Wednesday: Ranked @ Unranked games

[ChuckLazar]

I love Ga tonight....GL Vinnie

[zeib10]

I am Georga as well. Let's get them tonight!

Nice work!

[Chado1]

This isnt a ranked vs unranked but I think it is similiar to this trend and also feel it should hit:

Tennessee @ Mississippi -2.5

[buzzer beater]

a&m has not lost the last 15 conference games. Same 5 starters as last year! Be Careful

[BigWeiner]

This isnt a ranked vs unranked but I think it is similiar to this trend and also feel it should hit:

Tennessee @ Mississippi -2.5

The reason Mississippi wins that game is because Loften is out. That would fall under the "best player is out" trend

[BigWeiner]

So am I wrong? Baylor, Cincy and Miss. St. fall under the 4-9.5 point range as dogs, therefore they win 45%, therefore take the other teams?

[vinnyvegas]

So am I wrong? Baylor, Cincy and Miss. St. fall under the 4-9.5 point range as dogs, therefore they win 45%, therefore take the other teams?

BW, YES they fall in that range...so it's 50/50 or less on taking them...I think additional capping must be done to feel really good in taking either side of those games...or just go w/ the higher ATS % teams we've ID'd...

Again, the wheels could fall off any night so PLEASE for anyone who may just blindly play these, have some self restraint to at least tell yourself that w/o additional looks into these games, you might as well flip a coin...so far so good...but I can assure you we'll hit a bump at some time.

My plays for sure:

Georgia -2
Tx Tech +3B
Wake +16
NW +10 (love this one almost as much as Georgia)
Baylor +10B

Top 4 I'll play hard & put a little on Baylor...

Also like Mizzou St -5B

Leans to Evansville & UMASS, Youngstown

GL

[BillMill71]

Thanks VV, any word on Brewers return?

[Chado1]

The reason Mississippi wins that game is because Loften is out. That would fall under the "best player is out" trend

no kidding!!!

[LVJimmy]

VV, I got NW at 9 1/2...what do u think...I'm assuming these numbers r based off of closing lines, but I guees we need Spear to answer that.

[LVJimmy]

0-1 as UNC outscores WF 46-23 in the 2nd half

[BillMill71]

Nice work Vinny
I've got:
Unranked Home Dogs of 0-3.5: (19-10-1 ATS YTD) vs Ranked Visitor

Georgia Pick
Texas Tech +2.5
__________________________________
Home Dogs of 4-9.5: (17-13 ATS on FAVS YTD)
(This is only variable to system)

Play AGAINST Miss St +5.5 (play on Florida -5.5)
Play AGAINST Cincinnati +8 (play on Pitt -8)

__________________________________
Home Dogs of 10+: (10-4-1 ATS YTD)

Wake Forest +15
Baylor +10
Northwestern +10.5

Spear, have any statistics around these plays ONLY taking first half? After watching WF fold was wondering if this dials in this play type even further. Thanks

[LVJimmy]

0-1 as UNC outscores WF 46-23 in the 2nd half

make that 1-1 as UGA crushes UK in OT...on the season, unranked home faves against ranked teams in conf games are 12-2...damn

[Spearit]

Spear, have any statistics around these plays ONLY taking first half? After watching WF fold was wondering if this dials in this play type even further. Thanks

No I thought Auburn was a hot first half pick last night and the tigers were up by 5 with a minute to go and it ended in a push after 3 straight TO's. I haven't seen the first half plays as my time has been limited lately. If Vinnie or anyone sees anything on this - please post!

Georgia -----------------------------------------WINNER!~

[LVJimmy]

Going straight off the ranked vs unranked at home, these plays are now 1-3 on the night as Baylor and Cincy are getting hammered at home. If you took Spear's advice and went oppo due to the spread range, you're 3-1 on the night.