Monday Trends and Indexes 1/1/07

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Monday, January 1, ‘07

HAPPY NEW YEAR!


Have a Great Year!

Good Luck on day #1 of 2007!

[pm530]

NFL
Wild Card Games – Match-up and early lines (…for news matter only!!!)

Saturday, January 6

Kansas City Chiefs
Indianapolis Colts -6.5 Total 51

Dallas Cowboys
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 Total 46.5


Sunday, January 7

New York Jets
New England Patriots -9 Total 38

New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 Total 46.5

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Football Bowl Games (1/1 to 1/8)

NCAA FB
Dunkel



MONDAY, JANUARY 1, 2007

Game 461-462: Nebraska vs. Auburn (in Dallas, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.211; Auburn 94.006
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 7; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+3); Under

Game 463-464: Penn State vs. Tennessee (in Tampa, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 99.665; Tennessee 101.298
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 465-466: Wisconsin vs. Arkansas (in Orlando, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 103.261; Arkansas 101.136
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+1 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia (in Jacksonville, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 95.100; West Virginia 101.952
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7; 44
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 469-470: Michigan vs. USC (in Pasadena, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 105.782; USC 110.650
Dunkel Line: USC by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 47
Dunkel Pick: USC; Over

Game 471-472: Boise State vs. Oklahoma (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.502; Oklahoma 106.269
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+7 1/2); Over


TUESDAY, JANUARY 2

Game 473-474: Wake Forest vs. Louisville (in Miami, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 99.041; Louisville 109.210
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under


WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 3

Game 475-476: Notre Dame vs. LSU (in New Orleans, LA)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 99.783; LSU 107.657
Dunkel Line: LSU by 8; 50
Vegas Line: LSU by 9; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+9); Under


SATURDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 481-482: Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati (in Toronto, Canada)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.030; Cincinnati 94.948
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7; 37
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 8; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+8); Under


SUNDAY, JANUARY 7

Game 487-488: Ohio vs. Southern Mississippi (in Mobile, AL)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 83.779; Southern Mississippi 89.276
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6 1/2); Under


MONDAY, JANUARY 8

Game 489-490: Florida vs. Ohio State (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.077; Ohio State 117.949
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 51
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); Over

[pm530]

College Football - Long Sheet (1/1 - 1/8)

NCAA FB
Long Sheet



NEBRASKA (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 11:30 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




PENN ST (8 - 4) vs. TENNESSEE (9 - 3) - 1/1/2007, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WISCONSIN (11 - 1) vs. ARKANSAS (10 - 3) - 1/1/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




GEORGIA TECH (9 - 4) vs. W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MICHIGAN (11 - 1) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




BOISE ST (12 - 0) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 44-16 ATS (+26.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-15 ATS (+22.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WAKE FOREST (11 - 2) vs. LOUISVILLE (11 - 1) - 1/2/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NOTRE DAME (10 - 2) vs. LSU (10 - 2) - 1/3/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




W MICHIGAN (8 - 4) vs. CINCINNATI (7 - 5) - 1/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




OHIO U (9 - 4) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (8 - 5) - 1/7/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




FLORIDA (12 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (12 - 0) - 1/8/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[pm530]

College Football - Short Sheet (1/1 to 1/8)

NCAA FB
Short Sheet



Monday, January 1st

Cotton Bowl , Dallas, Texas
Nebraska vs. Auburn, 11:30am EST

Nebraska:
8-2 ATS after committing 5+ turnovers
29-13 ATS with a total of 42.5 to 49 points

Auburn:
0-6 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
10-3 Over off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers


Outback Bowl, Tampa, Florida
Penn State vs. Tennessee, 11:00am EST

Penn State:
2-10 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
30-14 Under as an underdog

Tennessee:
16-5 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
6-1 ATS off an Under


Capital One Bowl , Orlando, Florida
Wisconsin vs. Arkansas, 1:00 EST

Wisconsin:
7-0 ATS off a non-conference game
18-8 ATS off a straight up win

Arkansas:
1-5 ATS off an ATS loss
8-0 Under off BB Overs


Gator Bowl , Jacksonville, Florida
Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia, 1:00 EST

Georgia Tech:
16-6 Under off a home conference win
12-4 Under as an underdog

West Virginia:
1-5 ATS in January bowl games
6-16 ATS vs. ACC opponents


Rose Bowl , Pasadena, California
Michigan vs. USC, 5:00 EST

Michigan:
6-0 ATS away on grass fields
8-2 Under as a favorite

USC:
2-10 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
10-2 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers


