Sunday Trends and Indexes 11/5

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Sunday, November 5

Good Luck on Sunday!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football

Dunkel Index – NFL

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 5

Game 207-208: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 126.759; St. Louis 129.454
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2; 48
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2); Over

Game 209-210: Cincinnati at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 133.401; Baltimore 131.171
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); Under

Game 211-212: Houston at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.082; NY Giants 137.327
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 20; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 13; 43
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-13); Under

Game 213-214: Tennessee at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 118.702; Jacksonville 133.115
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 14 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 9 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-9 1/2); Under

Game 215-216: Dallas at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 129.962; Washington 130.115
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Over

Game 217-218: Green Bay at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.552; Buffalo 126.366
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 38
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Under

Game 219-220: New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 123.608; Tampa Bay 126.748
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 1; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1); Under

Game 221-222: Atlanta at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 131.019; Detroit 123.354
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Miami at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.535; Chicago 138.649
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 18; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago by 13 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-13 1/2); Over

Game 225-226: Minnesota at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 127.382; San Francisco 119.775
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2); Over

Game 227-228: Cleveland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.934; San Diego 137.645
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 16 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 12 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-12 1/2); Over

Game 229-230: Denver at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 132.280; Pittsburgh 129.481
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Over

Game 231-232: Indianapolis at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 133.721; New England 138.876
Dunkel Line: New England by 5; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Under

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Game 235-236: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 117.851; Seattle 131.328
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 13 1/2; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 7; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7); Over

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Football

Dunkel Index – NCAA Football

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 5

Game 233-234: Southern Mississippi at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 81.434; Memphis 81.930
Dunkel Line: Even; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Under

[Udog]

Hey, pm! Good morning! Great to see you back! Good luck today, buddy!

[Udog]

NFL

Week 9

Sunday
Chiefs (4-3) @ Rams (4-3)-Chiefs won four of last five games, scoring 30,35 in last two; they averaged 6.0+ yards per pass attempt in their four wins (4.2/5.5/4.4 in losses). Rams allowed 6.2+ yds/pass in five of last six games. St Louis has 14 takeaways in its four wins (+12 turnover ratio), two in its three losses (-2); Ram offense has been good enough to win, but defense doesn't force many punts (26th in NFL in forced 3/outs), allowing 20+ first downs in each of last five games. Chiefs scored 13 TDs in 42 drives at home, but only three in 35 on road (lost two of three on foreign soil).

Bengals (4-3) @ Ravens (5-2)- Bengals' last three games were all decided by three or less points, but Cincy lost three of last four games, with no INTs in last four games- they scored 30 ppg in winning last three games vs. Ravens, and won their last two visits to this site, after having lost previous seven. Three of last four series totals in Baltimore were 44+. Ravens scored TDs on last five red zone drives; they allowed 23,22 points in their losses, are 4-1 allowing 14 or less points. Bengals are moving the chains, converting 60 for last 132 on third down (45.5%); they're 4-1 if they score 17+ points.

Texans (2-5) @ Giants (5-2)-Red-hot Giants 4-0 since their bye, with all four wins by 13+ points; in second half of their last six games, they outscored foes 111-36. In their last two home games, Giants allowed no TDs on 22 drives, forcing 13 3/outs. Houston is 2-5, with four losses by 14+ points; they yanked Carr for Rosenfels last week, and the backup sparked a Texan rally, so will be interesting to see if team rallies around Carr here- they ran ball for 140 yds/game last two weeks, after averaging 67.6 ypg in first five. Texans upset Giants 16-14 in Houston four years ago, in teams' only previous meeting.

Titans (2-5) @ Jaguars (4-3)- Can Titans score 20+ points? Jaguars allowed 21,36,27 points in their three losses, a total of 23 in their four wins. Jags are 3-0 at home, winning by 7,9,41 points; their defense allowed three TDs in last 33 drives over last three games. After 0-5 start, Titans scored 25,28 points in winning last two; they lost here 40-13 LY, their first loss in last four visits to Alltel, in series where visitor is 5-3 SU in last eight meetings. Jags have no takeaways in last two games, but won in Philly with backup QB Garrard playing. Titans have four TDs on last 22 drives, after having six in first 55.

