Saturday Trends and Indexes 12/23

[Spearit]

CBB | (759) DAYTON @ (760) PITTSBURGH | 12/23/2006 8:00 PM
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the first half total in All games versus the first half line in all games
Record: 9-0 this season

CBB | (737) S ILLINOIS @ (738) ST MARYS-CA | 12/23/2006 2:00 PM
Play ON S ILLINOIS in the first half in All games after a non-conference game
Record: 9-0 this season


CBB | (747) UTAH ST @ (748) SANTA CLARA | 12/23/2006 4:00 PM
Play OVER UTAH ST on the first half total in Road games after a non-conference game
Record: 12-1 for the last three seasons


CBB | (739) CALIFORNIA @ (740) DEPAUL | 12/23/2006 2:00 PM
Play UNDER DEPAUL on the first half total in All games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game
Record: 1-10 for the last two seasons

[Udog]

Good morning, pm! Good luck today!

[Udog]

Thank you, Spearit!!! Good luck!

[Spearit]

Thanx- Have a great Christmas!

[pm530]

NHL
Dunkel


Saturday, December 23

Washington at Toronto
Washington comes into the contest having won its last three games on the road. The Leafs have come back down to earth after beating the Rangers (9-2) last Saturday and have suffered back-to-back defeats against Florida (7-3) and Chicago (3-1). Overall the Leafs have won just three of 12 since November 25. Toronto's leading scorer, Kyle Wellwood, missed the Chicago game (groin strain) and is questionable today. The Caps look like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Washington favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 1-2: Ottawa at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.070; Philadelphia 10.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 3-4: Washington at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.649; Toronto 11.480
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Montreal at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 13.783; Boston 12.718
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: New Jersey at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.993; Atlanta 12.140
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+1 1/2); Over

Game 9-10: Columbus at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.486; NY Islanders 12.151
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Under

Game 11-12: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.869; Tampa Bay 11.804
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+1 1/2); Under

Game 13-14: Carolina at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.189; Florida 13.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+1 1/2); Under

Game 15-16: Buffalo at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 13.552; St. Louis 11.049
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1 1/2); Over

Game 17-18: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.435; Minnesota 11.957
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 19-20: Edmonton at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.132; Dallas 13.000
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+1 1/2); Under

Game 21-22: Los Angeles at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.109; Nashville 12.939
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-1 1/2); Over

Game 23-24: Chicago at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.915; Colorado 13.323
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Under

Game 25-26: Anaheim at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 14.352; Phoenix 11.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 3; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-1 1/2); Under

Game 27-28: Calgary at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 13.045; San Jose 12.618
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, December 23rd

Minnesota at Indiana, 7:05 EST
Minnesota: 7-0 Under Away if the total is between 180 and 189.5
Indiana: 12-4 ATS as a favorite

Golden State at Miami, 7:35 EST
Golden State: 14-3 Under on Saturday
Miami: 52-32 ATS off 3 or more Overs

Atlanta at Detroit, 7:35 EST
Atlanta: 10-1 ATS Away vs. Central Division
Detroit: 5-16 ATS after allowing 80 points or less

Orlando at Cleveland, 7:35 EST
Orlando: 0-7 ATS off BB home games
Cleveland: 0-8 ATS at home after scoring 80 points or less

New York at Philadelphia, 7:35 EST
New York: 6-2 ATS vs. Philadelphia
Philadelphia: 29-51 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

San Antonio at New Orleans, 8:05 EST
San Antonio: 32-17 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite
New Orleans: 12-29 ATS off a division win

Utah at Memphis, 8:05 EST
Utah: 19-3 Over off a SU loss
Memphis: 4-14 ATS off BB division games

LA Clippers at Houston, 8:35 EST
LA Clippers: 2-12 ATS off an Over
Houston: 12-2 Under off 4+ road games

New Jersey at Milwaukee, 8:35 EST
New Jersey: 1-9 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Milwaukee: 7-0 Over on Saturday

Charlotte at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Charlotte: 13-27 ATS off BB ATS wins
Chicago: 9-1 Over off BB Unders

Toronto at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Toronto: 8-1 ATS off BB road games
Seattle: 11-3 Under vs. Eastern Conference

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Saturday, December 23rd

Ottawa at Philadelphia, 1:05 EST
Ottawa: 16-7 SU away after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Philadelphia: 3-14 SU in home games

