Spears CBB

[Spearit]

Game 535 Marist -1

********* is 66% on Manhattan in this game- but I don't see it that way.
Looking at why Manhattan has failed to win much at home - I looked at the assists and turnover ratio and saw the disparity. While Marist is at 15+ on away courts- Manhattan is 11+. The national avg is 13.
Both should play about even in the first half but it is the second half that looks enticing. Marist scores 41 points avg- on away games -about 12 more than the first half. Manhattan scores about 4 more at home in the second half vs the first. This of course means a second half play on Marist if you choose to wait.
I may have more later.

[worm]

gl Spearit!!-----worm

[Chado1]

GL with Marist tonight Spear!!!

[Spearit]

Thanx guys- Some trends to think about.

Marist
Red Foxes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Red Foxes are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
Red Foxes are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.


Manhattan
Jaspers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Jaspers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Jaspers are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
Jaspers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Jaspers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Jaspers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic.
Jaspers are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Jaspers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games.
Jaspers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.

[Hitman]

GL Spearit!

[RDOG55]

gl spear

[Kaptain]

tough game to call here spearit----best to ya----kapt

[Spearit]

Ho dere--This is from a long time capping friend who has started to monitor Turnover-Assist Ratio on away and home court. He just posted these plays.
I shall monitor him as well on these! He didn't play these and he is not on these tonight but I thought it would be a good thing to keep up with. I am not sure what perimeters left my game out but we'll see.

Tonight's TAR Turnover/Assist Ratio System Plays (Tuesday)

Miami Ohio -13.5 (4-0/+106.0 system edge on TAR)
Wake Forest +5.5 (4-0/+75.0 system edge on TAR)
Illinois State -4 (4-0/+65.0 system edge on TAR)
Baylor -10.5 (4-0/+85.0 system edge on TAR)

Last Night's Results

Butler -14.5 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)
Old Dominion -18 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)
VCU -13.5 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)
Wis.Green Bay -5.5 = LOSS (4-0 system edge on TAR)
SE Missouri St +2.5 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)
Tennessee Tech -8 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)
St. Mary's -12.5 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)
Hawaii -7 = WIN (4-0 system edge on TAR)

7-1 LAST NIGHT

[GOLDENGREEK]

great write up!!! gl spearit!!

[RDOG55]

great writeup on these TARs...what is that system like longterm

[Spark]

Good luck tonight buddy

[Spearit]

great writeup on these TARs...what is that system like longterm

At present- not sure nor is he. One capper adds another filter to the plays and he has played these for awhile.
I will see what I can find out.
System Explanation: The is based on how teams perform at Home and how teams perform AWAY. I take the assist-turnover ratio of both teams, throw em in the mixer and see which teams like to move the ball on the road or at home and which teams can move the ball. Also which teams have bad turnover tendencies on the road and which teams have good ones at home or on the road.

In other words, the system does not take teams that don't force turnovers above the NCAA average and doesn't take teams that don't move the ball around better than the NCAA average.

[Spearit]

OK He states:
I follow this system quite a bit for my own plays and i've been hitting 60%+... lately about 57% lol.

I also take in consideration the margin of scoring between the top 2 and 3 players. Assists/Rebounds > Points by one player.

[RDOG55]

OK He states:
I follow this system quite a bit for my own plays and i've been hitting 60%+... lately about 57% lol.

I also take in consideration the margin of scoring between the top 2 and 3 players. Assists/Rebounds > Points by one player.

only 57%...that sucks...you mean it doesn't go 7-1 every night???....lol

[Spearit]

Sorry Dog
It is one capper that plays it his way vs a capper who is trying it out another way. Monitoring this is the best way to go!
Wouldn't it be great if we could find all systems that are hot right now! No searching - just e-mail me. This system is as hot as any right now.