Cowboys (4-3) @ Redskins (2-5)- Washington lost last three games, giving up 153 rushing yards/game, with no takeaways- they allowed 61 points in last two games. Skins are 0-5 if they score less than 31 pts. Cowboys allowed 14 or less pts in their wins, 24-38-36 in losses. Dallas (-6.5) won first meeting 27-10 in penalty-filled Week 2 game, their 14th win in last 18 games vs. this rival; Redskins were 2-14 on third down, got outrushed 138-93, and had no offensive TDs in 11 drives, with six 3/outs. If you wager halftime lines, know that in last five Dallas games, average of 31.6 second half pts were scored.

Packers (3-4) @ Bills (2-5)- Home side won seven of last eight series games, as Green Bay has never won (0-4) in Buffalo, losing by 7-28-9-9 points, but last visit here was '00. Packers scored 31,34,31 pts in their wins, average 14 peg in losses; they're 3-1 if game goes over total, 0-3 if it doesn't. Buffalo lost last three games, scoring three TDs on 34 drives, with 17 3/outs and a -9 turnover ratio; they allowed 6,12 pts in their two wins, an average of 27 ppg in losses. In their last two games, with Green back at RB, Pack has outrushed their opponents 358-153, giving Favre some balance.

Saints (5-2) @ Bucs (2-5)-New Orleans going for first season sweep over Bucs since '02; in first meeting TY, New Orleans got outgained 406-314, but got punt return TD from Bush in fourth quarter to secure win, spoiling Gradkowski's first career start. Underdog is 4-0 vs. spread in Tampa home games, with last three decided by total of five points; they covered four of last five games, but averaged less than 4 yards/pass in each of last three. Bucs have no offensive TDs in last two games, gaining 196,174 total yards. This is first time Saints been on road in five weeks; they won two of first three on foreign soil.

Falcons (5-2) @ Lions (1-6)- Falcons allowed 30.7 ppg in last three games, won pair of shootouts (41-38/29-27) in last two, scoring eight TDs on last 24 drives and converting 15 of last 29 on third down. Detroit is 0-5 vs. spread when they allow more than 17 pts; they've lost field position battle in every game this year. Underdog is 3-0 vs. spread in Lion home games in '06. Atlanta (-3) outrushed Lions 256-75 on this field in Week 13 LY, beating Detroit 27-7, starting four of their 11 drives in Lion territory. Five of last six Detroit games went over total; Falcons are 3-0 if their game goes over total.

Dolphins (1-6) @ Bears (7-0)-Miami hasn't lost game by more than 11 points, but they're 0-4 on road, losing by 11,2,10,3 pts; not only is Miami 0-6-1 vs. spread in '06, they've only outscored opponent in two of 16 halves this season (2-12-2). Dolphins won both their visits to Windy City, but last one was in '91. Chicago won its four home games by average score of 38-8 (4-0 vs spread); they've +2 or better in turnovers every game but one (-4 in 24-23 win at Arizona), and outscored foes 131-32 in first half of games. In their last three games, Miami has minus-7 turnover ratio (2-9).

Vikings (4-3) @ 49ers (2-5)-Long trip west on short work week for Vikings, who lost last seven visits to Candlestick Point, in series where home side won last seven meetings. Minnesota averages just 5.7 ppg in first half of games, which is why they've led only one game at half, but they're facing Niner squad that allowed 89 pts in last two games, giving up 11 TDs on last 21 drives, with -7 turnover ratio. Vikings won two of three on road and have 15 sacks in last four games, but Niners are 2-0 if they don't lose turnover battle, so up to Tomlin's defense to create pressure, turnovers. Trap game for Minnesota.

Browns (2-5) @ Chargers (5-2)-San Diego is 3-0 at home, winning by 33,10,14 points, but are without star DE Merriman for next four weeks (steroids). San Diego offense has 13 TDs on last 31 drives, converted 24 of last 59 (40.7%) on third down and has outscored teams 74-27 in second half of last four games. In last three games, offensively-challenged Browns scored three TDs with 16 3/outs on 37 drives; they're 10 for last 42 on third down, and 1-3 vs. spread as underdog. Chargers won three of four series games, with Browns losing only previous visit here, 23-10 in '99. It is still less than two weeks since Browns fired offensive coordinator.

