Sunday Trends and Indexes 12/17

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-up


UConn is 8-0 vs a really soft schedule; they've only played in three lined games (3-0 as favorite). Big East home favorites are 33-24 against the spread. St Mary's is 4-4, but 0-3 on road, with losses at USC (69-63), CalPoly (72-59) and Nevada (76-58). WCC road dogs are 14-17.


Home side won the last two Cleveland State-Central Michigan games, with Vikings losing last visit here, 79-70. Central lost last three games by 1,16,18 points; they're 1-2 vs spread as favorite this season. Vikings are 5-3 as an underdog this season.


Troy lost 71-68 at Florida Int'l LY (+2.5); Panthers are 1-4 away from home, with losses by 21,29,26,16 pts, winning only at new D-I team Kennesaw State. Trojans are 5-6, losing opener in Sun Belt 91-87 at Fla Atlantic (-4). Sun Belt home favorites are 4-1.


UL-Monroe comes into Sun Belt debut 1-5 in last six games; they're 0-5 on road, losing by 28,31,33,14,21 points. Middle Tenn won last four games since 0-3 trip to Virgin Islands. Raiders are 2-0 vs spread as favorite this season.


Home side won both UCSB-San Francisco games last couple years, with Gauchos losing 72-56 in last visit here. USF lost five of last seven games- they lost by 20 at home to Fresno. UCSB is 6-2, 4-0 on road, with wins at UNLV, Pepperdine, Portland.


Home side won last three Arkansas State/UL-Lafayette games with ASU losing last two visits to ULL, 71-65/82-62. Cajuns are down this year, losing seven of last eight games- they lost Sun Belt opener 80-76 at New Orleans. ASU is 1-4 on road this year.


Road team won last two Wake Forest-Va Tech games, as Tech won 76-70 at Wake LY, after losing 83-63 at home a year before. Hokies are 3-3 as favorite this season. Wake lost three games in row, allowing 85,87,87 points.


Arizona lost 69-65 at Houston LY (-4), when Olson benched a starter; Wildcats recruit Houston a lot; assistant coach Pastner is from there. Houston allowed 80+ points in four of five games, and lost last two road games, 81-78/102-84.


San Jose won 69-56 at Long Beach LY (+4), but Spartans lost seven of eight games this season, splitting pair at home. Only team they beat is Cal Poly. 49ers won last three games by 4,5,21 points. WAC home dogs are 4-2 against the spread.


Southern Illinois is 7-1, with wins vs Saint Louis, Va Tech and at Western Kentucky, now Salukis visit Indiana; Hoosiers off to 5-3 start under Sampson, but they scored 73+ points in the wins, 55-51-54 in losses. Salukis are allowing 56.6 ppg vs D-I teams.


LSU is 5-2, splitting its road games (74-67 at Tulane, losing in Houston 76-75 to Texas). Tigers are 2-3 as favorite this season. Oregon State is 1-2 as underdog, 6-4 SU overall, with losses by 2,5,28 (Nevada) and 44 (at Hawai'i) points.


Jacksonville State beat SE Missouri twice LY, 82-72/80-67; this season, JSU is already 0-2 in OVC, losing pair of one-point tilts at home to Samford, UT-Martin- they're 1-6 vs D-I teams. SEMo is 1-2 in OVC, with home side winning all three games.


Oregon is 9-0 after waxing Eastern Washington Friday; EWU is one of better teams in Big Sky, while Idaho State isn't. ISU is relying on outside shooting (41.3% of its points come on treys, 7th-highest % in country); they're 3-2 as an underdog.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

St. Mary's (CA) at Connecticut
Jim Calhoun has a team with eight freshmen and five sophomores so it makes sense that he has brought them along slowly with a schedule that's loaded up with lower-rated teams. Thus far the young Huskies have feasted on teams such as Central Arkansas, Texas Southern and Albany and come into today's contest having won their last four by an average margin of 38.25 points. St. Mary's does mark a slight improvement although the Gaels did lose to Nevada by 18 (76-58) their last time out and fell to Seton Hall (93-82) when they traveled east on the 2nd. UConn looks like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-15 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 25. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-15 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 17
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 711-712: St. Mary's (CA) at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 56.486; Connecticut 81.476
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 25
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-15 1/2)

Game 713-714: Cleveland State at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 51.617; Central Michigan 48.198
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+3)

Game 715-716: Florida International at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 42.303; Troy 53.135
Dunkel Line: Troy by 11
Vegas Line: Troy by 12
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+12)

Game 717-718: UL Monroe at Middle Tennessee St.
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 42.528; Middle Tennessee St. 59.649
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 17
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (-13 1/2_

Game 719-720: UC Santa Barbara at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: UC Santa Barbara 59.085; San Francisco 52.152
Dunkel Line: UC Santa Barbara by 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Santa Barbara (+1 1/2)

