Buffalo at NY Jets
Not many picked the Jets to be in playoff contention heading into Week 14, but that's exactly where they are with a 7-5 record. First-year coach Eric Mangini has already exceeded expectations and looks to have the team peaking at the right time after last week's 38-10 rout of Green Bay at Lambeau Field. New York scored on all five possessions in the first half and rolled up a season-high 441 total yards of offense behind QB Chad Pennington. Over the past two games, Pennington has completed 74.2 percent of his passes (49-of-66) for 549 yards and three TDs. Buffalo's playoff hopes took a real blow last week with a home loss to San Diego (24-21) and the BIlls have four straight to New York at the Meadowlands. The Jets look like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-3) in this one according to Dunkel, which has New York favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.
Game 203-204: Baltimore at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.087; Kansas City 133.281
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over
Game 205-206: Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 124.165; Tampa Bay 118.922
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 36
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 38
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under
Game 207-208: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 124.529; Detroit 122.931
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Under
Game 209-210: Tennessee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 129.495; Houston 128.064
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 1; 42
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+1); Over
Game 211-212: NY Giants at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 129.121; Carolina 126.400
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Pick; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants; Under
Game 213-214: New Orleans at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 132.003; Dallas 138.932
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Dallas by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7 1/2); Over
Game 215-216: Buffalo at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 129.904; NY Jets 135.864
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 6; 36
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3 1/2); Under
Game 217-218: Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 134.533; Jacksonville 137.805
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 1; 44
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+1); Over
Game 219-220: Philadelphia at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 124.470; Washington 125.772
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under
Game 221-222: Oakland at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 123.987; Cincinnati 139.176
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 15; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-10 1/2); Over
Game 223-224: New England at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.349; Miami 130.956
Dunkel Line: New England by 6 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Over
Game 225-226: Green Bay at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 117.271; San Francisco 123.248
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 4; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-4); Over
Game 227-228: Seattle at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 128.125; Arizona 124.313
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4; 44
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under
Game 229-230: Denver at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 128.752; San Diego 138.097
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 9 1/2; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-7); Under
MONDAY, DECEMBER 11
Game 231-232: Chicago at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 136.782; St. Louis 124.379
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 12 1/2; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago by 6; 41
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-6); Over
BALTIMORE (9 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (6 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 9) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (5 - 7) at DETROIT (2 - 10) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (5 - 7) at HOUSTON (4 - 8) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS (6 - 6) at CAROLINA (6 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS (8 - 4) at DALLAS (8 - 4) - 12/10/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO (5 - 7) at NY JETS (7 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (7 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) at WASHINGTON (4 - 8) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND (2 - 10) at CINCINNATI (7 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at MIAMI (5 - 7) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY (4 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 7) - 12/10/2006, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SEATTLE (8 - 4) at ARIZONA (3 - 9) - 12/10/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DENVER (7 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (10 - 2) - 12/10/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Monday
CHICAGO (10 - 2) at ST LOUIS (5 - 7) - 12/11/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Ravens (9-3) @ Chiefs (7-5) - Chiefs were rolling along on 4-1 run, had 28-14 lead in fourth quarter at Cleveland last week, but got beat by backup QB and fell out of playoff spot, for now. KC won five in row at home since Week 1 loss to Bengals, allowing Baltimore had three extra days to rest/prepare; they're 4-2 on road, with pair of one-point wins. Half of Chiefs' 12 games were decided by four or less pts; they had allowed only three TDs on last 29 drives entering Brown game, but allowed Cleveland season-high 8.2 yds/pass attempt. Ravens are 7-0 if they average more than 5.6 yds/pass attempt, figure Chiefs allowed in eight of 12 games.
Falcons (6-6) @ Buccaneers (3-9) - Atlanta was on four-game skid and trailed 14-0 at Redskins last week, but Falcons scored game's last 24 points, got new life, and are now in four-way tie for two Wild Card slots; they beat Buccaneers 14-3 at home in Week 2, outrushing Tampa 306-40, using 13-yard edge in field position to keep Bucs pinned near their own goal line (five of 10 Buc drives started 80+ yds from EZ). Tampa lost five of last six games, scoring zero or three second half pts in all five losses; they've scored one TD on 21 drives in last two games. Bucs are 1-7 when they score less than 20 pts.
Vikings (5-7) @ Lions (2-10) - QB controversy in Minnesota, where some players want rookie Jackson under center in midst of 1-5 skid (0-6 vs. spread); Vikings scored nine TDs on last 74 drives (five on 63 if you take Arizona game out)- they had nine 3/outs on 17 drives in 23-13 loss at Chicago last week, losing game they outgained Bears 348-107. In last five games, Minnesota defense allowed total of 186 rushing yards on 97 runs, and still won only once. Detroit lost last four games, but led in fourth quarter at Foxboro last week; they've allowed 17 sacks in last three games, and scored four TDs on last 40 drives.