Washington at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Washington: 3-23 SU off BB home games
Toronto: 14-5 Over off a road loss by 3+ goals

Montreal at Boston, 7:05 EST
Montreal: 9-2 SU vs. Boston
Boston: 7-18 SU off a home win

New Jersey at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
New Jersey: 26-6 SU off 3+ games scoring 3+ goals
Atlanta: 17-7 Over after scoring 4+ goals

Columbus at NY Islanders, 7:05 EST
Columbus: 6-0 SU vs. NY Islanders
NY Islanders: 33-62 SU at home after scoring 1 or 0 goals

NY Rangers at Tampa Bay, 7:35 EST
NY Rangers: 1-6 SU off a loss by 1 goal
Tampa Bay: 5-1 SU off a road win scoring 4+ goals

Carolina at Florida, 7:35 EST
Carolina: 6-0 SU revenging a road loss by 2+ goals
Florida: 6-22 SU on Saturdays

Buffalo at St. Louis, 8:05 EST
Buffalo: 11-1 SU off a win by 4+ goals
St. Louis: 4-21 SU on Saturdays

Detroit at Minnesota, 8:05 EST
Detroit: 34-11 SU as a road favorite
Minnesota: 4-11 SU after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Edmonton at Dallas, 8:05 EST
Edmonton: 9-27 SU at Dallas
Dallas: 25-3 SU at home off 3+ division games

Los Angeles at Nashville, 8:05 EST
Los Angeles: 4-10 SU in road games
Nashville: 13-3 SU after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Chicago at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Chicago: 6-0 Over off a non-conference game
Colorado: 3-9 SU off a division game

Anaheim at Phoenix, 9:05 EST
Anaheim: 16-3 SU as a road favorite
Phoenix: 3-14 SU at home after losing 3 of their last 4 games

Calgary at San Jose, 10:05 EST
Calgary: 1-6 SU away after scoring 4+ goals
San Jose: 13-2 Under off a home game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB - Additional Long Sheet


WYOMING (9 - 3) vs. CHARLOTTE (4 - 6) - 12/23/2006, 6:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





HOUSTON (5 - 4) vs. NEBRASKA (7 - 3) - 12/23/2006, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.





CREIGHTON (6 - 3) at HAWAII (7 - 4) - 12/23/2006, 11:59 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.





TOLEDO (4 - 6) at UTEP (6 - 6) - 12/23/2006, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.





JACKSON ST (6 - 6) vs. DRAKE (8 - 2) - 12/23/2006, 9:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.





USC (9 - 3) vs. WICHITA ST (9 - 1) - 12/23/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.





KANSAS ST (9 - 3) vs. NEW MEXICO (9 - 2) - 12/23/2006, 10:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NCAAF
Write-up


Papa John's Bowl, Birmingham
East Carolina is in bowl for first time since '01; South Florida got shut out by NC State last year, 14-0, in their first bowl. Big East teams really had great year against spread, covering over 70% out of conference, and South Florida is up-and-coming team in league, with fertile recruiting base all around their campus. This bowl is good chance for them to springboard into 2007.

ECU is 18-5 vs spread under Skip Holtz, 7-0 out of conference; they have four-year starter at QB, but South Florida played in a much better league this season. Bulls have better defense, and they've gotten some guys healthy since their last game.



New Mexico Bowl, Albuquerque
Hidden out west was brilliant coaching job done by Dick Tomey at San Jose State; they were 14-33 in four years prior to '06, so Tomey has done wonders, going 8-4 with Spartan club that runs ball well (15th in country). Problem for them is they're playing in Albuquerque vs the host team, not the best situation.

Lobos lost their offensive coordinator Toledo to Tulane, but he is coaching in this game; New Mexico used three different QBs during season, pulled out three close wins late in year to get to minimum 6-6 record and bowl eligibility. Lobos are 0-3 in bowls, but they will have home crowd behind them.

I think if you are looking at a side in this game, now way would I take a 6-6 team giving points, even at home. I'd take San Jose St.

Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth
Utah got better late in season, winning three games in row,after Thursday night loss to New Mexico, then losing finale to rival BYU on last-second TD pass, where Beck had 12 seconds to find receiver open. Utes were one of only two teams that beat TCU this season, now they're playing on Horned Frogs' field.

