Monday Trends and Indexes 12/04

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Monday, December 4

Best of Luck this week!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football

Dunkel Index - NFL

MONDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 165-166: Carolina at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 128.861; Philadelphia 123.051
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 6; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Under

[pm530]

NFL
Long Sheet

CAROLINA (6 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) - 12/4/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CAROLINA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[pm530]

NFL
Short Sheet

Monday, December 4th

Carolina at Philadelphia, 8:30 EST ESPN
Carolina: 6-2 ATS in December
Philadelphia: 14-5 ATS off a loss by 21+ points

[pm530]

NFL
Write-up

Panthers (6-5) @ Eagles (5-6)-Philly lost five of last six games, have Garcia at QB, but with win here, they still tie for last playoff spot. Carolina scored 15 or less pts in four of last five games; they're 2-3 on road, with all five games decided by four or less points. Philly defense sagged last two weeks, allowing 446 rushing yards, 76 pts; they've given up 21+ pts in each of last three halves. In last seven games, Panther offense started 30 drives 80+ yards from end zone; they scored three FGs, no TDs and went 3/out 12 times, so offense not carrying own weight. Philly is just 3-3 at home.

[pm530]

NFL
TREND SHEET

DECEMBER 4, 8:30 PM ET

CAROLINA vs. PHILADELPHIA
• Carolina is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
• Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
• Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
• Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

[tech fan]

thanks for the work man

[pm530]

NFL
BETTING TRENDS

CAROLINA
Carolina is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Carolina's last 21 games on the road


PHILADELPHIA
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home

[pm530]

Monday Night Football - notes

The Carolina Panthers fell off the pace in the NFC South by losing to the Washington Redskins last weekend. Steve Smith and company will be looking to make some amends for that loss by beating a different NFC East opponent, the Philadelphia Eagles, when those teams meet at Lincoln Financial Field for a Monday Night Football matchup.

And starting QB Jake Delhomme will be looking to turn in a better performance against the Eagles than he did versus the Redskins. Delhomme went just 23-of-38 for 168 yards against Washington, with one touchdown pass and two interceptions. In fact, that TD strike (eight yards to Smith) didn't come until the fourth quarter; the Panthers' offense was held to just a couple of field goals over the first three frames by the lowly Redskins.

Smith had five catches for 34 yards in the 17-13 defeat, while DeAngelo Williams rushed for 63 yards on 17 carries. The Panthers' defense held 'Skins QB Jason Campbell to 118 yards passing, but he threw two TDs. Ladell Betts ran for 104 yards.

That loss dropped the Panthers to a disappointing 6-5 on the season, but luckily for Carolina that's a pretty good record in a weak NFC. The Panthers haven't been kind to bettors through 11 games, going just 4-6-1 against-the-spread. Carolina is also just 1-3-1 ATS on the road this season, and they're 3-5 ATS as the favorite. OVER bettors have lost cash on the Panthers so far too; Carolina has put up eight UNDER results this year.

The Eagles are coming off a loss as well - in fact, their 45-21 defeat at the hands of the Indianapolis Colts last weekend was their second straight notch in the loss column. Jeff Garcia was an efficient 19-of-23 for Philadelphia versus Indy, for 140 yards and two touchdowns. However, the Colts were up 24-7 at the break in that game, and 31-7 late in the third quarter, and cruised to the victory (dropping Philly's record to 5-6 in 2006).

Brian Westbrook provided much of the offense for Philadelphia in that loss, rushing for 124 yards (and a touchdown) on 20 carries, and also catching seven balls for 46 yards. Garcia strained his forearm late in the loss to Indy, but is listed as PROBABLE for the Monday nighter. Westbrook and his sore knee have been listed as PROBABLE as well.

Philadelphia has managed to cover the spread five times this season, giving them a 5-6 ATS mark through 11 games. At home the Eagles are 3-3 ATS in 2006, and they're 0-1 ATS as the underdog. As well, Philadelphia has gone 7-4 on the OVER/UNDER in '06.

The oddsmakers opened Carolina as a 3-point road favorite in their Monday night matchup with Philly, and that line has not changed. The total is pegged at 37.5 points.

Philadelphia and Carolina have met on the gridiron five times in the past, with the Eagles winning three of those five games. Their most recent meeting was in October 2004, when Philadelphia trounced Carolina 30-8 at home. The Eagles easily managed to cover the big 9.5-point spread in that contest, while the combined score was an UNDER play. The Panthers got past the Eagles 14-3 in Philadelphia in January 2004.

