Friday Trends and Indexes 02/16

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday, February 16


Good Luck on day #47 of 2007!


NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.


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[pm530]

Six-Pack for Friday

Bracket Buster/Travel edition

-- UAlbany's flight to Boise was cancelled Wednesday, so team bused to Washington, took two separate flights out west, with five starters and Coach Brown getting to Boise late Thursday. Al McGuire would have been proud.

-- The rest of team was scheduled to arrive Friday, at least six subs, an assistant coach, radio guy and trainer, after they spent the night in Minneapolis.

-- Two seldom-used players and an assistant coach were left home, as travelling party shrunk from 24 to 15, since they could only find fifteen empty seats to Idaho.

-- Another assistant coach is already recruiting in Denver; he will meet the team in Boise.

-- Why is UAlbany recruiting in Denver? Albany is within four hours of NYC, Boston, Philly; they recruit in Denver?

-- If there is bad weather Friday, it is conceivable Albany is going to play Boise State on national TV with five players; they finished a game vs Boston U a few years ago with four players, after starting with seven.

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[pm530]

Friday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but...............

13) Watching Cavaliers-Lakers Thursday, it is obvious that the refs forgot about the no tolerance on bitching rule. Every whistle drew a whine from someone.

12) With the PGA Tour folding The International tournament, Dean Wilson goes in the trivia books as the last champ of the quirky tournament.

11) Fran Fraschilla observes that Texas A&M's practices the day before a game are harder than any team's he has watched.

10) Bill Cowher signed on with CBS as a studio analyst, but they didn't release anyone, so he won't get to talk much.

9) Interesting article this week on espn.com about Dominican trainer Angel Presinal, who gets ballplayers in shape down in Latin America each winter, but who isn't welcome around the major league ballparks. Interesting reading.

8) The way Tiki Barber feels compelled to constantly bash his former coach, Tom Coughlin, I feel bad for Al Roker if he gets the weather forecast wrong with Tiki on The Today Show.

7) Oklahoma State in 5-5 in Big 12 games this season, but still hasn't covered the spread in league play (0-10).

6) Speaking of OSU, no one in America looks like they enjoy their job less than Sean Sutton; the guy makes Gary Williams look cheerful. Lighten up people, its a game. Your team will play better if you relax a little.

5) Oregon State shoots 59% from foul line, as a team. Awful.

4) USC won in Tucson Thursday for first time since 1-17-85, back when Reagan was President, and I had full head of hair.

3) How does Mariano Rivera only make $10M a year? Now, I know $10M is huge money, but relative to what some of the other nitwits in baseball make, Rivera is underpaid.

2) One of my sleeper teams in on ESPNU Friday night, as the Winthrop Eagles visit Missouri State. Winthrop lost by less than 10 points to North Carolina, and lost buzzer beater last year in first round of NCAA's to Tennessee. They're good.

1) There is no truth to rumor that Barry Bonds has interest in buying Michael Waltrip's NASCAR team.

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[pm530]

NBA

Friday, February 16th to Monday, February 19th

** No Games Scheduled due to All-Star Break **

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[pm530]

College Basketball – write up

NCAAB
Write up


Friday, February 16

-- Harvard beat Brown 92-88 Jan 27 (-2) but that was last game its 6-10 center played in; Crimson shot 61.2% from floor, made 7-15 treys in that game. Since then, Harvard lost three of four; for season, they're 0-3 on Ivy road, losing by 80-73ot/74-68/67-53. Brown lost five of its last games.

-- Penn crushed Columbia 69-43 in Bronx Jan 13 (-6.5), holding Lions to 27.3% from floor, while Quakers made 8-18 treys. Lions won three of last four games, are 3-0 vs spread on road in Ivy play. Penn won last three games by 20,14,13 points, allowing an average of 47 ppg in the three wins.

-- Princeton is 1-6 in Ivy, as darkest era in history of the program continues; Tigers lost 55-35 at Cornell Jan 13 (-3), shooting 30% from floor, making 3-23 treys. Cornell won six of last seven, 2-1 on road, losing at Harvard. Tigers are 0-6-1 vs spread in league.

-- Yale won five of last six games, but now trails Penn by game again; they won 71-64 at Dartmouth Jan 27 (-4.5), shooting 49% from floor. Dartmouth lost four of last five games; they're 2-1 as road dog, losing by 6 at Harvard, 20 at Penn, winning 45-44 as a 12-point dog at Princeton in last game.

-- Winthrop has beaten Mississippi State, Old Dominion, lost by seven to North Carolina, 20 to Texas A&M (Jan 2, the last loss). Eagles shooting just 57% from foul line during win streak. This is bigger game for Winthrop than Missouri State, losers in last game to conference rival Southern Illinois.

