sorry guys-- just woke up, was up till 7 am crying in my beer.
Indiana State +14.5 – 3 Units - 2:05pm
Southern Miss +19.5 – 2 Unit – 1pm this went off already!
Indiana State +14.5 – 3 Units - 2:05pm
*Underdogs that can win outright or spreads that are off by 5 points or more - is the way to go - .
How often do you get 14.5 points in a game in the Missouri Valley Conference in which the total is set at 122.5 – what does that mean, that means you are garnering roughly 8.5% of points over the posted total – that is huge in my book considering it is a MVC game which is typically tight ball games with half-court offenses and with massive revenge and rivalries going both ways.
Indiana State defeated this team outright at home and won by 3 points in a game that scored in the mid to high 50’s for each team. You think Creighton gets revenge in a big way and routs this team? I don’t think so. People thought that about San Jose State and Fresno State and thought the previous cover by the 15 point dog was a fluke, only they did it again and nearly won outright on the road.
Indiana State defeated this team prior, has no injuries and have a shot at winning outright although I think Creighton wins – but I don’t think Creighton wins by more than 8 points and hence, I think the line is off by 6.5 which is an automatic 3 point play for me, the highest I make in the unit basis.
There are few teams that I ride to the grave – and the Sycamores are definitely one of them. This team is 13-3 ATS over the last 16 games.
The Sycs are 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss – what does that mean, I reiterate that below as well, but all that means is that failed expectation the prior game, they get fired up and come back the next game to meet expectations and consequently cover.
You think the Sycs can’t cover against other better teams – not really considering they are 5-1 ATS when playing teams w/a winning overall percentage.
Yes, Indiana State has lost 4 games in a row, which makes me like the play even more as if you really know teams, it just adds to the value of them when they are on a losing streak. Have they been losing bad – nope. They lost to Drake but only because Drake had a revenge factor as Indiana State defeated them in the first game of the season – typical of MVC games where they split seasons all the time.
This team mind you only lost by 10 points to Northern Iowa on the road and this was the same Indiana State team that routed the Purdue Boilermakers by nearly 20 points!
To sum up: Indiana State is getting 14.5 points in what is expected to be a low scoring game, a tight ball game, conference matchup, and are on of the best underdog bets anywhere at 13-3 ATS of late, great underdogs to stay within single digits and have no injuries and can hang tough again in my book.
Southern Miss +19.5 – 2 Unit – 1pm
You knew I would be on this game as I love Southern Miss as it is one of my favorite teams. This team has everything I look for in this situation although I liked Indiana State more because I am getting roughly 14% percentage of points over the posted total.
Southern Miss had one of the best recruiting classes of 2005 and 2006 and Eustachy – dirty recruiting and all – then again, who doesn’t dirty recruit these days – has assembled a solid core of young guys that can flat out play some basketball.
Yes, they had a horrible game against Utep – a horrible game, but then again, they came back to play great ball and win on the road at UAB which is a brutally tough thing to do and considering that they had beaten SMU earlier on the road and lost to Bama by 11 points shows that this team has talent.
I have this game ending up by roughly 14 points or a 15 point loss for Southern Miss much like the Tulsa game which I was on as well.
Southern Miss has a huge revenge angle as they head into this game as I was moosed earlier this year in a big way when I was on Southern Miss and Eustachy got ejected I believe later in the game and this team who was leading in the 2nd half, well into the 2nd half, got one of the biggest mooses I’ve ever seen and failed to cover at home in a game that they went step to step with Memphis.
Southern Miss steps it up today and they hang tough and the sole reason that it is Memphis, I making it a 2 unit play instead.
Southern Miss is a young team and it shows by this trend as they are 5-0-1 ATS following a straight up win – in other words, they win, get confidence and meet the expectation of a spread the next game.
The Golden Eagles have also been one of the best covers in quite some time as they are 17-5 ATS in their last 23 ballgames.
Memphis is good, but when it comes to talent level, although they have more, considering that Southern Miss showed they can play to the same capacity of this team at home, they can hang tough on the road and Memphis 1-4 ATS when playing teams with a winning percentage above .600% which shows they have a tough time covering spreads against better teams.
The Home team is 7-0-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and I think for this reason Vegas is also bucking this trend and I believe that Southern Miss falls short but definitely no more than 19.5 points which is what I have this game.
I believe in playing in underdogs that can win outright but are catching points and in lines that are 5 points or more off which results in a 65 to 70% cover and base the units on the percentages of the possible cover.
The line has steadily been moving down and now that the mystique of Memphis is gone, I think the Golden Eagles step up and play decent defense as they only allow 59 and change points per game and as the line movement indicates as it goes down, Southern Miss in my mind loses by 13-15 points.
