NY Giants at Washington
The Giants still have something to play for in this game, but you couldn't tell by the way they've played the last few weeks. New York has lost six of its last seven, including an embarrassing 30-7 pounding at home against New Orleans last week, to spur a lot of finger-pointing and rumors of coach Tom Coughlin's dismissal. The Saints defense held New York to just 142 total yards and six first downs as the Giants didn't even take a snap in the New Orleans end of the field. Eli Manning, who completed just 9-of-25 for 74 yards and an INT, has been regressing down the stretch. All this makes the Giants a shaky Vegas favorite (-2 1/2) even against the last-place Redskins. At least Washington has shown some late-season resilience with wins over New Orleans and Dallas. The Skins look like a good underdog pick at home according to Dunkel, which has Washington favored straight up by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.
Game 421-422: NY Giants at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 125.013; Washington 128.333
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2 1/2); Over
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31
Game 429-430: Buffalo at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 136.512; Baltimore 139.131
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 9 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9 1/2); Over
Game 431-432: Green Bay at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 122.756; Chicago 132.190
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 9 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Over
Game 433-434: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 131.800; Cincinnati 132.725
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+6); Under
Game 435-436: Detroit at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.543; Dallas 135.109
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Dallas by 12 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-12 1/2); Over
Game 437-438: Cleveland at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.106; Houston 128.803
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Houston by 4; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4); Over
Game 439-440: Miami at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.456; Indianapolis 135.611
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9; 42
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+9); Under
Game 441-442: Jacksonville at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 136.606; Kansas City 131.883
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 5; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+2 1/2); Neutral
Game 443-444: St. Louis at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 126.218; Minnesota 127.338
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under
Game 445-446: Carolina at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 124.043; New Orleans 135.737
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 11 1/2; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3); Under
Game 447-448: Oakland at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 118.896; NY Jets 134.121
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 15; 31
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 12 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-12 1/2); Under
Game 449-450: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.608; Philadelphia 137.484
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 14; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 8; 43
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-8); Over
Game 451-452: Seattle at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.410; Tampa Bay 124.283
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Neutral
Game 453-454: New England at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: New England 135.285; Tennessee 137.194
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Over
Game 455-456: San Francisco at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 120.705; Denver 133.765
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13; 42
Vegas Line: Denver by 10 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10 1/2); Over
Game 457-458: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 124.029; San Diego 140.906
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 17; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-13 1/3); Over
NY GIANTS (7 - 8) at WASHINGTON (5 - 10) - 12/30/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Sunday, December 31st
BUFFALO (7 - 8) at BALTIMORE (12 - 3) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY (7 - 8) at CHICAGO (13 - 2) - 12/31/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (7 - 8) at CINCINNATI (8 - 7) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT (2 - 13) at DALLAS (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
DALLAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND (4 - 11) at HOUSTON (5 - 10) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (6 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 4) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game this season.
MIAMI is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JACKSONVILLE (8 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (8 - 7) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS (7 - 8) at MINNESOTA (6 - 9) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA (7 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 5) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND (2 - 13) at NY JETS (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (7 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (8 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 11) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND (11 - 4) at TENNESSEE (8 - 7) - 12/31/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 9) at DENVER (9 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA (5 - 10) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 2) - 12/31/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Giants (7-8) @ Redskins (5-10) - 6th-seeded Giants were pathetic in home loss to Saints last week, completing one pass in second half; they need this win to make playoffs. Giants beat Redskins 19-3 off bye in Week 5, outgaining Skins 411-164, holding them to 86 passing yards and winning 63% of third down plays. That started Washington on current 3-8 skid; Skins are 3-4 at home, losing last two there-six of their seven home games were decided by four or less pts, or in OT. Giants changed playcallers this week, a panic move this close to end of season.
Sunday, December 31
Bills (7-8) @ Ravens (12-3) - Baltimore needs win to secure first round bye, huge for an older team; they've won three in row, eight of last nine games, with last five wins all by 10+ points. Ravens are 6-1 at home, 4-2 as home favorite, with last three home wins by 14,27,10 pts. Buffalo is 5-3 in last eight games (7-1 vs. spread), with losses by 1,3,1 pts to Colts, Chargers, red-hot Titans- Bills are 5-1 vs. spread as road dog this season. Five of last six Buffalo games went over the total. In last nine games, Ravens outsacked their opponents, 38-5.
Packers (7-8) @ Bears (13-2) - Chicago's last tuneup before playoff are their rivals, who are on three-game win streak, and will know by gametime will know if they have shot at playoffs (oddly, they need Giants to win Saturday). Bears opened season with 26-0 win at Lambeau, outgaining Pack 361-267, forcing three turnovers and running punt back for TD. Pack defense held last two foes without TD on 24 drives, while Bears allowed 27-31-21 pts in last three games, and were dropped pass away on last play to getting upset in Detroit last week. Last four Chicago games went over the total.