Fiesta Bowl , Glendale, Arizona
Boise State vs. Oklahoma, 8:00 EST

Boise State:
19-6 ATS off 3+ conference wins
23-10 ATS off a road win

Oklahoma:
7-1 Under off a conference game
6-0 Under off BB ATS wins



Tuesday, January 2nd

Orange Bowl , Miami, Florida
Wake Forest vs. Louisville, 8:00 EST

Wake Forest:
13-4 Under vs. non-conference opponents
6-0 Under after allowing 14 points or less

Louisville:
9-1 ATS off BB Overs
10-2 ATS vs. ACC opponents



Wednesday, January 3rd

Sugar Bowl , New Orleans, Louisiana
Notre Dame vs. LSU, 8:00 EST

Notre Dame:
10-26 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
2-8 ATS in bowl games

LSU:
7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
15-5 ATS away after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games



Saturday, January 6th

International Bowl , Toronto, Canada
Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati, 12:00 EST

Western Michigan:
7-0 ATS off a win as an underdog
6-0 ATS off a conference win as an underdog

Cincinnati:
19-5 Under vs. non-conference opponents
6-0 Under in dome stadiums



Sunday, January 7th

GMAC Bowl, Mobile, Alabama
Ohio U vs. Southern Miss, 8:00 EST

Ohio U:
0-8 ATS away off a straight up loss
2-10 ATS away after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Southern Miss:
9-1 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
12-2 Under off a road loss



Monday, January 8th

BCS Championship Game, Glendale, Arizona
Florida vs. Ohio State, 8:00 EST

Florida:
1-6 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points
8-1 Under vs. non-conference opponents

Ohio State:
8-2 ATS off a home conference win
16-6 ATS as a favorite

[pm530]

College Football - Tips and Trends

NCAA FB
Tips and Trends


Monday, January 1

Outback Bowl - #17 Tennessee vs. Penn State
(ESPN | 11 AM ET)

• The Vols average 22.3 points per game in the all-time series with Penn State, while the Lions average 26.3 points per game against the Vols. EDGE: OVER (Bet on how many points each team will score at Bodog!)

• Tennessee coach Philip Fulmer is 3-1 all-time against the Big Ten Conference, with lone victories over Michigan, Northwestern and Ohio State (all in bowl games). EDGE: TENNESEE (Get Matty O'Shea's pick on this game at Pregame Forums!)

• Penn State leads the nation in bowl winning percentage among schools with at least 10 postseason victories, earning a 24-12-2 record for a 66.2 winning percentage. EDGE: PENN STATE

• The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS versus a team with a winning record.


Cotton Bowl - #10 Auburn vs. #22 Nebraska
(FOX | 11:30 AM ET)

• Auburn is 9-15-1 all-time against current members of the Big 12 Conference, with bowl games accounting or eight of those 25 games (3-5 record in eight bowl games). EDGE: NEBRASKA

• The Tigers have outscored their opponents 99-33 in the third quarter and 159-57 in the second half. EDGE: AUBURN - SECOND HALF

• The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.


Capital One Bowl - #12 Arkansas vs. #6 Wisconsin
(ABC | 1 PM ET)

• Arkansas averages 30 points per game despite some inconsistent play at quarterback, with Casey Dick and Mitch Mustain splitting time. Dick has completed just 50 percent of his passes this year. EDGE: WISCONSIN

• The Badgers are 9-8 in bowl games, including victories in nine of their last 13. EDGE: WISCONSIN

• Wisconsin is 8-1 ATS in its last nine non-conference games.

• Arkansas is 1-5 ATS in its last six non-conference games.


Gator Bowl - Georgia Tech vs. #13 West Virginia
(CBS | 1 PM ET)

• This is the third Gator Bowl appearance in four years and sixth all-time for West Virginia, but the Mountaineers have lost each of their previous five times playing in the game. EDGE: GT

• West Virginia averages 302.3 rushing yards per game, which is good for second in the nation and is averaging 463 yards overall. EDGE: WV

• Two of Georgia Tech's most important players - quarterback Reggie Ball and cornerback Kenny Scott - have been ruled out of this game due to academics. BIG EDGE: WV

• The OVER is 4-0 in the Yellow Jackets' last four bowl games.

• The OVER is 5-1 in the Mountaineers' last six bowl games.


