Friday Trends and Indexes 01/12

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Trends and Indexes
Friday, January 12

Good Luck on day #12 of 2007!

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Dunkel Index - Pro Football (January 13-14)

NFL
Dunkel



Saturday, January 13

Philadelphia at New Orleans
The Eagles return to New Orleans where they lost to the Saints (27-24) in Week 6 on John Carney's 31-yard field goal as time expired. Back then the Saints were just trying to establish themselves as a legitimate contender with new QB Drew Brees while the Eagles were a consensus front runner behind MVP candidate Donovan McNabb. Now the roles are reversed as New Orleans comes in the favorite with the No. 1 ranked passing offense, while the Eagles are still trying to prove doubters wrong behind back-up QB Jeff Garcia. Ironically, Garcia's emergence has forced Philadelphia to rely more on RB Brian Westbrook, which has actually made them a more balanced team than they were under McNabb. The result has been six straight wins, including three straight on the road over Washington, the Giants and Dallas that enabled the Eagles to make the postseason. While the Eagles have proven they can win on the road, New Orleans has shown it can lose at home. A 4-4 record included double-digit losses to Baltimore and Cincinnati. Philadelphia looks like a dangerous road underdog (+5) this one according to Dunkel, which has the Eagles favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+5). Here are all of this week's games.

Game 101-102: Indianapolis at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.263; Baltimore 136.652
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 4; 42
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+4); Under

Game 103-104: Philadelphia at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 133.801; New Orleans 132.505
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 5; 49
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+5); Under


Sunday, January 14

Game 105-106: Seattle at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.069; Chicago 138.993
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 12; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago by 8 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-8 1/2); Over

Game 107-108: New England at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: New England 142.364; San Diego 139.687
Dunkel Line: New England by 2 1/2; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 5; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+5); Over

[pm530]

NFL – Long Sheet (January 13-14)

NFL
Long Sheet



Saturday, January 13

INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 4) at BALTIMORE (13 - 3) - 1/13/2007, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against AFC South division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



PHILADELPHIA (11 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 6) - 1/13/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 112-77 ATS (+27.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



Sunday, January 14

SEATTLE (10 - 7) at CHICAGO (13 - 3) - 1/14/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



NEW ENGLAND (13 - 4) at SAN DIEGO (14 - 2) - 1/14/2007, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 69-42 ATS (+22.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[pm530]

NFL – Short Sheet (January 13-14)

NFL
Short Sheet


Saturday, January 13th

AFC Divisional Game
Indianapolis at Baltimore, 4:30 EST

Indianapolis:
10-2 Over away off BB home wins
19-7 Over away off a home win by 10+ points

Baltimore:
10-1 ATS at home off 3+ wins
8-2 ATS afer allowing 75 or less rushing yards


NFC Divisional Game
Philadelphia at New Orleans, 8:00 EST

Philadelphia:
2-8 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
0-6 ATS off 5+ wins

New Orleans:
6-1 ATS off a home game
5-1 ATS off an ATS loss



Sunday, January 14th

NFC Divisional Game
Seattle at Chicago, 1:00 EST

Seattle:
1-7 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
8-1 Under off BB wins

Chicago:
11-2 ATS off an Under
9-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points


AFC Divisonal Game
New England at San Diego, 4:30 EST

New England:
2-10 ATS off BB games scoring 30+ points
1-5 ATS off 4+ ATS wins

San Diego:
7-1 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
12-2 Over off a SU win / ATS loss

[pm530]

NFL – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Conference semifinal round

Saturday, January 13

Colts @ Ravens-- This is Colts' fourth trip back to Baltimore, the city they deserted after the '83 season, with Indy 1-2 in previous three, winning here 24-7 LY. Ravens won last four games, nine of 10 since their bye in October; they were 7-1 at home, losing only to Carolina, in game that cost OC Fassel his job. Indy is 4-4 in its last eight games, losing last four road games. Would expect to see Baltimore running ball to exploit Colt defense that yielded 785 rushing yards in its last three road games.

Eagles @ Saints-- This will be highly emotional game for Saints team that has exactly one playoff win in franchise history, but is sentimental choice to erase all that this month. They beat Philly 27-24 at Superdome in Week 7, leading 17-3 at half, then falling behind, before Carney kicked walk-off FG to end 27-24 win, in a game where Brees was 27-38/275 passing vs Johnson's blitzes. Backup QB Garcia has rallied Eagles to hot finish, but this is a road game on short work week, tough spot for Eagles to win.


Sunday, January 14

Seahawks @ Bears-- Seattle lost 37-6 at Soldier Field in Week 4, getting outrushed 143-77, converting only 4-16 on third down and averaging just 3.6 yds/pass attempt. Holmgren always had great success vs Bears when he was with Green Bay. Seahawks had three-game losing streak last month, not sure they're up to a road win in playoffs, even though Grossman's horrible play has Bear fans calling for backup Griese to play. After winning first four home games by average of 38-8, Bears split the last four.

Patriots @ Chargers-- This is only Patriots' second visit here in last decade; they lost 21-14 back in '02. Chargers also hammered Pats 41-17 in Foxboro LY. Main focus here is Marty's 5-12 career mark in playoff games, and Rivers making first career playoff start vs QB, coach with three Super Bowl titles. Patriots are 7-1 away from home, losing only at Miami, which was their last loss, five weeks ago. Chargers haven't lost since Oct. 22, winning ten in a row; they're 8-0 at home, 5-3 vs spread as a home favorite.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball - Write up

NBA
Write-up


Friday, January 12

Hot Teams
-- Dallas won fifteen of its last sixteen games. Indiana is 9-4 in its last thirteen games, winning last three, by 7,19,13 points.
-- Toronto covered four of its last five games.
-- Charlotte is 3-2 in its last five games. Knicks won five in row at home.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games.
-- Wizards won eleven of last fourteen games.
-- Lakers won six of last seven home games, but lost last two on road, by 10,25 points. Magic won their last five games.
-- Miami won both games since Wade returned from injury.
-- Utah won last eight games that followed a loss.

Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost last four games, are now without Redd, Williams for extended time. 76ers lost four in row, by 11,2,9,7 points.
-- Celtics lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Pistons lost five of their last seven games. Hawks won two of last three games, following 0-8 skid.
-- Memphis is 5-17 in its last twenty-two games.
-- Hornets lost five of their last six games.
-- Portland lost six of its last seven games. Sacramento lost last three games, allowing 116.7 ppg.
-- Nuggets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Warriors lost three of their last four games.
-- Seattle lost its last six games in row.

Series Records
-- Bucks won four of last five games against 76ers.
-- Dallas won three in row vs Indiana, by 22,9,9 points, beating Pacers 100-91 at home eight nights ago. .
-- Home side won four of last five Toronto-Boston games.
-- Charlotte won three of last four against the Knicks.
-- Pistons are 2-0 vs Atlanta this year, winning by 27,5 points.
-- Home side won three of four Minnesota-Memphis games LY
-- Washington beat Hornets twice LY, by 1,11 points.
-- Kings, Blazers split pair at Arco Arena earlier this season.
-- Denver, Houston split four games last season.
-- Lakers won last three vs Orlando by 15,16,13 points.
-- Warriors lost two of last three games vs Miami.
-- Jazz is 2-0 vs Seattle this season, winning by 9,2 points.

Back-to-Back Situations-- Bucks are 7-2 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Celtics are 2-6 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Bobcats are 4-3-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Pistons are 9-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Memphis is 6-4-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Wizards are 5-4 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Kings are 3-5 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Houston is 6-3 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Orlando is 2-5 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Miami is 1-5 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Utah is 6-2 vs spread on front end of back/back.

Totals
-- Last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Toronto's last eleven games.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in Atlanta's last seven games.
-- Over is 12-1 in last thirteen Memphis games.
-- Over is 16-4 in Wizards' last twenty games.
-- Five of last six Portland games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Denver games.
-- Last five Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in Orlando's last seven games.
-- Over is 9-4 in Seattle's last thirteen games.

[pm530]

College Basketball - Write up

NCAAB
Write-up


Friday, January 12

-- Princeton won five of last six games vs Columbia, losing 65-64 here LY (-1.5); Tigers beat Rice 51-28 in last game- they're 3-1 on road, losing only at South Carolina. Columbia is 4-1 at homeThe average margin of last five Tiger series wins is 10.6.

-- Penn is 6-0 vs Cornell last three years, winning last three trips to Ithaca: 67-56/66-49/79-52. Big Red is 2-3 at home vs D-I clubs but they do have win at Northwestern. Quakers are 2-3 on road, winning last game 66-64 at Elon, one of SoCon's worst teams.

-- Dartmouth beat Harvard 80-73 at home last week, making 51% from floor, offsetting 26-11 Harvard edge from foul line. Host is 5-1 in last six series games, with Green losing last three visits to Harvard, 78-65/49-46/60-49. Dartmouth is 6-1 last seven overall.

-- Creighton is 5-1 vs Northern Iowa last three years, taking last two visits to UNI, 55-52/67-66. Bluejays is 4-1 in Valley, 1-1 away from home, losing 55-52 at Ind St. Panthers are 3-0 at home in MVC, winning by 11,3,5. MVC HFs of less than 4 pts are 5-1.

-- Home side is 4-0 in Loyola-Niagara games last two years, with Eagles losing last two visits here, 82-70/97-89. Loyola won last four MAAC games, scoring 80.8 ppg; underdog covered all five of their league games. Eagles split first two MAAC road games.

-- Fairfield lost 58-55 at Rider 10 days ago (+5); both teams shot under 39% from floor; Stags are 5-3 in last eight series tilts, 2-1 in last three here: 77-69/66-74/70-59, but lost last three overall, by 3,4,9 pts. Rider is 0-2 on road in MAAC, losing by 8,16 pts.

-- Iona is 0-14 this season, 0-4 in MAAC, losing by 14,21,9 and 22 pts; they're 8-46 from arc in last three games. Manhattan is
3-1 in MAAC, they're 2-0 on road in MAAC. The home team is 3-8 vs spread in MAAC if spread is seven or less points.

[pm530]

Hockey - Write up

NHL
Write-up


Friday, January 12

Hot Teams
-- Devils won six of their last eight games.
-- Predators are 11-3 in their last fourteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Atlanta lost last four games, scoring nine goals.
-- Columbus lost five of its last seven games.
-- Edmonton is 1-4 in its last five home games. Minnesota lost three of its last four games.

Series Records
-- Thrashers are 2-0 vs Devils this season:4-3ot/5-2.
-- Nashville is 3-0 vs Columbus this season: 5-4/3-1/4-2.
-- Minnesota is 6-3 in its last nine games vs Edmonton.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Atlanta is 7-2 on front end of back/back.
-- Nashville is 6-4 on front end of back/back.
-- Minnesota is 3-3 if it played the night before.

Totals
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Atlanta games.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Columbus games.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under total.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet


Friday, January 12

DALLAS (29 - 8) at INDIANA (20 - 16) - 1/12/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 118-70 ATS (+41.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 204-152 ATS (+36.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 67-47 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 160-119 ATS (+29.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MILWAUKEE (16 - 19) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 26) - 1/12/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DETROIT (20 - 13) at ATLANTA (10 - 23) - 1/12/2007, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 8-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TORONTO (16 - 20) at BOSTON (12 - 22) - 1/12/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 64-49 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games this season.
BOSTON is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CHARLOTTE (10 - 23) at NEW YORK (16 - 21) - 1/12/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MINNESOTA (17 - 16) at MEMPHIS (9 - 27) - 1/12/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




WASHINGTON (20 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 22) - 1/12/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SACRAMENTO (14 - 18) at PORTLAND (14 - 23) - 1/12/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 50-69 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




UTAH (24 - 11) at SEATTLE (13 - 25) - 1/12/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