Steelers (7-8) @ Bengals (8-7) - Cincy is 0-6 when it allows 24+ points, 8-1 when it doesn't; they allowed 34,24 points in last two games- obscured by botched PAT snap was fact that first Bengal drive started on Denver 5-yard line, and they threw INT, getting fateful game off to dreadful start. Bengals won first meeting 28-20 at Heinz in Week 3, , forcing five turnovers with offset Pitt's 365-246 edge in total yards. Steelers are 5-2 in last seven games, but both losses are to Ravens; they're 2-5 on road this season, with losses by 9,10,3,17,27 pts. Five of last six Bengal games stayed under total.
Lions (2-13) @ Cowboys (9-6) - Dallas has playoff game next week whether they win division or not, so hard to tell if they'll rest guys, although Parcells tries to win preseason games. Cowboys lost last two home games, outscored 65-24; they're 7-4-1 vs. spread as fave this season. Detroit is 0-7 on road (1-6 vs. spread), losing by average score of 28-18. Lions lost last seven games overall (2-5 vs. spread), but last four were all by 10 or less points. Over last three games, Dallas allowed 163.3 rushing yds/game, a weakness Detroit will have trouble exploiting, but next week's opponent won't.
Browns (4-11) @ Texans (5-10) - Houston got first-ever win vs. Colts last week; they're 0-4 vs. spread after win this season, 0-2 as favorite; three of their five wins are by three or less pts. Dorsey gets start for dismal Cleveland squad that lost five of last six games (only win was 31-28 vs. Chiefs, when they rallied from 28-14 deficit to deal KC fatal blow). Big question for Houston offseason is what to do what RB Dayne, who rushed for 429 yards in last four games. Browns are 2-5 on road (3-3 as road dog), but they've allowed 22+ points last six weeks, and appeared to be eager to see season end.
Dolphins (6-9) @ Colts (11-4) - Dungy said he is trying to win this game; Colts can still get bye if they win and Bills upset Ravens later in day. Sliding Indy lost four of last six games after 9-0 start, as porous rush defense (allowed 213.4 yards/game over last five weeks) allows foes to play keepaway from Manning's offense. Miami lost close Monday night game, third loss in last four games, and scored one TD in last two weeks on 25 drives (13 3/outs); they're 0-5 on road vs. AFC teams this season (0-4-1 vs. spread). Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
Jaguars (8-7) @ Chiefs (8-7) - Both sides have to hope Raiders upset Jets, to give winner here hope for playoffs. Chiefs ended three-game skid last week in Oakland; they've won five of last six home games, but are 2-5 vs spread in last seven games overall., scoring three TDs on last 31 drives. Jaguars lost last two games (no takeaways, -5 TO ratio); they're 2-5 on road, despite being favored in five of the seven games (1-0-1 as road dog). Jags will spend all winter ruing sweep by Texans, and loss at Titans when they outgained Tennessee 396-98, but gave up three defensive TDs.
Rams (7-8) @ Vikings (6-9) - St Louis needs Giant loss Saturday to have playoff shot; hard to figure them as road favorite here, even though Vikings lost seven of last nine games (three of last four at home), and got only three first downs in 9-7 loss at Green Bay last Thursday (they had three extra days to prepare for this), with only score by defense. Rams are +19 in TO's in their seven wins, -7 in losses; last week was first time they won this season with less than a +2 TO ration. Hard to gauge Jackson's first start at QB, night start at Lambeau; he looked best on his few long pass attempts.
Panthers (7-8) @ Saints (10-5) - Carolina is 3-4 on road, with losses by 3,3,4,3 points; dog is 6-1 vs spread in those games. New Orleans has #2 spot in NFC locked up, not sure how they'll handle meaningless (for them) game vs. Panther squad that ended 4-game skid last week, and can make playoffs with win here and help. Carolina handed Saints first loss of year in Week 4, 21-18, outrushing Saints 167-63, but NO was on short week after emotional Superdome opener. Weinke still just 2-17 as NFL starter; Panthers won 10-3 in Atlanta last week, but scored only two TDs on last 33 drives.
Raiders (2-13) @ Jets (9-6) - Gang Green gunning for playoff spot, Raiders for pole in Troy Smith Derby; after winning rain-soaked, ugly Monday nighter in Miami, hard to believe that Jets will lose to Raider team that flew cross country for this, especially after facing rival Chiefs last week. Oakland scored zero TD's on 20 drives in last two games, four in last 42 overall, but they have held five of last six foes under 6.0 yds/pass attempt. In Jets' last four losses, they averaged 3.7/4.2/3.6/1.9 yds/pass attempt, so somehow Jets have to get couple big pass plays. Jets are 3-1 as favorite this season.
Falcons (7-8) @ Eagles (9-6) - Philly needs win to clinch NFC East, but they'll play next week either way, while Falcons will know if they got enough help to need this game for a Wild Card slot, so not sure if Reid will rest starters here. Eagles won, covered last four games, scoring 11 TDs on 38 drives; they were underdog in three of the four games. Falcons cracked 150 mark in passing yards once in last six games and are 2-6 in last eight, but they're 4-3 on road, winning last two away games, at Skins, Bucs. Under is 6-1-1 in Atlanta's last eight games.
