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Thursday Trends and Indexes 11/23

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  • #16
    Thursday's List of 13:
    Random Thanksgiving thoughts


    13) Part of drama of the Matsuzaka signing is fact that Mrs Matsuzaka was model/broadcaster in Japan, and wants to do more of that here. Hopefully for the Red Sox, she's not the Japanese Anna Benson.

    12) NBA, NHL and AL all have Canadians as their reigning MVP's. Go figure.

    11) Media people: Stop calling Madison Square Garden the mecca of college hoops; it isn't. Dayton puts 8,000 people in the seats for the play-in game in March every year, while the Garden can't sell out a twinbill with North Carolina playing.

    10) Got new glasses last week, so I know I read it right: $10M a year for Garry Matthews and $9M for Juan Pierre? What a country!!!!

    9) Jose Reyes should fire his agent; the kid got hosed on his contract, compared to what these guys are getting.

    8) Rumor has the Angels going hard after Manny Ramirez this winter. Not sure why they gave Matthews $50M, though.

    7) There is restaurant near my house that specializes in pies; they do such a bustling business around Thanksgiving that there will be a policeman directing traffic outside the store Thursday. Happens every year.

    6) Memphis led Georgia Tech by 16 at the half Tuesday, but Tech caught up 8:55 left, pulled away to win by 7. Don't often see game with two strong teams with such wild swings.

    5) Michael Vick had 23-12-1 record in his first 36 NFL starts; he is 13-12 in his last 25.

    4) Since 1980, only 11 of 26 Super Bowl champs had the best record after ten weeks. Teams that get hot in December win the Super Bowl tournament.

    3) MASN, the Orioles/Nationals' cable channel, televises late night baseball live from Hawai'i, the HWB. No idea what this league is, but its fun to watch.

    2) Latest rumor has Dennis Green being replaced in Arizona by Steve Mariucci. You get the idea that if Vince Lombardi and Tom Landry came back from the grave to coach Arizona, they'd still finish under .500. At least their stadium is nice.

    1) Dallas News reports that over the last 29 years, with Lions and Dallas both playing at home on Thanksgiving Day, in 16 of those 29 years, Cowboys also played at home week before Turkey Day, giving them better time to recover and prepare.

    Detroit, on other hand, was on road before Thanksgiving in 28 of those 29 years. Unless they asked to be on road then, that doesn't seem overly fair.

    Comment


    • #17
      NCAABB

      College Basketball Trend Report

      S ILLINOIS (2 - 0) vs. ARKANSAS (2 - 0) - 11/23/2006, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      S ILLINOIS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
      ARKANSAS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
      ARKANSAS is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      MARIST (2 - 1) vs. MINNESOTA (2 - 1) - 11/23/2006, 2:15 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      W MICHIGAN (1 - 2) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) - 11/23/2006, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      W MICHIGAN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      W MICHIGAN is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
      W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      MONTANA (1 - 2) vs. W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) - 11/23/2006, 9:45 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      W VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
      MONTANA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      HOFSTRA (0 - 2) vs. HAWAII (2 - 1) - 11/23/2006, 9:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HAWAII is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      HAWAII is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      HAWAII is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      MARSHALL (1 - 1) vs. CALIFORNIA (2 - 1) - 11/23/2006, 12:00 AM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MARSHALL is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      Comment


      • #18
        NCAABB

        Thursday, November 23rd


        Old Spice Classic
        Lake Buena Vista, FL
        Opening Round

        Southern Illinois vs. Arkansas, 12:00 EST ESPN2
        Southern Illinois: 10-1 ATS off a home win
        Arkansas: 2-12 ATS off BB DD home wins

        Marist vs. Minnesota, 2:15 EST ESPN2
        Marist: 8-0 ATS Away off a win by 15+ points
        Minnesota: 14-5 Over playing only their 3rd game in a week

        Western Michigan vs. Virginia Tech, 7:30 EST ESPN2
        Western Michigan: 0-6 ATS as a DD underdog
        Virginia Tech: 17-7 ATS on a neutral court

        Montana vs. West Virginia, 9:45 EST ESPN2
        Montana: 15-6 Under off an Under
        West Virginia: 8-0 ATS off BB games as a home favorite


        Great Alaska Shootout
        Anchorage, Alaska
        Opening Round

        Hofstra vs. Hawaii, 9:30 EST
        Hofstra: 6-0 ATS playing only their 2nd game in 8 days
        Hawaii: 4-14 ATS off an Under

        Marshall vs. California, 12:00am ESTESPN2
        Marshall: 7-18 ATS Away off a loss by 6 points or less
        California: 14-5 Under after a combined score of 125 points or less

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

        Comment


        • #19
          NCAABB

          -- Southern Illinois has all five starters back from LY's 22-11 club that lost to West Virginia in first round of NCAAs. Arkansas is rebuilding in backcourt, but new PG played two years at Miss. State before transferring, so he has experience. MVC clubs are 12-8 vs spread, 2-5 as road favorites. SEC teams are 12-12, 2-4 as road underdogs.

          -- Marist won its last two games, but Minnesota will be step up in class and rare appearrance on ESPN.Senior PG Jordan is one of best in nation. Red Foxes have four starters back from LY. Gophers lost at home to Iowa State this week, after beating two cupcakes; they lost top three scorers from LY. MAAC teams are just 5-13 vs spread so far this season.

          -- Virginia Tech has all five starters back from tragedy-marred '06 season. ACC teams are 19-13 vs spread this season. Western Michigan got first win Tuesday, beating Detroit by hoop after losing first two games, to Pitt (86-67), Indiana St (73-71). MAC teams are 12-19 against spread this season.

          -- West Virginia has five new starters this season; they allowed 42.5 ppg in winning first two games vs stiff teams. Montana has new coach, lost two of top three scorers and is 0-2 already this season, giving up 75 ppg in losses at Utah Valley St (74-57) and Wyoming (76-71). Big Sky teams are 14-9 vs spread. Big East clubs are 23-15.

          -- Hofstra has high expectations but is 0-2 so far, losing 88-82 at Charlotte, then in OT at Manhattan; they have good guards, but are long way from home in Alaska. Why is Hawai'i here? It must be 80 in paradise-- its only 10 in Anchorage. Hawai'i lost in only road game at UNLV- they whipped Oregon State in last game at home. Hofstra has very good guards.

          -- Marshall needed OT to beat NC-Greensboro, then lost 73-69 at home to Robert Morris, not a great sign. Cal won twoof first three games, losing by 7 at San Diego State. C-USA teams are 14-8 against spread, Pac-10 clubs are 16-19.

          Comment


          • #20
            NHL

            Pro Hockey Trend Report

            VANCOUVER (11-10-0-1, 23 pts.) at NASHVILLE (13-6-0-1, 27 pts.) - 11/23/2006, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            VANCOUVER is 14-28 ATS (-19.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            NASHVILLE is 37-19 ATS (+12.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            NASHVILLE is 89-82 ATS (+217.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
            VANCOUVER is 77-58 ATS (+136.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


            Head-to-Head Series History
            NASHVILLE is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
            NASHVILLE is 4-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

            Comment


            • #21
              NHL

              Thursday, November 23rd

              Vancouver at Nashville, 7:05 EST
              Vancouver: 9-24 SU revenging a same season loss
              Nashville: 21-6 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

              ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

              Comment


              • #22
                NHL

                Hot Teams
                -- Nashville won thirteen of last seventeen games. Canucks won their last three games, allowing six goals.

                Cold Teams
                --


                Series Records
                -- Visitor won both Vancouver-Nashville games this season.

                Totals
                -- Under is 15-5-2 in Vancouver games this season.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Dunkel Index - College Basketball

                  Dunkel Index – NCAA Basketball

                  THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 23

                  Marist vs. Minnesota
                  Marist rebounded nicely from an opening-night loss to Ohio (83-66) with wins over Delaware (78-62) and Florida Atlantic (83-67). The Foxes will get a step up in competition today against Minnesota in the Old Spice Classic. The Gophers had an easy time against North Dakota State (63-49) and LIU-Brooklyn (70-54) before stumbling at home against Iowa State (68-63) on Tuesday. Vegas has Marist favored by 1 1/2, which makes the Big Ten-tested Gophers look like an inviting underdog according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored straight up by 7. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

                  Game 701-702: Southern Illinois vs. Arkansas (in Orlando, FL)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 64.906; Arkansas 68.600
                  Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 3 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 3
                  Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3)

                  Game 703-704: Marist vs. Minnesota (in Orlando, FL)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Marist 55.968; Minnesota 62.997
                  Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 7
                  Vegas Line: Marist by 1 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2)

                  Game 705-706:Western Michigan vs. Virginia Tech (in Orlando, FL)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 51.402; Virginia Tech 66.030
                  Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 14 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 11
                  Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-11)

                  Game 707-708: Montana vs. West Virginia (in Orlando, FL)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Montana 57.163; West Virginia 68.924
                  Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 12
                  Vegas Line: West Virginia by 6
                  Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-6)

                  Game 709-710: Hofstra vs. Hawaii (in Anchorage, AK)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 57.973; Hawaii 60.560
                  Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Hofstra by 2
                  Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+2)

                  Game 711-712: Marshall vs. California (in Anchorage, AK)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 49.511; California 64.273
                  Dunkel Line: California by 14 1/2
                  Vegas Line: California by 13 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: California (-13 1/2)

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Dunkel Index - Hockey

                    Dunkel Index – NHL

                    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 23

                    Vancouver at Nashville
                    The Canucks come off a strong performance last night in upending Detroit (4-3) in overtime behind Brendan Morrison's game-tying and winning goals. The victory was the third straight for Vancouver and pushed their road record over .500 (6-5-1). The Predators look to bounce back from a tough 1-0 loss in Dallas and gain a little revenge for an overtime loss to the Canucks back in October. This should a close contest with the Predators favored straight up, but the Canucks keeping it within the goal line. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+1 1/2).

                    Game 1-2: Vancouver at Nashville
                    Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.920; Nashville 12.951
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
                    Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+1 1/2); Over

                    Comment

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