Sunday Trends and Indexes 12/3

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 3rd

Bradley at Michigan State, 12:00 EST
Bradley: 2-10 ATS Away off BB Overs
Michigan State: 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Evansville at Missouri, 1:00 EST
Evansville: 7-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less BB Games
Missouri: 0-6 ATS as a favorite

(TC) Notre Dame vs. Maryland, 6:30 EST
Notre Dame: 9-0 Under after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower
Maryland: 27-12 ATS off a road win

Drake at Iowa State, 2:00 EST
Drake: 17-34 ATS after playing a game as favorite
Iowa State: 25-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Pittsburgh at Auburn, 3:00 EST
Pittsburgh: 18-8 Over as a favorite
Auburn: 5-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points

NC State at Virginia, 3:30 EST
NC State: 12-3 Over vs. conference opponents
Virginia: 25-9 Over at home off a SU loss

(TC) Texas Tech vs. Stanford, 6:30 EST
Texas Tech: 0-6 ATS Away after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Stanford: 7-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games

(TC) New Mexico at UTEP, 3:00 EST
New Mexico: 0-3 ATS at UTEP
UTEP: 10-0 ATS off a SU loss

Virginia Tech at George Washington, 4:00 EST
Virginia Tech: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less
George Washington: 6-0 Over off an Over

Cal Poly Slo at San Jose State, 5:00 EST
Cal Poly Slo: 21-8 ATS in all games
San Jose State: 0-6 ATS this season

Cal Riverside at UCLA, 5:30 EST
Cal Riverside: 1-10 ATS off BB games allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher
UCLA: 18-8 ATS off BB wins

Georgia Tech at Miami (FL), 5:30 EST
Georgia Tech: 59-38 Under playing only their 2nd game in a week
Miami FL: 20-6 Under off a loss

Florida at Florida State, 7:30 EST
Florida: 16-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Florida State: 16-2 ATS off BB DD losses

(TC) Nevada vs. California, 9:00 EST
Nevada: 9-0 ATS off a road win
California: 6-0 Under after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games


Added Games

Iona at Fordham, 2:00 EST
Iona: 1-5 ATS off 3 non-conference games
Fordham: 8-1 Over at home when the total is 130 to 139.5

Boise State at Montana, 4:00 EST
Boise State: 15-5 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less
Montana: 6-0 Over at home when the total is 140 to 149.5

Eastern Washington at CS Northridge, 3:30 EST
Eastern Washington: 15-2 Over in road games
CS Northridge: 0-8 ATS off 3+ non-conference games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB

-- Bradley lost last two games after 5-0 start, dropping first road game at Tennessee Tech, 86-84. Michigan was typically lame in loss at undermanned NC State last week; they're 2-3 vs spread as home favorite this season.
-- Missouri had big win over Arkansas Thursday; Tigers are 8-0, with only one win by less than 9 points. Evansville won its last four games; they're 1-1on road, losing 67-64 at Lipscomb, taking 75-57 win at UT-Martin.
-- Maryland had great win at Illinois last week; they're 8-0, with six wins by 11+ pts. Not sure if Ibekwe's ankle good enough to go here. Notre Dame is 5-1, losing by hoop to Butler at Conseco with five wins vs the softest of cupcakes.
-- Iowa State beat Drake last three years (89-74/73-46/83-77); the Cyclones are 6-1, losing to Northern Iowa last time out. Big 12 home favorites are 14-10 against spread. Drake lost 92-74, 80-75 to Utah State, Troy at tournament.
-- Pitt is 7-0 but this is first road game for them; they trailed last game in second half vs Robert Morris, before pulling away late. Auburn is 5-2, 5-0 at home; SEC underdogs are 5-10 vs spread.