Seahawks (8-7) @ Buccaneers (4-11) - Seahawks have home playoff game next week, doubt they play any marginally-injured players here, vs Tampa team that looked like NFL offense for first time in weeks with Rattay under center last game and half. Seattle lost last three games, allowing Chargers to drive for winning score in final minute last week, but they clinched division when 49ers lost. Last week was first time in nine weeks Bucs didn't have negative turnover ratio. Seattle is 3-4 on road, with wins by 3,2,3 points. Four of last five Seattle games went over total.
Patriots (11-4) @ Titans (8-7) - Red-hot Tennessee won last six games, covered last seven, now favored vs Patriot team that has home playoff game next week, and could rest Brady and others here, hence Titans being favored. Patriots won five of last six games, with no turnovers in last two games; they're 6-1 on road this season, losing only at Miami. Rookie Young has energized Titan offense that scored 20+ pts in last seven games, after scoring 20+ only twice in first eight games- they also have five picks in last two games. Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Titan games.
49ers (6-9) @ Broncos (9-6) - Denver clinches playoff spot with win; they got lucky last week, avoiding OT when Bengals missed game-tying PAT in final minute, after snap was botched. Broncos converted 11-24 on third down last two weeks, after being 6-24 in Cutler's first two starts, so he is improving. 49ers are 1-4 in last five games, but covered three of last four on road; they allowed 36.3 pg vs AFC this season, with all three games going over total. Last week was first time in two months NFC won a week (2-0) vs AFC foes. Denver covered one of last six tries as the favorite.
Cardinals (5-10) @ Chargers (13-2) - San Diego needs win here to clinch home field thru AFC playoffs, since Raven game will be going on at same time, and Baltimore has tiebreaker over Bolts. Warner gets start for Arizona team that is 4-2 in last six games (5-1 vs spread); they're 0-3 vs AFC this year, losing by 3,13,17 pts. Chargers won last nine games (2-3 vs spread last five); they're 7-0 at home (5-2 as home favorite) with wins by 33,10,14,7 ,7,28,11 pts. There is concern in San Diego for Rivers, who is 18-53 thru air (34.0%) the last two weeks, but as long as he can hand off, Chargers should be OK.
Dunkel Index - College Football Bowl Games (12/29/06 to 1/8/07)
NCAA FB Dunkel
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29
Game 411-412: Kentucky vs. Clemson (in Nashville, TN)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 88.204; Clemson 98.884
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 10 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-10); Under
Game 413-414: Missouri vs. Oregon State (in El Paso, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 95.231; Oregon State 98.773
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 3 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-3); Under
Game 415-416: Houston vs. South Carolina (in Memphis, TN)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 92.965; South Carolina 98.698
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+6 1/2); Over
Game 417-418: Purdue vs. Maryland (in Orlando, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 90.638; Maryland 88.310
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 1; 52
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+1); Under
Game 419-420: Minnesota vs. Texas Tech (in Tempe, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 93.918; Texas Tech 97.406
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 6 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6 1/2); Under
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30
Game 423-424: Navy vs. Boston College (in Charlotte, NC)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 85.442; Boston College 96.133
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 8 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Boston College by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-6); Under
Game 425-426: Iowa vs. Texas (in San Antonio, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 89.073; Texas 107.466
Dunkel Line: Texas by 18 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 10 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-10 1/2); Over
Game 427-428: Virginia Tech vs. Georgia (in Atlanta, GA)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 105.427; Georgia 94.590
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11; 31 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-2 1/2); Under
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2006
Game 459-460: Nevada vs. Miami (FL) (in Boise, ID)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 94.402; Miami (FL) 91.355
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 3; 32
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Under
MONDAY, JANUARY 1, 2007
Game 461-462: Nebraska vs. Auburn (in Dallas, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.211; Auburn 94.006
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 7; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+3); Under
Game 463-464: Penn State vs. Tennessee (in Tampa, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 99.665; Tennessee 101.298
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+4 1/2); Under
Game 465-466: Wisconsin vs. Arkansas (in Orlando, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 103.261; Arkansas 101.136
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+1 1/2); Over
Game 467-468: Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia (in Jacksonville, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 95.100; West Virginia 101.952
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7; 44
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
Game 469-470: Michigan vs. USC (in Pasadena, CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 105.782; USC 110.650
Dunkel Line: USC by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 47
Dunkel Pick: USC; Over
Game 471-472: Boise State vs. Oklahoma (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.502; Oklahoma 106.269
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+7 1/2); Over
TUESDAY, JANUARY 2
Game 473-474: Wake Forest vs. Louisville (in Miami, FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 99.041; Louisville 109.210
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 3
Game 475-476: Notre Dame vs. LSU (in New Orleans, LA)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 99.783; LSU 107.657
Dunkel Line: LSU by 8; 50
Vegas Line: LSU by 9; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+9); Under
SATURDAY, JANUARY 6
Game 481-482: Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati (in Toronto, Canada)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.030; Cincinnati 94.948
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7; 37
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 8; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+8); Under
SUNDAY, JANUARY 7
Game 487-488: Ohio vs. Southern Mississippi (in Mobile, AL)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 83.779; Southern Mississippi 89.276
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6 1/2); Under
MONDAY, JANUARY 8
Game 489-490: Florida vs. Ohio State (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.077; Ohio State 117.949
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 51
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); Over
College Football - Long Sheet (12/29/06 - 01/08/07)
NCAA FB Long Sheet
KENTUCKY (7 - 5) vs. CLEMSON (8 - 4) - 12/29/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MISSOURI (8 - 4) vs. OREGON ST (9 - 4) - 12/29/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HOUSTON (10 - 3) vs. S CAROLINA (7 - 5) - 12/29/2006, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PURDUE (8 - 5) vs. MARYLAND (8 - 4) - 12/29/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MINNESOTA (6 - 6) vs. TEXAS TECH (7 - 5) - 12/29/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NAVY (9 - 3) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (9 - 3) - 12/30/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 88-57 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 45-18 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 92-60 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 92-60 ATS (+26.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
IOWA (6 - 6) vs. TEXAS (9 - 3) - 12/30/2006, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
IOWA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 2) vs. GEORGIA (8 - 4) - 12/30/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEVADA (8 - 4) vs. MIAMI (6 - 6) - 12/31/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 11:30 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PENN ST (8 - 4) vs. TENNESSEE (9 - 3) - 1/1/2007, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WISCONSIN (11 - 1) vs. ARKANSAS (10 - 3) - 1/1/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
GEORGIA TECH (9 - 4) vs. W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MICHIGAN (11 - 1) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BOISE ST (12 - 0) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 44-16 ATS (+26.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-15 ATS (+22.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WAKE FOREST (11 - 2) vs. LOUISVILLE (11 - 1) - 1/2/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NOTRE DAME (10 - 2) vs. LSU (10 - 2) - 1/3/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
W MICHIGAN (8 - 4) vs. CINCINNATI (7 - 5) - 1/6/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
OHIO U (9 - 4) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (8 - 5) - 1/7/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLORIDA (12 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (12 - 0) - 1/8/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Music City Bowl - Clemson vs. Kentucky
(ESPN | 1 PM ET)
• Clemson and Ohio State are the only teams in the nation in the top 15 in total offense, total defense, scoring offense and scoring defense. EDGE: CLEMSON
• The Tigers have a 15-13 record in bowl games, with a 7-4 record in bowl games that they're appearing in for the first time. SLIGHT EDGE: CLEMSON
• Kentucky's last appearance in a bowl game was in Nashville in 1999, which generated a then-record crowd of 59,221 fans - almost all of them clad in bule and white. EDGE: KENTUCKY
• The Wildcats have averaged 125.2 rushing yards per game over their past five games, which is dramatically better than the 79.4 they averaged in the first seven games. EDGE: KENTUCKY
• The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a favorite.
Sun Bowl - #24 Oregon State vs. Missouri
( CBS | 2 PM ET)
• Oregon State is 13-21 all-time versus current members of the Big XII. EDGE: MISSOURI
• Oregon State head coach Mike Riley has proven to be a good bowl preparation coach, as the teams he has been associated with are 5-0 in postseason games. His offenses in those five games have averaged 43.4 points and 437.8 yards. EDGE: OREGON STATE & OVER
• The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last four bowl games.
• The OVER is 8-1 in the Tigers last nine games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Liberty Bowl - Houston vs. South Carolina
(ESPN | 4:30 PM ET)
• South Carolina was a perfect 4-0 in non-conference action this season and are 21-7 in non-conference games since the 2000 campaign. EDGE: SOUTH CAROLINA
• Everyone has the impression that Steve Spurrier is probably a very successful bowl coach, but the fact of the matter is, he's 6-7 all-time in bowl games. EDGE: HOUSTON
• The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the SEC
• The Fighting Gamecocks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
Insight Bowl - Texas Tech vs Minnesota
(NFL | 7:30 PM ET)
• Entering the Insight Bowl, Mike Leach has led the Red Raiders program to 55 wins in his seven seasons, matching the best seven-season total in school history. EDGE: TEXAS TECH
• The Red Raiders have a penchant for coming out of the gates early, having scored 242 of its 378 points this season in the first half. EDGE: TEXAS TECH - FIRST HALF
• Minnesota is 22-2 in their last 24 non-conference games, including bowls. EDGE: MINNESOTA
• The Gophers led the nation in turnover margin, averaging +1.33 turnovers per game. EDGE: MINNESOTA
• The Golden Gophers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
Champs Sports Bowl - Purdue vs. Maryland
(ESPN | 8 PM ET)
• Purdue is 2-5 in games played in the state of Florida. EDGE: MARYLAND
• The Boilermakers were a perfect 7-0 this season when leading at halftime. EDGE: PURDUE - IF LEADING AT HALFTIME
• The Terrapins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 night games.