Tulsa lost three of last four games after 7-1 start, including win vs UTEP on ESPN; so they're probably disappointed to be here but should have crowd advantage, since they're lost closer than Utes, who are making longest trip of season.

Utah is 4-0 in bowls this decade, winning 10-6/17-0/35-7/38-10, and they were underdog in two of those games. They played a lot better down stretch than Tulsa did; they're right side here.

[Udog]

NBA
Write-up

Hot Teams
Pacers won four of last five games.
Warriors won last two games, by 1,9 points.
Pistons won five of last six games.
Knicks won last three games, all at home; they're 1-4 in last five away games.
Spurs won five of last six games, but lost last night; they are 4-2 vs spread after a loss.
Milwaukee won last three games, covered last four.
Bobcats covered four of their last five games, but are 1-5 vs spread after a win this season. Bulls won twelve of their last fourteen games.
Toronto won, covered five of last six games.

Cold Teams
Minnesota lost last four games, by 13,4,17,6 points.
Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games.
Hawks lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
Orlando is 2-10 vs spread in last dozen games. Cavaliers lost last three games, scoring 74-111-71 points.
76ers snapped their 12-game losing streak last night.
Hornets lost ten of their last thirteen games.
Utah is 2-3 in last five games, but they're 5-2 vs spread when they lost their previous game. Memphis lost 11 of its last 13.
Rockets lost four of last six games. Clippers lost six games in row, covered three of last 19.
Nets are 4-6 in their last ten games.
Seattle lost last six games, mainly because Allen, Lewis are both out injured.

Series Records
Home side won both Indiana-Minnesota games LY.
Visiting team won both Miami-Golden State games last year.
Detroit won four of last five games against the Hawks.
Home side won four of last five Orlando-Cleveland games.
76ers won three of four against Knicks last season.
Spurs won four of last five games against the Hornets.
Grizzlies won three of four games vs Utah last season.
Rockets are 3-2 in last five games against the Clippers.
Nets beat Milwaukee twice this season, both by 13 points.
Bobcats, Bulls split four games last season.
Visitor won both Toronto-Seattle games last season.

Back-to-Back Situations
Minnesota is 3-3, Indiana 4-4 in back end of back/back.
Golden St is 1-6 SU,4-3 vs spread in back end of back/back.
Atlanta is 0-2 vs spread on road, if they played a home game the night before.
Orlando is 4-1 SU in back end of back/back.
76ers are 4-2-1 vs spread on back end of back/back.
Hornets are 1-3-1 vs spread on back end of back/back.
Memphis is 3-5 vs spread on back end of back/back.
Rockets are 2-4 vs spread on back end of back/back.
New Jersey is 1-3 vs spread on back end of back/back.
Bobcats are 3-2 vs spread on back end of back/back
Raptors are 3-2 vs spread on back end of back/back.

Totals
Five of last six Indiana games stayed under total.
Last four Miami games went over the total.
Seven of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.
Under is 15-4 in Orlando's last nineteen games.
Five of last seven Philly games stayed under the total.
Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Hornet games.
Last four Memphis games went over the total.
Last five Clipper games went over the total.
Five of last six Net games stayed under the total.
Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
Six of last nine Seattle games stayed under the total.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-up

Hot Teams
Washington won its last three road games.
Boston won three of last four games. Montreal won last five games, scoring 23 goals.
Atlanta won last two games, both 4-3 in OT/SO. Devils won four of their last five road games.
Lightning won last two games, scoring nine goals.
Carolina won last three games, allowing four goals. Panthers won last three games, outscoring foes 16-8.
Sabres are 15-3 on road this season. Blues won last two tilts, after losing previous eleven contests.
Detroit won ten of last thirteen games.
Predators won five of their last six games.
Chicago won five of its last seven games. Colorado won five of its last six games.
Anaheim won seven of its last eight games.
Calgary won seven of last ten games. San Jose is 9-4 in its last thirteen games, 2-2 in last four.

Cold Teams
Senators lost six of their last eight games. Flyers lost eight in a row, outscored 35-15.
Toronto lost nine of its last twelve games.
Islanders are 2-3 in last five home games. Columbus lost last two road games, allowing ten goals.
Rangers lost four of their last five games.
Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
Dallas lost last three home games, scoring three goals. Oilers are 2-4 in their last six games.
Kings lost last three games, allowing 14 goals.
Coyotes lost five of their last six games.

