Kaptains "CFB Bowls" Thread

[KazDog]

Good luck Kappy!

KAZ

[Chado1]

GL Kaptain!!!

[Kaptain]

Records Update for 1-6

Sides...........16-12.............+18.22 units
Totals...........4-2...............+14.50
Teasers.........7-2...............+41.00

Overall..........27-16 (63 %)..+73.72 units, with 3 games left....lets see if we can keep er going.....

10* Top Rated plays are 15-7
20* 0-1---lost the Canes Game....

We hit the 5* teaser with W Mich and OVER, so the new record is in red above.......let's hope we continue this roll----kapt

[Three Jack]

you are butter, Kaaptain, as you are mos def on a roll!!!!

[Kaptain]

GMAC Bowl (Sunday 1-7-07)

Ohio University Bobcats of the MAC take on the University of Southern Mississippi (USM) Golden Eagles from the Conf USA.....

Line is currently USM -6 with a totql of 42....

Lets start off by looking at the Conferences...

Conf USA playing a slightly tougher schedule than the MAC....

Ohio playing as a 69 vs a 63 schedule...
USM..................71.......67................

EDGE = USM

Ohio was 9-4, losing to
Rutgers 7-24---a Good Rutgers team
Mzo 6-31---Bowl Bound decent team
Bowwling Green 9-21---bad day for Ohio U....
Central Mich 10-31---good scoring team...championship game

They Beat
Tenn Martin 29-3.....big deal
N Ill 35-23---N Ill Jekyl and Hyde team
W Mich 27-20....in their class of ball---good game
Illinois 20-17......Ill weak
Buffalo 42-7....so
Kent St 17-7....decent lil team
E Mich 16-10....so
Akron 17-7....so
Miami Ohio 34-24----decent lil team....

USM Lost ot
Fla 7-34....BCS #2 team
Tulsa 6-20....bowl team
Va Tech 6-36..........bowl team
E Car 17-20 in OT....bad day for USM
Houston 20-34.....bowl team...conf championship game

USM Beat
SE LA 45-0....bad team
NC St 37-17...Jekyl and Hyde team that turned out Bad
UCF 19-14....scrappy ass team here..
Houston 31-27....good bowl team---met em in Champ game and lost
Memphis 42-21..so
UAB 25-20....scrappy club
Marshall 42-7....not to good a team this year....

Ohio avg 20.7 ppg and USM 25.2
Ohio Yields 17.3 ppg and USM yields 19.5 ppg...Slight EDGE USM

OHIO avgs 280 typg, 155 rypg, 125 pypg...
USM.........335.........173.........162..........E DGE USM

Ohio Defense yields 304 typg, 131 rypg, and 173 pypg....
USM.....................314.........134........... ....180...........
Based on strength of Competition....NO EDGE

USM has 15 INTs, and 25 sacks. OHIO has creqted 22 to's and 22 sacks....even stats, but based on SOS, slight edge to USM..

OHIO QB has rushed for 373 yards, passed for 1181 yds, 6 TD's and 7 INt's, with a 56.2 % completion rate...
USM QB has 4 rushing TDs, thrown for 1609 yds, 12 TDs, and 5 Int, with a completion % of 56.8.....Based on SOS...EDGE USM....

Both teams rely mostly on the Run and their Defense, but there is a concern with me for SOS, and all the slight Edges to USM, adds up to a pretty good edge for USM to me........

USM -6....-108....................10*
OVER 42....-105...................10*

7 pt teaser -120
USM +1 and OVER 35........10*

gl to all---lock and load----kapt

[vonwater11]

gl...kapt...with you on the eagles

[zeib10]

Get em Kapt.

[vonwater11]

kapt....nice winner....cant wait to see your write up and who your on for the big game...hope its ohio st ..that who i like biggg...great bowl record

[Chado1]

Congrats on Southern Miss last night Kapt, great job!!!

Hope to see OHIO ST -7 in big bold letters later

[worm]

keep em coming Kapt!---worm

[GrandPa]

Nice work Kappy. Time to wrap up your outstanding Bowling Season with a huge winner tonight. ( Please say you are on the Bucks!)

GL my friend

[Kaptain]

BCS Championship game

This is the one we've been waiting for.....We're not gonna change a thing, as we're 17-12 on sides, 4-3 on Totals, 7-2 on Teasers, and overall 28-17 overall (62 %)....On our 10* rated plays, we're now at 17-7 (71 %), so we're not gonna change anything...............

Ohio St University (OSU) currently #1 (12-0) from the Big Ten, plays Florida University (Fla) #2 (12-1) form the Sec....The line is currently OSU -7 and the total at 46........

Lets look at the Conferences first....This seems to be a big discussion on thei Forum, as to which is Best....Lets go to Sagarin, who makes a living doing this, and has been generally accepted as a master in determing Strengths of Schedule, Conferences, and Teams....