Broncos (5-2) @ Steelers (2-5)-Desperate time for fading Steeler squad facing team they beat in AFC title game LY (34-17); Denver is 5-3 in last eight visits to Steel City; they had five-game win streak snapped LW, but have still outscored last five opponents 50-9 in first half of games. Steeler defense allowed 98 yards on 49 plays LW in Oakland, but they still lost, since Raiders scored two defensive TDs. Pitt has lost field position battle in every game this year; they've allowed 71 points in last two games, and lost five of last six. Denver allowed 18,34 pts in their losses, a total of 26 in their wins.

Colts (7-0) @ Patriots (6-1)-Unbeaten Indy road dog second week in row, vs. Patriot squad that won six of last seven series games, taking nine of last ten played at this site (Colts won here 40-21 LY). Patriots scored 29.3 ppg in winning last four games, while allowing only two TDs on last 43 drives, holding last four foes under 14 points. Colts scored 34 last week at Denver squad that had allowed two TDs in six games; they scored 65 pts in second half of last three games. Expect Pats to run ball vs. Colt D that allowed four of seven foes to rush for 186+ yards. Six of last eight series totals were 51+.

Monday
Raiders (2-5) @ Seattle (4-3)-Oakland's defense has gotten lot better, allowing only two TDs on last 32 drives in wins over Cardinals, Steelers, while picking off six passes; add in 13-3 loss to Denver in last loss, and Raiders allowing just 11.7 ppg in last three games, so it is hot defense facing mobile QB Wallace, making second NFL start, first on home field. Seahawks allowed 32.2 ppg in last five games, yielding 18 TDs on last 56 drives, but they're 4-0 when giving up less than 31, and since Oakland gained total of 98 yards on 49 plays last week, hard to see them dropping 30 on Seattle.




STAR RATED TRENDS

NFL

Five-Star Trends
Kansas City is 0-6-1 ATS on artificial turf going back to 2002 (visiting St. Louis)
Chicago is 9-1-2 ATS their last 12 as a favorite (hosting Miami)
Cincinnati is 12-2-1 ATS last 15 on the road (visiting Baltimore)
Indianapolis quarterback Peyton Manning is 1-7 SU at New England
New England quarterback Tom Brady is 6-1 SU against Indy

Four-Star Trends
St. Louis (-3) has won 16 and covered 13 of its last 17 non-conference home games (hosting Kansas City)
Seattle is 10-3 ATS last 13 at home (hosting Oakland)
New York Giants are 11-3-1 ATS last 15 in the second of back-to-back home games (hosting Houston)
The New York Giants are also 10-4 ATS last 14 at home
Tampa Bay head coach Jon Gruden is 7-3 ATS last 10 as an underdog (hosting New Orleans)
Washington is 24-15-1 UNDER the total since head coach Joe Gibbs arrived in 2004 (hosting Dallas)
New England head coach Bill Belichick is 10-4 SU & ATS against undefeated opponents
Denver is 6-1 UNDER the total this season (visiting San Diego)
Oakland is 12-27-1 ATS last 40 as an underdog (visiting Seattle)

Three-Star Trends
Minnesota is 2-14 ATS before playing Green Bay (visiting San Francisco)
Minnesota is also 1-8 ATS vs.




NFL

Sunday, November 5th

Kansas City at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Kansas City: 4-0 Over off an Over
St. Louis: 13-32 ATS off a non-conference game

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
Cincinnati: 2-8 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Baltimore: 13-2 Under at home vs. conference opponents

Houston at NY Giants, 1:00 EST
Houston: 2-8 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
NY Giants: 21-9 Under off a home win by 10+ points

Tennessee at Jacksonville, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 9-20 ATS vs. conference opponents
Jacksonville: 16-6 ATS off an Under

Dallas at Washington, 1:00 EST
Dallas: 3-12 ATS away off a win by 21+ points
Washington: 6-0 ATS revenging a road loss

Green Bay at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Green Bay: 1-5 ATS off a home win
Buffalo: 19-8 ATS at home in November

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
New Orleans: 41-19 ATS away off an ATS loss
Tampa Bay: 14-5 Under off a road game

Atlanta at Detroit, 1:00 EST
Atlanta: 6-0 ATS off BB Overs
Detroit: 11-1 Under after allowing 200+ rushing yards

