Monday Trends and Indexes 10/23

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Monday, October 23

Start the week with a winning Monday!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football

Dunkel Index – NFL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 23

Game 235-236: NY Giants at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 134.243; Dallas 133.618
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

[Udog]

Wrapping up college football Saturday

13) Michigan State was down 38-3 in second half at Evanston as Spartan AD was going through his list of candidates to replace John L. Smith as head coach. Then State rallied to win 41-38, college football's greatest-ever comeback, so Spartans are 4-4, and will be favored in next three games. Does Smith keep his job if he finishes 7-5 and goes bowling?

12) Wisconsin beat Purdue easily, 24-3, but when it was 17-3 with 13:00 left, they called a fake punt that was open by thirty yards for easy TD, but receiver dropped pass. Announcers then questioned whether it was a good call or not. Um, if the receiver catches the ball, he could have crawled into the end zone; of course it was good call. The execution wasn't good.

11) Kansas has been outscored 61-18 in second half of their last two games; they're 0-3 on road, losing 37-31ot/39-32ot and 36-35, when they led 35-17 at the half. You look at their results, this year, and they're 3-5, when they very easily could be 8-0. Their worst loss is 42-32 vs Oklahoma State; they led that game 14-0 at the half. You are what you are, but.......

10) Texas A&M tied their game at Oklahoma State with 0:02 left, then won in OT when Cowboys missed PAT. A&M has also played ton of close games; they've trailed in second half in their last four games, but won the last three.

9) In their two losses, Pitt Panthers allowed 334, 268 yards on the ground; the way to beat them is to run right at them, but not everyone can do that as well as Rutgers did in 20-10 win Saturday. 7-0 Scarlet Knights really run the ball well.

8) Funny thing, when Rutgers visited North Carolina back on Labor Day weekend, Tar Heels were 6-point favorite. Knights still haven't lost, while UNC still hasn't beat a I-A team. What would spread on that game be now?

7) Minnesota 10, North Dakota State 9, bad score for Gophers but State had been 6-0 in I-AA coming in. Still...................

6) Not to say Vince Young misses college ball, but he was in Lincoln on a cold, miserable day watching Longhorns rally to beat Nebraska. He didn't dress warm enough; looked like he was freezing, standing there on his bye week.

5) Weatherford threw horrible, amateurish INT for TD in the last thirty seconds of first half vs BC. I can blame the coaches for that one, since they weren't scoring from where they were on field, anyway. Jeff Bowden will have a long week. Florida State is now 2-3 in their last five games.

4) How bad is Stanford? They're 0-8, losing 38-3 to Arizona State team that had lost their three previous games by a total score of 125-55. Cardinal still has to play USC and Cal.

3) Cal survived -5 turnover ratio to beat Washington in OT; they also allowed Hail Mary TD pass to tie game and force OT, but they survived that. Spunky effort by Washington, playing with backup QB Bonnell.

2) Hawai'i had 34 passes, 33 runs in their win at New Mexico State; when was last time Warriors had that much balance?

1) Nebraska lost to Texas, but Bill Calllahan is my coaching hero; on drive that put Huskers up 20-19, he used a halfback option pass, right after he had called double reverse. When was last time you saw a team use two trick plays on the same drive so late in a close game? Both plays worked, too.

[Udog]

Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

13) Curse of the Super Bowl loser continues, as Hasselbeck is hurt now, and Seattle cheaped out on their backup QB, so it is big problem for them, especially with Alexander also out.

12) Matt Bryant drilled a 62-yard FG, third-longest in history of the NFL, to beat Eagles in great game. Bryant's career long FG before Sunday was only fifty yards.

11) Donovan McNabb had a bad day, throwing two INTs for TDs, blowing FG at end of first half by throwing short pass in middle of field, and also puking on field early in fourth quarter but he drove Eagles to what looked like winning TD with 0:33 left. Does McNabb have a conditioning problem? Looked like the heat got to him a little bit.

10) Eagles outrushed Bucs 208-111, Tampa didn't have a TD on offense, but still won. That doesn't happen very much.

9) Miami is now 2-16 vs spread in last 18 tries as home fave.