-- Visiting team covered four of last five Virginia-NC State games with Wolfpack winning last two visits here (82-72/79-63) but this year, State down to six scholarship guys (five if Atwar's leg still hurt). Cavaliers blew game at Purdue Wednesday, 61-59.
-- Texas Tech is 6-2, 2-2 away from Lubbock; this is fifth game in row away from home. Only one Tech game was decided by less than 10 pts. Big 12 road teams are 11-17 against spread. Stanford is big, slowish 5-1, winning last five, all at home.
-- UTEP lost 76-72 at New Mexico LY (+5); Miners lost last two games, including bad home loss to Chicago State. Lobos beat New Mexico State last game; they're 5-0, with four wins by 24+ points, but this is their first road game of season.

[Udog]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pistons won last eight games, failing to cover last two games, by half-point each.
-- Orlando won six games in row and 10 of last eleven.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Minnesota lost last three games, by 6,7,17 points. 76ers lost ten of last 12 games (5-3 vs spread in last eight).
-- Hawks lost seven of last nine games. Trailblazers lost four in row and nine of last eleven games.
-- Clippers lost six of last seven games, covered one of eight.

Series Records
-- Pistons won last five vs Charlotte, by 23,25,16,5,9 points.
-- 76ers beat Minnesota twice LY (90-89/86-84).
-- Portland beat Hawks twice LY (94-93/77-75).
-- Clippers beat Orlando twice LY (106-94/90-73).

Totals
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total, as did last five Charlotte games.
-- Last four Philly games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Portland games.
-- Seven of last nine Orlando games stayed under total.

[Udog]

NHL

Hot Teams
-- Anaheim won last five games, allowing 11 goals.

Cold Teams
-- Rangers lost last three games, all in OT/SO. Islanders are 1-4 in last five road games.
-- Kings are 7-18 in last 25 games, 2-2 in last four.

Series Records
-- Rangers were 5-3 vs Islanders LY, splitting four tilts at MSG
-- Anaheim beat Kings 4-3 in Staples yesterday, their third win vs Kings this season (4-3/3-2so/4-3).

Totals
-- Under is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Islander games.
-- Over is 10-1-3 in last fourteen Los Angeles games.

[Udog]

Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a wild day................

13) Come Selection Sunday, Jim Boeheim better not bitch to the ESPN guys about how the Big East got hosed out of bids to the NCAA Tournament. Syrcause got beat at home by the Wichita State Shockers Saturday, a Missouri Valley team.

12) Not only did Syracuse get beat, they were down 32-12 at one point. Once they starting pressing, they got back into it, and wound up missing wide open layup to take lead with :20 left to play. But, they lost at home to a Missouri Valley club.

11) Next Saturday, the Shockers go to Wyoming, after having won at George Mason, LSU and Syracuse the previous three Saturdays. You can pencil the Shockers in for an NCAA bid.

10) A Division III hoop team scored 201 points Saturday; the other coach should be fired immediately, for participating in a farce that embarasses his school, not to mention losing game by over 120 points.

11) Some things are constant: Georgetown led by 7 at half at Duke, but lost 61-52; Hoyas shot 8-12 from line, Duke 21-25.

10) Big hoop week for Texas A&M next week, with a revenge game vs LSU, then national TV game with UCLA. Could be the biggest week in history of Aggie basketball.

9) Kevin Pittsnogle, star of last year's West Virginia Sweet 16 team, played a CBA game in Albany Friday night. How fast kids fall out of the limelight after college.

8) Middle Tennessee State will play Central Michigan in bowl game; it should be sponsored by Rand McNally, or company that makes compasses.

7) Wake Forest in the Orange Bowl? This guy Jim Grobe won at Ohio U and he is winning at a small private school with no natural recruiting area. His job at Wake is a lot harder than ones at Rutgers or San Jose State; it has to be harder to win in football at a small school like Wake Forest.

6) I'll say it one more time, in case the Alabama people are out of denial about Nick Saban; Grobe can win big for you, better yet, he can beat Auburn. If he can shut the Seminoles out in Tallahassee with Wake Forest, he can beat Auburn.

