Orange Bowl Upset?????

[jt4545]

Wake Forest + 10

Hell Can Everyone Be Right?

Under 53

[Kaptain]

could have something there JT----I feel Wake will give em hell in the first 1/2, then Louisville will figure out their defensive schemes and weaknesses, exploit em in the second 1/2, and cover.....Thus I like Wake + in first 1/2, and Louis - for the game....

But with that said, if Wakes D is for real, they could pull it off, I just don't think they've faced an offense like this one before....kapt

[robby_morini]

could have something there JT----I feel Wake will give em hell in the first 1/2, then Louisville will figure out their defensive schemes and weaknesses, exploit em in the second 1/2, and cover.....Thus I like Wake + in first 1/2, and Louis - for the game....

But with that said, if Wakes D is for real, they could pull it off, I just don't think they've faced an offense like this one before....kapt

Kaptain,
You know I love your thinking.

I mentioned earlier that first half dogs have gone 13-2 the past 3 days, including 6-0 yesterday. In addition to this years run, last year bowl games played January 1 and after, first half underdogs went 7-1. That makes an interesting trend that includes your synopsis above. The superior team may be slow to start, but quick to finish.

In earlier bowl games, the above trend is almost reversed, but given the talent, technology, staffing, etc that these bigger schools have, the first halves should be relatively close. Factor in line mistakes, public perception, etc, to me there is value in these plays.

After saying that, the "due factor" theory is bound to catch up sooner or later. Will tonight be the night? I say no, but this is why I have a different job than a professional handicapper.

[awal224]

Kaptain always insightful.........

[blitz]

Possible upset but will definitely take the points! GL JT!

[robby_morini]

One more major factor is the value of first half lines. Example:

Tonights game line at Bodog and BetJam is Louisville -10

Both books have first half lines of Louisville -6 1/2 (105) (100) respectively.

After saying this, I am usually the kiss of death when I recommend a game, so take this info for what it is worth

[KazDog]

Good luck tonight JT....Let's gumbo this bitch!

KAZ

[Spiccoli]

Everyone is on Wake. Guess it's due to all the dogs covering.

[robby_morini]

Good luck JT, I think I may have been rude by mentioning all of this in your thread. My bad, I just now realized it. Good Luck to you, and again, I apologize.

[jt4545]

Robby, No Problem

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck JT! Let's ca$h this deacons