Monday Trends and Indexes 10/30

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Monday, October 30

Let’s start the week with a winning Monday!

NOTE: To djmauiboy & Udog,
I will be traveling all this week until Saturday night, therefore if you guys can fill in, it would be greatly appreciated (I may have limited internet access).

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football

Dunkel Index - NFL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 429-430: New England at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: New England 132.207; Minnesota 134.841
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: New England by 2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2); Over

[pm530]

NFL - Recent Trends

Recent Trends

New England:
Under is 8-2 in NE last 10 games in Week 8.
Under is 6-2 in NE last 8 games overall.
NE are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.

Minnesota:
MIN are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on Turf.
Under is 6-2-1 in MIN last 9 games on Turf.
Under is 17-7-1 in MIN last 25 games overall.

[pm530]

NFL - In Depth Trends

In-Depth Trends

New England
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on Turf.
Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Patriots are 47-6-1 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Patriots are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
Patriots are 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 20-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 40-18-3 ATS in their last 61 games overall.
Patriots are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 games following a ATS win.

Minnesota
Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Vikings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Vikings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on Turf.
Vikings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 night games.
Vikings are 42-14-3 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.


O/U Trends

New England
Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games on Turf.
Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Monday games.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 games in Week 8.
Under is 12-4-2 in Patriots last 18 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games overall.
Under is 5-2-2 in Patriots last 9 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 10-4-1 in Patriots last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Minnesota [/B][/B]
Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-0-1 in Vikings last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 6-1 in Vikings last 7 Monday games.
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 17-5-1 in Vikings last 23 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 10-3-1 in Vikings last 14 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2-1 in Vikings last 9 games on Turf.
Under is 22-8-1 in Vikings last 31 games following a ATS win.
Over is 16-6 in Vikings last 22 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Vikings last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 17-7-1 in Vikings last 25 games overall.
Under is 11-5-1 in Vikings last 17 home games.


Head to Head
No recent trends available

[pm530]

NFL - "Star" rated trends

Five-Star
New England (-2 1/2) is 42-6 SU & 32-15-1 last 48 as a favorite (visiting Minnesota)
New England QB Tom Brady is also 18-1 SU during his career on artificial surfaces

Four-Star
Minnesota is 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS last 11 home at home

[Udog]

From pm: "NOTE: To djmauiboy & Udog,
I will be traveling all this week until Saturday night, therefore if you guys can fill in, it would be greatly appreciated (I may have limited internet access)."

You got it, pm!!! Spark and dj both have my email. If one of those guys could give you my email, I need to know where you're getting that great stuff in posts 3, 4 and 5.

Good luck tonight, buddy, and safe travels this week!

[Udog]

Six-Pack for Monday

-- My guess for the Nov. 19 NBC Sunday night game is an AFC West showdown between San Diego and Denver. They announce which game gets moved on Tuesday.

-- Rutgers coach Greg Schiano will earn more than $1 million this season. Thats Rutgers with an R, million with an M.

-- 25 points Cowboys scored in fourth quarter Sunday was most points Dallas has ever scored in a fourth quarter.

-- NFC was 13-8 vs AFC thru six weeks of season, but just 2-8 in the last two weeks, with Patriots-Vikings Monday.

-- Houston Texans have now lost 11 straight road games.

-- Tennessee Titans won consecutive games for first time since last game of '03 season, first game of '04 campaign.

[Udog]

NFL

Patriots (5-1) @ Vikings (4-2)-Pats scored 11 TDs on 30 drives in last three games, have played good ball on road (3-0, wins at Jets 24-17, Bengals 38-13, Bills 28-6) but have showdown with Colts next week, after divisional game with Bills last week, so little bit of sandwich game for them, while Vikings will be primed for home Monday nighter. NFC North teams are 5-1 against spread in non-divisional home games. Vikings had only five TDs on 53 drives before their bye, but had three on 11 at Seattle LW, running ball for 175 yards behind former Seahawk Hutchinson. Belichick's defense has yet to allow more than 17 points; invest against him at your own risk.

[Udog]

NFL

Monday, October 30th

New England at Minnesota, 8:30 EST ESPN
New England: 6-0 ATS on artificial turf
Minnesota: 6-0 Under off a win by 14+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NFL

NEW ENGLAND (5 - 1) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2) - 10/30/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

MONDAY, OCTOBER 30
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Chicago at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.282; Philadelphia 10.006
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Over

Game 3-4: Atlanta at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 13.288; Toronto 11.013
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Anaheim at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 14.219; St. Louis 10.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 3 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-1 1/2); Under

Game 7-8: Washington at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.959; Calgary 11.805
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 9-10: NY Rangers at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.857; Los Angeles 10.545
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

[Udog]

NHL

Hot Teams
-- Atlanta won eight of last eleven games; their last three went into OT/SO.
-- Anaheim won five of their last six games.
-- Rangers won three of their first four road games.