Miami at Chicago, 1:00 EST
Miami: 0-7 ATS this season
Chicago: 14-4 Under off a home game

Minnesota at San Francisco, 4:05 EST
Minnesota: 9-1 ATS as a favorite
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS off 3+ Overs

Cleveland at San Diego, 4:15 EST
Cleveland: 17-6 Under in road games
San Diego: 19-8 ATS off an ATS win

Denver at Pittsburgh, 4:15 EST
Denver: 8-1 ATS away off a home game
Pittsburgh: 10-0 Over in home games

Indianapolis at New England, 8:15 EST NBC
Indianapolis: 6-0 Over away off 6+ wins
New England: 18-6 ATS vs. Indianapolis

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


Monday, November 6th

Oakland at Seattle, 8:30 EST ESPN
Oakland: 9-19 ATS as an underdog
Seattle: 10-2 Over off BB ATS losses

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


NFL Week 9 Bye Week:
Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles




NFL

Pro Football Trend Report

Sunday
KANSAS CITY (4 - 3) at ST LOUIS (4 - 3) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in November games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CINCINNATI (4 - 3) at BALTIMORE (5 - 2) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




HOUSTON (2 - 5) at NY GIANTS (5 - 2) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in November games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




TENNESSEE (2 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 3) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DALLAS (4 - 3) at WASHINGTON (2 - 5) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




GREEN BAY (3 - 4) at BUFFALO (2 - 5) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NEW ORLEANS (5 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 5) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ATLANTA (5 - 2) at DETROIT (1 - 6) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MIAMI (1 - 6) at CHICAGO (7 - 0) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MINNESOTA (4 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 5) - 11/5/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




CLEVELAND (2 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 2) - 11/5/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DENVER (5 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 5) - 11/5/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (6 - 1) - 11/5/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Monday

OAKLAND (2 - 5) at SEATTLE (4 - 3) - 11/6/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 52-81 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NFL

Six more NFL trends for Week 9

-- Jaguars are 15-7-1 vs spread in last 23 home games.

-- AFC won nine of 11 vs NFC the last two weeks.

-- Cleveland is 6-13 vs spread as double digit dog.

-- Bears covered ten of their last twelve at Soldier Field.

-- Baltimore is 7-3 vs spread as divisional home favorite.

-- Washington covered eight of its last ten after a bye.

[Udog]

NCAAFB


Sunday's Game
Southern Miss covered 12 of its last 14 games vs. Memphis, but lost last two visits to Liberty Bowl, 17-22/26-30; last year, Tigers ran ball for 263 yards behind departed RB Williams in 24-22 upset win. This year, Memphis is awful, having lost six games in roq; their only '06 cover was by half-point Labor Day weekend, in 28-25 loss to woeful Ole Miss. USM lost three of its last four games; they're 1-3 on road, winning only at Central Florida. Six of Memphis' seven lined games went over the total.





Sunday, November 5th

Southern Miss at Memphis, 8:00 EST ESPN
Southern Miss: 13-4 ATS off BB losses
Memphis: 8-2 Under off an Over

** (TC) Denotes Time Change



Sunday
SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 4) at MEMPHIS (1 - 7) - 11/5/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

I posted the NHL Dunkel Index here without realizing it has not been updated for today's lines. I should be dragged out in public and slapped. Current index will be posted as soon as it's available.

[Udog]

NBA

Pro Basketball Trend Report

SAN ANTONIO (1 - 1) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 11/5/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ORLANDO (1 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) - 11/5/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 169-215 ATS (-67.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MIAMI (1 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 0) - 11/5/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




HOUSTON (1 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 0) - 11/5/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




LA LAKERS (3 - 0) at SEATTLE (0 - 2) - 11/5/2006, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NHL

Pro Hockey Trend Report

BUFFALO (11-1-0-1, 23 pts.) at NY RANGERS (7-6-0-0, 14 pts.) - 11/5/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 12-3 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 74-39 ATS (+26.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 74-39 ATS (+26.8 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 74-39 ATS (+26.8 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
BUFFALO is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 28-12 ATS (+13.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 120-76 ATS (+34.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 33-25 ATS (+61.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 95-112 ATS (+95.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 143-164 ATS (+143.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 168-202 ATS (+168.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 56-72 ATS (+56.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 41-56 ATS (-40.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 68-104 ATS (-85.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

[Udog]

NFL

Weather Watch: Week 9


Sun, Nov 5, 2006


Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills (-3 ½, total set at 40 ½)

Site: Ralph Wilson Stadium in Buffalo, New York.

