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Spears NFL and Special NBA Oddity On Totals

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  • Spears NFL and Special NBA Oddity On Totals

    Realize our minds are on football today.
    Personally I think probably as you do- Chicago has the special teams and defense to whip Seattle with an offense that should expose Seattles repaired defense- Vegas also is asking for more bettors to take Seattle and is not changing the odds on them.
    So is it Chicago! But the Weather looks horrific- points may be at a premium which favors Seattle- Hmmmmmmmmmmmm

    On SD and NE- I have to think that NE is missing a piece on defense and Brusci has been average to say the least lately.
    Brady gives NE a decided advantage today with his experience. I will just enjoy watching this game and make a play at halftime as to who is behind.
    ---------------------------------------------
    Now to the NBA----
    Found at another web site, still a few games to go if you want to give them a shot.

    ==============================================

    Here is what happened last Jan 17 2005with impact of all the early games on NBA totals -


    FG shooting percentage for the teams that played day games 1/17/05:
    Chi 41
    NY 41
    Mil 40
    Cha 36
    NO 43
    Phi 39
    NJ 39
    Atl 41
    Sac 44
    LAC 32
    Pho 35
    Det 38

    Half of the 12 teams that played today shot less than 40% from the field

    Game Unders were 8-0

    1st half unders were 5-3.
    On the 3 games whose 1st half did go over, if you doubled your bet on the 2nd half under you would have gone 3-0

    2nd half unders were 7-1
    --------------------------------------
    Jan 16, 2006
    (Yesterday) the system went
    1st half 6-3 unders
    2nd half 8-1 unders (only loss was an overtime game)
    games 6-3 unders

    -------------=====------------------------
    This MLK Day 1-17-07- play these unders 1st and second halfs and game.Good Luck----

    1:00 pm
    Milwaukee
    Charlotte


    1:00 pm
    Utah
    Washington


    1:00 pm
    Sacramento
    New York


    2:00 pm
    Boston
    Atlanta


    2:00 pm
    Toronto
    Philadelphia


    2:00 pm
    San Antonio
    Chicago


    3:30 pm
    Minnesota
    Detroit


    3:30 pm
    Indiana
    New Jersey


    4:00 pm
    LA Clippers
    Golden State
    Last edited by Spearit; 01-14-2007, 11:09 AM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    Good Luck today pal

    Comment


    • #3
      Good luck Spear.

      Any idea of this info for 2006?
      Am I the longest tenured BC member?

      Comment


      • #4
        Whoops in my hurry- Jan 16, 2006 is really 2007- my bad! which was Yesterday- Jan 16, 2006
        (Yesterday) the system went
        1st half 6-3 unders
        2nd half 8-1 unders (only loss was an overtime game)
        games 6-3 unders


        Today has one game on tap--- Dallas and Toronto
        Last edited by Spearit; 01-14-2007, 11:34 AM.
        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

        Comment


        • #5
          im confused u play this the day after mlk day cause tomm. is mlk day right and that would be 1-15 right???im an idoit so i need a little help lol
          thank u
          get-r-don
          U GOT A HUNCH BET A BUNCH
          THINK LONG THINK WRONG

          ROLLLLLLLLLL TIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
          BAMA BAMA BAMA

          Comment


          • #6
            damn Spearit----are you speaking "Chunganese".....need help Wayne Chung....kapt


            Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

            Comment


            • #7
              Yep- Kapt and Rocko- Confusing I am- tomorrows the 15th- trying to gather the frigging notes while the baby cries on (pissing me off)- its a wonder I posted- Just watch tomorrow at all the unders is what I am alluding to!
              "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

              Comment


              • #8
                This is good info can you plz make it more coherent. I know we are all busy. Just confused. thanx as I will be doing my own research and thanx for the heads up....Any info is good info.

                Do you think that the line makers set the lines knowing it is an under day???

                Cheers
                Life is not a journey to the grave with the intention to arrive safely in a pretty and well-preserved body, but,rather to skid in broadside, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming: WOW!!! What a ride!!
                NBA Y-T-D: 5-5 -.5 units

                Comment


                • #9
                  I am more coherent today- less Chunganese. Yes Vegas is aware of the Unders for the day! Some have already bounced 2 1/2 points lower due to the info highway!

                  Take em one game at a time!
                  for what it's worth,
                  let's get it going early today. going with the trend, i'll back this one up with the under is 5-2-1 the last 8 vs the two. the under is 6-2 the last eight for the Sixers as a favorite & as a home favorite. the Raptors are 16-6 under this year on the road & the under is 10-2 for the Raptors after a loss of three or less. the under is also 4-0 for the Raptors vs the Atlantic division the last 4. this is a big division game even though the Raptors are below 500 they are atop the division. let's throw in the monday stat the Sixers are 9-0 under on mondays & the Raptors are 20-8 under on mondays, so i'll play,
                  Raptors/Sixers under 192 1/2' (Opening was 195)
                  Raptors/Sixers under 1st half. Second halfs have been hitting the best.
                  Won barely on Dallas ML and the Under Parlay yesterday. These are the day games only that have a decided advantage to the under.
                  Last edited by Spearit; 01-15-2007, 09:31 AM.
                  "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Summarizing
                    MLK Day 2005
                    Half of the 12 teams that played today shot less than 40% from the field

                    Game Unders were 8-0
                    1st half unders were 5-3.
                    On the 3 games whose 1st half did go over, if you doubled your bet on the 2nd half under you would have gone 3-0

                    2nd half unders were 7-1
                    --------------------------------------
                    MLK Day 2006

                    1st half 6-3 unders
                    2nd half 8-1 unders (only loss was an overtime game)
                    games 6-3 unders
                    --------------------------------------------
                    MLK Day 2007
                    Playing all second halves of NBA today!
                    Toronto/Philly Under 1st and 2nd halfs and game.
                    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      If you had a good book with opening lines- and saw this post yesterday in all in glibberish--you may do quite well today - I am still playing along on Unders especially at half time.

                      Utah Open 218
                      Now down to 215 1/2

                      Sacramento Open 207
                      Down 205 1/2 (Sportsbook at 206 1/2)

                      Milwaukee Open 194
                      Now 194 and 194 1/2

                      Toronto 195
                      Now 192 1/2 (sportsbook 193 1/2

                      San Ant. Open 185 1/2
                      Now varying between 183 1/2 and 184 1/2

                      Detroit Open 187
                      Now 183 1/2

                      Indy Open 188
                      Now Bout same 187 1/2 and 188

                      Clippers Open 210 1/2
                      Now 209
                      Last edited by Spearit; 01-15-2007, 10:03 AM.
                      "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Ok, I am game. Good Luck Spearit.
                        2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                        21 - 20 - 0

                        2012 - 2013 NFL

                        14 - 10 - 1

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                        • #13
                          Thanks for the info spear !

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Are you saying to play all first half, 2nd half, and game unders for all the daytime games?
                            also does this trend go beyond 2005?
                            Thanks for any help just a little confused.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              For the past couple of years these bets have been golden- why- don't know- will it happen again today- don't know. My betting has been to gain an edge- that is what this is about. I will now backtract and see what it did prior to last two years. As for the half lines- the first has been hitting over 65% and the second half can be doubled up if you lose on the first half- they have been hitting around 80-90 %
                              Last edited by Spearit; 01-15-2007, 12:39 PM.
                              "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                              Comment

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