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All lines from Pinnacle unless otherwise listed.
NFL Sides (34-25, +12.15 units)
3* Panthers +3.5 (-126)
3* Lions +6 (-110)
2* Browns +11.5 (-102)
2* Redskins +10 (-112)
2* Titans +3.5 (-113)
2* Chiefs +8 (-110) - Bodog
NFL Totals (18-14-1, +8.23 units)
Passing this week, strong leans to under in the games between Browns/Ravens and Chiefs/Chargers, but no plays.
Monday Night Football - Since watching the Colts fluke a win over New England, I have been making a killing betting against them. They can’t stop the run, they can barely run the ball, Dungy is a very poor coach, and on and on. As a result, I’ve been fading them literally every week since then, with a lot of success.
Buuuuuuut, now everyone knows all those weaknesses. Everyone also knows that Cincy is on a four-game winning streak. Indy actually fits into one of my favorite angles - that is, a team coming off consecutive road SU/ATS losses, returning home to play a team off consecutive home SU/ATS wins. Actually, this is the first time all season that angle has presented itself. Only seven times this season has a team covered consecutive home games and then traveled the next week (team that fit system has point spread in parentheses):
Week 3 - Indianapolis 21, Jacksonville (+6.5) 14
Week 4 - Indianapolis (-9) 31, New York Jets 28
Week 4 - Chicago 37, Seattle (+3) 6
Week 6 - Chicago 24 (-11.5), Arizona 23
Week 12 - Washington 17, Carolina (-4) 13
Week 13 - Cincinnati 13, Baltimore (+3) 7
Week 13 - Dallas (-3.5) 23, New York Giants 20
0-7 ATS. Add in the sudden perceived collapse of the Colts, and this line is about 4-5 points different than it would have been just a couple weeks ago. I think the Colts win going away. I just can’t make them a very big play, because even though Cincy’s run game isn’t great, they could have a lot of success against a beat up defense.
2* Colts -3 (-121)
Oh yeah, one more thing. I play about one road favorite a year - zero so far this year - in the NFL, but Dallas and Denver both came really close to getting my money this week, for what it’s worth. Anyway, good luck everyone.
NFL Sides (34-25, +12.15 units)
3* Panthers +3.5 (-126)
3* Lions +6 (-110)
2* Browns +11.5 (-102)
2* Redskins +10 (-112)
2* Titans +3.5 (-113)
2* Chiefs +8 (-110) - Bodog
NFL Totals (18-14-1, +8.23 units)
Passing this week, strong leans to under in the games between Browns/Ravens and Chiefs/Chargers, but no plays.
Monday Night Football - Since watching the Colts fluke a win over New England, I have been making a killing betting against them. They can’t stop the run, they can barely run the ball, Dungy is a very poor coach, and on and on. As a result, I’ve been fading them literally every week since then, with a lot of success.
Buuuuuuut, now everyone knows all those weaknesses. Everyone also knows that Cincy is on a four-game winning streak. Indy actually fits into one of my favorite angles - that is, a team coming off consecutive road SU/ATS losses, returning home to play a team off consecutive home SU/ATS wins. Actually, this is the first time all season that angle has presented itself. Only seven times this season has a team covered consecutive home games and then traveled the next week (team that fit system has point spread in parentheses):
Week 3 - Indianapolis 21, Jacksonville (+6.5) 14
Week 4 - Indianapolis (-9) 31, New York Jets 28
Week 4 - Chicago 37, Seattle (+3) 6
Week 6 - Chicago 24 (-11.5), Arizona 23
Week 12 - Washington 17, Carolina (-4) 13
Week 13 - Cincinnati 13, Baltimore (+3) 7
Week 13 - Dallas (-3.5) 23, New York Giants 20
0-7 ATS. Add in the sudden perceived collapse of the Colts, and this line is about 4-5 points different than it would have been just a couple weeks ago. I think the Colts win going away. I just can’t make them a very big play, because even though Cincy’s run game isn’t great, they could have a lot of success against a beat up defense.
2* Colts -3 (-121)
Oh yeah, one more thing. I play about one road favorite a year - zero so far this year - in the NFL, but Dallas and Denver both came really close to getting my money this week, for what it’s worth. Anyway, good luck everyone.
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