Eagles/Saints play (sportsbook fade)

[soxx9]

I was already liking the Saints tonight. Got an e-mail from sportsbook titled "Eagles game alert"....

"The Saints are just 3-5 ATS at home this season compared to 7-1 on the road. This isn’t a new trend considering they are 48-70 ATS at home since 1992. The Eagles are the hottest team in the NFC, having won six straight. More importantly they have lost ATS only once in their last six games. Brian Westbrook could be in for another big day as he faces a Saints’ rushing defense which gave up almost 130 RYPG this season. Since 1992, the Eagles are 42-22 ATS when avenging a loss against an opponent."

2007 track record on these e-mails that sportsbook lets us know they want money on a particular side:
1/1 - Tessessee (Lost)
1/2 - Wake Forest (Lost)
1/3 - Notre Dame (Lost)
1/6 - Seahawks (Lost)
1/7 - Eagles (Lost)
1/8 - Florida/Ohio St Under (Lost by halftime)
1/13 - Eagles (????)

I am definitely on the Saints -5 tonight.

[the lumberjack]

do they want money on a particular side because they need it or do you believe that they think they know the winning side?

[soxx9]

do they want money on a particular side because they need it or do you believe that they think they know the winning side?

Probably a little of both (more of the latter). At least one of those (Tennessee) already had the majority of the money.

On tonights game the majority of thye money so far is probably on the Saints.

[soxx9]

Sportsbook.com's Game of the Day: Eagles vs. Saints

For what it is worth, here is another e-mail they just sent:

"ATS the Saints are 3-5 this season, 7-15 over the last three seasons and 48-70 since 1992 at home. At home the Saints score 7.4 fewer points then they do on the road and give up 2.3 more points. Lead by Brain Westbrook, the Eagles offense has rushed for 160+ yards in three out of their past four games. This might concern the Saints as they give up 128.9 RYPG. When avenging a loss against an opponent, the Eagles are 42-22 ATS since 1992 including 4-1 this season. With the Saints’ covering woes in the Superdome, it’s a bit surprising that about 68% of the early money is on the Saints (-5)."

[spreadman]

imo - I think the public will be on the Saints.... But Services will be on Philly...

[10DimeBry]

i'm on the saints tonight

[Kaptain]

thanks, and gl---kapt