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Spears Notes on Indy/Cinncy
Howdy Folks- Seems like we lost a good pal in Two Ton Tony- but I wish him the best. No one needs to gamble to be here and I have done this on many occasions. I generally can feel a good play but stupidly put the same money at times on an opinion. Love when Shorty or MC or Monte or some we see little of - put out strong plays as does our regular capping folks. After viewing other sites- I have come to realize that BC has a decent record and can go head to head with anybody.
Now this game should be a masterpiece of QB's. Lets take a look at some pertinent trends and then I will add some systems to the game.
NFL/ Monday Night /12-18-06
Series Indy 13-6 / won 4 in a row vs Cinci
Monday Night ATS History:
Cinci 3-7 RD / 1-6 vs NDiv opp / 1-6 off SU win / 3-14 SU RD &
4-13 ATS /
Indy is 6-2 HF / 1-6 off BB SU losses / 1-4 off DD SU loss /
11-4 SU & 9-6 ATS overall at Home on Monday Night.
Monday Night Records W/L pct.
Cinci 8-16 SU .333%...........Indy 17-10 SU .630%
Dungy 4-0 vs Cinci.........Lewis 0-1 vs Dungy & Colts
QB Rating:
Palmer 98.7% 24 TD / 11 Int / Aw Record 12-9 / vs Colts 0-1
Manning 95.9% 22 TD / 9 Int / H Record 51-23 / vs Cinci 4-0
NFL Rank Total Offense & Defense vs the League:
Cinci Off: # 22 Rush & # 4 Pass
Indy Off: # 18 Rush & # 2 Pass
Cinci Def: # 13 Rush & # 32 Pass
Indy Def; # 32 Rush & # 2 Pass
Total Offense: Indy # 2........Cinci # 7
Total Defense: Indy # 18....Cinci # 26
Cinci is 14-3-1 ATS Away last 18 games
Cinci out scored last 3 opp by 70-17
Cinci 7-1 off BB DD SU wins
Cinci 6-1-1 Aw off BB SU wins
Cinci 4-1 Aw vs AFC South
Cinci 4-1 off BB HG
Cinci 7-0 Aw off win
Cinci 0-4 bef Denver & 1-4 game 14
Cinci 2-16 Aw vs 700+ opp &
Dec. 1-6 Aw off NDiv game
Cinci 4-11 Monday ( 2-6 dog )
Indy series Fav 4-1 & 4-1 Mondays
Indy 6-1-1 vs opp off BB DD SU win
Indy 8-2 vs NDiv off NDiv RG
Indy 6-2 vs AFC North
Indy 0-4 after Jax
Dec. 2-7 off SU Fav loss
9-2 under vs Conf
OK Now a fine writeup I found on a site.
Now, I am not a head coach or offensive coordinator in the NFL, although I should be considering the stupidity I witness on a consistent basis.
So with that said, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to realize what the key is for Cincy to win this game tonight.
RUN THE FOOTBALL - MOVE THE CHAINS - WIN TIME OF POSSESSION
KEEP INDY OFFENSE OFF FIELD - LIMIT THEIR OFFENSIVE OPPORTUNITIES
The Colts just gave up 375 yards on the ground in Week 12 of the NFL. Their run defense is getting worse as the season is progressing, not getting better. That is what happens when you are last in the league at stopping the run.
You see, teams are supposed to improve as the season wears on, not get worse. That is the case with these two teams tonight.
Then Bengals have gotten healthy and have been getting progressively better the last 5 weeks.
I actually take you back to the Charger game at home, a game they jumped out to a 28-7 lead only to get caught up in the helter skelter comeback of San Diego in the 2nd half and lost a shootout.
They didn't stay down about blowing that 3 touchdown lead in that game. Instead, they came away with a renewed confidence and it has shown.
They have reeled off 4 in a row in all dominant efforts. At New Orleans 31-16, at Cleveland 30-0, Ravens at home 13-7 and the Raiders 27-10 in a game that should have been 45-10.
I want you people to really understand something right now. You can't be an elite team in the NFL if you can't stop the run. It is not going to happen.
Indy is bottoming out and that is the exact reason why. They can't put teams away because they don't have the ball. That is the reason why in their last 5 games, they were lucky to win 2 of them.
They struggled to beat Buffalo 17-16, lost to Dallas 21-14, beat a Philly team that can't stop the run themselves, then lost the last 2 weeks to Tennessee and Jacksonville, both of whom did exactly as I stated above, ran the ball right down their throat and beat them.
Indy is in trouble folks. Big trouble and there is nothing they could have possibly have done in the last 7 days since the J'ville game to correct their problems.
Seriously, let me put into perspective what happens to a team that gives up 375 yards on the ground in week 12 of the NFL. You are done.
You are not going to all of a sudden find new players to stop it. You are not going to go down to the beach and find a Genie bottle, rub it and Barbara Eden is going to pop out and grant you 3 wishes, one of which you will use to have her help you stop the run.
I have been calling Indy out all year saying to anybody who would listen that if you can't stop the run, eventually that is going to destroy you. It is happening right before our very eyes.
Lastly, I know about the statisitic that Cincy has the worst pass defense in Pro football. Yes, that may have been true early on folks, but in the last 3 ballgames they have gotten people healthy and it has shown.