Titans (5-7) @ Texans (4-8) - QB Young returns home to Houston on three-game win streak, having beaten both Manning brothers with comeback wins last two weeks; Titans outscored last three foes 51-10 in second half. Young is 5-4 as starter; Tennessee beat Houston 28-22 at home six weeks ago, using +5 turnover ratio to offset Texans' 427-197 edge in total yardage. Houston won at Oakland 23-14 last week, despite minus-5 passing yards, and 302-124 deficit in total yardage; in games following their first three wins, they lost 34-6/28-22/24-21; this is just their second home game in last seven weeks.
Giants (6-6) @ Panthers (6-6) - Both teams on slide (Giants lost four in row, Carolina 2-4 in last six); Monday night losers are 3-10 SU in next game this season, 1-6-1 vs spread if favored; Carolina knocked Giants out of playoffs last January, after which Barber told media Panthers outcoached Big Blue. Carolina won four of last five home games, outgaining last two visitors 729-333. Giants been outscored 81-27 in second half of last four games; they played hearts out vs Cowboys last week, still came up short; they're 1-2 on grass this season, and they trailed 24-7 in game they won, Week 2 at Philly.
Saints (8-4) @ Cowboys (8-4) - Pivotal game in race for first round playoff bye; Payton was Parcells' assistant last three years, does that give him edge? Saints move ball consistently well, gaining 363+ yards in each of last seven games; they're 7-0 when they don't lose turnover battle- they had -3 or worse turnover ratio in three of four losses. Dallas won NFC East last week with huge struggle in Swamp; Romo is 5-1 as starter, 2-0 at home. Cowboys converted 42 of 78 on third down (53.8%) on third down in his starts. Saints are 4-2 on road, losing 21-18 at Panthers, 38-31 at Steelers- they're 5-1 as dogs.
Bills (5-7) @ Jets (7-5) - Gang Green won five of last seven games; they're 7-1 when they score more than 13 points, but are just 3-3 at home, although they're 3-0 vs. spread as favorite, reversing old trend where Jets rarely covered as favorite. Jets won 28-20 at Buffalo in Week 3, using three turnovers to offset 475-256 Bills' edge in yardage. Buffalo covered last five games (3-2 SU), losing to Colts, Chargers by combined four points, so they're competing hard vs NFL's best. Bills had 169 rushing yds in previous loss to Jets- they're 6-2 against spread as underdog this season.
Colts (10-2) @ Jaguars (7-5) - In seven wins, Jacksonville allowed 17-0-0-6-7-10-10 points; Jags followed blueprint to beat Colts in Week 3, running ball for 191 yards, with 16 more snaps than Colts to shorten game, but Indy pulled out 21-14 win late. Indy, on road for third time in last four weeks, scored 14,17 in last two road games, as foes ran ball 36,35 times; they're 2-1 on grass. Only once in last six weeks did Indy win by more than seven pts. Jags ran ball for 174 yds/game last three weeks, as mobile QB gives them added dimension. Four of last five Indy games, five of last seven Jaguar games stayed under the total.
Eagles (6-6) @ Redskins (4-8) - Philly defense allowed 100 points in last three games, but Garcia rallied offense in season-saver vs. Panthers Monday; winner of Monday night games are 8-4 the next week this season. Best game Eagles played out of last seven was 27-3 thrashing of Redskins four weeks ago (averaged 8.1 ypp, held Skins to 3-13 on third down) but both teams have new starting QBs now. Washington, in last four games, scored 3-17-17-14 pts; they're 3-3 at home, with five of six games decided by four or less pts, or in OT. First of three consecutive divisional road games for Philly.
Raiders (2-10) @ Bengals (7-5) - Oakland lost last five games, and hideous Brooks is back at QB, but only two of last eight Raider losses are by more than 10 points; they're 5-2 vs. spread in last seven games, covering last two away games, at Denver, San Diego. Bengals are on roll, allowing just 23 pts in last three games since 42-pt second half debacle vs. Chargers- they gave up only one TD on 21 drives in last two games. Raiders might be better off punting on first down; in last four games, defense allowed average of 235 yds/game, but Oakland lost anyway.
Patriots (9-3) @ Dolphins (5-7) - Guy I used to know said if spread is under seven, just pick the winner, so if you're picking winner in Belichick-Harrington tussle, which side you taking? Miami made Garrard look like Steve Young last week, as Jags averaged 7.8 yds/pass attempt, while running for 150 yards in snapping four-game Miami win streak. All Patriots do in December is win games; they've forced nine turnovers in last two games, and allowed three offensive TDs on last 44 drives. In first meeting, 20-10 Pat win in Week 5, Miami outgained Pats 283-213, but three of nine NE drives started in Fish territory, and Dolphins didn't score in second half.