Stadium style: Enclosed seating; FieldTurf surface.

There is a possibility of rain and/or snow in Buffalo this afternoon.

Weather forecasts are calling for a 30 percent chance of rain or snow both in the morning and after lunch.

However, the FieldTurf surface at Ralph Wilson Stadium should allow for quick drainage and solid footing.

Game time temperature is expected to in the mid-40s (Fahrenheit), with the wind expected to travel south-southwest between 10 and 15 mph.


New Orleans Saints (-1, total set at 38 ½) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Site: Raymond Jones Stadium in Tampa, Florida.

Stadium style: Three-tiered grandstands on both sidelines, single-tier bleachers on end zones; grass surface.

Winds traveling east-northeast at speeds of up to 20 mph are expected in Tampa today.

In windy conditions against the Giants last week in East Rutherford, the Bucs struggled offensively and lost 17-3 as 9 ½-point dogs.

Kickoff temperature for today’s game is likely to be in the high 70s with maximum humidity at 55 percent. There is a zero percent chance of precipitation.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-9 ½, total set at 37 ½)

Site: Alltel Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida.

Stadium style: Enclosed seating; grass surface.

Winds traveling as high as 25 mph are expected in Jacksonville at kickoff,

There is also a 30 percent chance of precipitation, which could lead to a soggy playing surface and poor footing at Alltel Stadium.

Game time temperature is expected to be 70 degrees, with maximum humidity at 67 percent.

[Udog]

CFL

First Round of Playoffs

Winnipeg (9-9) @ Toronto (10-8)-- Blue Bombers lost last week in Vancouver, blowing home field for this game. Winnipeg won two of three vs Toronto (16-9/15-18 at home, 24-17 at Toronto). Bombers were 5-3 in last eight road games. Four of their last five games stayed under the total, as did eight of last 12 Argonaut games. Toronto lost their last two games; their last four were all decided by five or less points.

Saskatchewan (9-9) @ Calgary (10-8)-- Stampeders won last six home games; they won two of three vs Roughriders this season (23-7 here, 53-36/9-19 in Regina); they're 6-0 when they score 32 or more points, 4-8 if they score less. Riders covered seven of last ten games, winning two of last three- this is their third road game in row. Saskatchewan is 3-6 on road this season. Riders allowed only two of last fifteen foes to score 30+ points.

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, November 5th

San Antonio at Toronto, 1:05 EST
San Antonio: 28-15 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
Toronto: 1-12 ATS after playing a game as a home dog

Orlando at Atlanta, 2:05 EST
Orlando: 3-20 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less
Atlanta: 51-32 Over in home games

Miami at Philadelphia, 2:05 EST
Miami: 45-26 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Philadelphia: 4-18 ATS off BB games with 10+ steals

Houston at New Orleans, 7:05 EST
Houston: 8-2 ATS at New Orleans
New Orleans: 12-18 ATS as a home fave of 6 points or less

LA Lakers at Seattle, 9:05 EST
LA Lakers: 13-4 ATS Away first half of the season
Seattle: 25-6 Over 1st half of the season

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, November 5th

Buffalo at NY Rangers, 5:05 EST
Buffalo: 7-0 SU in road games
NY Rangers: 6-0 Under at home off BB road wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[doktardave]

Thanks for all the great work you guys do here...I find the trends to be very helpful and interesting. I saw yesterday that you could provide more in depth trend if asked. If you could find some more on the Pittsburgh/ Denver game it would be appreciated.

Thanks in advance!

Dr. Dave

[Udog]

NBA

Projected Scores
Last night: 6-3 (66.7%)
Week to date: 19-20 (48.7%)
Year to date: 19-20 (48.7%)

San Antonio 98 Toronto 93
Orlando 96 Atlanta 91
Miami 95 Philadelphia 87
New Orleans 98 Houston 97
LA Lakers 112 Seattle 105