One more thing about Cincy's pass defense. This entire year you know how many times they have given up over 300 yards passing? Twice in 12 ballgames. Only twice.
So them being last is not as last as that statistic would lead you to believe.
Now this game should be a masterpiece of QB's. Lets take a look at some pertinent trends and then I will add some systems to the game.
NFL/ Monday Night /12-18-06
Series Indy 13-6 / won 4 in a row vs Cinci
Monday Night ATS History:
Cinci 3-7 RD / 1-6 vs NDiv opp / 1-6 off SU win / 3-14 SU RD &
4-13 ATS /
Indy is 6-2 HF / 1-6 off BB SU losses / 1-4 off DD SU loss /
11-4 SU & 9-6 ATS overall at Home on Monday Night.
Monday Night Records W/L pct.
Cinci 8-16 SU .333%...........Indy 17-10 SU .630%
Dungy 4-0 vs Cinci.........Lewis 0-1 vs Dungy & Colts
QB Rating:
Palmer 98.7% 24 TD / 11 Int / Aw Record 12-9 / vs Colts 0-1
Manning 95.9% 22 TD / 9 Int / H Record 51-23 / vs Cinci 4-0
NFL Rank Total Offense & Defense vs the League:
Cinci Off: # 22 Rush & # 4 Pass
Indy Off: # 18 Rush & # 2 Pass
Cinci Def: # 13 Rush & # 32 Pass
Indy Def; # 32 Rush & # 2 Pass
Total Offense: Indy # 2........Cinci # 7
Total Defense: Indy # 18....Cinci # 26
Cinci is 14-3-1 ATS Away last 18 games
Cinci out scored last 3 opp by 70-17
Cinci 7-1 off BB DD SU wins
Cinci 6-1-1 Aw off BB SU wins
Cinci 4-1 Aw vs AFC South
Cinci 4-1 off BB HG
Cinci 7-0 Aw off win
Cinci 0-4 bef Denver & 1-4 game 14
Cinci 2-16 Aw vs 700+ opp &
Dec. 1-6 Aw off NDiv game
Cinci 4-11 Monday ( 2-6 dog )
Indy series Fav 4-1 & 4-1 Mondays
Indy 6-1-1 vs opp off BB DD SU win
Indy 8-2 vs NDiv off NDiv RG
Indy 6-2 vs AFC North
Indy 0-4 after Jax
Dec. 2-7 off SU Fav loss
9-2 under vs Conf
OK Now a fine writeup I found on a site.
Now, I am not a head coach or offensive coordinator in the NFL, although I should be considering the stupidity I witness on a consistent basis.
So with that said, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to realize what the key is for Cincy to win this game tonight.
RUN THE FOOTBALL - MOVE THE CHAINS - WIN TIME OF POSSESSION
KEEP INDY OFFENSE OFF FIELD - LIMIT THEIR OFFENSIVE OPPORTUNITIES
The Colts just gave up 375 yards on the ground in Week 12 of the NFL. Their run defense is getting worse as the season is progressing, not getting better. That is what happens when you are last in the league at stopping the run.
You see, teams are supposed to improve as the season wears on, not get worse. That is the case with these two teams tonight.
Then Bengals have gotten healthy and have been getting progressively better the last 5 weeks.
I actually take you back to the Charger game at home, a game they jumped out to a 28-7 lead only to get caught up in the helter skelter comeback of San Diego in the 2nd half and lost a shootout.
They didn't stay down about blowing that 3 touchdown lead in that game. Instead, they came away with a renewed confidence and it has shown.
They have reeled off 4 in a row in all dominant efforts. At New Orleans 31-16, at Cleveland 30-0, Ravens at home 13-7 and the Raiders 27-10 in a game that should have been 45-10.
I want you people to really understand something right now. You can't be an elite team in the NFL if you can't stop the run. It is not going to happen.
Indy is bottoming out and that is the exact reason why. They can't put teams away because they don't have the ball. That is the reason why in their last 5 games, they were lucky to win 2 of them.
They struggled to beat Buffalo 17-16, lost to Dallas 21-14, beat a Philly team that can't stop the run themselves, then lost the last 2 weeks to Tennessee and Jacksonville, both of whom did exactly as I stated above, ran the ball right down their throat and beat them.
Indy is in trouble folks. Big trouble and there is nothing they could have possibly have done in the last 7 days since the J'ville game to correct their problems.
Seriously, let me put into perspective what happens to a team that gives up 375 yards on the ground in week 12 of the NFL. You are done.
You are not going to all of a sudden find new players to stop it. You are not going to go down to the beach and find a Genie bottle, rub it and Barbara Eden is going to pop out and grant you 3 wishes, one of which you will use to have her help you stop the run.
I have been calling Indy out all year saying to anybody who would listen that if you can't stop the run, eventually that is going to destroy you. It is happening right before our very eyes.
Lastly, I know about the statisitic that Cincy has the worst pass defense in Pro football. Yes, that may have been true early on folks, but in the last 3 ballgames they have gotten people healthy and it has shown.
One more thing about Cincy's pass defense. This entire year you know how many times they have given up over 300 yards passing? Twice in 12 ballgames. Only twice.
So them being last is not as last as that statistic would lead you to believe.
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