Packers (4-8) @ 49ers (5-7) - Green Bay allowed 35-34-38 points last three weeks, giving up 13 TDs on 36 drives, not good. Worse the defense plays, more Favre forces plays, which creates turnovers (seven in last two games, 11 for last 40 on third down). 49ers are 4-2 at home, covering only previous try as favorite (34-20 vs. Raiders in Week 5), but they've scored 20+ points once in last seven games. Not sure why Pack doesn't attack early in games; they've scored on only two of 12 first drives, and they were on drives of 37,36 yards- they average 12.9 yds per opening drive, very poor.
Seahawks (8-4) @ Cardinals (3-9) - James ran for 117 yards last week, first time in 37 games Arizona had runner gain 100+ yards, giving Cards three covers in row (2-1 SU). Hasselbeck, Alexander are back, are playing for first round bye in playoffs; they beat Arizona 21-10 in Week 2 (-7), outrushing Cards 146-65 in game that Arizona had 11 penalties for only 66 yards. Seattle is 3-3 on road, winning at Detroit (9-6), St Louis (30-28), Denver (23-20), so laying 3.5 on road with Seahawks puts them in uncharted waters. Eight of last ten Seattle games went over the total.
Broncos (7-5) @ Chargers (10-2) - San Diego owns upper hand on home field through AFC playoffs; they've won last six games and is 5-0 at home, winning by 33,10,14,7,7 points (3-2 as home fave). Chargers scored 28 second half pts in 35-27 win at Denver three weeks ago, converting 8-12 on third down and scoring TDs on all four red zone drives. Cutler was lousy in starting debut last week; Denver lost last three games, and has gotten worst of field position six games in row, four times by double digit margins. Seven of last eight San Diego games went over the total.
Monday
Bears (10-2) @ Rams (5-7) - Bulger ripped younger offensive linemen after Arizona loss, saying they don't care about winning; with awesome defense of Bears coming to town, could be tough night for Bulger (sacked 17 times in last four games). Chicago is an enigma, winning despite an offense that turned ball over 24 times in last seven games, and that's with two turnover-free games in there (they won 41-10/10-0 in games without turnover). Rams are 0-5 if they don't win turnover battle, so up to Haslett's defense to further expose Chicago offense that gained total of 107 yards vs. Minnesota last week.
-- Arizona is 5-2 vs. spread as home dog vs. division foes.
-- Ravens covered only four of last seventeen road games. -- Monday night losers are 1-6-1 vs. spread as favorites the next week.
-- Cincinnati is 1-5-1 vs. the spread as non-divisional home favorite
-- Lions covered one of last eight divisional road games.
-- Jaguars covered eight of last nine as home underdog.
PM, hope you don't mind me adding one trend that I found that is very enticing:
NFL
The Chiefs are 8-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since week 15, 2004, at home versus any team with more wins. The Chiefs once held a virtually magical home field advantage, and they are slowly returning to that status once again. Kansas City seems to play inspired ball at home vs the league’s best teams. Indeed, the Chiefs are 8-0 ATS at home versus any team with more wins, covering by an average of 11.5 ppg. This trend had produced THREE winners this season. In week 7, the Chiefs knocked off the Chargers 30-27 at home. In week 8, the Chiefs beat the Seahawks at home. The third win in this situation came on Thanksgiving when the Chiefs beat the Broncos 19-10 at home. Unfortunately for them, they can’t beat the Browns on the road. Here the 7-5 Chiefstakeon the 9-3 Ravens.