HOUSTON (23 - 13) at DENVER (17 - 16) - 1/12/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ORLANDO (22 - 14) at LA LAKERS (23 - 13) - 1/12/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 178-223 ATS (-67.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
ORLANDO is 178-222 ATS (-66.2 Units) in road games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
ORLANDO is 37-65 ATS (-34.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
ORLANDO is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MIAMI (15 - 19) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 19) - 1/12/2007, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[pm530]

College Basketball – Long Sheet

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Friday, January 12

PRINCETON (9 - 4) at COLUMBIA (9 - 5) - 1/12/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 3-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PENNSYLVANIA (7 - 6) at CORNELL (7 - 7) - 1/12/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-1 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-0 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DARTMOUTH (6 - 7) at HARVARD (7 - 8) - 1/12/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DARTMOUTH is 3-2 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 3-2 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CREIGHTON (10 - 5) at N IOWA (13 - 3) - 1/12/2007, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 3-1 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 4-0 straight up against N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NIAGARA (8 - 8) at LOYOLA-MD (8 - 6) - 1/12/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NIAGARA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NIAGARA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MD is 4-0 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MD is 2-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




RIDER (9 - 6) at FAIRFIELD (3 - 14) - 1/12/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 3-3 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MANHATTAN (6 - 8) at IONA (0 - 14) - 1/12/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
IONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 2-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 2-2 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[pm530]

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


Friday, January 12

ATLANTA (24-13-0-8, 56 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (25-14-0-4, 54 pts.) - 1/12/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-6 ATS (-8.1 Units) on Friday nights this season.
ATLANTA is 5-11 ATS (-8.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 36-25 ATS (+3.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 21-8 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-0 (+7.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)




COLUMBUS (16-22-0-5, 37 pts.) at NASHVILLE (29-12-0-2, 60 pts.) - 1/12/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 24-56 ATS (+96.3 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 47-17 ATS (+47.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 47-17 ATS (+47.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 47-17 ATS (+47.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 17-3 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLUMBUS is 24-22 ATS (+57.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 28-29 ATS (+73.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 12-11 ATS (+31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 16-23 ATS (-27.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 8-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 8-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)




MINNESOTA (22-18-0-4, 48 pts.) at EDMONTON (21-18-0-4, 46 pts.) - 1/12/2007, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (+24.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (+24.7 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

[pm530]

Dunkel Index – Pro Basketball

NBA
Dunkel



Friday, January 12

Orlando at LA Lakers
Dwight Howard has put the Magic on his shoulders, which is spelling trouble for the opposition. Orlando has won five straight as Howard has recorded seven straight double-doubles. His last outing was the best of his young career as Howard had a career-high 30 points and a season-best 25 rebounds in a 91-76 win at Golden State that snapped Orlando's four-game road skid. Tonight the Magic travel to L.A. to face the Lakers, who will probably try to use either Andrew Bynum or Brian Cook to slow down Howard. But neither had much luck against 40-year-old Dikembe Mutombo in a 102-77 loss at Houston on Wednesday. Hard to see how the Lakers slow Howard down enough to cover the Vegas line (-5) according to Dunkel, which has Orlando favored straight up by 3. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+5). Here are all of today's games.

Game 501-502: Dallas at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 127.352; Indiana 122.267
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 180 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 186
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Under

Game 503-504: Milwaukee at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.071; Philadelphia 118.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 184 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+6 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Detroit at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.693; Atlanta 111.575
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 8; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Under

Game 507-508: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.661; Boston 117.583
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 193 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+5 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Charlotte at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 116.286; New York 116.519
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 198
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+6); Over

Game 511-512: Minnesota at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 120.499; Memphis 118.162
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 224 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 217
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Over

Game 513-514: Washington at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 122.586; New Orleans 114.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 8; 206 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 7 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-7 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Sacramento at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.726; Portland 114.620
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 4; 181 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-3); Under

Game 517-518: Utah at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.497; Seattle 111.242
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 201 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-4 1/2); Neutral

Game 519-520: Houston at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 126.506; Denver 119.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 7; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-2 1/2); Over

Game 521-522: Orlando at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.061; LA Lakers 119.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 186 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+5); Under