• The OVER is 6-1 in the Boilermakers' last seven non-conference games.
Music City Bowl, Nashville
Kentucky is playing in first bowl since the Mumme era, back in '99, also in Nashville; Clemson lost three of last four games, has to be disappointed not to be in January bowl, so you have pouting favorite, one with superior talent, vs. underdog that is very happy to still be playing. One of Clemson's DBs was suspended for this game and won't play.
Coach Brooks built the Oregon program into prominence and has rewarded Kentucky people for their patience with their first bowl this decade; he is a quality coach whose special teams are usually strong. Kentucky should be healthier after getting worn down during SEC play, winning four of last five games with a depleted OL.
Underdogs won six of last seven Music City Bowls SU; SEC teams are 1-5 in this game, because, usually, it has been a team not thrilled to be bowling in Nashville. Kentucky however, is thrilled to be playing anywhere, especially fairly close to home. This will be fun game to watch. I think over is right way to go.
Sun Bowl, El Paso
20 Missouri players/coaches came down with flu early in week; not sure if this will have effect on this game, but Tiger practices have been disrupted somewhat. This is 12th year in row Pac-10 team is in Sun Bowl; they're 5-6 previous 11 years, winning last two, with underdog 9-2 vs. spread in those eleven games.
Missouri slumped late in season, once their best defensive lineman went down with injury, as teams ran right over and through the Tigers; after 6-0 start, Mizzou went 2-4 rest of way, despite being favored in five of those last six games. Totals in last five Sun Bowls were 60-58-61-50-88; this is usually an entertaining game. Beaver backers have to hope that win at Hawai'i wasn't their team's real bowl game; that and win over USC could have OSU feeling content.
Since 1993, Pac-10 underdogs are 5-0 vs. spread in this game. Oregon State ended USC's long winning streak went to Rose Bowl and ended UCLA's losing streak, so they've been erratic. Riley is former pro coach, Moore is senior QB, and Beavers should run better vs. porous Mizzou defense. The underdog is the right play here.
Liberty Bowl, Memphis
Underdogs covered three of last four Liberty Bowls, with C-USA teams 7-2 SU in last nine. Houston's senior QB also played for his college coach in high school, so they have special bond and this is last time they will be on same squad. Weather can be an issue this time of yr in Memphis, which is why some Liberty Bowls have been low scoring. South Carolina is first SEC team since at least '93 to play in this bowl; presence of Spurrier should definitely help attendance.
Houston won first four games, last six and dropped three in row in between, losing 14-13 at Miami, then losing next week to ULL as 17-pt favorite. Coogs won C-USA title game and this is their ; would expect a better effort in bowl after they lost their bowl game by four TDs last year.
South Carolina is 5-0 as favorite this season, but Houston covered five of last seven as a dog; Gamecocks obviously own class edge, but Kolb is best QB on field, and Cougars figure to be more enthused team. Spurrier has 6-7 bowl record, worse than you'd think. I am leaning towards Houston in this game.
Insight Bowl, Phoenix
Minnesota doesn't belong in a bowl game; in one six-game stretch this season, Gophers went 1-5, losing four games in row, then winning 10-9 against a I-AA team, then losing the next game 44-0. Favorites covered nine of their 11 lined games this season. Minnesota won't beat up on Texas Tech, and Tech loves to score as many points as possible, if they find a weak opponent.
Minnesota likes to run ball, they won last three games and will be enthused to be playing, but their defense ranks 83rd in country, not the kind of defense you need when facing Tech's high-powered passing game. Gophers covered only one of last six games on grass, Tech covered two of last 11 as road favorite. Despite having a veteran OL, Raiders have struggled at times on offense this season, and Leach didn't seem to like this team as much as previous editions.
For first time in several years, Tech doesn't have a senior QB; Leach is 3-3 in bowls. He figures to use this time to get Tech ready for a better 2007, while also sending his 13 senior starters out the right way. Minnesota isn't a good team; they got passed over for one of the other bowls because their fans don't travel well. I think Tech is the right side in this game, despite dogs covering seven of last nine Insight Bowls.
Champs Sports Bowl, Orlando
ACC teams won this bowl the last three years by 30,37,9 points; Purdue made Hawai'i trip over Thanksgiving, so they've been traveling some. Maryland is 2-1 in bowls under Friedgen, routing West Virginia 41-7 in last bowl appearance, three years ago. Both teams should be happy to be here, having gone thru rough times in pervious seasons.
Maryland had crazy season where they were 4-0 in games decided by three or less points, so their overall stats are sketchy because they pulled half of their wins out of fire late in game. But that's a good thing, poise in the clutch. Purdue usually plays high scoring bowls (average total, 58); their offense is strength of team, which means their defense isn't very good.
I'm usually wary of teams that go to Hawai'i at end of season, then go bowling; just kind of takes the edge off the bowl experience. Maryland should have crowd on its side; I think they have the better coach and better defense. Terrapins, to me, are right side in this game.
Saturday, December 30
Meineke Car Care Bowl, Charlotte
Boston College is only team in country to win a bowl game in each of last six years, but the architect of all that, Tom O'Brien (who went to the Naval Academy), is now head coach at NC State. Make no mistake about it, what O'Brien did at BC wasn't easy-this is no football factory. I think BC is due for a downturn with O'Brien's departure, especially to another ACC school, and their bowl streak ends here.
Navy's Paul Johnson was second choice for the NC State job; he has won big at the I-AA level, and should be considered by Alabama for their opening. Navy's starting QB hurt his knee during season, but the backup came on late in year, and one thing about academy schools, they should be less distracted by the bowl hoopla than most college kids.
Alamo Bowl, San Antonio
Texas QB McCoy is banged up, his backup transferred, so Longhorns are very thin under center, with only a walk-on in reserve, all of which suggests a ground attack featuring two-headed tandem of Young/Charles. Even though McCoy has been declared good to go, you have to wonder if he'll be 100%.
Iowa covered one of 11 games this season and lost five of its last six games, dropping last five league games; now they're in hostile territory vs. an angry bunch of Longhorns who need win here to salvage season marred by losses in their last two regular season games. Hawkeyes have a senior QB, a Texan, but their best wins this season are Purdue, Northern Illinois. Their resume has nothing that suggests a strong effort here.
Big 12 teams are 3-7 in last ten Alamo Bowls, and underdogs covered three of last four, but carpet will expose Iowa's lack of speed. It is impossible to endorse Iowa, despite their fine head coach; this is their first December bowl in five years. Home-state crowd will get Longhorns fired up. Texas is right side in this one
Chick-Fil-A Bowl, Atlanta
The old Peach Bowl was saved when the Georgia Dome was built; only once in last seven years was this game won by less than 10 points, with ACC teams taking four of last five. Presence of disappointing Georgia team in this game will sell dome out, but Dawgs had dismal season (by their standards), as injuries took their toll on team that lost to Kentucky and Vanderbilt in same season for first time in 33 years.
Virginia Tech usually has great special teams and a mobile QB; they don't have the mobile QB this year, but they did win last six games and has three senior starters on its OL. Georgia's line has four seniors, but until Stafford played better late in season, it didn't much matter who was blocking.
This game sold out in 24 hours, with two rabid fan bases. Both teams are very well-coached, but Hokies usually make things happen on special teams, while Georgia's special teams aren't up to their usual level, in part due to injury. I am leaning towards Virginia Tech as right side in this game.
Hot Teams
Lakers covered 12 of their last 15 games.
Wizards won four in row, seven of last eight games.
Bulls are 14-3 in their last seventeen games. Raptors won six of their last eight games.
Cavaliers won five of their last six home games. Bucks won six in row, covered last seven games.
Miami won last four home games by 8,2,13,16 points.
Pistons won five of their last six games. Pacers are 8-3 in their last eleven games.
Nuggets won four of their last five games.
Suns are 16-2 in last 18 games, 1-2 in last three. Knicks won four of last five games, with all four wins at home.
Portland won six of its last eight games.
Warriors won three of their last four games.
Kings won last two games, after a 2-9 skid.
Cold Teams
Bobcats lost three in row, nine of last eleven games.
Orlando is 3-11 vs spread in its last fourteen games.
Nets lost last four games, by 4,11,1,25 points.
Seattle lost seven of its last nine games. Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
Hornets lost fourteen of their last seventeen games.
Atlanta lost five in row, nine of last ten games. Rockets are
2-10 vs spread in game following their last dozen wins.
76ers lost last two games, by 19,25 points.
Celtics lost last four games, by 1,15,11,23 points.
Clippers lost seven of their last nine games.
Series Records
Home side won both Laker-Charlotte games last season.
Home side won last five Orlando-Washington games.
Bulls won five in row vs Toronto, by 9,11,21,16,3 points.
Cavaliers won both games vs Milwaukee last year, winning the two in this arena by 8,3 points.
Miami si 2-0 vs Nets this season, winning by 6,7 points.
Home side won four of last five Detroit-Indiana games.
Home side won all four Seattle-Minnesota games last year.
Visiting team won all three Nugget-Hornet games last year.
Home side won both Atlanta-Houston games last season.
Home side won both Knick-Sun games last year, with Knicks winning last meeting in triple OT-they won Wednesday in three OTs also, vs Detroit.
Blazers won 81-79 in Philly Dec 11, their second win in last three series games.
Warriors beat Celtics 96-95 in OT at Boston nine days ago, their second win in last three games vs C's.
Sacramento won their last five games against the Clippers.
Back-to-Back Situations
Bobcats are 3-4 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Orlando is 1-5 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Chicago is 2-5-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Milwaukee is 7-1 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Miami is 1-4 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Indiana is 7-2 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Road teams are 1-3 vs spread the night after playing Denver.