8) When Morten Andersen was an NFL rookie, thirteen of his current Atlanta teammates weren't born yet.

7) Chad Johnson's career TD catches by quarter: 14-10-1-10.

6) Packer OL Daryn Colledge went to high school in Alaska; one of the fields he played on there had volcanic ash on it.

5) Steeler-Falcon game went over the total with 5:00 left in the first half. Last time teams played, it ended 34-all tie, last tie the NFL has had. Next time they play, should be Monday game.

4) Watching Antwaan Randle El return punts is worth price of the DirecTV package by itself, but Redskins have allowed opponents to scored TD on first drive of second half in each of last three games. Not what Mr Snyder is paying for.......

Speaking of that game, I am thinking Peyton Manning's knee was banged up a little. They won't say anything, but......

3) Total yardage in Texans' 27-7 win over Jaguars: 349-220. Big day for Kubiak's Houston team.

2) I like watching NFL Network's highlight show, but it must be muted, thats how awful Deion Sanders is.

1) Arizona's coaching staff must be barrel of laughs; the guy Denny Green demoted has filed a grievance against Cardinals for demoting him, but he's still around, doing something. Now that they lost 22-9 to 0-5 Oakland, getting nine first downs, wonder if they still think it was all his fault?

Cardinals have 11 takeaways in last two games, and lost both games; am guessing that has never happened before in NFL.

[Udog]

NHL - DUNKEL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 23
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: San Jose at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.483; Columbus 10.288
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-1 1/2); Over

Game 53-54: Buffalo at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 13.299; Montreal 11.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 55-56: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.497; Florida 11.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+1 1/2); Under

Game 57-58: Los Angeles at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.189; Colorado 11.186
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 59-60: Vancouver at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.486; Dallas 12.695
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+1 1/2); Under

Game 61-62: Phoenix at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 9.726; Edmonton 12.647
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 3; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NHL

Hot Teams
-- San Jose won six of their first eight games.
-- Sabres are 8-0 this season, scoring 27 goals in last four games. Canadiens won last two home games, scoring 13 goals.
-- Atlanta won six of their last seven games.
-- Dallas Stars won seven of their first eight games; crowd will be low, since Cowboys also play at home Monday. Vancouver won three of last four games, taking last two in OT.
-- Edmonton won four of last five games, allowing four goals in last three; they're 0 for last 21 on power play, though.

Cold Teams
-- Columbus lost last three games, allowing 14 goals.
-- Florida lost three of their last four games.
-- Colorado is 3-5 in their first eight games. Kings lost five of their last six games.
-- Coyotes lost six of last seven games, getting shut out in their last two games.

Series Records
-- Home side won all four San Jose-Columbus games last year, with Sharks losing both visits here, 4-1/4-1.
-- Sabres beat Montreal 5-4 in OT Oct 6; they're 6-3 in last nine vs Habs, taking three of last four at Molson Centre.
-- Thrashers are 2-0 vs Florida TY (6-0/4-2); they lost three of four in this building LY, though.
-- Kings won three of four vs Avalanche last year, winning both games in this building (5-4/5-3).
-- Dallas won three of four vs Canucks LY, winning both games at home (3-1/4-2).
-- Always big when Gretzky returns to Edmonton; his Coyotes split four games with Oilers LY, with three of them ending 4-3 in OT/SO. Fourth game was 7-1 Edmonton home win.

Totals
-- Three of four Shark-jacket games LY ended 4-1; average total in the four games was 6.0.
-- Six of last seven Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Florida games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in Kings' last eight games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Dallas games so far this season.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Edmonton games.

[djmauiboy]

Mnf Quick Reference

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Monday, October 23rd

NY Giants at Dallas, 8:30 EST ESPN
NY Giants: 35-16 Under off a win by 10+ points
Dallas: 2-11 ATS off a win by 28+ points

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NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at DALLAS (3 - 2) - 10/23/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Giants (3-2) @ Cowboys (3-2)- Big Blue 8-4 in last 12 games vs Cowboys, 3-3 vs Parcells, with two of Tuna's three wins in OT. Giants played two sound games since bye; neither Redskins or Falcons snapped ball in Giant red zone. Since allowing 35 first half points in Seattle, Giants have outscored foes 73-24 in 10 quarters. Dallas allowed 24,38 pts in their losses, 10-14-6 in the wins. Giants scored 30-30-27 pts in their three road games. Media loves to kill Bledsoe, but Dallas offense ranks 3rd on third down (42.7%), 4th in red zone (5.37), T2nd in TDs (16); only Eagles (21) have scored more TDs. Giants split their last six visits to this site. Not sure what effect Barber's bizarre declaration that he might be retiring will have on the team.

