Spears Trendy MNF

[Spearit]

7* Minny/New England Under 39 1/2
10* Under 46 1/2 and Minny +9


Public has brought this total up about 3 points and that figures well for what i like to play. Both teams are in favorable spots to win tonight - but I go on the fact that NE is 75% in the public eye and a road fav so ----oh and by the way 10* are hot.

ATS TrendsNew England
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on Turf.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Patriots are 47-6-1 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Patriots are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
Patriots are 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 20-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 40-18-3 ATS in their last 61 games overall.
Patriots are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 games following a ATS win.


Minnesota
Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Vikings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Vikings are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on Turf.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 night games.
Vikings are 42-14-3 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.


OU TrendsNew England
Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games on Turf.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Monday games.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 games in Week 8.
Under is 12-4-2 in Patriots last 18 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games overall.
Under is 5-2-2 in Patriots last 9 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 10-4-1 in Patriots last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.


Minnesota
Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-0-1 in Vikings last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 6-1 in Vikings last 7 Monday games.
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 17-5-1 in Vikings last 23 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 10-3-1 in Vikings last 14 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2-1 in Vikings last 9 games on Turf.
Under is 19-7-1 in Vikings last 27 games following a ATS win.
Over is 16-6 in Vikings last 22 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Vikings last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 17-7-1 in Vikings last 25 games overall.
Under is 11-5-1 in Vikings last 17 home games.

[KazDog]

Nice stats....Good luck Spear

KAZ

[garth]

Good luck, spear. May jump on that teaser with you.

[Spearit]

Oh and may I say Minny plays San Fran. next week and New England plays Indy. Mindsets being what they are- Minny looks to dispel the nuances of last season- I can hear it now- from Madden, or etc
"This is not the same team that Mike Tice coached last year."

I have the stats on both teams but lets just say that both teams are tough against the run. Lets also say that both will try to establish it- and yet it will still be Brady vs Brad. I like field goals and field management in this game and I like it tight thruout.

[jmarty6969]

that team had fun on the boat lmao

[BigJake]

best of luck tonight Spearit!

[Spearit]

Total is now at 40 so book it Dano- also the line may go up to +3 before game.

7* Minny/New England Under 40
10* Under 47 and Minny +9

[Spearit]

PATRIOTS OFFENSE VS. VIKINGS DEFENSE

While the Patriots still possess one of the game's most clutch quarterbacks in Tom Brady, New England's offensive success this season has mostly been due to a potent ground game featuring the terrific tandem of Maroney (361 rushing yards, 3 TD) and veteran Corey Dillon (328 rushing yards, 4 TD). The duo was held in check pretty well by Buffalo last week, however. Dillon, the between- the-tackles back, was limited to 47 yards on 14 carries but did find the end zone twice. The Patriots' best receiver out of the backfield is third-down specialist Kevin Faulk, who's totaled 111 yards on 12 catches. For the season, New England ranks sixth overall with an average of 131.5 rushing yards per game.

Minnesota counters with a run defense that has surrendered a league-low 70.8 yards per game on the ground and has limited opposing backs to an average of 3.1 yards a carry. Tackle Kevin Williams (20 tackles, 1 TD) has been a dominating presence underneath, while counterpart Pat Williams (15 tackles, 1 sack) is an excellent run-stuffer as well. The linebacking corps is headed by E.J. Henderson (36 tackles, 2 INT), who is coming off an excellent game at the weakside position. The Maryland product racked up nine tackles and an interception against the Seahawks and also knocked quarterback Matt Hasselbeck out of the game with an inadvertent shot to the knee. Minnesota's leading tackler is actually cornerback Antoine Winfield (43 tackles), whose physicality is a tremendous asset against the run.

New England stands just 22nd in the NFL in passing yards (193.3 ypg), but that's no fault of Brady's. The two-time Super Bowl MVP is putting together another outstanding year despite the offseason departures of his two top wideouts, Deion Branch and David Givens. Brady (1,226 passing yards) has thrown six of his 10 touchdown passes over the last three weeks and has been picked off just three times this season. One of his top performances of the year came in last Sunday's win over the Bills, in which Brady completed 18- of-27 throws for 195 yards and two scores. Tight end Benjamin Watson (21 receptions, 271 yards) snared five of those throws for 60 yards, and has emerged as Brady's new favorite target. The star signal-caller can still rely on 35-year-old Troy Brown (17 receptions, 189 yards, 2 TD) to make the tough catch, while former Raider Doug Gabriel (15 receptions, 174 yards) has scored a touchdown in three of the last four games. Brady was sacked a season-high four times last week after being taken down only five times over the first five weeks.

Brady will be facing a Minnesota secondary that has experience and talent, but has also proven to be vulnerable at times this season. The defense gave up a 72-yard touchdown catch to Seattle's Darrell Jackson last week, and allowed 261 passing yards overall in the win. Both Winfield and savvy free safety Darren Sharper (18 tackles, 1 INT) are quality players, but the team could use more consistency out of the talkative Fred Smoot (30 tackles) at the other corner. The Vikings have gotten their pass rush going in recent weeks, compiling nine sacks over the last two games. Kevin Williams has recorded a team-best four quarterback takedowns from his under tackle position, while end Darrion Scott (20 tackles) has contributed 3 1/2 sacks on the edge. Rookie Ray Edwards (2.5 sacks) has also been a pleasant surprise as a situational rusher.