Canisius at Fairfield
Fairfield has had trouble protecting the home court in the early going with losses to American, Ole Miss, Georgetown, Loyola-Chicago and Manhattan. The Stags' only wins have come in nail-biters over lower-rated Central Arkansas (46-43) and St. Francis of NY (68-64). Canisius does have road wins over Youngstown State and Colgate and played Fairleigh Dickinson tight (85-83) in a recent loss. The Golden Griffins look like a good pick to keep this one within the Vegas line (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Canisius favored straight up by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 511-512: Dartmouth at James Madison
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 36.596; James Madison 49.333
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 13
Vegas Line: James Madison by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-10 1/2)
Game 513-514: Ohio vs. St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 56.401; St. Joseph's 58.772
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 515-516: Maryland at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 71.778; Boston College 71.057
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1
Vegas Line: Boston College by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+1 1/2)
Game 517-518: LSU vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 73.470; Texas 73.053
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: LSU by 2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+2)
Game 519-520: Loyola-Maryland at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Maryland 48.227; Manhattan 53.427
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 5
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-4)
Game 521-522: Appalachian State at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 53.535; Virginia Tech 68.318
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 15
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 15
Dunkel Pick: Neutral
Game 523-524: Marist at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 62.034; St. Peter's 52.313
Dunkel Line: Marist by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Marist by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (-6 1/2)
Game 525-526: Canisius at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 51.153; Fairfield 47.508
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+2 1/2)
Game 527-528: Portland State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 51.008; San Jose State 52.301
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral
Game 529-530: Youngstown State at WI-Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 46.573; WI-Milwaukee 55.605
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 9
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-5 1/2)
Golden State at Seattle
Without Ray Allen (bruised ankle) the Sonics have won two straight over New Orleans (94-74) and Atlanta (102-87) thanks to strong bench play from the likes of Damien Wilkins, Mickael Gelabale and Earl Watson. Seattle's reserves scored 30 points in the win over the Hornets and 20 in the win over the Hawks, coming close to replacing Allen's scoring average of 25.3 points per game. The Warriors did snap a four-game losing streak last night against New Orleans to give coach Don Nelson his 1,200th career win, but have struggled on the road with only one win in six tries. Seattle looks like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sonics favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Portland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 110.193; Toronto 119.823
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-8 1/2); Over
Game 503-504: Phoenix at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.726; Charlotte 114.112
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Over
Game 505-506: Golden State at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.958; Seattle 122.805
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 8; 203 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-2 1/2); Under
Game 507-508: Atlanta at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.386; Sacramento 115.830
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 7 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2); Under
Game 509-510: San Antonio at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 127.919; LA Lakers 121.299
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
DARTMOUTH (0 - 6) at JAMES MADISON (2 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JAMES MADISON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
OHIO U (4 - 2) vs. ST JOSEPHS (5 - 2) - 12/10/2006, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MARYLAND (9 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 2) - 12/10/2006, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games in December games since 1997.
MARYLAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LSU (5 - 1) vs. TEXAS (5 - 2) - 12/10/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
TEXAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MD (4 - 3) at MANHATTAN (3 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 4-1 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST (5 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 3) - 12/10/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MARIST (7 - 2) at ST PETERS (3 - 5) - 12/10/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ST PETERS is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 2-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS (2 - 5) at FAIRFIELD (2 - 10) - 12/10/2006, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CANISIUS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CANISIUS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 2-2 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND ST (6 - 3) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 7) - 12/10/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
YOUNGSTOWN ST (3 - 6) at WI-MILWAUKEE (2 - 8) - 12/10/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 85-59 ATS (+20.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND (7 - 14) at TORONTO (7 - 12) - 12/10/2006, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 42-55 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX (12 - 6) at CHARLOTTE (5 - 14) - 12/10/2006, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE (10 - 10) at SEATTLE (9 - 11) - 12/10/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (8 - 10) at SACRAMENTO (8 - 10) - 12/10/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO (15 - 5) at LA LAKERS (13 - 6) - 12/10/2006, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA (15-14-0-1, 31 pts.) at COLUMBUS (9-16-0-2, 20 pts.) - 12/10/2006, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 72-50 ATS (-40.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 72-50 ATS (-40.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 72-50 ATS (-40.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 5-8 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OTTAWA is 5-8 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 112-101 ATS (+112.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 41-30 ATS (+87.8 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 30-18 ATS (+53.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 9-5 ATS (+15.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLORIDA (10-15-0-6, 26 pts.) at NY RANGERS (15-10-0-4, 34 pts.) - 12/10/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 189-276 ATS (-87.1 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 62-130 ATS (+236.8 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 6-30 ATS (+58.0 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 2-19 ATS (+34.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 68-108 ATS (-45.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 99-116 ATS (+99.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 147-168 ATS (+147.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 172-206 ATS (+172.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 60-76 ATS (+60.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 42-57 ATS (-42.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)
EDMONTON (16-10-0-2, 34 pts.) at CHICAGO (10-12-0-5, 25 pts.) - 12/10/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 23-28 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 31-23 ATS (+58.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
CHICAGO is 14-45 ATS (+94.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)
Ottawa at Columbus
Columbus goalie Fredrick Norrena did give up his first goal in three games last night, but the Blue Jackets continued their hot streak under new coach Ken Hitchcock with a 5-1 win over St. Louis. The Blue Jackets return home tonight to take on an Ottawa team that has dropped two in a row. Columbus looks like a good pick to keep this one within the goal line according to Dunkel, which has Ottawa favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Ottawa at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 13.167; Columbus 12.588
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Under
Game 53-54: Florida at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.227; NY Rangers 12.899
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 55-56: Edmonton at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 13.097; Chicago 11.567
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
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