Road teams are 1-5 vs spread the night after playing Seattle.
Suns are 3-4 vs spread if they played the night before.
Portland is 2-5 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Golden State is 5-3 vs spread on front end of back/back.
Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread if it plays road game the next nite
Totals
Nine of last 12 Laker games went over the total.
Last seven Wizard games went over the total.
Nine of last eleven Chicago road games went over the total.
Last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
Five of last seven Miami games went over the total.
Over is 11-6 in Indiana road games.
Nine of last eleven Minnesota home games went over total.
Under is 7-4-1 in Hornet home games.
Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
Eight of last eleven Phoenix home games stayed under.
Eight of last ten Portland home games went over the total.
Eight of last ten Warrior home games went over the total.
Six of last eight Clipper games went over the total.
Hot Teams
Anaheim is 13-3 in its last sixteen games. Carolina won five of its last six games.
Senators won last two games, allowing three goals.
Canadiens won six of their last seven games.
Nashville won seven of its last eight games. Dallas is 3-1 in its last four games.
Boston won three of its last four games. Chicago is 6-3 in its last nine games.
Colorado is 6-1 in game following its last seven losses. Blues won three of last four games; four of their last six went OT/SO.
Kings won last two games, after 3-8 skid.
Cold Teams
Rangers lost last six games, scoring 11 goals.
Penguins lost last five games, outscored 21-9. Leafs are 4-10 in their last fourteen games.
Florida is 4-8 in its last twelve home games.
Devils lost three of their last four home games. Washington lost four of its last five games.
Columbus lost last three road games, getting shut out in last two, 5-0/4-0. Minnesota lost six of last eight games.
Calgary lost last three games, allowing 12 goals.
Series Records
Carolina won 6-2 at Anaheim in last year's meeting.
Ottawa is 3-2 in last five games against the Rangers.
Toronto won all four games vs Pittsburgh last season.
Home side won both Florida-Montreal games this season.
Devils won their last five games vs Washington.
Minnesota is 2-0 vs Columbus this season, 5-0/5-3.
Dallas won four of last five games vs Nashville.
Chicago, Boston didn't face each other last season.
Home side won both Colorado-St Louis games this season.
Calgary, Kings split pair of games at Staples this season.
Back-to-Back Situations
Carolina is 5-6 if it played the night before.
Rangers are 5-2 on front end of back/back.
Toronto is 4-2 on front end of back/back.
Canadiens are 3-2 on front end of back/back.
Washington is 2-7 on front end of back/back.
Minnesota is 2-4 on front end of back/back.
Nashville is 5-3 on front end of back/back.
Bruins are 1-3 on front end of back/back.
Blues are 1-8 on front end of back/back, Colorado is 3-1.
Kings are 4-2 if they played the night before.
Totals
Last six Carolina games stayed under the total.
Five of last seven Ranger games went over the total.
Over is 7-4 in Toronto's last eleven games.
Five of last six Florida home games stayed under the total.
Under is 10-4 in Devils' last fourteen home games.
Under is 8-3-2 in last thirteen Columbus road games.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Dallas home games.
Last five Boston road games went over the total.
Six of last eight Colorado home games stayed under total.
Over is 7-1-1 in Kings' last nine road games.
Xavier lost 65-62 at Illinois LY (+6); Illini won last five games, but they lost only road game, 84-72 vs Arizona in Phoenix. Big 11 road teams are 12-15 vs spread. Xavier lost three of last four games. A-14 home teams are 21-27 vs spread.
South Florida lost 78-62 at UAB Wednesday, their fourth loss in row; Bulls last two home games, 56-46 vs Richmond, 81-69 vs Saint Louis. ACC road teams are 10-14 vs spread. Big East home squads are 50-33 vs spread.
Southern Illinois won last six games vs Illinois State, winning last three visits to Normal, 65-52/66-59/71-58. Salukis are 9-2 so far, 3-1on road, losing only at Indiana. Redbirds are 8-1 in their last nine games. MVC home sides are 4-0 in conference play.
LMU is 8-6 after losing last game by point to Long Beach St; WCC road dogs are 18-19 vs spread. Akron lost at home last week to Nevada; they're 6-3, losing two of last three games, 2-2 as favorite. MAC home favorites are 18-8 vs spread.
Florida State won last seven games, is 11-2 this season, 6-0 at home; they lost by 22 to Pitt of Big East. ACC home faves are 28-18 vs spread. Providence 8-2, beating BC by 9, losing 85-67 at Florida, beating George Washington by 19.
Delaware got first win of year last night vs Niagara; Hens are 0-5 on road, losing by 20,12,3,10,19 pts. LaSalle is 6-4 vs mostly stiffs, losing 68-48 to Holy Cross last night. Explorers are 13-25 vs spread in last 38 home games.
Niagara is 2-9, losing last night for first time since Fisher got back in lineup. MAAC teams are 3-6 vs spread on neutral court this season. Holy Cross beat host squad by 20 last night; they are 7-5,losing by 8 at Syracuse, 12 at Duke, so they're good.
