGREEK
                              Wayne, i have never bet nascar- wanna tail you- do you bet all those to win, or do you pick them to finissh in the top three. Sorry if its a stupid question
                              I asked this question once, and the chunk that was bitten out of my head is still healing....

                              You know I still can't bring myself to bet Nascar. At this point, it's almost like giving in to temptation.

                              Good luck tomorrow my good man!

                              KAZ
                              [email protected]

                              I'm just here so I won't get fined....

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by KazDog
                                I asked this question once, and the chunk that was bitten out of my head is still healing....

                                You know I still can't bring myself to bet Nascar. At this point, it's almost like giving in to temptation.

                                Good luck tomorrow my good man!

                                I wanna suck hiallrays cock sooo bad


                                KAZ

                                figures
                                2013 NCAA POD Record

                                8-3ATS +3.80 units

                                2013 NFL POD Record

                                1-2 ATS -4.50 units

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