-- Albany traveled to get to Boise for this ESPNU game; they have to be a little tired, but excited to be in Bracket Buster- they lost 70-67 at VCU last year in the Buster (+7). Great Danes will compete, but they're off bad home loss to conference rival Vermont, face reality of having to win America East finals on road. Boise is 5-1 at home in WAC, losing only to New Mexico State (4-2 as home favorite).

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[pm530]

Hockey – write up

NHL
Write up


Friday, February 16

Hot Teams
-- Devils won five of their last six games. Penguins won four in row, 12 of last 14 games.
-- Chicago is 5-3 in its last eight games. Canucks are 15-6 in last twenty-one games.

Cold Teams
-- San Jose is 4-6 in its last ten games. Columbus lost six of last seven games.
-- Nashville is 3-4 in last seven games, 13-5 in last 18. St Louis is 3-6 in its last nine games.

Series Records
-- Sharks are 2-0 vs Columbus this year: 5-2/3-0.
-- Home side won three of four Devil-Penguin games, with Pens losing both visits to Swamp, 5-2/3-0.
-- Predators are 6-0 vs St Louis this year: 5-4/3-2/2-1/3-2/6-3/3-2.
-- Canucks arw 2-1 vs Chicago this year: 3-0/0-5/2-1.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- New Jersey is 10-2 on front end of back/back.
-- Nashville is 5-2 in last seven front ends of back/back.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Columbus home games.
-- Four of last five New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-4 in Vancouver's last dozen games.

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Tips and trends


Friday, February 16

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Cornell at Princeton (ESPNU | 7 PM ET)
Cornell is playing its best stretch against Princeton in 20 years with four wins in the last five meetings, including a 55-35 triumph over the Tigers on January 13th in Ithaca. Cornell has won two straight at Jadwin Gymnasium after going the previous 20 years without a win. EDGE: CORNELL
Princeton doesn’t have a double figure scorer on offense (Kyle Koncz leads at 9.0 ppg), but is holding foes to 52.8 points and just 32 percent shooting from 3-point range. EDGE: UNDER
Cornell is currently 4-0 against Columbia, Princeton and Brown. The Big Red swept both games from Columbia and knocked off Princeton and Brown in their first meetings. Cornell has never swept the six games against those three opponents in a single season. SLIGHT EDGE: PRINCETON
The Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games versus the Ivy League.


Albany at Boise State (ESPNU | 9 PM ET)
Albany comes in with an 18-8 record, including a 11-3 mark in the America East Conference. After starting the season 2-4, Albany has won 16 of its last 20 and eight of its last nine games. EDGE: ALBANY
Boise State is 13-3 under head coach Greg Graham when 5,000 or more fans attend home games. The Broncos are 4-0 with more than 5,000 fans at home this season with victories over BYU, Hawaii and Fresno State. Boise State is 10-1 overall at home this season. BIG EDGE: BOISE STATE
The OVER is 5-0 in the Broncos' last five Friday games.

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[pm530]

NHL
Tips and trends


Friday, February 16

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San Jose Sharks at Columbus Blue Jackets (7 PM ET)
San Jose goaltender Vesa Toskala has a 4.75 goals-against-average in his last four starts, stopping only 65 of 80 shots. The Sharks may elect to go with Evgeni Nabokov since he’s 11-2-0 with a 1.51 GAA and three shutouts in 14 games against Columbus. EDGE: SHARKS
The Sharks have won two of their first three road games of its season-high eight-game road trip. San Jose is 18-9 away from HP Pavilion, tying them with the Nashville Predators for the second-most road wins in the league. EDGE: SHARKS
Columbus goaltender Pascal Leclaire struggled Wednesday in his first start since December 22nd, stopping 13 of 16 shots. He missed 21 games because of knee surgery. Leclaire has allowed seven goals in two career games against San Jose, losing both. EDGE: SHARKS
The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Columbus.


Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues (8 PM ET)
Nashville has outscored St. Louis 47-24 in winning all 14 meetings since the start of the 2005-06. Seven of the victories – all in regulation – have come at St. Louis. BIG EDGE: PREDATORS
Predators’ goaltender Tomas Vokoun has won his last five starts versus the Blues with a 1.20 GAA, and backup Chris Mason has a 10-0 record with two shutouts and a 1.92 GAA in 12 career games against them. BIG EDGE: PREDATORS
The Blues are 2-13 in their last 15 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200.