VIKINGS OFFENSE VS. PATRIOTS DEFENSE

Like the Patriots, Minnesota has relied heavily on running the football, which makes a lot of sense considering the Vikings boast one of the most formidable offensive lines in football. The unit, headlined by a pair of perennial All- Pros in center Matt Birk and left guard Steve Hutchinson, has paved the way for a breakthrough season for running back Chester Taylor, whose 590 rushing yards trails only the Giants' Tiki Barber for the most in the league. Taylor shredded Seattle's well-regarded run defense for a career-high 169 yards, 95 of which came on a game-breaking touchdown run in the third quarter. The former Baltimore Raven has also contributed 21 catches totaling 137 yards. Minnesota currently ranks 10th in the NFL with an average of 116 yards per game on the ground.

Taylor may find the going much tougher this week when going up against New England's stingy run defense. The Patriots are allowing just 83.8 rushing yards per game (6th overall) and held the Bills' Willis McGahee to 59 yards on 20 carries, one week after Miami's Ronnie Brown mustered only 39 on 17 totes versus New England. All-Pro end Richard Seymour (17 tackles, 2.5 sacks) and space-eating tackle Vince Wilfork (24 tackles, 1 sack) can create havoc up front, while Junior Seau (39 tackles), Mike Vrabel (38 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and Tedy Bruschi (32 tackles, 1 INT) are as intelligent a group of linebackers you'll find. Seymour, however, hurt his left elbow in the Buffalo game and is questionable to play on Monday. Strong safety Rodney Harrison (39 tackles, 0.5 sacks), another grizzled veteran, is a premier run stopper as well.

While Minnesota has strayed away from its pass-happy days of a few seasons back, the offense has received steady play from graybeard Brad Johnson (1,299 passing yards, 4 TD, 4 INT) at quarterback. The 38-year-old was an efficient 15-of-24 for 171 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions against the Seahawks. The biggest big-play threat amongst the receivers, Marcus Robinson (13 receptions, 200 yards, 3 TD), had 77 yards and a score on four grabs last week. However, the veteran isn't expected to be available for this game because of a back injury. The Vikings' other two main wideouts, Troy Williamson (19 receptions, 274 yards) and Travis Taylor (20 receptions, 268 yards, 1 TD), should suit up on Monday despite each suffering concussions versus Seattle. Johnson isn't mobile and was sacked four times by the Seahawks, but Minnesota's sturdy line hadn't allowed a sack in either of the team's previous two outings. For the year, the Vikings rate 15th in passing offense (210.3 ypg).

The weak link of New England's otherwise strong stop unit is its pass defense. The Patriots rank 20th overall in yards allowed through the air (215.3) and have garnered only four interceptions, three of which have come from Asante Samuel (24 tackles, 5 PBU), the team's best cover corner. The other side has been a problem area, however. Ellis Hobbs (18 tackles) started the first three games before breaking his wrist, an injury which has forced the second-year corner into a limited role. Hobbs' replacement, Chad Scott (16 tackles, 2 PBU) appears to have lost a step at age 32. The secondary could be depleted further if free safety Eugene Wilson (24 tackles, 2 PBU), who last week aggravated a hamstring injury which has already kept him out of two games this season, can't go. With 14 sacks through the first six games, New England has done an adequate job rushing the passer. Super sub Jarvis Green (14 tackles) leads the club with 4 and 1/2 sacks and will start in Seymour's place if the latter is unavailable.


OVERALL ANALYSIS

This has the makings of a terrific game between two playoff-caliber teams that have tough, physical defenses, very effective ground games and do an excellent job of protecting the football. The oft-overlooked Vikings should relish the opportunity to gain some national respect and will be pumped up in front of a Monday night audience. Still, it's hard to go against New England and Brady, who's an astonishing 18-1 over his career in games played on turf (including a 7-0 mark in domes). Minnesota's also struggled in the few times Taylor's been held in check this year, something the Patriots do to opposing backs on a near-weekly basis. Johnson and his banged-up receiving corps will have to step it up a notch if the Vikings are to win this one.

[SACPAC]

good luck Spear..I am also on both plays...

[Spearit]

Thanx to all for the support- Did I mention I have not lost on anything above a 5* for the season in NFL. 75% on New England and relatively no change in the points by the books- oooh-- this is what you love to see.

And Yes - I am aware of Bradys performance on turf and away & I just may be the fool tonight but I will add to my play with more findings for Minny tonight. Again remember who New England plays on Sunday and who Minny plays. This is one bit of info to clue you in on the mindset.

Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (New England) - off a double digit road win, after the first month of the season.
(35-11 since 1983; 76.1%)

This system is 12-2 ATS since 2000 and 25-9 ATS since 1995.

[Spearit]

Minnesota Winning ATS+Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Any Opponent As Home Dog PK -> 2.5 ATS 36-14-0 *
Minnesota Winning+Winning ATS+Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Any Opponent As Home Dog PK -> 2.5 ATS 20-8-0 *
Minnesota Winning ATS+Going Over, 1 Game(s) Dome Stadium As Dog PK -> 2.5 ATS 27-10-2 *
Minnesota Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Dome Stadium As Dog PK -> 2.5 ATS 35-13-0 *
Minnesota Winning+Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Dome Stadium All Games PK -> 2.5 ATS 24-9-0 *
Minnesota Winning ATS+Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Dome Stadium All Games PK -> 2.5 ATS 31-12-0 *
Minnesota Winning ATS+Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Dome Stadium As Home PK -> 2.5 ATS 22-9-0 *
Minnesota Winning+Winning ATS+Going Over+On The Road, 1 Game(s) Dome Stadium All Games PK -> 2.5 ATS 22-8-0 *


New England Winning, 1 Game(s) Non-Conference As Away All Lines ATS 8-19-1 *
New England Going Under, 1 Game(s) Non-Conference All Games All Lines ATS 12-31-0 *

New England is 4-8 as an away fav of 2.5 or less.

Minny has won last 5 home games on Monday Night.