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CFB YTD 31-23 +3.2 units
2* 2-4 -4.8 units
1* 29-19 +8.0 units
NFL/CFB Combined 43-32 +7.0 units
2* 5-5 -1.0 units
1* 38-27 +8.0 units
I got off to a good start with Louisville's easy win. I like a lot more games than usual this week and my hardest task was deciding which ones NOT to play. I'll list those as opinions. Also, my record on combined plays was in error in my last post (added wrong) and is corrected here.
2* Iowa -20
Iowa has been wracked by injuries all year but QB Tate is likely to be back for this game. Northwestern is in an awful spot as they had a heartbreaker at home two weeks ago, played very hard last week at Michigan and travels to Ohio State next week. They couldn't pick a worse time to go to Iowa. Hawkeyes dominated Northern Illinois last week more than the score indicated and get back on track after a killer schedule. Northwestern can't stop the run. Note: For a number of reasons (including Tate's return when it's officially announced) I expect huge line movement on this game and would urge it be played ASAP.
1* Minnesota -5 1/2
This team really needs a blowout win as its season has fallen apart after losses to really strong opponents (Michigan, Penn State, Wisconsin, Ohio State four of the last five weeks). Indiana has had four emotional games in a row and is likely to letdown here.
1* Maryland/Clemson OVER 46 1/2
Maryland has given up over 20 four weeks in a row and was facing teams with only so-so offenses. They've scored over 20 in each of those games as well. Virginia Tech last week was the only defense all year to shut Clemson down. Clemson scores lots of points at home and Maryland has a solid offense.
1* Tennessee +3 1/2
What?? Two lines shocked me this week---the fact that Louisville wasn't at least a touchdown fave over WV and this one. Tennessee is the better team, they're at home and they're catching points. No brainer.
1* Colorado -3 (-120)
I normally don't buy points in college but this will be a low scoring game with two poor offenses. Don't worry about Colorado's QB getting knocked out last week as he's been rotating with another QB all year. Colorado played well in two road losses in a row. K-State has a freshman QB and has to face an underrated defense on the road.
1* UTEP -8 1/2
UTEP has blown leads two weeks in a row and dominated an excellent Tulsa team on the road last week for three quarters. I look for their high powered offense to really try to roll it up at home against Rice's crappy D to ensure they don't blow another lead.
Opinions only:
Rice/UTEP OVER (two teams that pass every play)
Houston (dog at home in QB Kolb's last home game)
Central Florida
2* 2-4 -4.8 units
1* 29-19 +8.0 units
NFL/CFB Combined 43-32 +7.0 units
2* 5-5 -1.0 units
1* 38-27 +8.0 units
I got off to a good start with Louisville's easy win. I like a lot more games than usual this week and my hardest task was deciding which ones NOT to play. I'll list those as opinions. Also, my record on combined plays was in error in my last post (added wrong) and is corrected here.
2* Iowa -20
Iowa has been wracked by injuries all year but QB Tate is likely to be back for this game. Northwestern is in an awful spot as they had a heartbreaker at home two weeks ago, played very hard last week at Michigan and travels to Ohio State next week. They couldn't pick a worse time to go to Iowa. Hawkeyes dominated Northern Illinois last week more than the score indicated and get back on track after a killer schedule. Northwestern can't stop the run. Note: For a number of reasons (including Tate's return when it's officially announced) I expect huge line movement on this game and would urge it be played ASAP.
1* Minnesota -5 1/2
This team really needs a blowout win as its season has fallen apart after losses to really strong opponents (Michigan, Penn State, Wisconsin, Ohio State four of the last five weeks). Indiana has had four emotional games in a row and is likely to letdown here.
1* Maryland/Clemson OVER 46 1/2
Maryland has given up over 20 four weeks in a row and was facing teams with only so-so offenses. They've scored over 20 in each of those games as well. Virginia Tech last week was the only defense all year to shut Clemson down. Clemson scores lots of points at home and Maryland has a solid offense.
1* Tennessee +3 1/2
What?? Two lines shocked me this week---the fact that Louisville wasn't at least a touchdown fave over WV and this one. Tennessee is the better team, they're at home and they're catching points. No brainer.
1* Colorado -3 (-120)
I normally don't buy points in college but this will be a low scoring game with two poor offenses. Don't worry about Colorado's QB getting knocked out last week as he's been rotating with another QB all year. Colorado played well in two road losses in a row. K-State has a freshman QB and has to face an underrated defense on the road.
1* UTEP -8 1/2
UTEP has blown leads two weeks in a row and dominated an excellent Tulsa team on the road last week for three quarters. I look for their high powered offense to really try to roll it up at home against Rice's crappy D to ensure they don't blow another lead.
Opinions only:
Rice/UTEP OVER (two teams that pass every play)
Houston (dog at home in QB Kolb's last home game)
Central Florida
NFL
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