Series Records
Flyers are 3-2 in their last five games vs Ottawa.
Toronto beat Washington 7-1 Nov 24, their second win in last last five games vs Washington.
Montreal is 2-1 vs Bruins this season: 3-2/5-6/4-3.
Thrashers won their last five games vs New Jersey.
Islanders lost 4-3 at Columbus in last year's meeting.
Rangers are 3-2 in last five games vs Tampa bay.
Home side won seven of last nine Carolina-Florida games.
Sabres, Blues didn't play last season.
Red Wings are 2-0 vs Minnesota this season, 3-0/3-1.
Visiting team won both Detroit-Edmonton games this season.
Home side won four of last five Nashville-Los Angeles tilts.
Chicago beat Avalanche twice this season, 5-3/2-1.
Ducks are 3-0 vs Phoenix this season: 6-4/6-2/2-1.
Flames are 3-2 in last five games vs San Jose.

Back-to-Back Situations
Washington is 3-4, Toronto 2-3 on back end of back/backs.
Devils are 0-2 vs spread when playing second straight night on the road.
Islanders are 4-1 vs spread on back end of back/back.
Detroit is 1-4 on back end of back/back.
Blackhawks won last five times they were on back end of a back/back.

Totals
Under is 12-6-1 in last 19 Ottawa games.
Six of last nine Toronto games went over the total
Eight of last ten Boston games went over the total.
Four of last five New Jersey road games went over the total.
Six of last nine Islander games went over the total.
Four of last five Ranger games went over the total.
Under is 14-7-1 in last 22 Carolina games.
Five of last six St Louis games stayed under the total.
Under is 4-1-1 in Detroit's last six games.
Nine of last ten Edmonton games stayed under the total.
Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Nashville games.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Chicago games.
Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total.
Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen San Jose games.

[Udog]

NFL

Six-Pack for Saturday

Six trends for Week 16 of the NFL

Ravens covered three of last 11 division road games.
Bills covered 13 of last 18 as a favorite.
Bears are 10-4-2 vs spread in division games.
Bengals are 14-3-1 vs spread in last 18 road games.
Texans covered seven of last 10 when dog of 7+ points.
Bucs are 0-7 vs spread on road vs AFC teams.

[Udog]

Saturday's List of 13:

If I ran the NBA for a day........

13) Middle Tennessee defensive coordinator Manny Diaz is an interesting story; not only is his dad the mayor of Miami, he was a production assistant at ESPN in the mid-90's, when he asked Bill Parcells (working at ESPN at the time) to get him a job in coaching.

12) Parcells hooked him up with Mickey Andrews at Florida State, and when Chuck Amato left Tallahassee for NC State, he took Diaz with him. Now he's the defensive coordinator for a bowl team. Its fun to hear good stories like this.

11) Another good story is Caron Butler, who was arrested 15 times before he was 15 years old, but has gotten his life back on the right path, and now he's a darned good player, and a good person

10) Right now, Gilbert Arenas is the best player in the NBA; dropping 54 pts on the Suns Friday night, and is unstoppable right now. He is upset over being left off the national team last summer, and is taking it out on the rest of the league.

9) Not only did Iona make the NCAAs last season, they led LSU at the half in their first round game. Gaels might not win a game this season; they lost at home to New Hampshire on Friday, and UNH is just 2-8.

8) Record that will never be broken: Lakers' 33-game winning streak. Second highest NBA streak is only 20 in a row.

7) Knicks are 3-0 since the brawl, bad news for Knick fans; if this winning continues, they might not fire Isiah Thomas.

6) All young hoopers should watch David Lee of the Knicks; he's a good player because he busts his butt on every play; he is averaging around 10 rebounds a game.

5) If the Duke lacrosse players are acquitted of all charges in their case, can the coach get his job back? Why should he be the only one to pay a price for all this?

4) The NHL is considering realigning from six divisions down to four, to reduce travel expenses. Give them credit; they are trying lot of things to help their sport.

3) The Sixers' 12-game losing streak and Suns' 15-game win streak ended on same night. Must have been a full moon.

2) I am seriously considering getting the NBA package back on my satellite dish, just so I can watch the Suns. It is a little pricey, and I watch so much college ball it might not be a wise buy, but it is worth every penny just to watch Phoenix play.

1) All basketball coaches should be required to watch Suns and Wizards games; it is the way basketball should be played fun for the players, fans. Trust your players to make plays.