Game 721-722: Arkansas State at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 44.641; UL Lafayette 48.492
Dunkel Line: UL Lafayette by 4
Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 4
Dunkel Pick: Neutral

Game 723-724: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 60.445; Virginia Tech 71.803
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 13
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+13)

Game 725-726: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 62.700; Arizona 77.474
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 15
Vegas Line: Arizona by 16
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+16)

Game 727-728: Long Beach State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 56.346; San Jose State 48.591
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-4)

Game 729-730: Southern Illinois at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 67.584; Indiana 73.698
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 6
Vegas Line: Indiana by 3
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3)

Game 731-732: LSU at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 73.497; Oregon State 56.291
Dunkel Line: LSU by 17
Vegas Line: LSU by 12
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-12)

Game 733-734: Jacksonville St. at SE Missouri St.
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville St. 43.455; SE Missouri St. 42.033
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville St. by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: SE Missouri St. by 1
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville St. (+1)

Game 735-736: Idaho State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 52.321; Oregon 73.548
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 21
Vegas Line: Oregon by 23
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+23)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Washington at LA Lakers
The Wizards have struggled on the road thus far (2-8), but they look to be hitting their current road trip with more confidence after winning seven of their last nine, including their first two road wins (vs. New York and Philadelphia). The Lakers are adjusting to life without Lamar Odom (sprained knee) and have split the two games since he was sidelined. A hot Washington team looks like a good pick to take advantage of the Vegas line (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 17
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Golden State at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 119.524; Toronto 120.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2); Under

Game 703-704: Utah at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 123.045; Indiana 122.330
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Houston at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.073; LA Clippers 117.986
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Seattle at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 115.016; Detroit 123.956
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 9; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Washington at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 122.845; LA Lakers 122.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Under

[pm530]

NHL
Dunkel


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 17

New Jersey at NY Rangers
New Jersey is trying to avoid losing four straight in regulation for the first time since the 2000 season. The Devils may have a good opportunity today against a Ranger team that was handed its worst loss of the season (9-2) yesterday against Toronto. The defense was shaky all day as the Rangers were outshot 32-13 and goalie Henrik Lundqvist gave up a career-high eight goals in only two periods. Rebounding from that type of loss could be tough even against a struggling Devils squad. New Jersey looks like a good underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Devils favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 1-2: Nashville at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 13.192; St. Louis 9.865
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 3; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-1 1/2); Under

Game 3-4: Colorado at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 13.401; Chicago 12.625
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: New Jersey at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.511; NY Rangers 11.202
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+1 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 17th

Golden State at Toronto, 1:05 EST
Golden State: 7-0 Over after a loss by 6 points or less
Toronto: 5-17 ATS at home off a home game

Utah at Indiana, 2:35 EST
Utah: 17-3 Over off a SU loss
Indiana: 23-9 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponent

Houston at LA Clippers, 3:35 EST
Houston: 15-5 ATS playing their 3rd road game in 5 days
LA Clippers: 2-10 ATS off an Over

Seattle at Detroit, 6:05 EST
Seattle: 26-10 ATS Away off 3+ SU losses
Detroit: 30-55 ATS at home playing on BB days

Washington at LA Lakers, 9:35 EST
Washington: 17-3 Over Away after having won 3 of their last 4 games
LA Lakers: 13-3 ATS off 3+ Overs

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 17th

Nashville at St. Louis, 6:05 EST
Nashville: 8-0 SU off a home win
St. Louis: 4-22 SU playing on back-to-back days

Colorado at Chicago, 7:05 EST
Colorado: 5-14 SU off BB Unders
Chicago: 9-1 Under after allowing 3+ goals BB games

New Jersey at NY Rangers, 7:05 EST
New Jersey: 27-12 Under Away vs. division opponents
NY Rangers: 6-0 Under when playing on back-to-back days

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 17th

St Mary's CA at Connecticut, 2:00 EST
St Mary's CA: 1-8 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog
Connecticut: 13-1 ATS at home off 4+ DD wins

Cleveland State at Central Michigan, 2:00 EST
Cleveland State: 6-0 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
Central Michigan: 5-13 ATS off a road game

Florida Intl. at Troy, 2:00 EST
Florida Intl.: 16-33 ATS off 3+ non-conference games
Troy: 7-0 Over after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

UL Monroe at Middle Tenn. St., 5:00 EST
UL Monroe: 1-5 ATS as a DD underdog
Middle Tenn. St.: 15-5 ATS off a home win

Cal Santa Barbara at San Francisco, 5:00 EST
Cal Santa Barbara: 12-3 Under in December
San Francisco: 9-21 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3

Arkansas State at UL Lafayette, 5:00 EST
Arkansas State: 8-0 Over off a home conference win
UL Lafayette: 5-13 ATS off a road game

