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Indian Cowboys Plays For Monday

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  • Indian Cowboys Plays For Monday

    New Orleans 1st Quarter -1 (2 Units) (I have them winning by 4 after First Q)

    The NBA is all about revenge - the NBA is all about revenge. However, revenge is only worthwhile when you bet on a teams of equitable talent - in this case, the Blazers versus the Hornets. I told myself that I was going take the Blazers the last time these two met b/c the Hornets are were w/out Chris Paul and consequently got blown out by 15 on the road.

    Now, the Hornets get to host the Trailblazers a bit healthier and this team has been playing very well of late having defeated the Jazz at home - didn't figure that coming did ya, in fact, they beat the Kings which I was on - and after winning 2 games solidly, they should have the confidence to want to come out strong against a team that whooped their behinds and now they will host them.

    Why the first half? Well, the Hornets have x2 revenge going into this game which is nice and the Blazers have played some long games of late including that marathon game at Memphis where it went to OT - over 260 points scored in that game too.

    However, the Hornets really had a stinging loss back on 11/10 (2 games before in this series) when they went up 38-13 in the first quarter only to end up losing 92-91 as Portland came back to win the game.

    In short, I think the Hornets at home, with double-revenge playing well and I think the Blazers come out a bit flat in part as well. I'll take the Hornets to lead after the first quarter.

    I don't like laying the points as this game could come down to the wire, but I think the 1st quarter is definitely worth a wager here.

    Orlando Magic -1 FIRST QUARTER(2 Units) (I have them winning by 5 after the First) Q

    The Magic have to furious about letting the Hawks come back in their last game after having a huge lead only to have the Hawks come back and somehow win the game. This is a home and home game and you have to think the Magic vividly remember that loss at home - where they don't lose often.

    The Magic showed that they have some serious talent and they respond well on the road as the game against the Cavs shows a lot about their character and I think they just get fired to play the Hawks who are just untrustworthy and they show up to play in a big way - especially in the first quarter.

    The Magic are better than the Hawks and I think the Hawks are in for some serious ass-detailing early on and then they might make their typical 2nd half come back, however, I won't wait around for that and take the wager in the 1st quarter.

    San Diego/Gonzaga Under 71 FIRST HALF (2 Units) (I have it at 66)

    Much like the Tennessee/Kentucky game going under in the first half, I have this game going under in the first half as well. When Gonzaga typically plays teams of decent talent of top 150 ranking, the games go under.

    In short - when a decent team goes into Gonzaga, such as a conference team such as San Diego who is a 10-15 point underdog, the only way they have to stay within a ballgame is by playing defense, much like the Vols did and then they will likely collapse in the second half.

    For example there are two ways to look at this - when San Diego goes on the road as a double-digit dog - and when Gonzaga hosts teams as a small teen double-digit favorite.

    Let's look at San Diego first:

    San Diego goes on the road to play Fresno - Total First half as a 11 point dog - 57 points.

    San Diego as a 12 point underdog on the road at Loyola-Chicago - total first half was 59 points and the game goes under (total set in the high 140's)

    Gonzaga as a 15 point favorite over San Francisco at home - the game goes under at 54 points in the first half - total was set at 149 - similar to the game today.

    Gonzaga favored by 17 over Pepperdine - 65 in the first half - Total was set at a huge 169.

    In short, if San Diego has any chance in this game, they have to keep this game close in the first half and I think they stay competitive by playing decent defense and Gonzaga starts off slow as they typically do.

    I like these 3 plays for 2 units a peice and consequently hope for a 2-1 better day.

  • #2
    good luck GG!!!------worm
    NHL Record posted on Bettorschat record forum...

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    • #3
      thanks for posting the 1/4, and 1/2 a play plays....Greek----appreciate it----kapt


      Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Kaptain
        thanks for posting the 1/4, and 1/2 a play plays....Greek----appreciate it----kapt
        WHAT THE FUCK WITH THIS GUY AND THESE WIERD PLAYS!! CAP THE GAME!!!! HE WASNT DOING THIS B4

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        • #5
          This Guy Is 7-8 Since I Have Been Posting His Plays, After Hittinjg 65 % For 5 Months And 70 % In December. Just Our Luck

          Comment


          • #6
            Do you really think anyone is going to keep pace at 65%???

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by GOLDENGREEK
              The NBA is all about revenge
              I'm not sure what that means. Like the NFL the revenge factor is overrated. One can't retire simply by playing teams seeking revenge.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by frankb03
                I'm not sure what that means. Like the NFL the revenge factor is overrated. One can't retire simply by playing teams seeking revenge.

                Can you post a larger picture of girlfriends avatar Franklin
                Questions, comments, complaints:
                [email protected]

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by jcindaville
                  Can you post a larger picture of girlfriends avatar Franklin
                  OK lol

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by GOLDENGREEK
                    This Guy Is 7-8 Since I Have Been Posting His Plays, After Hittinjg 65 % For 5 Months And 70 % In December. Just Our Luck
                    He was only playing 1 game a day before.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Spark
                      Do you really think anyone is going to keep pace at 65%???