Big Ten #4 playing as a 76 vs a 77
SEC......#2..................80.......79
ADV SEC as a whole....but the Conferences aren't playing, it's the teams in the conference.....

OSU playing as a 100 vs a 72
Fla.....................91........74....OSU Undefeated, Fla has 1 loss.......Advantage OSU

Fla lost to
Auburn 17-27, but game was lot closer than score indicates....Fla turned ball over on Aub 5 yd line at a critical moment.....remember this statement....Fla found a way to lose

OSU---is undefeated.......12-0....find ways to win....mark of a champion...

Fla beat the following

USM 34-7---at Fla---USM can't score---as evidenced by just 28 pts against Ohio U yesterday......see yesterdays write up....same thread

UCF 42-0..scrappy UCF team, completely outmanned....at Fla

Tennessee 21-20----game could have gone either way---
Tenn dropped numerous passes---could have won---good game---Penn St beat Tenn in Bowl

Ktcky 26-7---Ky improved as the year went by----Fla played good game

Ala 28-13----fizzled out, and realized they weren't as strong as visualized by experts

LSU 23-10----notably their best win of the year....LSU had 5 turnovers, 3 in Fla red zone, and one on their own 5....things happen, and LSU gave it away, but Fla did play tough...

Ga 21-14----Ga showed they were a good but not great team.......good ball game, another one that could have gone either way.....

Vandy---25-19----struggled with Vandy, thats right, struggled with Vandy---go figure

S Car 17-16----another one that could have gone either way---S Car played a good game here....

W Carolina 62-0----so what---they should have

Fla St 21-14----good game by Seminoles....another close one....

Arkansas 38-28----good game----gave up 28 to Ark who just didn't have the fire power to keep up (passing game)....

OSU Beat
N Illinois 35-12----first game of season---N Ill played em tough

Texas 24-7----bowl team just got 7 on OSU D

Cinn 37-7---Cinn bowl team and has stingy defense---OSU got 37 pts here....

Penn St 28-6---bowl team---just got 6 points

Iowa 38-17---bowl team

Bowling Green 35-7----should've been worse....horses out early

Mich St 38-7----Mi St just scored 7

Indiana 44-3---another early first team exit

Minn 44-0---Hel Minn to )---can anyone else say that---certainly not Texas Tech in the Bowl Game

Illinois 17-10----OSU fortunate to pull this one out.....got lazy, every team has a bad game, Fla lost theirs, and OSU found a way to win....remember that

N Western 54-10----rebound after a close win---sign of good coaching---though N'West is not powerhouse to speak of....This was just before their big game with Mich---coaches wouldn't let em have letdown....

Mich 42-39----game not as close as score indicates....Bad interference call on 4th down gave Mich enough life to get back door TD in waning seconds.......Oh did I mention----yet another Bowl team......

Fla avg 30 ppg, 400 ypg, Leak 2729 pypg, 22 TDs and 13 Ints, TeBow 460 pypg, 4 TDs, 1 Int, but did run for 460 yds and 7 TDs.....TeBow gives an entirely different look when he's in the line up.....Leak has a tendency to turn the ball over----remember that statement....

OSU QB Smith a 67 % passer, 30 TDs and only 5 INTs....remember that stat....is very poised, and doesn't turn it over much....OSU has 3 great receivers, and a running attack with Pittman (1171 yds, 13 TDs, and 5.0 ypc)

OSU avgs 36.3 ppg, and 410 ypg.........

Defenses, both good ones....

OSU yields 93 ypg on the ground, and only 6 TD's....The #1 ranked defense in thew country in scoring defense at 10.4 ppg....

FLA allows just 13.5 ppg, and a measley 269 ypg total offense....Fla yields just 74 ypg, and a just 7 TDs..........

2 pretty well matched teams, but I have to go with the Poised QB Smith, vs the unsteady QB Leake.....In my opinion, the more Fla plays TeBow, the more of a chance they have......If, and when Fla gets behind, Leake will be pushed to throw, and too many things can happen when he starts slinging the ball....TeeeBo more of an option, and ball control QB, not a catch up man........

Simply put, the team with the least mistakes is gonna pull this one out, and I believe that favors OSU........They started out #1, stayed #1, and in my eyes are #1, till someone dethrones em.........I wish the line was below 7, if you can buy a 1/2 do so....until then, here's my pick............

OSU -7....................-111.................10*

I'm not gonna play the total at all----cause the way I see it, it'll either be a lowscoring defensive struggle, or a hi scoring affair....no in between.........

Off the record....I like this teaser..........

OSU Even, and OVER 35.........gl to all----kapt

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck El Kapitan! Outstanding work my man (wouldn't expect anything less of you)

[jneutron]

Good Luck Kaptain...great insight

[Chado1]

OSU -7, that's what I like to see buddy!!!

Great right up and thanks for sharing!!!