Rose Bowl - #8 USC vs. #3 Michigan
(ABC | 5 PM ET)

• USC has a 21-9 record at the Rose Bowl, including 5-2 against Michigan. The Wolverines are 8-11 in this bowl, including losses in their last two appearances. EDGE: USC

• Michigan finished the season with the nation's top-ranked run defense, surrendering just 43 yards per game. EDGE: MICHIGAN

• Michigan quarterback Chad Henne and running back Mike Hart have already declared that they're coming back for 2007. This could prove to be a major factor in motivating the team for next year. EDGE: MICHIGAN

• Michigan is 0-6 ATS in its last six games versus the Pac-10.

• The Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last six games versus the Big Ten.


Fiesta Bowl - #9 Boise State vs. #7 Oklahoma
(FOX | 8 PM ET)

• Boise State has the best record of any Division I-A team since 1999 at 85-16. The Broncos have scored 30 or more points in 10 of their 12 games, topping 40 on eight occasions. EDGE: BOISE

• Oklahoma will welcome back star running back Adrian Peterson for this contest, who missed seven games with a broken collarbone. The junior running back has 3,968 yards and 39 touchdowns in 30 career games. EDGE: OKLAHOMA

• The UNDER is 6-1 in the Sooners' last seven bowl games.

• The UNDER is 14-3-1 in the Broncos' last 18 games versus a team with a winning record.

[pm530]

College Football – Write up (1/1/07)

NCAA FB
Write-up


Monday, January 1


Outback Bowl, Tampa
Penn State's four losses came to teams with combined record of 44-4; Tennessee's three losses are to teams with combined mark of 32-6. Paterno is 2-0 vs. Tennessee in bowls ('91and '93); he is expected to be on sidelines for this game, despite breaking his leg in late season game.

Vols had bounceback year after last year's 5-6 debacle. Penn State isn't very good on offense; they're 0-4 vs. spread as dog this season; they scored 17 or less points in four of last six games (Illinois, Temple were two exceptions). Plus, Morelli was feuding with his high school coach a few weeks back, so he has those distractions to deal with.

Tennessee likes to pass; they won four of their five road games, losing only at Arkansas. JoePa has 19-9-1 spread record in bowls, but hard to imagine them beating Tennessee team excited about bowling after being 5-6 last season. I think Vols are right side in this game.


Cotton Bowl, Dallas
Nebraska returns to January football, so assume Cotton Bowl will be sea of red; XXXXs have well-balanced offense (168 ypg rushing, 225 passing) behind senior QB Taylor. Auburn has to be disappointed after thinking they had shot at national title, but once Arkansas came to town, ran ball for 279 yds against them, the air was out of the balloon for War Eagle.

Nebraska played two weeks after Auburn's last game, so you can argue that Auburn had more time to rest, or that they'll be rusty; Tigers only played four road games (they beat both Mississippi schools, won 24-17 at South Carolina, 22-15 at Alabama). Wisconsin put up 500+ TY on Auburn in last year's bowl. XXXXs lost 28-10 at USC, also lost to Texas (22-20), Okla State (41-29) and Sooners in Big 12 title game (21-7).

Inconsistent QB play hurt Auburn. I'll take the side with more enthusiasm and a senior QB. To me, Nebraska is the right side.


Gator Bowl, Jacksonville
Senior QB Ball is academically ineligible for Yellow Jackets in this game, but I'm not sure what that means, since Ball was an erratic passer, and Gailey runs passing offense. WR Johnson might be best receiver in country, but Ball's inaccuracy cost him touches.

West Virginia smoked Georgia as 6-point dog in their bowl game LY: Mountaineers had injury issues down stretch of this season and tailed off some. Georgia Tech has more to prove here, losing ACC title game, and also their rivalry game to the Dawgs, but without its starting QB, beating well-coached Mountaineers is tough task. West Virginia was 7-0 before 44-34 loss at Louisville ended their BCS dreams; South Florida came to Morgantown and won as 21-pt dogs, 24-19.

Tech scored 7,49 (vs. Duke), 12,6 points in their last four games; being forced to change QB's doesn't help. I think West Virginia is right side in this game.


Capital One Bowl, Orlando
Razorback fans might regret how terrific McFadden has been this season, since it could lead to his early departure to NFL; Hogs ran ball for 279 yards in upset win at Auburn and scored 26+ points in each of last nine games- four of their last five games came vs. bowl teams. Only question for Hogs is at QB, where steady Dick replaced highly-touted freshman Mustain.

