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I got this in an email from a friend !!
MONDAY NIGHT PERCENTAGE SIDE (Raiders at Seahawks): One of the most shocking developments to me in the early stages of this NFL season was the NFC getting off to a positive 13-8 start in inter-conference matchups against a highly superior conference, but the tide in recent weeks has definitely been turning. Yesterday the AFC went up against NFC opponents in 4 games and the AFC successfully covered the spread in all of them. The biggest story of course yesterday was Miami going into Chicago and torching the mighty Bears who were being falsely compared to their 1985 Super Bowl winning squad. But in addition to that stunner, Buffalo ended up easily covering at home against Green Bay in a battle of two “low grade” teams where one could have made a strong argument for a close game that never transpired. Kansas City’s triumph at St. Louis really came as no big shock as the Rams have proven in the past couple of weeks that their strong start was a mere aberration. The AFC/NFC clash that really caught my attention yesterday was heavy underdog Houston nearly pulling off an outright at New York against an obviously disinterested Giants team that almost got caught looking ahead. The bottom line is if Oakland ends up covering the spread this evening, the AFC will have completed a 5-0 ATS weekend up against the National Conference. According to my database research there is a very good shot of that happening as lowly Oakland has successfully COVERED the spread at a vicious 10-4 ATS clip the last fourteen times they have been up against an NFC opponent. Oakland is what I like to call a “defensive underdog” this evening as they are coming off a 20-13 home upset of the Steelers in a game where the offense gained LESS than 100 total yards. The reason why Oakland won last week’s game was due to their DEFENSE which put constant pressure on Ben Roethlisberger and sacked him FIVE times. The Raiders also picked off 4 passes which now gives them TEN INTERCEPTIONS for the season. What is the big deal about that?? A year ago the Raiders picked off an all-time low FIVE passes in 16 games. In the rushing department Oakland last week held Pittsburgh to only 89 yards on the ground, which is significant when you consider that tonight they are facing a Seattle offense ranked way down at #26 in the league rushing. Of course one of the reasons why Seattle has had a tough time running the football has to do with the injury to MVP rusher Shaun Alexander. But even when he was healthy, the Seahawks had problems due to a shaky offensive line which has been decimated by injuries, suspensions and defections. In the offseason due to a mamouth front-office screw up, the Seahawks allowed the league’s premier offensive lineman to bolt via free-agency to Minnesota, so the defending NFC champions have been behind the eight-ball so to speak from the very beginning. Last weekend in the NFL one of the trends I noticed was the excellent play by a ton of TIGHT ENDS. The Oakland defense has already held 3 of the league’s elite tight-ends (Antonio Gates, Todd Heap, Kellen Winslow) to an average of only 3.3 receptions fpr 24.7 yards. Thus the odds of Seattle’s fine tight-end Jerramy Stevens being held down tonight are strong. While the Raiders defense has been strong, Seattle’s stop-unit is in a severe slump allowing 28+ points in five consecutive games. As expected the line on tonight’s game has gone in Seattle’s favor as they opened as a 6’ point favorite. At some offshore locations as of this typing I see the line has gone as high as EIGHT. But how can a team that has given up 28+ points five consecutive weeks be asked to lay this many points against a solid defensive opponent?? You may want to call this the “law of averages” lock as Seattle is way overdue to go on a spread slide in front of their fanatical home fans. The Seahawks were on a massive 12-0 SU/10-2 ATS run at HOME before losing outright a few weeks ago against the Vikings in a game where lead QB Matt Hasselbeck went belly up. My database research tells me that Seattle is 0-6 ATS/HOME the past three years after FAILING to cover 4 of their prior 5 contests. Do I hear SEVEN in a row anyone?!
Oakland +7
This makes the over look real good!
MONDAY NIGHT PERCENTAGE SIDE (Raiders at Seahawks): One of the most shocking developments to me in the early stages of this NFL season was the NFC getting off to a positive 13-8 start in inter-conference matchups against a highly superior conference, but the tide in recent weeks has definitely been turning. Yesterday the AFC went up against NFC opponents in 4 games and the AFC successfully covered the spread in all of them. The biggest story of course yesterday was Miami going into Chicago and torching the mighty Bears who were being falsely compared to their 1985 Super Bowl winning squad. But in addition to that stunner, Buffalo ended up easily covering at home against Green Bay in a battle of two “low grade” teams where one could have made a strong argument for a close game that never transpired. Kansas City’s triumph at St. Louis really came as no big shock as the Rams have proven in the past couple of weeks that their strong start was a mere aberration. The AFC/NFC clash that really caught my attention yesterday was heavy underdog Houston nearly pulling off an outright at New York against an obviously disinterested Giants team that almost got caught looking ahead. The bottom line is if Oakland ends up covering the spread this evening, the AFC will have completed a 5-0 ATS weekend up against the National Conference. According to my database research there is a very good shot of that happening as lowly Oakland has successfully COVERED the spread at a vicious 10-4 ATS clip the last fourteen times they have been up against an NFC opponent. Oakland is what I like to call a “defensive underdog” this evening as they are coming off a 20-13 home upset of the Steelers in a game where the offense gained LESS than 100 total yards. The reason why Oakland won last week’s game was due to their DEFENSE which put constant pressure on Ben Roethlisberger and sacked him FIVE times. The Raiders also picked off 4 passes which now gives them TEN INTERCEPTIONS for the season. What is the big deal about that?? A year ago the Raiders picked off an all-time low FIVE passes in 16 games. In the rushing department Oakland last week held Pittsburgh to only 89 yards on the ground, which is significant when you consider that tonight they are facing a Seattle offense ranked way down at #26 in the league rushing. Of course one of the reasons why Seattle has had a tough time running the football has to do with the injury to MVP rusher Shaun Alexander. But even when he was healthy, the Seahawks had problems due to a shaky offensive line which has been decimated by injuries, suspensions and defections. In the offseason due to a mamouth front-office screw up, the Seahawks allowed the league’s premier offensive lineman to bolt via free-agency to Minnesota, so the defending NFC champions have been behind the eight-ball so to speak from the very beginning. Last weekend in the NFL one of the trends I noticed was the excellent play by a ton of TIGHT ENDS. The Oakland defense has already held 3 of the league’s elite tight-ends (Antonio Gates, Todd Heap, Kellen Winslow) to an average of only 3.3 receptions fpr 24.7 yards. Thus the odds of Seattle’s fine tight-end Jerramy Stevens being held down tonight are strong. While the Raiders defense has been strong, Seattle’s stop-unit is in a severe slump allowing 28+ points in five consecutive games. As expected the line on tonight’s game has gone in Seattle’s favor as they opened as a 6’ point favorite. At some offshore locations as of this typing I see the line has gone as high as EIGHT. But how can a team that has given up 28+ points five consecutive weeks be asked to lay this many points against a solid defensive opponent?? You may want to call this the “law of averages” lock as Seattle is way overdue to go on a spread slide in front of their fanatical home fans. The Seahawks were on a massive 12-0 SU/10-2 ATS run at HOME before losing outright a few weeks ago against the Vikings in a game where lead QB Matt Hasselbeck went belly up. My database research tells me that Seattle is 0-6 ATS/HOME the past three years after FAILING to cover 4 of their prior 5 contests. Do I hear SEVEN in a row anyone?!
Oakland +7
This makes the over look real good!
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