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NFL YTD 23-24 -7.85 units
Playoffs 2-0 +2.0 units
3* 0-1 -3.75 units
2* 3-4 -2.0 units
1* 20-19 -1.1 units
NFL/CFB Combined 68-61 -6.45 units
Bowls/Playoffs 5-1 +5.9 units
4* -1 -4.4 units
3* 1-2 -4.65 units
2* 9-11 -4.4 units
1* 58-47 +7.0 units
I went 2-0 in the first round of the playoffs and finished the bowl season 3-1, including two 2* wins.
Both of these games were posted Sunday night at the lines listed below. Both have moved a 1/2 point since.
2* Bears -8 1/2
One of the strongest longstanding NFL trends is to play the home team in the conference semi-final round (37-21 ATS over the last 15 years). My bias, therefore, is to look at the strongest of the home teams in this round. Chicago was the dominant team in the NFC the first 12 weeks of the season. While they stumbled badly at the end of the year, they have an overwhelming talent edge on defense, are at home and have an extra week of rest against a team that should have lost last week and went only 9-7 in the league's worst division.
Bears by three touchdowns.
1* Chargers -4 1/2
San Diego is the best team in the NFL, is at home and has an extra week's rest. San Diego has the talent edge at virtually every postition except QB and it's not at a huge disadvantage there. This line is low only because of the Belichick mystique. While I respect Belichick, every other tangible aspect here points to the Chargers.
Playoffs 2-0 +2.0 units
3* 0-1 -3.75 units
2* 3-4 -2.0 units
1* 20-19 -1.1 units
NFL/CFB Combined 68-61 -6.45 units
Bowls/Playoffs 5-1 +5.9 units
4* -1 -4.4 units
3* 1-2 -4.65 units
2* 9-11 -4.4 units
1* 58-47 +7.0 units
I went 2-0 in the first round of the playoffs and finished the bowl season 3-1, including two 2* wins.
Both of these games were posted Sunday night at the lines listed below. Both have moved a 1/2 point since.
2* Bears -8 1/2
One of the strongest longstanding NFL trends is to play the home team in the conference semi-final round (37-21 ATS over the last 15 years). My bias, therefore, is to look at the strongest of the home teams in this round. Chicago was the dominant team in the NFC the first 12 weeks of the season. While they stumbled badly at the end of the year, they have an overwhelming talent edge on defense, are at home and have an extra week of rest against a team that should have lost last week and went only 9-7 in the league's worst division.
Bears by three touchdowns.
1* Chargers -4 1/2
San Diego is the best team in the NFL, is at home and has an extra week's rest. San Diego has the talent edge at virtually every postition except QB and it's not at a huge disadvantage there. This line is low only because of the Belichick mystique. While I respect Belichick, every other tangible aspect here points to the Chargers.
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