TP's Wildcard Selections

[Tomorrows Paper]

Due to some things out of my control that I really don't want to discuss on here, I've been unable to post for awhile. But, I'm back to post some plays for Wildcard weekend.
Wildcard weekend has been historically unpredictable. In that vein, I really don't have a clue what is going to happen Sunday, but I think I have a decent grasp on Saturday's games. I'd lean ever so slightly to both dogs, but not crazy about betting against Bill Bellicheck or on Tom Coughlin in the playoffs.

Regular Season Final Record:
NFL Overall (59-46-1, +17.00*) - 56.2%, not great or anything, but certainly acceptable.
NFL Sides (41-31, +10.97*)
NFL Totals (18-15-1, +6.03*)

2* Colts -7 (-103)
2* Cowboys +3 (-116)

Some of you may have caught on that I virtually never bet on the Colts, but the one time I did was against Cincy, and they covered easily. In that game, the public was sort of down on the Colts, and now that the Colts have failed to cover two weeks in a row, and the fact that they can't stop the run has been "exposed", I think the same is true here. Everyone is saying how the Colts won't be able to stop LJ, but I think there are three factors in the Colts' favor. One is that Bob Sanders is expected to play, as he is the cornerstone of their run defense. Two is the dome and the run defense that the Colts have exhibited there has been far superior to what they have done on the road. Lastly is the number of carries that LJ has had this season, and the fact that he has been wearing down as the seaon passed. You have to remember this is still a Colts team that is 8-0 at home against a Chiefs team that is 3-5 on the road.
I believe the fact that the Colts have been the favorites the past couple years, and now find themselves as one of the longer shots to win takes a lot of pressure off, and I believe they will win tomorrow by at least 10.

I just have a hard time seeing how the Cowboys don't score at will. The Seahawks defense has been terrible all year, and now their secondary is basically playing replacement players. That's the worst thing that could happen against the Cowboys' group of receivers. The Cowboys have become a team the public has no interest in after the losses of the past couple weeks. Despite Seattle's nice HFA, I think it actually works in Dallas's favor to get away from home. No more Carrie Underwood, no more home fans booing, I just think they will be more relaxed. Dallas has been poor defensively recently, but they still are plenty good enough to hold Seattle to 20 or so. They held them to 13 when they went to Seattle last season, and Alexander isn't anywhere near his MVP form of that meeting.

Also have a big play on Liverpool in the FA Cup. Hope you all have a great day.

[Tomorrows Paper]

By the way, a month ago I posted a 2-unit play on Western Michigan at +8.5. Now, the line is 6.5/7 everywhere. Personally, with the line movement and the suspension of WM's starting RB, I would pass the game at 6.5 or make it a 1-unit play at 7.

[GOLDENGREEK]

gl on all ur plays

[Spark]

Good Luck TP

[CheCheBoFumbe]

Nice write up TP thanks and good luck

[LeRoy]

GL TP on the action

[Chado1]

GL today TP, am also on the COLTS!!!

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck TP! Glad to see you back buddy

[garth]

Good luck paper!

[Spiccoli]

What about Sunday?

[Tomorrows Paper]

What about Sunday?

Don't really like either game.
I don't think I could lay 7 with Philly, but I have a really hard time taking the Giants. Even with 7 points, and the fact that they are probably the more talented team, they are on the road, and they don't have anywhere near the heart for me to play them. If they get down 7 early, they are fairly likely to mail it in. Still, if forced, I would take the Giants, and my prediction would be a 4-6 point win by the Eagles.
The more I think about the other game, I think New England is the play. I think the number looks awfully big, but that's why they are the play. I think the public will be less likely to lay the big number because of the first meeting. The Patriots still are the team that knows how to win - and this Jets team is not as good as the Jags team the Pats demolished in the WC round last season - and I'm not sure the Jets are ready for the playoff experience. NY cannot run the ball at all, and I expect them to struggle passing the ball for most of the game. How the Patriots adapt to the Harrison injury will really be the key. My opinion is that Bellichik finds a solution, and the Pats get it done here by 10-14.

[TCB in a Flash]

Nice winners TP!!

[Spiccoli]

Don't really like either game.
I don't think I could lay 7 with Philly, but I have a really hard time taking the Giants. Even with 7 points, and the fact that they are probably the more talented team, they are on the road, and they don't have anywhere near the heart for me to play them. If they get down 7 early, they are fairly likely to mail it in. Still, if forced, I would take the Giants, and my prediction would be a 4-6 point win by the Eagles.
The more I think about the other game, I think New England is the play. I think the number looks awfully big, but that's why they are the play. I think the public will be less likely to lay the big number because of the first meeting. The Patriots still are the team that knows how to win - and this Jets team is not as good as the Jags team the Pats demolished in the WC round last season - and I'm not sure the Jets are ready for the playoff experience. NY cannot run the ball at all, and I expect them to struggle passing the ball for most of the game. How the Patriots adapt to the Harrison injury will really be the key. My opinion is that Bellichik finds a solution, and the Pats get it done here by 10-14.

YOU WERE RIGHT ON BOTH!!!!!