some good stuff for playoff bound teams in week 17

[rocko]

i got this info from a buddy and was really shocked when i look at it so here it is//////

(Researched from the Goldsheet.com data. '93 -'05)

Playoff bound teams in Week 17 of the NFL.

41-21-5 All home favorites
18-7 Home favorites with a bye in the first Playoff week
10-6-2 Home favorites playing another Playoff bound team
17-7-2 Home favorites playing another team in their Division
6-0 Home favorites with a first week bye /and/ playing a Divisional rival
10-3 Home dogs
24-18 Road favorites
10-19-2 Road dogs

One last note. The Home favs NEVER had a losing yearin the 13 years studied (three juice eating .500 years)
so with thAT SAID HERE MORE INFO TO MAKE IT EASY ON YA

This was a back study so when doing the study I already knew who had made the Playoffs and who had not. It is NOT based on teams who could make the Playoffs if everything falls correctly around them.

So.... eliminated this year from "play" consideration would be teams who are "questionable" to get a Playoff berth going into Week 17. Those teams would certainly include Cincinatti, Tennessee, Jacksonville, Kansas City, New York Giants, Green Bay, Carolina, Atlanta, and St Louis. All of these teams are technically still eligible for the Playoffs going into Week 17. But it would be irresponsibly speculative to try to predetermine which of them will actually make it. Most will not.

Two teams are very likely to make it. Nine have already clinched a Playoff berth.

The two teams who are very likely to get in are Denver and the NY Jets. You can use them as Playoff qualifiers or not. I will be assuming they get in.

The nine teams who have clinched Playoff berths going into Week 17 are Baltimore, Chicago, Indianapolis, San Diego, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Dallas, Seattle, and New England.

So assuming like I will that Denver and the NY Jets will get in, we have eleven teams that, as I type this, fit the parameters of the above study going into Week 17 this year. The reason I say "as I type this" is that late line movement may affect this list. (My study was done from the Goldsheet database. The Goldsheet uses closing lines in their database). As Pinnacle has jumped their line on the GBy/Bears game from -1 to -3 overnight, I am actually not expecting any late line movement that will affect the "play" determinations I list next.

The qualifying "plays" for this week:

Chicago -3 (vs GBy) (6-0 when playing within the Division / and / having a bye in the first week of the Playoffs. Also qualifies under the larger categories 41-21-5; 18-7; 17-7-2)

Baltimore -9' (vs Buf) (41-21-5; likely 18-7)

Indianapolis -9 ( vs Mia) (41-21-5; unlikely 18-7)

San Diego -14 (vs Azo) (41-21-5; 18-7)

New Orleans +3 (vs Car) (10-3; should be noted here that Home Dogs with a bye were an inconclusive 1-1)

Philadelphia -9 (vs Atl) (41-21-5)

Dallas -13 (vs Det) (41-21-5)

Tampa Bay -3 (vs Sea) (19-10-2)

Tennessee -3 (vs NEn) (19-10-2)

And the "very likely" qualifiers:

Denver -10 (vs SFo) (41-21-5)

NY Jets -11 (vs Oak) (41-21-5)
AND THE FINAL TALLY WHICH REALLY SUPRISE ME WHAT U GUYS THINK





Posts: 9825
Joined: 11/20/1999
From: Boston
Status: online Came up with two more sorts this morning that are thin on numbers but appear to be trending nonetheless.

7-6-2 Home favorites who are not playing a Divisional game; do not have a bye; and are not playing another Playoff bound team

That would leave the following teams out of consideration this week:

Indy; Philly; Dal; Den; NY Jets

Also:

5-1 Home dogs who are playing a Divisional game

This would add support to New Orleans

So my final list of qualifying plays for Week 17 (according to this study) will be:

Chicago -3 (vs GBy)
Baltimore -9' (vs Buf)
San Diego -14 (vs Azo)
New Orleans +1 (vs Car)
Tampa Bay -3 (vs Sea)
Tennessee -3' (vs NEn)

Good luck guys.
GET-R-DON
PS, JUST LIKE I SAID FROM A BUDDY AT ANOTHER SITE DO WHAT U WANT WITH IT JUST THOUGHT IT WAS HELPFUL INFOPEACCCCCCCCEEEEEE

[BettorsChat]

I can't see your avatar

[GOLDENGREEK]

Intresting Stuff!! Im With 4 Out Of Those 6 Qualifies And Against 2 Of Them--bears, And New Orleans

[frankb03]

Unlike prior weeks home favorites in the final week do very well. Once again contrary to public opinion that teams that have already clinched don't play well because they have nothing to play for. Playoffs teams like to enter the playoffs on a high note.

Good stuff. Thanks for sharing.

[rocko]

I can't see your avatar

WAZZZZUP WItH THAT
GET-R-DON

[dirtymike]

Is New Orleans playing for a first round bye? Carolina's offense is pathetic this year. I love New Orleans if the starters are playing all game. Good info Rocko.

[KazDog]

I'd like to know what new orleans is playing for as well

[seaofred]

Is New Orleans playing for a first round bye? Carolina's offense is pathetic this year. I love New Orleans if the starters are playing all game. Good info Rocko.

N.O. already has a first round bye,they are not playing most of their starters


also NE is not playing most starters and most of them on def.are not playing

[KazDog]

what is dallas and tennesee playing for?

[garister]

I guess those trends are ATS and not SU..if ATS that is very good info.

Good Luck with those plays

[seaofred]

what is dallas and tennesee playing for?

dallas for the division,...tenn a playoff spot

[Spiccoli]

Those trend records are definitely NOT ATS.

[Kaptain]

Nice write up Rocko-----you have a fun, but careful and safe, New Years----kapt

[rocko]

THANKS KAPTIAN ,,,,MAN NONE OF THESE ARE GOING TO WIN SORrY FOR POSTING THIS WORTHLESS CRAP JUSTT THOUGHT IT MIGHT HELP SOME PEOPLE OUT CAPPING IM GLAD I DID NOT PLAY ALL THESE GTLLLLL
GET-R-DON PEACE