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[pm530]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Friday, February 16

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HARVARD (10 - 12) at BROWN (7 - 16) - 2/16/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 4-1 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 4-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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COLUMBIA (13 - 9) at PENNSYLVANIA (15 - 8) - 2/16/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CORNELL (13 - 9) at PRINCETON (10 - 11) - 2/16/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CORNELL is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
PRINCETON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PRINCETON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CORNELL is 4-1 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
CORNELL is 4-1 straight up against PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DARTMOUTH (8 - 13) at YALE (10 - 11) - 2/16/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 3-2 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 3-2 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WINTHROP (21 - 4) at MISSOURI ST (19 - 8) - 2/16/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI ST is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WINTHROP is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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ALBANY (18 - 8) at BOISE ST (14 - 10) - 2/16/2007, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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JACKSONVILLE ST (8 - 18) at MERCER (12 - 13) - 2/16/2007, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


NEW JERSEY (35-16-0-6, 76 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (28-22-0-8, 64 pts.) - 2/16/2007, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-6 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-6-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.9 Units)




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SAN JOSE (36-20-0-1, 73 pts.) at COLUMBUS (22-30-0-5, 49 pts.) - 2/16/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 10-17 ATS (-14.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 91-81 ATS (+91.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 121-108 ATS (+121.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 30-30 ATS (+73.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 18-13 ATS (+32.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 31-35 ATS (+84.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 53-42 ATS (+106.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 17-15 ATS (+44.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 13-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
SAN JOSE is 12-1 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 4-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)




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NASHVILLE (39-16-0-3, 81 pts.) at ST LOUIS (23-26-0-9, 55 pts.) - 2/16/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
NASHVILLE is 33-12 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-23 ATS (+35.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 2-13 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 14-0 (+14.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 14-0-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.7 Units)




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VANCOUVER (32-21-0-4, 68 pts.) at CHICAGO (22-27-0-8, 52 pts.) - 2/16/2007, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 20-36 ATS (-21.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 32-25 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 32-25 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 32-25 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 6-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 28-18 ATS (+48.2 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
CHICAGO is 129-176 ATS (+129.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
CHICAGO is 23-42 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 6-1 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 6-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

[Udog]

Woops. Yesterday's hockey stuff.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Friday, February 16th

San Jose at Columbus, 7:05 EST
San Jose: 12-1 SU off a loss by 2+ goals
Columbus: 13-2 Under playing with double revenge

Pittsburgh at New Jersey, 7:35 EST
Pittsburgh: 7-25 SU after allowing 4+ goals BB Games
New Jersey: 14-2 SU playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Nashville at St. Louis, 8:05 EST
Nashville: 14-0 SU vs. St. Louis
St. Louis: 2-13 SU at home revenging a home loss

Vancouver at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Vancouver: 5-0 SU revenging a loss by 3+ goals
Chicago: 1-6 SU vs. Vancouver

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Spark]

Thanks Guys ... Great job as usual

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, February 16th

Harvard at Brown, 7:00 EST
Harvard: 1-8 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5
Brown: 6-0 ATS playing with same season revenge

Columbia at Pennsylvania, 7:00 EST
Columbia: 13-4 ATS Away off a conference win
Pennsylvania: 2-11 ATS off 3+ SU wins

Cornell at Princeton, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Cornell: 9-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Princeton: 0-7 ATS vs. Ivy League

Yale at Dartmouth, 7:00 EST
Yale: 6-0 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite
Dartmouth: 6-0 Under off a SU win as an underdog


Bracket Buster Games:

Winthrop at Missouri State, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Winthrop: 8-1 ATS Away vs. non-conference opponents
Missouri State: 6-0 Over at home after a game with 9 or less assists

Albany at Boise State, 9:00 EST ESPNU
Albany: 4-1 ATS in all lined games (L3 years)
Boise State: 1-6 ATS off a win by 15+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Cornell at Princeton
Cornell is right in the ***** of things in the Ivy League with a 6-2 mark that trails only Penn (6-1). The only thing that has kept the Big Red from winning seven straight was a one-point loss at Harvard (65-64 on the Feb. 3) on a shot at the buzzer. Playing on the road hasn't been a major problem, either, as Cornell has knocked off Columbia (49-45) and Dartmouth (74-61) away from home. Five of Princeton's six losses have come on the road, but the Tigers also dropped a home game to lower-rated Dartmouth (45-44) last weekend while scoring only 17 points in the second half. The Big Red look like a good underdog pick (+2 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Cornell favored straight up by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 16
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Harvard at Brown
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 44.380; Brown 47.861
Dunkel Line: Brown by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Brown by 6
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+6)

Game 803-804: Columbia at Pennsylvania
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 49.288; Pennsylvania 57.580
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+12 1/2)

Game 805-806: Cornell at Princeton
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 51.706; Princeton 47.418
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+2 1/2)

Game 807-808: Dartmouth at Yale
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 44.359; Yale 54.199
Dunkel Line: Yale by 10
Vegas Line: Yale by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+13 1/2)

Game 809-810: Winthrop at Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 60.324; Missouri State 72.468
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 12
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-5 1/2)

Game 811-812: Albany at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 51.854; Boise State 64.098
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-9)