Cold Teams
-- Chicago lost last four games, got shut out in last two. Flyers lost eight of their ten games this season.
-- Toronto lost three of their last four games.
-- St Louis lost three of their last four games.
-- Washington lost six of their last eight games, scoring total of two goals in their last two games. Calgary lost four of last five.
-- Kings lost five games in row and nine of last ten..

Series Records
-- Flyers won 5-2 at United Center in last year's meeting.
-- Toronto was 4-0 vs Atlanta LY (9-1/5-1/4-0/4-1).
-- Ducks won four of last five vs St Louis, splitting pair of games in this building last year (2-3/5-4ot)
-- Washington, Calgary didn't play last season.
-- Kings, Rangers didn't play last season.

Totals
-- All four Chicago road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in both Toronto's, Atlanta's last eight games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Anaheim's last six games.
-- Over is 7-3 in Washington games this season, 3-1-1 in last five Calgary games.
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Los Angeles games.

[Udog]

NFL

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

13) Don't look now, but Raiders are playing good defense; in last three games, they allowed two TDs on 32 drives, and had two defensive scores vs Steelers Sunday.

12) Flip side is that their offense is hideous; they ran 49 plays against Pittsburgh, gaining 98 yards, were 5-14/17 passing, and converted 1 of 11 on third down. But they won, so what does that say about their opponent??????

11) Steelers threw two picks for TDs, and managed just a pair of field goals in four drives inside the Oakland 20-yard line. Has anyone considered that maybe Roethlisberger shouldn't be playing, that it isn't helping him or the team?

10) Halftime score: Bears 41, 49ers 0. Which team does that score say more about? I honestly don't know........

9) Good to hear Pat Summerall back doing play-by-play, even if he had the worst NFL game of the decade to call. His voice sounds strong, good to hear. I think he's doing some college games for FOX in January.

8) No matter what your opinion of Michael Vick as a player, he is undeniably fun to watch. he has seven TDs in his last two games, by way. TE Alge Crumpler is his security blanket. Vick plays better against teams he doesn't see very often.

7) Jets got totally screwed on out-of-bounds call on last pass by Pennington, who made great throw. TE Baker got hit, and was ruled out-of-bounds, which appeared to be very bad call that is unreviewable. Defender also made great hit; only guy that didn't do his job right was the official.

6) Jets' first play of game was end-around from their own 8. Jets' OC Brian Schottenheimer doesn't take after his father, I guess-- he did play college ball for Steve Spurrier.

5) Pennington reminds me so much of Pat Haden, who played for Rams in 70's; both very smart, they even look alike. Both have weakish throwing arms; if you did a split-screen with both of them side-by-side, the similarities would be striking.

4) Peyton Manning's numbers Sunday: 32-39/345. Colts had eight drives, scored three TDs, kicked four FGs. On the drive they punted, they still gained 36 yards on six plays, all while facing defense that had allowed two TDs on 62 drives in '06.

3) With Tomlinson over 1,000 yards rushing already, it makes nine years in row that FB Lorenzo Neal has blocked for 1,000 yard rusher. What a valuable player he is.

2) Now that Houston yanked David Carr and was rallied by backup Sage Rosenfels, don't they look even dumber for not drafting Vince Young?

1) Once the QB crosses line of scrimmage with ball, he should not get any special treatment. You want to advance the ball, then prepare to be hit. It is tackle football, after all.

[Udog]

NHL

Pro Hockey Trend Report

CHICAGO (4-6-0-0, 8 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (2-7-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/30/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 136-183 ATS (-74.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 69-95 ATS (-44.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-49 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-49 ATS (-25.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-49 ATS (+49.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-23 ATS (+25.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-23 ATS (+25.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-23 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-23 ATS (+24.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)




ATLANTA (8-1-0-3, 19 pts.) at TORONTO (5-4-0-3, 13 pts.) - 10/30/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 120-139 ATS (-47.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)




ANAHEIM (8-0-0-3, 19 pts.) at ST LOUIS (3-4-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/30/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-18 ATS (+31.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)




WASHINGTON (3-3-0-4, 10 pts.) at CALGARY (3-5-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/30/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 73-117 ATS (-48.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 7-4 ATS (+14.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NY RANGERS (5-5-0-0, 10 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (3-8-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/30/2006, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Spark]

dj, udog, pm ...

You all have mail ... thanks