Here is the official Week 13 injury report for the Panthers:
DeShaun Foster RB Questionable Week 13 (Elbow)
Mike Wahle G Questionable Week 13 (Shoulder)
Na'il Diggs LB Probable Week 13 (Chest)

Here is the official Week 13 injury report for the Eagles:
Shawn Barber LB Questionable Week 13 (Knee)
William James CB Questionable Week 13 (Knee)
Jeff Garcia QB Probable Week 13 (Right Forearm)
Todd Herremans G Probable Week 13 (Finger)
Jon Runyan T Probable Week 13 (Hamstring)
Matt McCoy LB Probable Week 13 (Shoulder)
Jason Short LB Probable Week 13 (Ankle)
Donte' Stallworth WR Probable Week 13 (Hamstring)
Brian Westbrook RB Probable Week 13 (Knee)

After playing on the road on Monday night the Panthers will return to Bank of America Stadium for a Week 14 game against the New York Giants. The Eagles' next contest will be on the road; they'll take on the Redskins in Washington early Sunday afternoon.

[pm530]

NFL
Monday night

Head-to-Head Series History

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PHILADELPHIA since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[pm530]

NFL
Monday night

Tips & Trends

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (ESPN, 8:30 PM ET)

Carolina's running game has been a huge concern after the team barely avoided being held under 100 yards for the fifth time in six weeks by totaling 101 yards against the Redskins. Rookie DeAngelo Williams had just 63 yards on 17 carries while DeShaun Foster remains questionable with an elbow injury. However, the Eagles are terrible against the run, as they surrendered 171 yards and four touchdowns to Imdu rookie Joseph Addai last week in a 45-21 loss. EDGE: PANTHERS

The Eagles rank second in the NFL in total offense with 385.2 yards per game but will be going up against a Carolina defense that has given up just 27 points combined in the last three games. EDGE: PANTHERS

This is a must-win game for the Panthers in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in the NFC South and remain in the playoff hunt. "We have to take care of the Philadelphia Eagles and get to 7-5 and see what else happens in our conference and our division - hopefully, everything will fall in our favor," said WR Keyshawn Johnson. EDGE: PANTHERS

Philly is 2-8 ATS last 10 games vs. teams with a winning record.

Carolina is 2-7 ATS last nine vs. NFC opponents.

[pm530]

NFL
Monday night

Recent Trends

Carolina:
CAR are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.

Philadelphia:
Over is 9-1 in PHI last 10 games in Week 13.
PHI are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 13.
PHI are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

[pm530]

NFL
Monday Night

In Depth Trends

Carolina at Philadelphia

Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

ATS Trends

Carolina
Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Panthers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
Panthers are 55-26-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Panthers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Panthers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 night games.

Philadelphia
Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Eagles are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 13.
Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Eagles are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Eagles are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 night games.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

O/U Trends

Carolina
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games on Grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 night games.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. NFC.
Under is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Panthers last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 5-2-1 in Panthers last 8 games in Week 13.
Under is 36-15-1 in Panthers last 52 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Philadelphia
Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 10-1-1 in Eagles last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-1 in Eagles last 10 games in Week 13.
Under is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 7-2 in Eagles last 9 vs. NFC.
Under is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 21-7-2 in Eagles last 30 night games.
Under is 20-7 in Eagles last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 11-4-2 in Eagles last 17 Monday games.
Over is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 7-3-1 in Eagles last 11 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 20-9-3 in Eagles last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

[Udog]

Any questions about tonight's game? LOL!!!!!

Way to go, pm! I'm going to pirate a little of your work for dj!

Good luck today, buddy!

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

ARKANSAS ST (4 - 6) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 2) - 12/4/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MARSHALL (2 - 5) at MEMPHIS (5 - 1) - 12/4/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 154-115 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 154-115 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PEPPERDINE (1 - 6) at COLORADO (3 - 4) - 12/4/2006, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




USC (5 - 1) at KANSAS (6 - 2) - 12/4/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 2) at THE CITADEL (2 - 7) - 12/4/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
THE CITADEL is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 2-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DAVIDSON (5 - 3) at UNC-GREENSBORO (2 - 5) - 12/4/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-1 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-1 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




FAIRFIELD (2 - 7) at PROVIDENCE (5 - 1) - 12/4/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 1-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TENNESSEE ST (2 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 4) - 12/4/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons