Thursday Trends and Indexes 11/09

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Basketball

Dunkel Index – NCAA Basketball

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Alcorn State at Texas
Texas lost three key players (LaMarcus Aldridge, Daniel Gibson and P.J. Tucker) from a team that went to the Elite 8 last year. But hopes are still high in Austin with the addition of top recruit Kevin Durant. Tonight the Longhorns host an Alcorn State team that started off last year losing nine straight road games en route to an 8-20 season. Dunkel has Texas favored by 37, covering the Vegas line of 32. Dunkel Pick: Texas (-32). Here are all of today's games.

Game 707-708: Chicago State vs. St. Bonaventure (in Austin, TX)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago State 48.80; St. Bonaventure 48.00
Dunkel Line: Chicago State by 1
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago State (+5 1/2)

Game 709-710: Alcorn State at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 38.20; Texas 75.00
Dunkel Line: Texas by 37
Vegas Line: Texas by 32
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-32)

Game 711-712: Brown vs. Central Michigan (in East Lansing, MI)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 48.12; Central Michigan 42.43
Dunkel Line: Brown by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game713-714: Youngstown State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 49.07; Michigan State 65.68
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index – NHL

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Chicago at New Jersey
The Blackhawks have lost seven straight and have scored only three goals in their last five contests. They travel to New Jersey tonight to take on a Devils team that has won four of its last five, including a pair of shutouts. The Devils look like a good play to cover the line in this one according to Dunkel, which has New Jersey favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 1-2: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.859; Boston 11.294
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Over

Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.593; Philadelphia 9.979
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Washington at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.540; Carolina 12.239
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: Chicago at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.019; New Jersey 12.173
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-1 1/2); Under

Game 9-10: Columbus at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 9.962; St. Louis 11.357
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 11-12: Dallas at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.807; Phoenix 10.171
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1 1/2); Under

Game 13-14: Anaheim at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 13.713; Vancouver 12.011
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 15-16: San Jose at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 13.066; Los Angeles 11.201
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NHL

Pro Hockey Trend Report

TORONTO (9-5-0-3, 21 pts.) at BOSTON (4-6-0-2, 10 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-12 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-61 ATS (-58.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-61 ATS (+107.5 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-61 ATS (+33.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-39 ATS (+61.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)




NY ISLANDERS (6-6-0-2, 14 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (3-10-0-1, 7 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 50-44 ATS (+106.0 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-8.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (+3.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-25 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-25 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-25 ATS (+26.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-25 ATS (+25.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (+14.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-43 ATS (-47.7 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-96 ATS (-65.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)




WASHINGTON (6-4-0-4, 16 pts.) at CAROLINA (7-6-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-5 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)




CHICAGO (4-9-0-0, 8 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (8-5-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 1-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)




COLUMBUS (4-7-0-1, 9 pts.) at ST LOUIS (4-6-0-3, 11 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 7-20 ATS (+30.0 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-3-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)




DALLAS (11-4-0-0, 22 pts.) at PHOENIX (4-10-0-0, 8 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 121-92 ATS (+18.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 83-69 ATS (+177.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-13 ATS (+11.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 97-50 ATS (+28.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 57-70 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)




ANAHEIM (11-0-0-4, 26 pts.) at VANCOUVER (8-7-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 59-51 ATS (+122.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 179-194 ATS (+179.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-1 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)




SAN JOSE (11-5-0-0, 22 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (5-9-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/9/2006, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 6-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

[Udog]

NBA

Pro Basketball Trend Report

CHICAGO (2 - 2) at CLEVELAND (2 - 2) - 11/9/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DALLAS (0 - 4) at PHOENIX (1 - 4) - 11/9/2006, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 106-76 ATS (+22.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 10-9 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 10-9 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW ORLEANS (4 - 0) at GOLDEN STATE (2 - 3) - 11/9/2006, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[kbsooner21]

Thanks pm, Vinny, dj, Udog! Have a great weekend fellas!

[Udog]

You have a great one, too, kb!!!

Guys,

I have to leave and work for two or three hours.

It appears that NCAABB trends are going to be a while coming out. I've already seen the "long" sheet for Thursday and it shows "No Significant Trends" for all four of today's NCAABB games. I will post the "short" sheet and the write-ups as soon as I get back.

Good luck today, everybody!

[Udog]

NCAABB

Thursday, November 9th

Coaches vs. Cancer Classic
Opening Round
Austin, TX

(TC) Chicago State at St Bonaventure, 6:30 EST
Chicago State: N/A
St Bonaventure: 5-1 Under in November

Alcorn State at Texas, 9:30 EST ESPNU
Alcorn State: N/A
Texas: 17-5 Under at home with a total of 140 to 149.5 points


Coaches vs. Cancer Classic
Second Round
East Lansing, Michigan

Brown at Central Michigan, 4:30 EST
Brown: 6-0 Under in November
Central Michigan: 33-56 ATS off a loss by 10+ points

Youngstown State at Michigan State, 7:00 EST
Youngstown State: 16-8 Over off an ATS win
Michigan State: 15-4 Under at home off a SU win / ATS loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAABB

Youngstown State routed Central Michigan last night, 74-50, as Chippewas shot just 30% from floor and fell behind 45-20 at the half. Much tougher tilt for Penguins tonight, as Michigan State trudged past Brown 45-34 last night, holding Princeton-like foe to 29.5% from floor, while sending them to charity stripe only 4 times. Spartans were -10 in turnovers (18-8) and seem a little bit offensively challenged, but Youngstown in trouble here.

Chicago State, to best of our knowledge, has only eight players on scholarship, as they lost three of their best players from last year, and then school dropped out of their conference, so their program is in dire straits right now. St Bonaventure was 8-19 LY, 2-14 in league play; they have a good frontcourt, but guards are shaky. At 17-66 in last three years, risky to lay points with kids who haven't learned how to win, even vs decimated Chicago St.

Texas has lot of newcomers, losing six players from LY, three of whom were drafted by NBA; the new guys are talented, but with Longhorns practicjng only four weeks, Barnes will be looking for combinations, to see who plays wll with whom. Alcorn State was 8-20 LY, 8-10 in weak league, but they have all five starters back and are expected to be much better this year, after losing 60 of 86 games in coach West's first three seasons. This could be long night for Alcorn, but at least they have an experience edge, the only edge they have going in.

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, November 9th

Chicago at Cleveland, 8:05 EST TNT
Chicago: 21-9 Over after playing as a home favorite
Cleveland: 15-3 ATS at home vs. division opponents

Dallas at Phoenix, 10:35 EST TNT
Dallas: 32-17 Under away off a road game
Phoenix: 18-4 ATS off BB games allowing 105+ points

New Orleans at Golden State, 10:35 EST
New Orleans: 31-52 ATS with a total of 190 to 199.5 points
Golden State: 30-13 Over with a line of +3 to -3

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, November 9th

Toronto at Boston, 7:05 EST
Toronto: 1-12 SU away playing with two days rest
Boston: 11-1 Under at home off BB games allowing 5+ goals

NY Islanders at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
NY Islanders: 12-6 SU after allowing 5+ goals
Philadelphia: 1-7 SU off a loss by 2+ goals

Washington at Carolina, 7:05 EST
Washington: 1-14 SU off 3+ games with a combined score of 7+ goals
Carolina: 30-11 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Chicago at New Jersey, 7:35 EST
Chicago: 1-15 SU away off a loss by 1 goal
New Jersey: 29-13 SU playing their second game in five days

Columbus at St. Louis, 8:05 EST
Columbus: 6-39 SU away off a division game
St. Louis: 10-3 SU at home vs. Columbus

Dallas at Phoenix, 9:05 EST
Dallas: 41-17 SU off an Under
Phoenix: 7-17 SU at home vs. Dallas

Anaheim at Vancouver, 10:05 EST
Anaheim: 9-1 SU as a road favorite
Vancouver: 13-3 Under this season

San Jose at Los Angeles, 10:35 EST
San Jose: 32-10 SU off BB games scoring 3+ goals
Los Angeles: 1-7 SU after scoring 6+ goals

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA

Projected Scores

Last night: 6-5 (54.5%)
Week to date: 16-8 (66.7%)
Year to date: 37-31 (54.4%)

11/09/2006

Chicago 94 Cleveland 91
Phoenix 108 Dallas 103
NO/Okla. City 109 Golden State 103

[Udog]

NCAABB

Projected Scores

Last night: 2-2 (50.0%)
Week to date: 4-2 (66.7%)
Year to date: 4-2 (66.7%)

11/09/2006

Brown 62 Central Michigan 55
St. Bonaventure 72 Chicago State 65
Michigan State 75 Youngstown State 64
Texas 93 Alcorn State 57