ML Betting of Favorites

[BillMill71]

I should know better then to try and start a thread intended on thoughtful feedback as the last few I have tried have failed, but here we go.

Thanks to all that reply.

When betting Money Line favorites what is everyone's thoughts around "acceptable" juice. When playing hockey I see many cappers taking teams -145 or even higher. I assume that is based on the have and have not condition of hockey franchises (I really don't know much about hockey just follow many cappers here). But in the instance of other sports, what "chance" do people take?

For example, in last nights hockey I believe Detroit was somewhere around -260. Tonight Rutgers is around -280. Do cappers take these bets, as they feel the vig only matters when you lose? Or do cappers use these moneyline favorites only in larger parlays, placing two teams at high moneylines to improve the return?

Any thoughts appreciated. Thanks

[vondie]

I am no expert but I only bet moneylines when I am getting odds on the dogs. In this game risk/reward is the name of the game and you should be trying to risk the least amount to get the most reward. Betting the high moneyline favorites is completely opposite of that theory....you have to win 2-3 just to cover 1 that you might lose. I like to include those in parlay's...but they are no easy win's either. FWIW

[Chado1]

Usually in hockey when a team is juiced of -250 or more let's say, I like to parlay two ML's together so that it pays between (-105 thru -130) such as the parlay I have tonight....

Tampa Bay ML (-260) and San Jose ML (-320)

I have them parlayed together so that it becomes (-124)!!!

[frankb03]

For example, in last nights hockey I believe Detroit was somewhere around -260. Tonight Rutgers is around -280. Do cappers take these bets, as they feel the vig only matters when you lose? Or do cappers use these moneyline favorites only in larger parlays, placing two teams at high moneylines to improve the return?

Any thoughts appreciated. Thanks

I can't answer regarding ML plays in hockey. I rarely bet hockey.

In baseball I never take a favorite of more than -150 and rarely take favorites more than -140.

I never ever bet a ML favorite in football.

What I do do is bet a few ML favorites in a parlay. I hit a 6-teamer early in the season at 18/1. I try to mix it with at least ML dog. The ML dog really jacks up the return.

[soxx9]

I will never lay -150 or higher on a baseball ML.
Rarely play hockey to help on that though.

[Coach_G]

For hockey, one way to get around the heavy juice is to bet the puck line (your team needs to win by 2 goals)

lay 1.5 goals

[Spearit]

Looky here- In the play last night in hockey- Detroit vs Minny

I played Detroit because Hasek was 6-0-1 against Minny-- Plain and simple added with the teams record against Minny
This play required me to put out 600 something to get back 250- smart- ah well if you have the feel that something is strong- why hold back. It worked out and I won- I wanted to play the under as well but did not. Chucky Cheese use to play a few of these and it seemed to work at times. But not all the time! Puck lines are good in this manner and can be found in the prop section.

When I bet these- rare as they are- I generally win. But many times we have seen these lose as well- so you better have the feel or its not a good play.