Indiana State +14.5 – 3 Units - 2:05pm
Southern Miss +19.5 – 2 Unit – 1pm this went off already!
Indiana State +14.5 – 3 Units - 2:05pm
*Underdogs that can win outright or spreads that are off by 5 points or more - is the way to go - .
How often do you get 14.5 points in a game in the Missouri Valley Conference in which the total is set at 122.5 – what does that mean, that means you are garnering roughly 8.5% of points over the posted total – that is huge in my book considering it is a MVC game which is typically tight ball games with half-court offenses and with massive revenge and rivalries going both ways.
Indiana State defeated this team outright at home and won by 3 points in a game that scored in the mid to high 50’s for each team. You think Creighton gets revenge in a big way and routs this team? I don’t think so. People thought that about San Jose State and Fresno State and thought the previous cover by the 15 point dog was a fluke, only they did it again and nearly won outright on the road.
Indiana State defeated this team prior, has no injuries and have a shot at winning outright although I think Creighton wins – but I don’t think Creighton wins by more than 8 points and hence, I think the line is off by 6.5 which is an automatic 3 point play for me, the highest I make in the unit basis.
There are few teams that I ride to the grave – and the Sycamores are definitely one of them. This team is 13-3 ATS over the last 16 games.
The Sycs are 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss – what does that mean, I reiterate that below as well, but all that means is that failed expectation the prior game, they get fired up and come back the next game to meet expectations and consequently cover.
You think the Sycs can’t cover against other better teams – not really considering they are 5-1 ATS when playing teams w/a winning overall percentage.
Yes, Indiana State has lost 4 games in a row, which makes me like the play even more as if you really know teams, it just adds to the value of them when they are on a losing streak. Have they been losing bad – nope. They lost to Drake but only because Drake had a revenge factor as Indiana State defeated them in the first game of the season – typical of MVC games where they split seasons all the time.
This team mind you only lost by 10 points to Northern Iowa on the road and this was the same Indiana State team that routed the Purdue Boilermakers by nearly 20 points!
To sum up: Indiana State is getting 14.5 points in what is expected to be a low scoring game, a tight ball game, conference matchup, and are on of the best underdog bets anywhere at 13-3 ATS of late, great underdogs to stay within single digits and have no injuries and can hang tough again in my book.
Southern Miss +19.5 – 2 Unit – 1pm
You knew I would be on this game as I love Southern Miss as it is one of my favorite teams. This team has everything I look for in this situation although I liked Indiana State more because I am getting roughly 14% percentage of points over the posted total.
Southern Miss had one of the best recruiting classes of 2005 and 2006 and Eustachy – dirty recruiting and all – then again, who doesn’t dirty recruit these days – has assembled a solid core of young guys that can flat out play some basketball.
Yes, they had a horrible game against Utep – a horrible game, but then again, they came back to play great ball and win on the road at UAB which is a brutally tough thing to do and considering that they had beaten SMU earlier on the road and lost to Bama by 11 points shows that this team has talent.
I have this game ending up by roughly 14 points or a 15 point loss for Southern Miss much like the Tulsa game which I was on as well.
Southern Miss has a huge revenge angle as they head into this game as I was moosed earlier this year in a big way when I was on Southern Miss and Eustachy got ejected I believe later in the game and this team who was leading in the 2nd half, well into the 2nd half, got one of the biggest mooses I’ve ever seen and failed to cover at home in a game that they went step to step with Memphis.
Southern Miss steps it up today and they hang tough and the sole reason that it is Memphis, I making it a 2 unit play instead.
Southern Miss is a young team and it shows by this trend as they are 5-0-1 ATS following a straight up win – in other words, they win, get confidence and meet the expectation of a spread the next game.
The Golden Eagles have also been one of the best covers in quite some time as they are 17-5 ATS in their last 23 ballgames.
Memphis is good, but when it comes to talent level, although they have more, considering that Southern Miss showed they can play to the same capacity of this team at home, they can hang tough on the road and Memphis 1-4 ATS when playing teams with a winning percentage above .600% which shows they have a tough time covering spreads against better teams.
The Home team is 7-0-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and I think for this reason Vegas is also bucking this trend and I believe that Southern Miss falls short but definitely no more than 19.5 points which is what I have this game.
I believe in playing in underdogs that can win outright but are catching points and in lines that are 5 points or more off which results in a 65 to 70% cover and base the units on the percentages of the possible cover.
The line has steadily been moving down and now that the mystique of Memphis is gone, I think the Golden Eagles step up and play decent defense as they only allow 59 and change points per game and as the line movement indicates as it goes down, Southern Miss in my mind loses by 13-15 points.
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