Game 523-524: Miami at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 111.482; Golden State 118.905
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 200 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-7 1/2); Under

[pm530]

Dunkel Index – College Basketball

NCAAB
Dunkel



Friday, January 12

Dartmouth at Harvard
Since losing by 51 points (83-32) at Kansas on November 28, Dartmouth has won six of its last seven against more comparable competition. Included in there was an 80-73 overtime win against Harvard last Saturday in which the Big Green were led by senior Leon Pattman's season-high 27 points. Pattman has been a main contributor throughout Dartmouth's turnaround as he has averaged 18.4 points in the seven games since he returned to the lineup. Tonight Dartmouth heads to Cambridge for a rematch with Harvard, which has lost four straight including a 20-pointer to Sacred Heart (95-75) in its last home game on December 20. The Big Green look like a good underdog pick (+7) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Dartmouth favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+7). Here are all of today's games.

Game 525-526: Princeton at Columbia
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 53.904; Columbia 48.369
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 3
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-3)

Game 527-528: Pennsylvania at Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 56.555; Cornell 52.742
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 4
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 5
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+5)

Game 529-530: Dartmouth at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 45.997; Harvard 44.628
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 7
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+7)

Game 531-532: Creighton at Northern Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 66.614; Northern Iowa 65.865
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 1
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 4
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (+4)

Game 533-534: Niagara at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 52.648; Loyola-MD 57.830
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 5
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 6
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+6)

Game 535-536: Rider at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 47.352; Fairfield 47.370
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+4)

Game 537-538: Manhattan at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 49.345; Iona 45.018
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2)

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

NHL
Dunkel



Friday, January 12

Minnesota at Edmonton
Road victories have been few and far between for Minnesota, but the Wild picked up a big one last night at Vancouver (5-2). That snapped Minnesota's 11-game winless streak on the road and gave the Wild some momentum heading into tonight's contest with Edmonton, which dropped its last home game against Dallas (6-5) on the 4th and is just 1-4 in its last five home games. The Wild look like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 1-2: Atlanta at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.849; New Jersey 13.335
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 3-4: Columbus at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.533; Nashville 13.917
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Minnesota at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.584; Edmonton 12.139
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Over

[pm530]

Pro Basketball - Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Friday, January 12th

Dallas at Indiana, 7:05 EST
Dallas: 14-5 Under off a home game
Indiana: 10-1 ATS after allowing 85 points or less BB games

Milwaukee at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Milwaukee: 34-15 ATS off 4+ SU losses
Philadelphia: 1-8 ATS at home off BB losses

Detroit at Atlanta, 7:35 EST
Detroit: 6-1 Under off a SU loss as a favorite
Atlanta: 2-10 ATS off a non-conference game

Toronto at Boston, 7:35 EST
Toronto: 16-5 ATS off a road game
Boston: 0-13 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Charlotte at New York, 7:35 EST
Charlotte: 17-5 ATS vs. Atlantic Division
New York: 23-7 Over when playing 6 or less games in 14 days

Minnesota at Memphis, 8:05 EST
Minnesota: 8-0 Over off a home loss by 3 points or less
Memphis: 14-2 Over after having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games

Washington at New Orleans, 8:05 EST ESPN
Washington: 16-2 Over off an ATS win
New Orleans: 11-2 ATS vs. Eastern Conference

Sacramento at Portland, 10:05 EST
Sacramento: 11-2 ATS off a DD loss
Portland: 0-12 ATS at home off BB road losses

Utah at Seattle, 10:35 EST
Utah: 20-4 Over off a SU loss
Seattle: 13-3 Over at home in January

Houston at Denver, 10:35 EST ESPN
Houston: 2-10 ATS off BB wins
Denver: 60-35 ATS at home off a home loss

Orlando at LA Lakers, 10:35 EST
Orlando: 14-32 ATS Away revenging a DD home loss
LA Lakers: 14-2 Over at home after scoring 80 points or less

Miami at Golden State, 10:35 EST
Miami: 8-0 Over Away off a SU win
Golden State: 8-24 ATS in January

.