5) Troy State-Rice will be a cool bowl game; first I-A bowl for the Trojans, first bowl since early 60's for the Owls, who were 1-10 last season while running the antiquated option.

4) If I ran ESPN, every Hawai'i home game would be on at 12 midnight Saturday nights. They are a very entertaining team.

3) Rutgers-West Virginia was quite a show Saturday night; Big East football might be the biggest winner of entire 2006 season. With only eight teams, teams play each other every season, and thats better than the mega-leagues.

2) USC's last four regular season games were Oregon-Cal-Notre Dame-UCLA, a very difficult gauntlet to run, especially for team that maximized its talent this season. I think Florida will give Ohio State a better game than Trojans would have.

1) Steve Spurrier got half-million raise Saturday, one he would not have gotten unless Alabama fired its football coach, then made noise about going after Spurrier to be its coach. Must be nice to make a few million off another's misfortune, without actually doing anything


Saturday's List of 13: Random weekend thoughts........

13) The best golf tournament of the year is this week, the final stage of Q School, where guys are playing for their careers, or at least, their 2007 Tour cards. It is six days of grinding in front of small crowds, with top 35 finishers getting '07 Tour cards; thru two rounds,

12) After reading a few articles about the Cowboys the last month, I may have to cut my Florida vacation short next summer, so I can go to Canton and see Tony Romo get inducted in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Seriously, can we let the guy play at least a half season before he gets in the Pro Bowl?

11) In last three weeks, Cowboy defense has picked off a pass on first drive of third quarter in all three games.

10) 32 bowl games this season means more than half the I-A teams are bowling; it also means if you're not bowling, your employment status is probably shaky.

9) There is no truth to rumor that Cleveland Brown fans want this Browns team to move to Baltimore, too, but they are an awful offensive football team. How do you go into a season with a QB tandem of Charlie Frye/Ken Dorsey?

8) Charlotte Bobcats are $1.7M under the NBA's salary floor; if they don't spend the money on a new player, the money gets split up amongst the current ones.

7) ESPN.com columnist Pat Forde, whose college columns are must-read, played high school football for former Colorado coach Gary Barnett.

6) Rookie QBs lost their last 11 starting debuts. Drew Henson was last to win one, two years ago. 5) Cardinals are only NFL team that hasn't had a 100-yard rusher in any game this season.

4) Colts' new stadium in downtown Indianapolis will have a retractable roof.

3) According to Elias Sports Bureau, since the start of the 2002-03 season, NHL teams playing for new coach following an in-season change have a record of 20-3-5. That's a remarkable record, especially since most of those clubs were losing teams.

2) Why would Pete Carroll even consider going back to NFL, unless he thought the monster he was building at USC was getting too big to keep feeding?

1) What exactly are powers-that-be at Alabama going to do if/when Nick Saban turns them down? This isn't a good job anymore, because expectations are stupid-high. If they had an ounce of sense, they'd had go hard after Wake's Jim Grobe

[Udog]

NFL
Monday



Dunkel

Game 165-166: Carolina at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 128.861; Philadelphia 123.051
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 6; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Under





Long Sheet

CAROLINA (6 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) - 12/4/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CAROLINA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





Short Sheet

Monday, December 4th

Carolina at Philadelphia, 8:30 EST ESPN
Carolina: 6-2 ATS in December
Philadelphia: 14-5 ATS off a loss by 21+ points




Monday Write-up

Panthers (6-5) @ Eagles (5-6)-Philly lost five of last six games, have Garcia at QB, but with win here, they still tie for last playoff spot. Carolina scored 15 or less pts in four of last five games; they're 2-3 on road, with all five games decided by four or less points. Philly defense sagged last two weeks, allowing 446 rushing yards, 76 pts; they've given up 21+ pts in each of last three halves. In last seven games, Panther offense started 30 drives 80+ yards from end zone; they scored three FGs, no TDs and went 3/out 12 times, so offense not carrying own weight. Philly is just 3-3 at home.