Wisconsin didn't play Ohio State this year, so their 11-1 record is little misleading; their schedule strength is in bottom third in country. Teams Badgers beat are so bad (Buffalo, San Diego State. Western Illinois) was hard to get good read on Badgers' relative strength. Wisconsin has rookie coach who has done fine job, but think his team is in trouble here vs. powerful Arkansas run game.


Rose Bowl, Pasadena
Michigan thinks it should be playing Ohio State again; USC is disappointed they're not there, too, but at least Trojans have only themselves to blame after loss to rival UCLA in season finale (well, they could blame schedule maker who had them play Oregon-Cal-Notre Dame-UCLA in four-game gauntlet). Both these teams are very good; this could easily be the national title game.

Wolverines scored 39 points in their only loss; they beat Notre Dame by 26, gave Wisconsin its only loss (by 14), beat Iowa by two TDs, won at Penn State. They have veteran QB and soldi coaching. Trojans won 50-14 at Arkansas team that only lost two other games the rest of season.

USC is 5-2 vs Michigan in Rose Bowl. Carroll is better coach, but Henne is better QB. Both teams are 4-0 vs. spread when the number is less than 10, so both sides win competitive games. Neither side is happy to be here, but once it gets kicked off, this will be an excellent game. I'll lean towards USC to make it six of eight vs. Michigan in Pasadena.


Fiesta Bowl, Phoenix
Boise Broncos are unbeaten, well-balanced, have rookie coach who has yet to lose but they might very well be in over their head vs. Oklahoma team that endured loss of its QB, got hosed in road loss at Oregon, then lost its star RB, but still finished
11-2 this season, with wins at Missouri, Okla State and Texas A&M. Edge in class goes to Oklahoma, as does coaching edge, with Stoops vs. rookie mentor.

But how do you give points to undefeated underdog? Well, that dog was down 20-12 in the fourth quarter vs. San Jose, 14-0 at Oregon State, so they have holes- they get behind double digits here, especially if RB Peterson is back close to 100%, and this could get ugly.

Boise was underdog once this year; they went to Utah and won 36-3 as 5-point dog. I think Oklahoma is right side here, but if you play on Boise, I'd money line them; if Sooners win, I think they'll win by big score, overwhelming Broncos with speed, but I do have respect for unbeaten dog that won 38-7 in last game at Nevada. Force me to make a play, and take Oklahoma.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


MINNESOTA (13 - 15) at CHARLOTTE (9 - 21) - 1/1/2007, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





BOSTON (10 - 18) at PORTLAND (13 - 18) - 1/1/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 49-64 ATS (-21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 106-140 ATS (-48.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
PORTLAND is 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


ATLANTA (23-11-0-6, 52 pts.) at OTTAWA (21-18-0-1, 43 pts.) - 1/1/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 78-54 ATS (+148.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 78-54 ATS (-39.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 78-54 ATS (+78.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 39-25 ATS (+39.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 39-25 ATS (+39.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 39-25 ATS (+39.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 38-24 ATS (+38.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 30-26 ATS (-45.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 4-11 ATS (+4.0 Units) after a division game this season.
OTTAWA is 20-20 ATS (-30.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 75-75 ATS (-74.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)





PHOENIX (15-20-0-2, 32 pts.) at WASHINGTON (16-16-0-7, 39 pts.) - 1/1/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 124-94 ATS (+22.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 75-118 ATS (-51.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)





COLORADO (18-18-0-2, 38 pts.) at NASHVILLE (26-11-0-2, 54 pts.) - 1/1/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 19-32 ATS (-16.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 45-16 ATS (+45.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 45-16 ATS (+45.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 45-16 ATS (+45.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 35-11 ATS (+35.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 27-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 52-24 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NASHVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)





NY ISLANDERS (19-15-0-3, 41 pts.) at BUFFALO (28-7-0-3, 59 pts.) - 1/1/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 28-10 ATS (+42.1 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 28-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 28-10 ATS (+28.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 42-20 ATS (+14.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 28-10 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 42-27 ATS (+4.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 51-44 ATS (+106.8 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 5-0 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 5-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)





BOSTON (19-14-0-3, 41 pts.) at TORONTO (17-17-0-6, 40 pts.) - 1/1/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-5 ATS (+15.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 20-28 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
TORONTO is 3-9 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-5 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.0 Units)

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


NEW MEXICO (11 - 3) at TEXAS TECH (10 - 4) - 1/1/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.