Jacksonville State is 2-9 vs D-I teams, getting drilled in last game by Green Bay. OVC road underdogs are 14-26 vs spread. Bowling won last three games is 8-3. MAC home favorites are 12-15 vs spread.
Samford is 3-0 in its OVC games, but 3-5 outside conference; they're 4-2 vs spread as a dog. LSU is 4-2 in last six games, with wins by 7,16,26,34 pts; they're not playing great right now. SEC home favorites are 29-18 vs spread.
Wright State won last three games, is 0-2-1 vs spread as fave. Mississippi Valley is 3-8, seven of their eight losses are by 17+ points- this is third day in row for both sides. Horizon favorites are 3-2 vs spread on neutral floor.
Hofstra won seven of last eight games after 0-3 start; they've got three good guards, but are thin inside- against D-I teams- they lost 72-56 to Drexel, Hofstra's CAA rival. St John's won last seven games, playing amazingly easy slate of opponents.
St Joe's is 6-5 after tough loss to Hofstra last night; Hawks are 1-3 vs spread as underdog this season. A-14 favorites are 5-7 vs spread on neutral floors this season. Boston U lost ugly game vs host St John's last night, falling in OT.
. Seton Hall is 6-3, allowing 76,76, 80 pts in losses. Favorite is 13-5 vs spread when a Big East team is playing on neutral court. Liberty is 6-5, lost at Oklahoma 74-48, at Buffalo by six points, 73-59 at BYU last night.
BYU is 6-0 at home vs D-I teams, but are 2-5 vs spread as fave this season; Mountain West home favorites are 21-12 vs spread this season. Oral Roberts lost five of last eight games, but got a great win last night, rallying very late to beat a Big East team.
Rice is 4-5 losing 87-85 to Belmont last night. C-USA favorites are 5-6 vs spread on neutral courts. Western Carolina is 2-6 on road, 3-4 as underdog; SoCon dogs are 4-2 on neutral court.
St Mary's lost four of last five games and six of last nine; they are 2-2 vs spread as favorite. WCC home faves are 16-13 vs the spread this season. Belmont was in NCAAs last year, losing to UCLA in first round; they're 8-4, 2-0 so far in Atlantic Sun.
New Mexico is 4-2 as favorite this season MWC home faves are 21-12 vs spread. Interesting to see how Pepperdine's fast, 3-point style works in altitude of The Pit; Waves are 4-10 this season, as the talent isn't what it needs to be to play this style.
Colgate lost 52-36 at Arizona St in last trip west, 53-39 last nte so Raiders could be in trouble vs aggresive GW club that got held to 52 points by Air Force last night. GW had been off for 16 days, before last nite; they're 7-3, 1-0 vs spread as favorite.
Air Force is 12-1, 4-1 vs spread as favorite; they beat pressing GW team by 12 last night, already have win sat Colorado and Stanford. Santa Clara won seven of last nine games; interesting to see how big Bronco players defend cuts of smaller Falcons.
Central Arkansas is 4-7 as it prepares to join Southland next year; they lost by 14 to Ole Miss, 29 to UConn, but did get win vs Bowling Green. Bucknell is playing hard schedule for Patriot League team; they're 5-6, but have win at Xavier.
Northern Illinoisis 2-7,losing last game 86-78 at SF Austin, so they're scuffling. MAC road dogs are 19-20 vs spread. Marist is beat team in weak MAAC; they've been off for ten days since loss at Wright State. Foxes are 6-3-1 as a favorite this season.
ILLINOIS (12 - 2) at XAVIER (8 - 4) - 12/29/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (7 - 4) vs. S FLORIDA (7 - 5) - 12/29/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
S ILLINOIS (9 - 2) at ILLINOIS ST (8 - 4) - 12/29/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 4-0 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (8 - 6) at AKRON (7 - 3) - 12/29/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PROVIDENCE (9 - 2) vs. FLORIDA ST (11 - 2) - 12/29/2006, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DELAWARE (0 - 9) at LASALLE (6 - 3) - 12/29/2006, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HOLY CROSS (6 - 5) vs. NIAGARA (4 - 6) - 12/29/2006, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JACKSONVILLE ST (3 - 8) vs. BOWLING GREEN (8 - 3) - 12/29/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MISS VALLEY ST (3 - 7) vs. WRIGHT ST (5 - 6) - 12/29/2006, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAMFORD (6 - 4) at LSU (8 - 3) - 12/29/2006, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LIBERTY (6 - 4) vs. SETON HALL (7 - 2) - 12/29/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 1-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
ORAL ROBERTS (5 - 6) at BYU (7 - 4) - 12/29/2006, 9:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
N ILLINOIS (3 - 7) at MARIST (8 - 3) - 12/29/2006, 7:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ALABAMA ST (1 - 7) vs. COLORADO ST (8 - 2) - 12/29/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENNESAW ST (3 - 9) at UT-CHATTANOOGA (6 - 6) - 12/29/2006, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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