Wake Forest at Virginia Tech, 5:30 EST
Wake Forest: 4-14 ATS as a DD road underdog
Virginia Tech: 6-0 Under at home off 3 non-conference games

Houston at Arizona, 10:00 EST
Houston: 1-9 ATS after a game with 9 or less assists
Arizona: 23-9 ATS off BB Unders

Long Beach State at San Jose State, 6:00 EST
Long Beach State: 12-2 ATS off a home game
San Jose State: 0-7 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest

Southern Illinois at Indiana, 8:00 EST
Southern Illinois: 8-0 ATS in December
Indiana: 5-14 ATS off an ATS loss

LSU at Oregon State, 8:00 EST
LSU: 8-0 ATS Away if the total is 130 to 134.5
Oregon State: 0-8 ATS at home if the total is 130 to 134.5

Jacksonville State at SE Missouri St., 5:30 EST
Jacksonville State: 8-0 ATS Away off a home game
SE Missouri St.: 4-12 ATS off a conference loss

Idaho State at Oregon, 8:00 EST
Idaho State: 4-17 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Oregon: 13-4 ATS at home off BB DD wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Six-Pack for Sunday

Damn shame more people couldn't have seen Cowboys-Falcons game; one of best games I've seen in while.

If nothing else, check out the hit on the Dallas kick return guy after the Falcons tied game 14-all. Best hit ever on kick returner, but the guy bounced right up and wasn't injured.

Michael Vick tweaked a leg muscle with Falcons down in last 2:00; he took himself out of game. Marshall Faulk and Deion Sanders both criticized him for leaving game.

Atlanta is 7-7 and has issues after Huskiegate Friday, but if Falcons beat Carolina, Philly in last two games, they'll be in the playoffs. If not, they may need a new head coach.

Halftime score: Ohio State 42, Cincinnati 14. In hoops.

Knicks-Nuggets brawl saw all ten guys on court ejected; Carmelo Anthony will be suspended; as for the five Knicks, well who really cares if their guys get suspended?

[Udog]

Sunday's List of 13:

Random weekend thoughts..........

13) People openly scoffed at JD Drew when he walked away from three years at $11M a year from the Dodgers. Then he landed a five-year deal for $14M a season. I don't know one person who likes this guy as a player. Not one!!!

I know people who thought Doug Sisk was a good reliever for the Mets, but no one who likes Drew as a player.

12) Why don't we just elect scumweasel Boras President of the United States, then he can talk Saudi Arabia into giving us their oil, plus throwing in a couple of camels, in exchange for Tiger Woods designing a couple of golf courses outside of Bahrain. Just a thought.

11) In addition to giving Drew $70M, the Red Sox gave Julio Lugo $9 a year, $3M more a season than Jose Reyes gets. Lugo isn't half the player Reyes is.

Do Red Sox have scouts, or even DirecTV? Or the Internet, so they can read the LA papers and see that Lugo wasn't starting at the end of the season?

10) How did Allen Iverson last two years playing for John Thompson? Maybe whomever trades for Iverson needs to recruit Thompson to run its franchise.

9) There are hundreds of high school and college basketball coaches all over America whose teams play nothing but man-to-man defense, because that's how Bob Knight coaches. But if Knight coached in the NBA, his man-to-man defense would be called a zone. No help side defenders allowed in the lane for more than three seconds.

8) Syracuse's basketball team won't leave the state of New York until after New Year's, unless they took wrong tunnel when they were down in NYC. Shouldn't there be a rule that every team should have to leave their state once a month?

7) I mean, couldn't Boeheim schedule the team with the 336th RPI on the road? No way he loses to them, but at least it's an away game. How does it help his team to always be home?

6) Nick Saban is praised as a brilliant football coach, but he chose Daunte Culpepper over Drew Brees, and wound up with Joey Harrington as his QB.

Doesn't this automatically disqualify him from being brilliant?

5) The only NFL team that doesn't sell out all its home games has an owner and GM who are both in their late-70's; unless they get a new stadium, Buffalo Bills are a team headed out of town, to LA, San Antonio or Canada.

4) I've watched two high school basketball games in the last week; as a result, I've decided that 75% of time at these teams' practices should be devoted to development of skills. Don't teach them plays, teach them how to play.

3) If you like the NBA at all, pick up Jack McCallum's book, Seven Seconds or Less. It gives us hope that there is still some normalcy left in pro basketball. Not a lot, but some.

2) I have friends who play golf every time they have a day off (when the weather permits). What does Eldrick Woods do on his days off?

1) Kiki Vandeweghe works for ESPN, while Isiah Thomas is in charge of an NBA franchise; whats wrong with this picture?

[kbsooner21]

Thanks Guys! Good luck today