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Game 235-236: NY Giants at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 134.243; Dallas 133.618
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

[djmauiboy]

Pro Baseball Trend Report
DETROIT (103 - 69) at ST LOUIS (91 - 83) - 8:05 PM
NATE ROBERTSON (L) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 105-58 (+29.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 94-55 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 51-20 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 69-28 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 47-18 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 104-69 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 20-15 (+12.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-33 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 96-60 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 71-39 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 69-49 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 66-36 (+21.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 91-83 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 91-83 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 51-63 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-36 (-22.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)



NATE ROBERTSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.



CHRIS CARPENTER vs. DETROIT since 1997
CARPENTER is 3-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.03 and a WHIP of 1.864.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.5 units)

[djmauiboy]

Nhl

Pro Hockey Trend Report
SAN JOSE (6-2-0-0, 12 pts.) at COLUMBUS (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 6-15 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 4-14 ATS (-13.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 79-67 ATS (+79.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 109-94 ATS (+109.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 15-10 ATS (+29.8 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 46-36 ATS (+93.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)




BUFFALO (8-0-0-0, 16 pts.) at MONTREAL (4-1-0-2, 10 pts.) - 10/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 34-21 ATS (+59.6 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 34-21 ATS (+59.6 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 34-21 ATS (+59.6 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 32-20 ATS (+56.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
BUFFALO is 28-12 ATS (+40.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 25-15 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 23-11 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 32-13 ATS (+16.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 25-7 ATS (+15.6 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 32-24 ATS (+59.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 6-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.9 Units)




ATLANTA (6-1-0-1, 13 pts.) at FLORIDA (4-4-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/23/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-8 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-4 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-6 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 183-260 ATS (+183.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 165-196 ATS (+165.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)




LOS ANGELES (3-4-0-2, 8 pts.) at COLORADO (3-3-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/23/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 227-199 ATS (+227.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLORADO is 46-47 ATS (+46.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 83-84 ATS (-97.8 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 48-53 ATS (-71.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)




VANCOUVER (5-3-0-1, 11 pts.) at DALLAS (7-1-0-0, 14 pts.) - 10/23/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 77-57 ATS (+135.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)




PHOENIX (2-6-0-0, 4 pts.) at EDMONTON (5-2-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/23/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 82-67 ATS (+153.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 16-24 ATS (+42.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

[djmauiboy]

World Series
Game Three
TV: FOX
Series Tied, 1-1
Detroit at St. Louis, 8:05 EST
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)


Robertson:
21-12 Under this season
Detroit 15-6 Under as an underdog of +125 to +175

Carpenter:
17-2 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest
47-18 TSR in night games

[djmauiboy]

San Jose at Columbus, 7:05 EST
San Jose: 0-7 SU off a home loss by 2+ goals
Columbus: 16-6 SU as a home underdog of +150 or less

Buffalo at Montreal, 7:05 EST VER
Buffalo: 9-1 SU off a win by 4+ goals
Montreal: 16-36 SU vs. Buffalo

Atlanta at Florida, 7:35 EST
Atlanta: 5-18 SU off a three-game unbeaten streak
Florida: 14-4 SU at home vs. division opponents

Los Angeles at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Los Angeles: 6-0 SU off a home loss by 1 goal
Colorado: 1-5 SU off 3+ non-conference games

Vancouver at Dallas, 8:35 EST
Vancouver: 9-19 SU as a road underdog
Dallas: 23-3 SU at home off a win by 4+ goals

Phoenix at Edmonton, 9:05 EST
Phoenix: 2-8 SU off BB home losses by 2+ goals
Edmonton: 11-0 SU off BB games with a combined score of 4 goals or less