OKLAHOMA (8 - 3) at ALABAMA (12 - 1) - 1/1/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ALABAMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





ILLINOIS ST (8 - 5) at CREIGHTON (7 - 4) - 1/1/2007, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 3-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





WICHITA ST (9 - 3) at S ILLINOIS (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 2-2 straight up against WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





TULANE (7 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) - 1/1/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





E CAROLINA (4 - 7) at WAKE FOREST (7 - 5) - 1/1/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

New Mexico at Texas Tech
Bobby Knight had to put Dean Smith's record on hold when his Red Raiders couldn't knock off UNLV. But that was understandable as not many teams have been able to beat the Runnin' Rebs of late. This afternoon's matchup against New Mexico looks a little more doable. The Lobos have had their moments as when they knocked off Wichita State (71-68) in Las Vegas on the 22nd. But they gave much of that back the next night when they lost badly to Kansas State (72-56). And two lopsided road losses at UTEP (87-63) and New Mexico State (103-72) highlight the fact that the Lobos have not been a very consistent team away from home. Complicating matters is an ankle injury that could limit New Mexico's leading scorer, J.R. Giddens. This looks like a good opportunity for Knight to break the record and the Raiders to cover the Vegas line (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Texas Tech favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 705-706: New Mexico at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 59.676; Texas Tech 70.653
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 11
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-7 1/2)

Game 707-708: Oklahoma at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 69.544; Alabama 74.945
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+9 1/2)

Game 709-710: Illinois State at Creighton
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 57.732; Creighton 66.521
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 9
Vegas Line: Creighton by 10
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+10)

Game 711-712: Wichita State at Southern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 65.741; Southern Illinois 70.385
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral

Game 713-714: Tulane at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 53.001; New Orleans 49.391
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 1
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+1)

Game 715-716: East Carolina at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 45.136; Wake Forest 59.623
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-12 1/2)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at Charlotte
The Bobcats are enjoying a little bit of an upsurge as they've won back-to-back games over the Lakers (122-124 in OT) and Indiana (113-102). Several pieces look to be working right now as Gerald Wallace (28 points vs. Lakers) and Adam Morrison (30 points vs. Indiana) have been supplying the scoring, Emeka Okafor (39 rebounds in two games) has been supplying the boards, and Raymond Felton (34 assists in two games) has been supplying the dishes. Today the Bobcats get a Minnesota team that has lost its last two road games while its star Kevin Garnett (9-of-29 from the field in last two games) has been sluggish recently. Charlotte looks like a good pick as the home underdog (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored straight up by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Minnesota at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.892; Charlotte 121.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Boston at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 110.980; Portland 119.433
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8 1/2; 192 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 6 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-6 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Phoenix at Washington
Wayne Gretzky's Coyotes haven't had many road wins this season (4: tied for last in the league with Minnesota), but the New Year presents an opportunity against the struggling Capitals. Washington has been hammered by a case of the flu and a tough road trip as the Caps have lost four straight and six of seven since going 7-2 from the end of November to the middle of December. They've also lost three straight at the Verizon Center. Phoenix comes in with some momentum after taking a home-and-home series with San Jose, the last coming in a 8-0 blowout. The Coyotes look like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Phoenix favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Atlanta at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 12.859; Ottawa 12.223
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1 1/2); Under

Game 53-54: Phoenix at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.456; Washington 11.095
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

Game 55-56: Colorado at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.236; Nashville 13.598
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 57-58: NY Islanders at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.142; Buffalo 14.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1 1/2); Under

Game 59-60: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.864; Toronto 11.285
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Over

[pm530]

NCAA FB
Dunkel - Write up



MONDAY, JANUARY 1, 2007

Nebraska vs. Auburn
Much has been made about Auburn's strength of schedule, but looking at Nebraska's four losses this season (USC, Texas, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma) reveals that Nebraska has played some tough competition as well. Plus sprinkled among the Nebraska wins were three (Missouri, Kansas State and Texas A&M) against bowl teams. That certainly doesn't stand up to Auburn's victories over LSU and Florida, but they did come in the second half of the season. Meanwhile the Tigers' second-half schedule was loaded with lower-rated teams like Tulane, Ole Miss and Arkansas State. The highest-rated team Tommy Tuberville's team played was Georgia (37-15 loss). Nebraska looks like a solid underdog pick (+3) in this Cotton Bowl according to Dunkel, which has Nebraska favored straight up by 7. Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+3).

- -

(See post #3 for the index for all of today's bowl games)

[Spark]

Happy New Year guys and thanks for all your hard work .. we certainly appreciate it ...

Good Luck