                      Very Good Point

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                      • #12
                        HEY GODLENGEEK HERES HIS PLAY TODAY THOUGHT I WOULD HeLP YA OUT GLLLLLL
                        GET-R-DON PEACE

                        JANUARY 31ST TOP PLAY:

                        UL-MONROE +15.5 (Matchbook) = 2 Units

                        This is the first times both these teams have hooked up yet, the line is incredibly jacked in my opinion considering the similar teams they have played, they have yielded same results and the spread despite being at home is just not warranted.

                        In facts, this pits the two division leaders against each other in this game with Western Kentucky at 16-7 ATS (11-11 ATS) (#2 in the East) versus the West Division leader in UL-Monroe who is 13-9 and 10-7-1 ATS.

                        The reason why UL-Monroe is facing such a spread today is because of their horrible road record which sits at 2-9. Yet, early on in the year, they played some tough teams which contributed to those road losses including Iowa State, LSU, SMU, Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi - before gearing up for conference play and winning their next 5 ballgames.

                        In fact, this team defeated Middle Tennessee State - a top 170 team on the road earlier this year. So, imagine starting the season 2-6 only to reel off enough wins to now be over .500 on the year - with most of the wins coming against conference opponents.

                        Furthermore, this team showed a lot of character and the fact they are playing better by going on the road to South Alabama and losing by just 7 points and now are getting twice as much of a spread here against Western Kentucky, who albeit is roughly the same as Western Kentucky.

                        You think Western Kentucky is incredible and flat out unstoppalbe against a scrub team such as UL-Monroe - not so fast.

                        Take a look at these teams when they play similar opponents in the last 5 ballgames.

                        Western Kentucky:

                        Beats UL-Lafyette by 10 at home - a top 300 team.
                        Loses to Arkansas LR by 2 on the road - a top 245 team.
                        Beats New Orleans by 3 at home - a top 225 team.
                        Loses to Arkansas State by 1 on the road - a top 225 team.
                        Beats Denver by 10 on the road - a top 330 team.
                        Beats Troy State a top 240 team by 4 at home.

                        UL-Monroe:

                        Beats Arkansas LR at home by 8 a top 245 team.
                        Beats UL-Lafayette by 19 at home - a top 300 team.
                        Beats Arkansas State at home by 8 at home - a top 225 team.
                        Loses to Denver by 10 on the road - a top 330 team.
                        Beats New Orleans at home by 2 - a top 225 team.
                        Beats Troy State a top 240 team by 13 at home.


                        Why do I point all this out? Just to show that these teams have had similar results against conference opponents and that they are within the same class in results against similar opponents.

                        Do I think Western Kentucky is better? Yes. Do I think Western Kentucky wins this game - Yes - 70% likelihood. But for a dog to have a 30% outright chance of winning a ballgame and catching 15.5 points is a big deal imo.

                        In fact, UL-Monroe has not lost by this margin in the last 11 games they have played, which would explain why they have reeled off so many conference wins as they stay close in ballgames and why they are #1 in their side of the conference bracket.

                        You think they won't get up for this game - they sure will. The Hilltoppers come off a win as well so both teams come off wins which I'm glad the Hilltoppers don't come off a loss so to speak.

                        Also, the trends were positive towards the play as well which pushed me over the edge as compared to Missouri - who I think wins outright today with revenge agaisnt Kansas - but then again, that's a short leash compared to 15.5 - conference-game with equal level of play of late.

                        Besides, I have Mizzou's spread around 3 in the sheet and I have this game off by a full 4 points - the same as Tulsa vs. Memphis a while back.

                        Before I forget, the oddsmakers are screwing Western Kentucky over in a major way lately to get them back to .500 when it comes to ATS.

                        Here is why:

                        Western Kentucky started out the season 7-1 ATS - Vegas caught on and since then 4-10 ATS and in particular of late 2-7 ATS.

                        In fact, they are 1-5 ATS at home since their last cover back on 12/22 against South Alabama.

                        I'm telling ya, Vegas is fudging this team over in a big way at home today.

                        UL-Monroe is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 as most of those games were in the Sun-Belt and Western Kentucky as I noted is 1-5 ATS at home of late, 1-4 ATS overall of late and 0-6 ATS following a straight up win.

                        Another key criteria that I look for is free throw shooting and UL-Monroe as a team shoots roughly 72.3% - around the top 50 in the nation which is key in a mid-double-digit spread so they should hang in with respect to the charity stripe.

                        There are no injuries to be reported for either team.

                        This is what I decided to put on my card today based on all the games - best of luck friends.
                        IC
                        U GOT A HUNCH BET A BUNCH
                        THINK LONG THINK WRONG

                        ROLLLLLLLLLL TIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
                        BAMA BAMA BAMA

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